The Republican Party Left Arlen Specter

bumped

Republicans are doing their darndest today to combat the already growing meme that the their party is so far out of the mainstream that it can't hold onto its moderate members. A few minutes ago, for instance, Karl Rove was on Fox News claiming that the Republican Party didn't leave Arlen Specter, but that Specter left the Republican Party. (Rove, not surprisingly, fudged the facts, calling Specter a lifelong Republican, but that's neither here nor there.) Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele said, "Let's be honest -- Senator Specter didn't leave the GOP based on principles of any kind. He left to further his personal political interests because he knew that he was going to lose a Republican primary due to his left-wing voting record."

But take a look at the facts. The Republican Party has done its best to kick out or otherwise make uncomfortable those within its ranks who don't hew to the most orthodox of conservative ideologies, both broadly and specifically in the case of Specter. Josh Kraushaar reminds that it has not been long since RNC Chairman Steele threatened retribution against Specter. Here's the video:

And these threats weren't just coming from the upper echelon of the party apparatus. As Specter told NPR today, he was facing a potential censure resolution from his state party committee over his vote on the stimulus package, and had picketers in front of his office in recent days as well.

So while there is no denying that this is a move of political expediency for Specter, it is also definitely the case that the Republican Party forced him -- one of their longest serving members in the Senate -- out of their ranks for not being sufficiently conservative. For a party that has been drubbed in two straight national elections (John McCain lost moderates by a 21-point margin, a deficit that was a real drag on his electoral chances), kicking out one of its most prominent moderates simply is not good for its image.

Tags: Arlen Specter, Republican Party (all tags)

Comments

28 Comments

While tis true ideologically the party moved right

on Specter, this is not a move I see him make if he had a chance to get relected as a Repub.

It's his last dance, he wants one more ride, and the Republicans were shutting the door on him.

The democrats opened it, but I SURE hope they got something for the deal?

EFCA Vote? Cloture?

If just aligns himself with Evan Bayh and the conserva-dems, not sure we wouldn't be better off to have Joe Sestak cream Toomey in the general.

by WashStateBlue 2009-04-28 10:28AM | 0 recs
Re:

co-sign

by Lolis 2009-04-28 11:09AM | 0 recs
Nothing changes

Apprently no on EFCA including Cloture. he also gains a cleared field, but there maybe a challenge outside of the Dem Party leadership. My feeling and guess at this point is this is an attempt at maintain conservative control over the Senate and playing people who are partisans into believe they got something by the name change. We shall see substantively if anything has actually change. Reading the deal that's been shown in public, it's not a good deal for actual policy outcomes. It does hoever allow peo to write headlines about how the GOP left specter although specter will still be conservative.

by bruh3 2009-04-28 11:25AM | 0 recs
Word on Sestak

is that he will still jump in if Specter doesn't show himself to be a decent Democrat.

by JDF 2009-04-28 12:50PM | 0 recs
Well, he won't have any problem raising money

Is Specter turns out to be a stalking horse, with a Big D after this name, but is voting R, the money will flood into the primary to have Joe take him out.

by WashStateBlue 2009-04-28 01:21PM | 0 recs
Re: Well, he won't have any problem raising money

The question is will Obama campaign for Specter?

by MNPundit 2009-04-28 01:58PM | 0 recs
Re: Well, he won't have any problem raising money

During a primary?  It would break all sorts of precedent for him to do that.

by Jess81 2009-04-28 02:00PM | 0 recs
Re: The Republican Party Left Arlen Specter

Whatever Arlen Specter's true motivations are, and I'm sure they're complicated, it bears pointing out that "the Republican Party left me" is at least credible.

Compare him to Joe Lieberman in 2006.  Had Lieberman switched to the Republicans and pulled the "the party left me" line, he'd be laughed out of the room.

If there's a silver lining in this, it's that it further marginalizes the Republicans.

by Jess81 2009-04-28 10:55AM | 0 recs
Re: The Republican Party Left Arlen Specter

I don't understand how that's credible.  The simplest explanation for all of this is that he realized that his only chance to win re-election was as a Democrat.  Everything else proceeds from this.  Am I missing something?

by the mollusk 2009-04-28 12:03PM | 0 recs
Re: The Republican Party Left Arlen Specter

You are missing the why of he has no chance to win re-election as a Republican. If he made it to the general election as a republican he would still be a heavy favorite to win. However, because he chooses to follow his own morality and beliefs rather than some force-fed party ideology, they were going to give him the boot. The truth about Specter is that he is going to be with us a lot of the time and against us a good bit of the time. He is going to give ground on the things that aren't that important to him and he is going to stand his ground on those things that are. That is what I expect from any honest politician regardless of whether I agree with them from issue to issue or not.

by JDF 2009-04-28 12:54PM | 0 recs
Re: The Republican Party Left Arlen Specter

I'm not sure about that calculus.  Specter was getting a serious primary challenge.  He may have squeaked it out, particularly if he followed the Republican orthodoxy of voting no on everything - Health Care Reform, Cap & Trade, EFCA, nominations, everything.  But with a record like that, he wouldn't stand a chance to be reelected in PA.  So, from a strictly political point of view, his only recourse was to leave the party.

Now, it is a valid point to say that today's brand of Republicanism only plays well in a few corners of the country.  But we don't have the luxury of doing the experiment where Arlen Specter is a Senator from Texas and then see how he votes.  So we don't really know if this is a conscience-driven thing or simply a ploy for political viability.

by the mollusk 2009-04-28 01:09PM | 0 recs
Re: The Republican Party Left Arlen Specter

Jim Jeffords, he's not.

by Charles Lemos 2009-04-28 10:58AM | 0 recs
Re: The Republican Party Left Arlen Specter

He's not even Lincoln Chafee.

By the way, Chafee didn't lose because his campaign warchest was depleted; he lost because the voters in Rhode Island were not going to have a Republican Senator on their conscience so long as Bush was in the White House.  They loved Chafee - it was entirely about party control.

by Jess81 2009-04-28 11:04AM | 0 recs
yes, but...

the meme "the GOP is too far right for someone as conservative as arlen spector" is a good meme for democrats.  making those who remain in the republican party as nothing less than right-wing extremists is a good message for the party of barack obama.  we welcome anyone.

if we can only get all democrats on board with this...

by bored now 2009-04-28 11:09AM | 0 recs
Re: yes, but...

I don't disagree, although "we welcome anyone" might not be the best slogan except when we're looking for votes.  But as far as this makes the Republicans look, great.

by Jess81 2009-04-28 11:25AM | 0 recs
Re: The Republican Party Left Arlen Specter

yeah, you're right. I am a Rhode Islander, well a summer one anyway.

My other thought on this is that for the Democratic party, it doesn't change much. It's not like his views will change but for the GOP, this is another nail in the coffin. The party of zero is becoming the party of less than zero.

I also can't shake the thought that Pennsylvania's two Senators are more conservative than the state. It's not like Bob Casey is this raging liberal either.

by Charles Lemos 2009-04-28 11:12AM | 0 recs
Casey is a lot closer to where the state is

Casey is quite pro-labor and economically liberal, but socially conservative...that's pretty much where Pennsylvania has been for the last few decades.

by DTOzone 2009-04-28 11:17AM | 0 recs
Re: Casey is a lot closer to where the state is

I agree with your description of the state. This is why I question the decision to make the concessions on economic issues we are making with Specter. Unless he changes his votes, we should primary him, but it does not seem like that's the deal that was made.

by bruh3 2009-04-28 11:37AM | 0 recs
I think it's healthcare

gives him cover to support Obama's healthcare intiatives.

Also, Specter has a 70% approval rating among Democrats...as a Republican.

by DTOzone 2009-04-28 12:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Casey is a lot closer to where the state is

And Specter is more socially liberally and to the right of the state on labor and economic issues. If we combined them we could make one good Democrat and one obnoxious republican. Instead we get half from each.

by JDF 2009-04-28 12:55PM | 0 recs
Re: Casey is a lot closer to where the state is

good point.

by Charles Lemos 2009-04-28 02:08PM | 0 recs
Re: The Republican Party Left Arlen Specter

My big sis, who is a socialist and a Rhode Islander said it broke her heart to vote against Chafee.

by Jess81 2009-04-28 11:26AM | 0 recs
Steele's good advice

I don't see what's wrong with what Steele is saying.  I don't agree with the substance (i.e. voting against the stimulus) but I think it's actually a good way to run a party.  Really, the only way to run a party.  That is, if Senators vote against the wishes of the state party, then the state party can decide to support a primary candidate and the national party will support that decision.  It doesn't seem the least bit loony or heavy-handed to me.

The real problem, as I mentioned above, is the substance.  The Republicans are deciding to stake their political future on less and less popular positions.

But, lest we forget, there was a time when Bush had approval ratings of >90% and anyone who dissented seemed like a lunatic.  I say this as a staunch Bush oppositionist.

Specter, for his part, is 100 % political opportunist.  If he votes with the Democrats.  Well, ok.  But let's primary the hell out of him.

by the mollusk 2009-04-28 12:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Steele's good advice

Mollusk - a question?

Do you seriously think for on minute that before Arlene announce his switch he didn't sit down with the Democratic leaders and say here's the deal?

Arlene: Look I can't stand the Republicans and if I stay one I loose. So I'd like to come over, but I am not going to do it unless I know for certain that the Democratic Party is going to throw their full weight behind my re-election.

I know if I were in his place this is the deal I would have made.

So good luck with trying to primary him.

by jsfox 2009-04-28 12:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Steele's good advice

Sure, I can see that being part of the deal.  I'm saying it's a turkey for the Dems.  Time will tell, etc., but what is gained by having Specter as a lock on the PA senate seat?  Having a serious primary challenger is certainly a difficult proposition, but it's what I favor.  What do you favor?

by the mollusk 2009-04-28 12:33PM | 0 recs
Re: Steele's good advice

Right now I am of the "bird in the hand" mind. If he truly turns out to be horrible then by all PA should loose him if they can. If he turns out just to be a moderate I think you'll have a hard time convincing PA voters to get rid of him. Seniority, reasonably well liked out side the rabid right and probably appeals to the moderate Republicans who switched this year to D and to Indies who voted D.

by jsfox 2009-04-28 12:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Steele's good advice

That sounds like a reasonable position and I don't think it's that far from mine.  If he can help Health Care Reform and Cap and Trade pass this year, that will be a victory for the Dems.  Although, we'll never know whether that would have happened irregardless of his party affiliation.

The EFCA thing really bugs me, though.  I suspect it will be to most PA Dems too.

by the mollusk 2009-04-28 12:47PM | 0 recs
Re: Steele's good advice

Well that's why we have primaries right? The indies are not going to be voting for Toomey (they'll stay home) just because Arlen is defeated by Real Dem in the primary as long as it doesn't descend into out-right blood-letting.

by MNPundit 2009-04-28 02:01PM | 0 recs

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