Not Playing Poker Anymore

There's an old Eastern European proverb* that goes, more or less, not even God can beat a Full House with a pair of twos.

The reason is obvious. If you can do that, you aren't playing poker anymore.

When laissez faire capitalists are calling for government bailouts, they aren't playing laissez faire capitalism anymore. End of story. They've folded their hands, cashed in their remaining chips, and asked the dealer for a game of Pinochle, please.

The game was great as long as they were winning. Now they show themselves to be the heartless sore losers we always suspected they were behind all that fine talk of 'personal responsibility.'

Anyway, more bailout stories ...

- Just keep telling your representatives "No!," and also, "Hell, no!," to any Paulson Panic bill.

- Obama compares McCain's bailout performance to his Katrina performance, calls for calm while saying that he expects a bailout bill to eventually pass.

- McCain wants Congress to act right away.

- The failure of the bailout plan comes on a day when the Western banking industry saw the collapse of five banks in a single day. Huh. Only five? I won't cry if some of those executives have to sell their vacation homes because every taxpayer in America didn't pony up several grand to reinforce their crappy business model.

- The bailout failure blow-by-blow.

- Darcy Burner tells it like it is.

- Congress listened to their constituents today, instead of to the absolutely terrified financial elites.

- How to prevent Wall Street from blackmailing Congress.

- Everybody is blaming everybody else.

- Investors holding markets hostage to congressional capitulation.

In other news, the media is less rapturous over the mere idea of bipartisanship today than at any point in what may be decades. They are just this once neither transported nor entranced by it, and show signs of serious discombobulation. How long before that dazed and panicked edge to their expressions turns into blatant disorientation and public tantrums on behalf of the important and powerful people that they care so much about?

Wondering silly things out loud, like, 'when will it get bad for regular people so they'll support this plan,' is perhaps showing their hand a bit too much. But when did they ever care if we knew how in the tank they were for a good Lifestyles of the Rich & Famous story?

* From "In Search of the Miraculous", by P.D. Ouspensky

Tags: 2008 bailout, mccain, obama (all tags)

Comments

22 Comments

Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

Believe it or not, it's not just the wealthy who have a stake in this. And after watching a rather large chunck of retrement savings disappear, I'm getting sick and tired of the dancing for joy around the blogosphere. I can't believe that it is so hard to comprehend the fact that even the middle class got hit today. Where will folks now go to get a home loan or small business loan? We do want to be upwardly mobile, right? I guess if there is one thing Republicans and the far left have in comon, it's that they want everyone to be poor.

by RandyMI 2008-09-29 04:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

I'm only really happy that we didn't bend over and take it up the keister from Wall St. today.  I've got an IRA too, and I'm sure it's not doing as well as it was two weeks ago, but I'm glad we didn't pass the current bill.  I'm not interested in the economy tanking here, I just want for those who proport to support laisse faire and trickle-down economics to just admit that they are wrong and of course not simply enable them.  It would be like giving a bunch of alcoholics with the shakes a barrel of rum and declaring "mission accomplished."

David Sirota says it better than I do:
http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do?dia ryId=8677

by jlars 2008-09-29 06:34PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

Hmm. Those retirement savings disappeared and jobs are being lost and all kinds of pretty awful things because, as one commenter colorfully noted below, there's a pyro in the neighborhood. That's not my fault.

For the last several years, a lot of people have been losing and losing and losing. But it wasn't a crisis because they were quite poor and probably deserved that foreclosure. It wasn't a crisis because when you go bankrupt because someone in the family was sick, and so do thousands of other people at the same time, the media doesn't give a damn.

And for all those years, people have been begging for these problems to be fixed. For oversight to be restored and consumers protected. For the social safety net to be strengthened so that no one goes without basic healthcare. Congress even went and made it worse by 'reforming' bankruptcy such that it's easier now to get out of a mortgage than a credit card debt with interest in excess of 30%.

Now, in a moment of panic, Congress wants to spend all the money that could be used to fix those problems to pay off the executives whose lobbyists took bankruptcy off the table for the little people, refused all restraint on interest rates, cheated, defrauded, lied, incompetently managed depositors' commercial funds in their investment portfolios, and squeezed so hard that everyone's hanging on by their fingernails now. We need to sell my future to help those people? I'd rather not.

I don't want everyone to be poor. I don't want anyone to be poor, to have a shortfall of the necessities of life. But this bailout, the way it's being set up, means cutting loose everyone who didn't have anything to lose today for a long time.

After the $700 billion, the banks want to ask for another $500 billion. They want $1,300,000,000,000 and no accountability, no enforceable public equity sharing. When Warren Buffett puts up capital, as I noted last week, he gets a piece of you - but not the taxpayers, we're supposed to be running a charity for people who think personal responsibility is the answer to the crises other people have.

This was a bad deal and there was no guarantee that it would fix what was wrong. No one has put up a coherent map that takes us from giving private, for-profit entities a hell of a lot of money and getting the economy stable again.

But sure, panic. Give away the store when someone you know you shouldn't trust is asking for something outrageous and won't give you all the facts. That's always a good idea.

by Natasha Chart 2008-09-30 02:49AM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

I know someone who lost $8,000 on the stock market today.

I don't want to look at my 401(k) for quite a while.

This is serious stuff, and shouting "Hell no," doesn't really change that.

by rfahey22 2008-09-29 04:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore
See the above comment.  Also:
http://www.openleft.com/showDiary.do?dia ryId=8677
by jlars 2008-09-29 06:36PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

I just got laid off today so I'm wondering if the syncophant who wrote this is going to feed my kids.

Taking a philosophical stand is nice, but the liberal blogosphere is showing a startling lack of concern for the REAL people who are being affected by this.

This is now way bigger than sticking it to "the man".

by tlhwraith 2008-09-29 04:50PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

Yeah, except that we do care.  We want for your kids to not have to pay for this for decades.  

by jlars 2008-09-29 06:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

I'm sorry you got laid off. That's happened to me, too, it's awful.

But this isn't about philosophy. There are always layoffs somewhere. This is about whether or not layoffs are going to be painful for decades or whether there's something waiting to catch individuals when they fall.

My financial circumstances, and those of a lot of other people, have been perilous to really sucky for quite some time. My negative net worth would be a nice down payment on a house, I don't have healthcare, and I couldn't afford a kid right now if I wanted one. This bailout sells my future and the overwhelming majority of people who've been contacting their representatives think it sells their future, too.

You're afraid of falling down, and I get that. It's scary. But the maniacs sticking up the treasury don't have your interests at heart and did nothing while what happened to you today happened in slow motion to millions of others before you.

I didn't make this happen. Congress, though able enablers, didn't make this happen. And if you're not going to blame the right people, things can't be fixed.

by Natasha Chart 2008-09-30 03:11AM | 0 recs
thank you

Dear Ms. Chart,

Thank you for this diary.  I was beginning to become discouraged reading several of the others on the rec list today.

I fully understand that millions of innocent bystanders are going to be negatively affected by the current track we are one. However, although I'm not an economist, I also have serious doubts whether the proposed bailout would have a significant impact.

This ludicrous idea that our economy was going to continue flourish on the power of real estate speculation, exotic financial devices, and hedge fund quacks has come crashing to the ground and now the same jerks that preached de-regulation and some of their laissez faire henchman in Congress are coming to the taxpayer looking for a handout.

We need to stop exporting our manufacturing base, revive the family farm, tighten our belts, and move toward a sustainable economy where cancerous growth, unfettered greed, and a credit-card mentality are not honored.

For those of you who are fretting now that you won't have the money to buy that timeshare in Palm Springs or eat out 5 nights a week I have very little pity.

Where were your voices of caution when an overheated market was fattening your 401ks?

by emptythreatsfarm 2008-09-29 05:04PM | 0 recs
Put out the fire

Suppose an idiot neighbor who made his money by shady dealing owns a McMansion.  Suppose an idiot neighbor has allowed brush to grow up (expensive to trim it) against his McMansion next to stacks of firewood. In addition the neighbor bought gasoline when it was cheap and has stored it in his garage. Now, the idiot neighbor has been setting off fireworks that have set his McMansion on fire.

The rest of us cottage owners step up to try to put out the fire at our own expense (which may benefit the idiot neighbor) because the idiot neighbor may burn down the rest of the neighborhood in addition to his own house. It is in our own self interest to pony up to put out the fire. Once the fire is out, it is in our own best interest to enact strict regulations against fireworks and creating a fire hazard.  We might try to recover some of our costs from the McMansion owner, but he may have already lost everything.

Bush is such a poor communicator he has failed to explain the crisis to the public in a way people can understand.

by bakho 2008-09-29 05:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

Yeah, only 5 banks!  Let's make it 50!  Or a hundred!  Who needs banks anyways!  I keep money under my bed in gold coins, and drink only distilled water 'cos flouridation is a capitalist plot to invade my precious bodily fluids...

Well, you got what you wanted... now EVERYBODY's going to be poor... happy?  ARE YOU HAPPY NOW?

Maybe you can jump for joy in front of that 50 year old guy that just lost all of his retirement savings... yep!  I'm sure he will appreciate it!

Stop the madness!  Stop the crisis, now!

by LordMike 2008-09-29 05:12PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

Now that's a cause worth fighting for.  I guess the logic around here is better to keep principles and everyone fall into a worldwide depression than to actually gasp compromise or even pass a bill that you don't like.

by tlhwraith 2008-09-29 05:36PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

The small depositors are protected. Banking continues. My credit union, for example, appears to be fine. They didn't issue ARMs. They didn't go crazy with credit swaps and derivatives, they use deposits mainly to issue loans to members for sanely approved uses. Brilliant!

When the dotcoms crashed, a lot of people close to retirement lost their savings and I lost my job along with plenty of other people I knew. When Enron and Arthur Anderson went down, same thing. That's the market, it breaks sometimes and usually no one steps in. That's bad luck. There is no guarantee of profit, it says that on all the investment disclosure agreements ever issued.

But maybe Enron should have asked the government for $100,000,000,000 so investors would have blamed liberals and Congress for their losses, instead of the jerks who ran the company as a racketeering organization.

For people nearing retirement now, let's be glad that they'll at least have Social Security. They won't be left completely without means because that money wasn't invested in the stock market. And if the market is stabilized in a way that doesn't bankrupt the government, there's a chance that a Democratic-controlled DC might come through with needed reforms to Medicare and handle the most significant costs of aging.

And lastly, this isn't joy. It's the reckless sarcasm of a person who can't believe the bastards are really coming to ask for this after everything that's transpired.

by Natasha Chart 2008-09-30 03:32AM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

The comments that I've been reading in the liberal blogosphere of late simply blow my mind.  It's a chorus of Neros playing their fiddles and caring not one bit about people like me who have modest IRA's and are watching those funds tank.

I'm so fricking happy that you and your 95 cohorts in Congress can blissfully take a cavalier attitude about banks crashing and Wall Street fat cats taking it in the ear.  But while you're doing that, consider for a moment the hosing that so many retirees have taken today and will be a long time getting back to even, let alone attempting to see their savings keep pace with inflation.

In Florida I have watched my electric company (Progress) ask for a 31% increase, my home owners insurance jump 10%, the newspaper jump 67%, water increase 13%, and gas and food going up and up.  And who is out their protecting me......certainly not the 95 progressive democrats who seemingly appear to give not even two craps about retirees.

I'm looking forward to Obama being President and ending the insanity of the past 8 years but he best not be depending on the leadership of Ms. Pelosi and those 95 idiots to advance his positions.

by bentlife 2008-09-29 06:10PM | 0 recs
Rising energy prices

The costs of fuel and food can't be contained by this bill and they've been going up independently of the factors that led to the financial crisis. They're going up because demand for fuel is going up faster than supply can expand, even though oil companies hold a great many untapped leases and prices are astronomical. Until we're off our reliance on fossil fuel, your utility bills will keep going up. This bill gives away the future money that could be used to develop an alternative energy infrastructure and start bringing costs down.

Food prices are going up because fossil fuels are used as agricultural inputs, shifting climate patterns are causing crop failures, crop land is being degraded, and small farms everywhere are failing. That will also not be fixed by giving away money that could help transition the food system towards sustainability to the very people who are so heavily invested in its current state of steady decline.

And as I noted above, if you want your medical bills covered in the years to come, it's the progressives who will fight for that and the conservatives who'd rather throw money into the insurance industry's outrageous overhead costs.

by Natasha Chart 2008-09-30 03:42AM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

Ideology alone is just what Speaker Pelosi was complaining about today.  

I'm glad you have your ideology, hopefully that's not all you have left to live on.

by CVDem 2008-09-29 06:51PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

ALL of you who think that if only this bill had passed things would be better have left a few things out:

1.  LOTS of companies are just abondoning their employees when they feel like it.  Killing Pensions they never in good faith put money into.  I have seen 55 year old workers loose ALL of their promised pensions because the Managers had given themselves bonuses' just before the companies bailed.  And the REPUBS said it was fair in a free market economy.  No security.

2.  You may have lost your job, but because of a LOT of hard working liber-biased people, who STAND ON PRINCIPAL, there is WIC, foodstamps, unemployment, Energy assitance, and foodshelves.  I know it sucks, I have been there, but that safety net STILL EXISTS.  No, it means you cannot go on dream vacations with your kids, or get a newer used car, but you have people looking out for your basic needs.  I really am sorry, but there are indeed principaled people who WILL feed your kids.

3.  Sometimes it takes some very dark experiences to hammer lessons through our heads.  Some lessons that make us MUCH better people can only be learned through pain.  Like learning to brush your teeth so you do not have to get fillings.  Well, we OD'd on pop and now we have to have our teeth pulled...yup, it is going to hurt like hell and my retirement is probably vaporized.  But it will not cost my 3 kids their ENTIRE lives.  I would rather work 10 more years than saddle my kids with a LIFETIME of overbearing debt.

4.  As for China and S.A., right.  Communists and Principalities will weather this crisis BETTER than we will...based on???

For the cost of rising prices, utilities and monopolistic-style business will just have to be re-regulated.  Too many of them have turned into money making enterprises instead of public services that break even.

by Hammer1001 2008-09-29 07:06PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

acccording to the latest snap polls, a majority, albeit slight, think todays result was bad news.   When the market tanks another 7-10% tomorrow you can bet your sweet bippy that number who think this is a bad result will rise.

Thankfully, a majority of Dems voted for the deal so the onus really is going to fall on the GOP.

I do not think it is too far fetched to say that if something isnt passed somewhat quickly, we are likely to see UAL or GM or Ford or all three go under soon.  

The few banks that still have money are not going to lend any out, especially not to companies that are currently unprofitable.

Maybe it is a good thing to happen now.  Let us get through 3-5 years of a horrible economy, I am talking much worse than 1981-82 recession, so that we can grow again.

Heck, I am still in my 30s so I can take a really cynical view and say that maybe it will be a good thing if the market tanks and drops 90%.  That would be pretty good news for me becuase I get 25+ years to invest in cheap stock so that it will be good for my retirement.   Of course it will not be so good for someone who is 60-something.   Oh well, they are all going to vote for McCain anyway so shy should I care.

by gavoter 2008-09-29 07:19PM | 0 recs
Let me get you a drink...

Coke?  Coffee?  Beer?  Something stronger?  It's OK - it's been a rough day.

Have a seat.  Yeah, use my recliner if you want...you look like you need it more than I do.

OK, now....

In 1987, only a couple of years out of college, I watched what little investments I had saved simply vaporize.  I was so scared I bought two hundred pounds of grain that same afternoon and my then wife bought a hand-operated mill for it.  The market dropped over 20% before it was over, and we didn't know what tomorrow would bring.

In 1996, for personal reasons I won't go into, my ex-wife was given about 80% of all our financial assets as a result of our divorce.  And I found shortly thereafter that I had to fight for majority custody of my then 2 1/2 year old daughter for her sake, or watch her fall into a very bad trap that would warp her life irrevocably.  That battle cost a few bucks, and  it lasted until 2000.  It wasn't a cheap battle - by its end, the success I achieved was severely tempered by being net negative value financially.

There was a point, in the midst of the second event, when I finally realized that fear will make you its slave if you allow it to do so.  And so, at some point, you must make peace with your fear, to surmount it, or it will devour you.  I sorta knew it in 1987, but it hammered itself very deeply into my psyche around 1997, when things were at their worst for myself and my daughter.

I also realized, viscerally, that what you stand for could cost you more than you're prepared for, and that when the time comes to decide, you'd better be ready to live with the consequences of sticking hard by what you believe in.  I could have taken the easy way out and not have fought for my daughter's welfare, for her soul, essentially.  But that would have meant saying a lot of what made up what I believe in was essentially a sham, and it would mean that my immediate welfare was more important to me than my daughter's long-term welfare.

There are going to be tough economic times ahead.  Most of you reading this knew it was so when times were relatively fat and we could take advantage of it in our own small ways.  We knew these days were borrowed and couldn't last.

Now, it comes down to three things.

First, can you surmount your fear?  If not, you will fall prey to the same slavery that led us to the war in Iraq, the loss of most of the Bill of Rights, the validation of torture in our nation's, and effectively, in yours and my name.  Because there are people who will take advantage of your fear, as sure as we're both sitting here.  And they will do whatever it takes to bend you to your will, if they see you owned by your fear.

Second, who is going to pay what portion to clean up this mess, and how many false starts do you want to deal with?  The folks over at Naked Capitalism (link below) show that those who created most of this mess were expecting us to do most of the heavy lifting, most of the suffering, once again.  How hard are you willing to fight, and yes, how much are you willing to suffer, to ensure that everyone pays their fair share?  (And yes, you and I will have to pay for some portion of this mess.)  Because we're dealing with folks who rarely are left holding the bag, and they literally do not comprehend that they could lose it all.

Third, are you willing to stick to your hardcore principles when the going gets rough?  My family matters to me, but if I can't stand for what I believe in, what makes me me, then I am of no value to my family.  This isn't about narcissism or selfishness.  I've done what I had to, to ensure the bills were paid, that my daughter had her essentials, but I was able to do it while maintaining who I was.  It meant less money, but self-worth has value for me.

We will have some form of a bailout.  The question is, how hard will you fight for one that's fair to  you and yours and the rest of us who are all in this together?  

You don't have to do this alone... we can do this together.  But you have to not succumb to your fear, and you have to realize that it won't be easy no matter what the outcome.

But together, we can achieve wonders.

by palamedes 2008-09-29 09:39PM | 0 recs
by palamedes 2008-09-29 10:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

Great post Natasha.  It's a relief that enough of our Congress had the guts to stand up to the fear mongering by our Treasury secretary trying to rush us into a bad bailout plan.  It is these scare tactics which are causing the markets to crater.

Dave
Just Say No to the Bailout Plan

by yldave 2008-09-29 10:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Not Playing Poker Anymore

My 60 year old nurse practitioner mom called me yesterday almost in tears because she had lost so much money that she had saved for retirement. Now she doesn't know when she will retire. But I told her to buck up cause we really taught everyone a lesson. Screw your money and retirement, mom. It's the principle that matters. And we sure showed 'em!

No, just kidding. I didn't say that. I'm sick of some of us on the far, far left who really truly believe that we can be taught lessons in this country. How about the folks in 2000 who thought by voting Nader they'd be teaching us a lesson about having more than 2 stinking parties! Look where that got us? 8 years of the worst pres in history and we still don't have a 3 party system. I know folks who wanted Bush to win in 04 cause then the country would learn and swing far left. Nope. We're neck and neck with McCain right now. And it's like the PUMAs who want to lose this election and women to lose reproductive rights to teach us a lesson about our faulty primary system.

It's like standing in front of a car that runs a stoplight and letting it hit you. Sure, the car driver will get in trouble and will learn they can't just run stoplights whenever they want. But your ass just got hit by a car.

by cecilybecily 2008-09-30 07:19AM | 0 recs

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