by Jerome Armstrong, Thu Sep 04, 2008 at 03:49:31 PM EDT
I get to be the one that delivers the news to the 8% of Americans (of which the blog readers here appear to be high in margin) who think Palin got an F last night that, well, you don't represent the American majority viewpoint. Surprise.
That's the early result from the SUSA poll out today:
"What grade do you give her on the speech? An A, B, C, D, or an F?"
60 percent, including Joe Biden, gave it an A.
Overall, for being an asset and reflecting well on McCain, Palin comes off about the same as Biden does for Obama. A wash yea, but a huge bump for Palin:
I expected that much. What's more disturbing though, is questions 7 & 8 in the SUSA poll.
If you were placing a bet today, would you bet that Barack Obama will be elected president? Or, John McCain will be elected president?
I've not seen a single one of these that favor McCain, but this does, by a slim 48-45 margin.
And this is just insane:
Is the media rooting for Barack Obama? Rooting for John McCain? Or trying its best to be fair to both?
Barack Obama 54 John McCain 8 Being Fair 35 Not Sure 4The media has been busy digging a grave for us this past week, by following up on the vicious personal smears that have been pushed by prominent liberal blogs into the mainstream. Not only did they mostly backfire by not being true, but they confirmed the popular opinion that the media favors Obama. It's become conventional wisdom. This presents two huge problems.
First, McCain can basically wield whatever attacks he'd like, and not have to worry about the critique of the media. They are not seen as objective judges in the matter.
Second, the only way that the media can change this public opinion is to go overboard the other way, by attacking Barack Obama with multiple feeding frenzies.
HCDI (which now has the Barack Obama live evaluation) basically confirms the SUSA findings that Palin reached deep into Republicans and also into Independents- "Among the independents who watched her speech, respondents who report that they will probably or definitely vote for McCain increased by 10% across both genders..."
Also, notice that the CBS poll is out, and it follows exactly what I talked about in the previous post, highlighting what Palin means for the Republicans.
Yes, CBS showed movement from a 48-40 Obama lead to a 42-42 tie in a matter of days after Palin became the VP. Why? Because Republicans, especially many white Christians, who were sitting out the election are not going to vote, now are off the bench and on the field for McCain-Palin.
Those party ID numbers don't come out of a hat, they are self-selected at the beginning of the poll by asking whether people are going to vote or not.
Look at the shift that happened (and this was prior to the speech):
CBS Now CBS Last Week Democrats 35 35 Republicans 31 26 Independent 34 38And look, if we pull out a 4% spread on election day, I'll be very pleasantly surprised. It's much more likely that we are going to see the same result as in '04 and '06, a tie or 2% lead. That's it.