2009 Virginia Governor Cattle Call

On June 9, Virginia Democrats will vote for the gubernatorial nominee to take on presumptive Republican candidate Bob McDonnell in the top statewide race of 2009. There will hopefully soon be some head-to-head numbers for the primary now that the inauguration has passed. While Terry McAuliffe is planning to spend 9 gazillion dollars, at the end of the year the cash-on-hand numbers were pretty even. So where do things stand now?

Brian Moran It was a big week online with a warm reception at the Netroots Nation party, Joe Trippi coming on board ("Moran embraces a politics powered by the people, empowering supporters, not relying on millions of high-dollar donations and the status-quo party establishment"), and Kos saying, "The Virginia Governor's race is definitely shaping up to be a Big-Money Establishment (McAuliffe) versus Grassroots (Moran) battle." But that wasn't the big news for Moran. The big news was today's stories in the Virginia Pilot, the Washington Post, and Richmond Times-Dispatch on another bold move to protect the environment.

Staking his claim as an environmental champion, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Brian J. Moran said yesterday that he opposes the construction of a coal-fired power plant in Surry County.

Moran recently came out against drilling for oil off Virginia's coast.


Standing up to the Old Dominion Electric Cooperative is, shall we say, rarer than is to be desired. Moran is not just seizing the earned media for the move, but is list-building online. With the plant expected to harm the Richmond area, Hampton Roads, and the Chesapeake Bay, beyond philosophical environmentalists there are a ton of people who should be applauding this move out of self-interest.

Terry McAuliffe"The Macker" had a different kind of big week, "double-fisting champagne flutes while standing next to Martha Stewart" and raising huge Park Avenue money as part of his big money plan. While this black tie strategy will line his pockets, when it comes to a newbie candidate with carpetbagger issues, there is the expected backlash (read the whole piece, it was recommended at Daily Kos today):

I reject utterly that the mere idea that Terry McAuliffe is going to be such a financial rainmaker is the SOLE reason that he should just walk away with Virginia's Democratic Governor nomination.

The problem for McAuliffe is that the more he spends, the more bitter the taste in the mouths of meritocracy focused progressives. How this could influence electability will be a concern until McAuliffe can lead in head-to-head matchups. Till then, the enthusiasm gap and backlash problem will be a point of discussion.

Creigh Deeds Senator Deeds' potential advantage in that he is the only candidate who could legislate right now, but under Virginia law this is also a liability as he can't raise money during the session. So Deeds is stuck treading water while the race solidifies as a contest between Moran and McAuliffe. Banking on a split NoVa vote is only a smart strategy as long as Deeds is viewed as a viable candidate. If he becomes viewed as only having spoiler potential, smart voters will want to be part of deciding the nominee as Virginia Democrats don't want to turn back the clock on recent successes.

Tags: Brian moran, Creigh Deeds, Terry McAuliffe, va-gov, Virginia Governor Democratic Primary Campaign (all tags)

Comments

9 Comments

Re: 2009 Virginia Governor Cattle Call

What are you hearing about the race?

by Bob Brigham 2009-01-23 12:57PM | 0 recs
McAuliffe--third place

That's my early prediction for the Democratic primary.  His fundraising is underwhelming.  Whoever wins the primary will be a money disadvantage, as it's really important to retain this governor's seat as Corzine is in big trouble in New Jersey.  We can't go 0 for 2 in November, as that would give the GOP all sorts of storylines for 2010 and 2012.

by esconded 2009-01-23 01:51PM | 0 recs
Re: McAuliffe--third place

I am from Northern Virginia now in Hawaii. I think Corzine has a better chance in NJ than the Dems have of retaining the governor's seat in VA. Taliban Bob not withstanding.

by Boilermaker 2009-01-23 02:47PM | 0 recs
Re: 2009 Virginia Governor Cattle Call

The problem for McAuliffe is that the more he spends, the more bitter the taste in the mouths of meritocracy focused progressives.
And the money he can raise and spend will important to advertise for those swing voters, those who are not rank and file liberals, and being what media is today, McAuliffe's fund raising is that much more important. Sure, he'll be called a carpetbagger, but he's been living in VA for the better of two decades. Many office holders around the country didn't grow up in the state whose office they seek. You saw how well calling Hillary a 'carpetbagger" worked, especially when she won 56-43 against Lazio, and the Clintons only bought a home there in 1999.
by Lakrosse 2009-01-23 02:48PM | 0 recs
Re: 2009 Virginia Governor Cattle Call

The term "carpetbagger" has some historical meaning in the south that doesn't apply in the north. Especially in NY once Bobby Kennedy had already pulled the same move in the same state. But if you want to talk about how the term has worked in the north, there is a more recent example than Hillary:  Alan Keyes. How'd that work out?

by Bob Brigham 2009-01-23 03:12PM | 0 recs
Re: 2009 Virginia Governor Cattle Call

Yeah, clearly the big problem people had with Alan Keyes was that he was from out of state.

by Steve M 2009-01-23 04:03PM | 0 recs
Re: 2009 Virginia Governor Cattle Call

The fact he was a joke hurt him. The fact the Party needed to bring in a joke hurt them. It is the difference between having a crazy uncle and hiring a clown.

by Bob Brigham 2009-01-23 04:52PM | 0 recs
Re: 2009 Virginia Governor Cattle Call

You need to learn that making one good argument is more persuasive than making one good argument and two crappy ones.

by Steve M 2009-01-23 07:23PM | 0 recs
Big difference between NY and VA

New York is a strongly liberal and Democratic state, where any credible Democrat will win.  Virginia is at best a swing state.  

by Kent 2009-01-23 04:20PM | 0 recs

Diaries

Advertise Blogads


----------- myDD - skin -----------