WI-Sen: Thompson Lead Evaporates

by Josh Orton, Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 05:34:35 PM EDT

Today's Rasmussen poll of the Wisconsin Senate race provides a bit of a surprise: former Republican governor Tommy Thompson no longer holds a statistically relevant lead against incumbent Russ Feingold:

...matched against Thompson, Feingold now trails by a statistically insignificant 47% to 45%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Thompson, who is reportedly interested in the race but has not yet made a final decision whether to run, led Feingold 48% to 43% in February and held a similar lead in January.

Feingold easily beats his other two potential Republican opponents, but the real story is the Thompson matchup. In the last few months, the former governor has attracted a boatload of press about his potential decision to run - yet all the attention has only weakened his position. 

So even though Thompson's cohorts are hinting about a run, I'm still skeptical. His lobbyist connections being what they are, I bet Thompson was hoping for a much better number than he got today. 

 

Tags: WI-Sen (all tags)

Comments

10 Comments

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Good to have you back

n/t

by Jonathan Singer 2010-03-18 06:47PM | 1 recs
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Thompson's smart enough...

...never to have believed those numbers in the first place. Russ would be very, very tough to beat.

by Mandoliniment 2010-03-18 08:55PM | 0 recs
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RE: Thompson's smart enough...

lol -they're trying to repeat 1994 this year, remember.

by West of the Fields 2010-03-18 11:44PM | 0 recs
Coatofarms
Welcome Back Josh and Good Post

I would agree - in the 21st century a candidate that can demonstrably show he is connected to his constituency will have a much easier time of election, especially given the electorate  equally connected.

 

Lobbyists, of course... try to sell connections. Maybe the best ones, are the ones that are almost free.

 

by Trey Rentz 2010-03-18 11:05PM | 0 recs
Coatofarms
RE: Welcome Back Josh and Good Post

like. Micropayment free. Donate to Russ.

 

by Trey Rentz 2010-03-18 11:05PM | 0 recs
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Welcome back!

Welcome back, Josh.


by Zach Wisniewski 2010-03-19 12:23AM | 0 recs
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It's Spring

We are not entirely rational beings. We tend to forget this in our discussions. Optimism seems to peak right about now.

Now as much as people don't like fact that the Democrats can't seem to get us out of this mess, they don't like the Republicans even more for getting us into it in the first place. Add that to the fact that an issue that they have been hearing about forever seems now to be close to concluded. Plus the general feeling that however slowly things are indeed starting to get better.

All that means that you will be seeing more and more of these reports over the next couple of weeks. Look at how close Meeks is to Rubio in Fla.

The tide has crested. If is going to turn in time is still a question.

by Judeling 2010-03-19 12:42AM | 0 recs
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RE: It's Spring

I hope you are right, for many reasons. I have been distressed to see how far Rubio was polling ahead of Meeks.

by desmoinesdem 2010-03-19 08:06AM | 0 recs
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RE: It's Spring

Rubio continues to have better name recognition than Meek, I believe, but on the other hand he has substantially higher unfavorables.  Even if Rubio tries to run to the center in the general election, this high-profile primary may have the effect of cementing his reputation as too far to the right, for those Florida residents who believe there is such a thing as too far to the right.

by Steve M 2010-03-19 11:44AM | 0 recs
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Feingold

Good!  Now hopefully Feingold will stop parroting Republican nemes like how good he is at balancing the budget and cutting government waste, and start acting more like a Democrat.  

by demjim 2010-03-19 10:58AM | 0 recs

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