Owens and the DCCC should be careful about running negative adds at this point.  If they knock one of his opponents low enough they will himerage support to the other and he'll lose.  They have done a great job pitting the Republican establishment against their crazier base but its time for owens to start convincing the 23rd that he's the best choice.

This is an election that really shows you who is running the Republican Party these days.  Scozzafava is getting no support because, basically, the base sees her as a total RINO (probably a fair assessment) and they would rather throw their support behind the wingnut on the third-party ticket instead.  The party is so afraid to get involved and face the wrath of the base that they may very well let a Democrat win by sitting out.

You wouldn't see this on the Democratic side.  Heck, if anything, our party goes too far in the other direction, lending institutional support to "electable" moderates in even races where a progressive could have a legitimate shot.  But what the GOP is doing here is just kinda nuts.

It's hard to draw any firm conclusions from such a bizarre race.  Scozzafava was selected by the local GOP party chairs to be the GOP candidate.  Scozzafava supports employee free choice, the cap and trade bill, the stimulus, and is both pro-choice and pro-gay marriage.  Why they would choose a candidate who holds views consistent with a mainstream democrat (not even a blue-dog), is hard to understand.  What isn't hard to understand is that, having chosen a candidate with these views, she drew a challenge from the right and is getting no support from the national party.  She's already out of money.  Before this is all said and done, it wouldn't surprise me if this boiled down to a race between Owens and Hoffman.