PA-12 dimensional chess stuff
by Jerome Armstrong, Tue Apr 20, 2010 at 12:14:40 AM EDT
$800K worth apparently to help Critz, from the DCCC.
But, its tough to see how the special election in PA is going to show that the HCR, or Health Insurance reform bill, is vindicated by the Democrat winning, since the Democrat is running away from it:
Critz contrasts an ad put up by Republicans saying that Critz would vote the “liberal agenda” in Congress by saying “That ad’s not true. I opposed the health care bill. And I’m pro-life, and pro-gun. That’s not liberal.”
You can see the commercial here. Its actually a pretty poor ad, with his voice missing and all. I do like the transition though, to it being about jobs (though the outsourcing claim is blah); but I'm not sold that he's making the deal by turning off whatever liberal Democrats there are in PA-12 in the first place.
PPP has a look at the numbers:
Some Democrats may not be thrilled Mark Critz is emphasizing his opposition to the health care bill as he seeks to replace John Murtha in the House, but after polling the district it's hard to see that as anything but necessary for survival. Only 28% of voters in the district express support for it with 59% opposed. Even Democrats there support it by just a 43/39 margin.
Obama's overall approval rating in the district is 33%, with 57% of voters disapproving of him. It's hard to imagine any Democrat winning an open seat this year where the President is that unpopular but it's still a close race. We'll have the full numbers out tomorrow.