Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

It's getting hard to tell. On the one hand, Valerie Jarrett says Obama backs the public option.

On the other hand, I've been hearing a lot more stories like this:

Multiple sources tell TPMDC that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid is very close to rounding up 60 members in support of a public option with an opt out clause, and are continuing to push skeptical members. But they also say that the White House is pushing back against the idea, in a bid to retain the support of Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME).

"They're skeptical of opt out and are generally deferential to the Snowe strategy that involves the trigger," said one source close to negotiations between the Senate and the White House. "they're certainly not calming moderate's concerns on opt out."

The choice now rests with the White House: if they want a public option in the merged Senate bill, they need to back Reid and tell a couple waving Dems to vote for cloture even if they don't support the final bill (which will only need 50 votes post-cloture). Otherwise, the bill will have Snowe's flawed trigger...and one single Republican vote (bipartisan!).

Tags: Barack Obama, health care reform, Olympia Snowe (all tags)

Comments

59 Comments

Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

I think it is going to depend on whether Reid can get to 60 or not. The concern within the White House is probably the possibility of both losing Snowe AND not getting to 60 votes- which would be an unmitigated disaster.

by JDF 2009-10-23 12:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

The point is that President Obama must make a choice. This is not up to Reid.

by bruh3 2009-10-23 12:14PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Well but look - the WH has an active role to play if it wants 60 - one or two wavering dems will complain to the WH - and the WH will have to tell them to fall in line and vote for cloture even if they don't support the final product. Rahm has to agree to backstop Reid's whip count.

by Josh Orton 2009-10-23 12:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

I agree that Obama plays a roll to play in this... and I hope that he does push for the Opt Out Clause, even if it costs us Snowe. Although truthfully, I am still much more concerned with how Obama uses leverage once the final bill is being debated since, if you were to compare this to a championship boxing match, we are still in the middle rounds of the fight.  

by JDF 2009-10-23 12:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

If he does not show leadership on this right now at this crucial moment where the momentum is there, he will demoralize the party base. For 1 Republican vote.

It is interesting- this guy who so concerned with not repeating the mistakes of Bill Clinton, and what does he do- commit the biggest sin Bill Clinton ever committed. Clinton demoralized his base.

I am sure President Obama is a brilliant man. What my great grandmother might call "book smart." But I don't see any street smarts in him.  The kind she says that help you survive.

by bruh3 2009-10-23 12:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Is it possible for you to become more demoralized than you've been over the last 9 months?

Handover them sixguns, Upstate Kent.  There's a new sheriff in town.

by fogiv 2009-10-23 06:21PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

and Bob Tegan (Open Left)

by esconded 2009-10-23 07:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

With any luck, Jerome will make sure folks like you are not around soon enough. The fact is my comments on topic, and yours rarely are beyond bitching that someone disagrees with you. Well, that as obtaining the rest of the same mindset of whining that there is disagreement from others.

by bruh3 2009-10-24 10:38AM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Technically, I don't bitch when people disagree with me.  I bitch when they're non-sensical, morose, obnoxius, and stupid.

I'm not naming any names, but...

by fogiv 2009-10-24 06:13PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm the Party Base

I'm FIRED UP! And I'm READY TO GO!

by QTG 2009-10-24 12:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

I note someone gives you a 2 for saying essentially that the President making political calculations. We know he's making political calculations. That's the problem.

The "this" I was referring to is that there comes a point where you can not stay on the fence anymore. We are at that point.

by bruh3 2009-10-23 12:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

S/he got a "2" for being a realist.  YOU want a unicorn.  News:  OBAMA IS NO LONGER IN THE SENATE.

by lojasmo 2009-10-23 12:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Realism is knowing how not to demoralize your party base.

by bruh3 2009-10-23 12:50PM | 0 recs
Re: I want a Unicorn, too!

But even if it's a winning unicorn, one that brings the magic I want and sings me pretty songs and never sleeps and never poops and never ever ever forgets my birthday....I will not be happy if that unicorn's motives are not pure and spotless.

If I even thought for one second that that unicorn had entertained an impure thought, or made a mistake, or got outsmarted, or outmaneuvered, then I swear I'd never pet it again and I'll get a different one in, let's say, November of 2012. A much better one.
 A Kucinichorn!

by QTG 2009-10-23 01:56PM | 0 recs
Re: I want a Unicorn, too!

Aren't you a bit old to be engaging in this nonsense?  What motivates you to waste everyone's time with such trite, juvenile (and most offensively utterly lacking in wit) comments?  I, for one, find this kind of thing tedious and unnecessary.  Would you either add to the discussion or simply refrain, please.

by orestes 2009-10-23 02:13PM | 0 recs
Re: You find this kind of thing tedious

I know you do. And I understand completely. But I appreciate that you read my stuff, no matter how much it sucks. Thank-you.

by QTG 2009-10-23 02:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Hurricane Katrina was an unmitigated disaster.  Losing a cloture vote on the public option means you have to bring a second-best bill to the floor, nothing more.

by Steve M 2009-10-23 12:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

It is a disaster if we BOTH lose Snowe and fail to get to 60. I am not certain we get her back for any kind of bill if we lose her. I am not saying that is a bad thing, I am just arguing that if we do lose her it better be because we have the 60 votes we need.

by JDF 2009-10-23 12:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option

Sure, but I don't buy that that scenario is realistic.  She'd vote for a trigger or opt-out now, but if we try a different bill first she'd change her mind in a fit of pique?  Maybe, but doubtful.

The more important point is that we can never really know the answer, and neither can Harry Reid.  No one but Snowe really knows how far she is willing to go.  So there's an element of risk in trying something else, but the alternative is that you simply take her word for it and hand over control of the government to her.

Getting 60 votes means you have to make the 60th most liberal member of the Senate happy, but it does not mean you literally have to let that person write the bill.  You're allowed to put them to the test.

by Steve M 2009-10-23 12:52PM | 0 recs
she's against opt-out

She won't vote for cloture with an opt-out--only for a trigger.

I disagree that you have to make the 60th most liberal senator "happy." You only have to make them afraid of what they will lose if they vote against cloture on the president's top legislative priority.

But for that to work, the White House has to stop sending signals that a bill with a triggered public option would be okey-dokey.

by desmoinesdem 2009-10-23 01:16PM | 0 recs
Re: she's against opt-out

I do not see how anyone other than Olympia Snowe can state with confidence what she will or won't vote for.

Just because she says "I won't vote for cloture on opt-out" doesn't mean she's telling the truth.  She could just be saying that in hopes of keeping opt-out from coming to the floor.  I have no idea why so many people want to take these statements at face value.

I agree with you on the "happy" point, I was speaking colloquially.

by Steve M 2009-10-23 01:22PM | 0 recs
Re: she's against opt-out

How did Democrats convince themselves  in the past that capitulation for one reason or another made sense when it came to the GOP? At the end of the day, they rationalize and ignore the likelihoods.  Over at Open Left, some one wrote that the problem is that we are still all children of Reagan. That seems to be true here.

by bruh3 2009-10-23 01:41PM | 0 recs
Re: she's against opt-out

Bingo.

by Josh Orton 2009-10-23 01:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Why would not having 60 votes and losing Snowe be an unmitigated disaster?  Not having enough votes, with or without Snowe, would be a disaster.  If he forfeits that because he wants Snowe, that's a problem.  For whom is a Snowe vote but failure going to be a palliative?  I just don't get your reasoning.  

by orestes 2009-10-23 01:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

If we have Snowe's vote it is very unlikely we would fail in getting to 60 votes.

by JDF 2009-10-24 09:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

The price of that vote is to pass a regressive bill that would cost the Democratic Party in future elections. I am sensing for some of you that does not matter.

by bruh3 2009-10-24 10:17AM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

If it were the final bill your point would hold a lot more weight. But right now the primary goal is to get to the bill into conference and then to see where we stand.

One thing I do not understand is why everyone is pretending that whatever bill passes now is going to be the high water mark for how progressive the bill will be. The House wants a strong P.O. and the progressive caucus can sink anything they want.

by JDF 2009-10-26 09:17AM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

And to be 100 percent clear what is being left in the abstraction here- the bill that Snowe's support requires is mandated health insurance from the private sector without a public option.

by bruh3 2009-10-24 10:22AM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

I still don't get your earlier point and this comment is nonresponsive.  You say it would be an unmitigated disaster if Obama doesn't get 60 votes and doesn't get Snowe.  Why do you think this?  Do you really think it would not be a greater disaster to not reach 60 votes because a Dem or two voted against it?  This possibility would cause all kinds of problems for the party- how to explain the party not rallying around an important piece of legislation that the party has been pushing for for decades.  I just don't get your logic.

Furthermore, if Snowe's vote is obtained by keeping the public option out, wouldn't that be a disaster as well?

by orestes 2009-10-24 01:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Actually, an unmitigated disaster is an absolute disaster, so it appears you agree.

by QTG 2009-10-24 01:19PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

By definition, a disaster is an absolute event.  Any modification of the term is mere decoration or redundancy.  So, you are correct, but for the wrong reason.  

I find that you do not care to debate in good faith, so I would appreciate it if you would not respond to my comments and I will do the same for you.  Peace.

by orestes 2009-10-24 02:16PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

OK. but, fyi, unmitigated (in the phrase unmitigated disaster) is an adjective - not a decoration. It's a fancy way of saying 'very disastrous'.

by QTG 2009-10-24 03:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

You are juvenile- and lack an understanding of the English language.  A wonderful contribution you make.

by orestes 2009-10-26 08:32AM | 0 recs
Re: lack of understanding

I find it highly amusing that you think the meaning of adjective is debateable. You misunderstood the term unmitigated disaster to men 'not a disaster', which shows you are definitely ignorant of basic English. Keep coming at me on this, I think it may also be entertaining to others as well - and I'm not particularly busy today.

by QTG 2009-10-26 09:19AM | 0 recs
Re: lack of understanding

Wow- you are dumber than I thought.  I actually believed you were just trying to annoy me with your penultumate comment, but now I realize you are truly obtuse.  You will note that in my original comment I stated that any "modification" of the term disaster is a redundancy or decoration.  Let me break it down for you, dimwit-  an adjective is a modifier; in fact, it modifies a noun.  In the example, unmitigated is such a modifier, and the term means not lessened.  The point I was making is that a disaster is an absolute event (in response to your comment), so any modification (that is, any modifier, such as an adjective, added to it-- get it, now?) is a mere redundancy (see definition of disaster) or a decoration (or ornamentation, that which is merely for show).

Capice?  Now you can say you learned something today about the language you try to use.

by orestes 2009-10-27 10:43AM | 0 recs
You've shot your foot

I cannot believe that you have the unmitigated gall to attack me, when you are so obviously wrong.

unmitigated modifying gall
obviously modifying wrong

by QTG 2009-10-27 10:56AM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

All of this assumes as well that the president was fighting for it all along, but then there is this out of the HIll today as reported at Americablog:

"I've not been very happy with the White House's lukewarm support of the public option," he said, articulating a gripe liberals have been making for months.

"I would hope the president would speak out more forcefully in favor of the public option," Brown said, adding "I expect he will."

http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/64581 -liberals-confident-that-public-healthca re-option-will-come-through

The image being presented is that the president was backed into a corner after having fault for it. But from Harkin's statement it is clear the president has never fought for  the inclusion of the PO.

by bruh3 2009-10-24 01:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

I am so sick of this back and forth with the admin's position.  If it's intended to piss people off, it has succeeded with me.  I expect that ultimately what is being worked out is some type of reform that will not be good enough to re-establish the Democratic party brand.  The repubs remember what social security and other New Deal policies did to create a dedicated electorate.  At all costs they want to make sure the same doesn't happen now with national healthcare.  Sadly, the alleged push for bipartisanship may be a nod to this concern.  As you haev argued elsewhere, they are playing with the party's position among the electorate for at least a generation.  The repubs would love nothing more than to tell the American people they are now being forced to put out more money for health care, with the possibility that we will not see any measurable improvement in health coverage.

by orestes 2009-10-24 02:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Your statement about what comes next is why I attempted to move back to reality after after JDF's comments about how this will workout essentially for President Obama. At the end of the day, I do not care how this will be a disaster for Obama. I care about what it will mean first for the American people, and, second,  by proxy, a thriving progressive leaning party as a counterweight to the plutocratic forces in DC. Right now, the only where that is possible is in a faction within the Democratic Party. People here have the wrong priorities. I see that again and again. They are more worried about how this will affect President Obama than they are about how this will affect the American people. That's how fucked up this is.

by bruh3 2009-10-24 05:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Does The Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

It's time for Obama to grow a pair of balls and actually take names and lead the march to whatever health care solutin he wants. I am not wedded to any one solution. But he needs to lead the way to whatever solution he thinks is the best. And he needs to find a way to convince people with his so called great power of speaking(not the same as power of persuasion, unfortunately) Instead he has looked like a weak leader reinforcing the Democratic party reputation. Obama first of all needs to stop listening to his idiotic inner circle. People who are good at running a campaign may not be the best at running a country as Bush has shown.

Obama fucked up the opportunity to get reform in the financial industry by handing out bailouts via that idiot Geithner without a single meaningful condition. Now he is looking like a wimp with healthcare. Grow a freaking pair, man.

by Pravin 2009-10-24 08:16PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Opt-Out or Trigger - they're really the same thing. Whichever passes will still have to reconciled with the House bill (which will have a full PO no trigger or opt-out). After they are merged is when the real vote will happen.

Now this is all about getting cloture.

by vecky 2009-10-23 12:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

hah. if obama is with trigger he is in for the headache from hell. check the hill for ltr sent to rahm from naacp and moveon asking wh to heed people's will.

by art3 2009-10-23 01:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Assuming we get 60 votes for health care reform, can someone remind me as to why we care about Snowe's vote?  Bipartisanship is fine, but it's not the end goal.

by Will Johnston 2009-10-23 01:54PM | 0 recs
it shouldn't be the end goal

but if CNN's reporting is accurate, Obama would rather have a more expensive, less effective bill that he can call bipartisan than do this thing without Olympia Snowe:

The source familiar with Thursday evening's meeting said Obama "pushed for a so-called trigger, because it's the more bipartisan way to go," due to Snowe's support for the concept. A critical White House goal in passing a health care bill is the ability to call it bipartisan, so Obama officials are wary of doing anything to alienate Snowe.

You would think that getting the best bill possible would be the overriding "critical White House goal," but don't assume that.

by desmoinesdem 2009-10-23 04:58PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

The problem is, that failure to get cloture on anything kills the reform effort.  

So is no reform better than the "trigger" option?
That is the question.

by esconded 2009-10-23 02:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

just so we are clear- for them not to cloture would require a Democratic Senator to go against the President, and 59 other Democratic Senators. See, the problem with your argument is that it only works if we don't write that part out. Once you do, the shellgame goes away.

by bruh3 2009-10-23 02:58PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

It won't be so much 1 against 59 as 5 against 50.

5 senators are opposed to a Public Option, they might buy a trigger or an opt-in, but not an opt-out. Another 5 aren't crazy about the PO but could live with it.

Right now this is not the final vote. That will come after the house-senate negotiations. It's all about the optics right now.

by vecky 2009-10-23 04:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

they were saying as of the time posted this they needed 1 or 2 more Senators to get on board. Where are you getting 5?

by bruh3 2009-10-24 03:32AM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Absolutely incorrect.  All it takes is Lieberman, who is not a democrat, and is clearly beholden to neither Lieberman, nor the caucus.

Why do you repeatedly spout this nonsense?

by lojasmo 2009-10-24 06:15AM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

he caucuses with the democrats and receives his power of being a chairman from them. I really am not in an emotional position to argue with people like you. You just are arguing to argue without it having any relationship to logic or rational thought regarding how DC works politically except when it suits you. Moreover, he is not the hold o ut. So, your argument is irrelevant. Many of you seem to disagree with me just to disagree rather than realize how ignorant you come across. It's like debating  a birther.

by bruh3 2009-10-24 06:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Why is that?  You can always bring a second-best bill to the floor if the first one fails.

by Steve M 2009-10-23 03:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

What's being reported in other places, which is probably the most correct, is that the White House simply doesn't believe that Reid can hold his caucus together.  They feel they need to go with the safe bet 'cos Reid's past spinelessness and ineffectiveness has made it impossible to believe that Reid has become more "courageous".

by LordMike 2009-10-23 04:02PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

That answer is self serving and makes very little sense. They have no greater reason to trust Snowe.

by bruh3 2009-10-23 04:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

I have honestly never seen as much anonymous finger-pointing and so-called strategy leaks as I have in the last two days, even from the Democrats who make a specialty of such things.  At this point I choose to believe absolutely nothing.

by Steve M 2009-10-23 04:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

When was the last time you have seen such a big push to change the fundamental way an industry works in the U.S. or the attempt to fundamentally shift policy in America to the left on this scale? May be that explains it.

by bruh3 2009-10-24 03:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

Well sure, that's the most sensible explanation.  We're on the cusp of something really big here, and some people aren't entirely happy about it!

by Steve M 2009-10-24 05:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Something big

The consensus is that we indeed are on such a cusp. How wonderful is it that we are now at the point where we are arguing about the relative magnitude of just how 'big' that 'something' will be? It's the nature of political victory that it invariably falls short of perfection. It will be a shame if we don't recognize and celebrate this victory (when it comes) because it won't, and won't ever, be perfect.

by QTG 2009-10-24 05:54AM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

I look at politics sensibly. Who has what to gain? What are their interests? How will they gain it? Why was this move made? When you look at the players on the board, it is clear who has the most to lose with a shift of political power in DC at this point: Conservative Democrats and Blue Dogs.

Their bread and butter since the early 90s has been through controlling the Democratic Party by holding the veto power in the party. If you wanted a bill passed, you had to have their approval or else they would say "see we may be elected out of office, and then the GOP will take over."

The times are changing. The GOP is irrelevant. Even if the GOP picks up seats next year, I do not think that over the next decade and a half it will matter because the GOP will almost certainly have to shift left to remain relevant. Like the New Deal Democrats, the centrists will increasingly become irrelevant as they have played the game - namely to move right. I expect the new centrism to be to move left- as per Reid on the opt out. He's up for election. He may still fail on this, but I am assuming electoral politics is making it clear to  him which way the winds are blowing and are louder than the White House to him.

So, that leaves the Conservative Democrats losing power to progressive Democrats as progressive views become the center. It is one of the reasons one should not trust Rahm. He has the most to lose in a shifting paradigm away from Blue Dogs to progressives. Conservative Democrats are his base of influence in Congress. His interests are not necessarily those of President Obama's interests.

by bruh3 2009-10-24 06:03AM | 0 recs
Re: Does Obama Want A Public Option, Or Snowe?

For a bit of history- when the Clinton's attempted to pass healthcare reform, they were challenged for not providing enough information to conservative Democrats. When they finally provided the plan to conservative Democrats, the plan soon after was leaked to the insurance lobby, and soon after resulted in the Harry and Louise ads.

by bruh3 2009-10-24 03:35AM | 0 recs

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