You've got to wonder about my Senator, Ben Nelson (D-NE).
Although he gets a reprieve for 2010, his 2012 re-election bid will be Nebraska's next Senate race, and as his and his party's approval ratings dip and his race grows closer, he's started to tack even harder hard to the right than usual. He supported his party's top priority, health care reform, but only after he won major conservative and parochial concessions on abortion and Medicaid. He watered down the stimulus. He's not likely to support one of the next major initiatives, clean energy reform (although thankfully he is still open to negotiation and consideration). And now he will oppose one of the President's appointees to the National Labor Relations Board because the man is pro-labor, never mind that a pro-labor Democrat won the White House with 53% of the popular vote.
Politico's Manu Raju:
The move is likely to infuriate labor groups who have fought hard for Craig Becker's nomination to serve on the five-member NLRB - and will likely give Republicans enough support to sustain a filibuster Tuesday.
Nelson, a conservative Democrat up for reelection in 2012, has seen his approval ratings drop sharply since he lent his support for Obama's health care bill in December and secured deals for Nebraska's Medicaid payments.
His latest decision could help him tout his independent credentials back home, but will likely generate anger from the left, which says Becker is a well-qualified nominee who has been denigrated by his opponents.
One has to wonder. If Nelson is willing to abandon his positions when the politics get perilous, might he be willing to abandon his party if the politics get even worse? If the economy doesn't improve by November 2010 and Republicans make big gains, will Nelson switch parties for his re-election run?
I admire that the man is willing to act on his own and fight hard for his state, and his concession-based votes for health care and the stimulus were better than letting the bill die and did help bring other conservative Democrats on board, so I'm more frustrated with the man than I am angry. Nevertheless, it will take a lot of national DNC/DRSC investment to keep his seat, and you'd think he'd try to curry a little more favor with those groups and their investors than he has done. It will be interesting to see how he votes and behaves in 2011.
I believe that Ben Nelson will stay a Democrat, and for that I am thankful. There are no rumors to the contrary - this is just me wondering aloud. Still, it strikes me as possible cause for concern, however slight. I'm sure if we asked his office they would vigorously deny that the thought has ever crossed his mind, but that's what Arlen Specter was saying hours before his 2009 switch, too.
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