Brown Consultant Rejects a Friendly Wager

Yesterday, after GOP blogger and consultant for Massachusetts Republican Senate candidate Scott Brown razzed me for having contributed to Brown's Democratic opponent Martha Coakley, I replied with a simple proposal:

Interested in a friendly wager? I eat a little crow on [The Next Right] if Brown wins, you do it on MyDD if Coakley wins?

Shortly thereafter I asked Ruffini, "Or would you expect a point spread in a friendly wager over the outcome of the Brown/Coakley race?" Ruffini's response a few hours later:

If I come on MyDD, I'll be happy to repost this: http://is.gd/6ameZ [a link to a post on how Paul Hackett's loss in the 2005 Ohio special congressional election was a win for the Democrats -- clearly not a crow-eating post]

I took this as a rejection of my friendly wager, replying to Ruffini, "If you were confident in a Brown win, why wouldn't you agree to a wager that could have me eating crow on your site?" Matt Ortega similarly asked, "Brown consultant @PatrickRuffini refuses to wager Brown would win?"

Ruffini tried to flip things around, stating that the fact that I was assigning even odds to the race -- which I wasn't, as evidenced by my tweet asking if Ruffini expected a point-spread in such a wager -- was the story. "[A] Brown win would be a real miracle," tweeted Ruffini.

I don't know what the outcome of Tuesday's election in Massachusetts is going to be. Nobody does. But I was willing to put myself on the line under the belief that Coakley, the Democratic nominee, would pull out a victory. Ruffini, a leading GOP blogger, wasn't willing to do the same for the candidate he supports (and indeed is doing work for). And I think that speaks volumes.

Tags: MA-Sen, Senate 2010, Massachusetts, Special Elections, Patrick Ruffini, Jonathan Singer, MyDD, The Next Right (all tags)

Comments

4 Comments

Are you confident?

How many digits will you give in the spread?

by Jerome Armstrong 2010-01-13 05:45PM | 0 recs
RE: Are you confident?

I would offer 2 points.... which isn't saying much, but I think the margin will be 2-5% in favor of Coakley.

by Jerome Armstrong 2010-01-13 05:49PM | 0 recs
RE: Are you confident?

I was thinking today that some sort of game for picking elections with spreads and all might be fun.  All virtual points of course :) Everyone starts off with a certain amount of points and can spend it on certain races with different levels of payoffs depends on the magnitude of the race and # of bets being placed.

by Kyle Shank 2010-01-13 05:58PM | 0 recs
RE: Are you confident?

He wasn't interested in a wager with or without a spread, but I was open to negotiate.

by Jonathan Singer 2010-01-13 06:51PM | 0 recs

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