Out of the US

  • The resignation of Ehud Olmert could begin a chaotic period in Israel. Olmert said he'd step down in September, after the ruling party, Kadima, had selected a new leader. Here's what is going to happen next:
    Primary elections for the Kadima leadership will take place in two rounds in September. The winner will then have 28 days (and 14 more if needed) to form a coalition. If he or she succeeds in doing so, the winner will complete Olmert's term, due to end in 2010. If not, new elections will be held within three months - and the most likely outcome, according to current polls, would be a win for Likud rightwinger Binyamin Netanyahu.
    Sharon formed Kadima by combining moderates that defected from Likud with Labour, and a few smaller parties, to form a majority, and Olmert succeeded him. Its up in the air whether either of the two mentioned leaders (Livni or Mofaz) would be able to continue the coalition. There's a lot of speculation about what's next, and some poll numbers showing it very close. Livni would be much more preferable than Mofaz or Netanyahu, as the next PM of Israel.

  • In Malaysia, the AP is reporting that Anwar Ibrahim's wife is stepping down to make way for his return to Parliament in Malaysia. She resigned from a seat in the Permatang Pauh constituency in the northern part of the country, and a by-election will be held within 60 days of her resignation. His wife, Wan Azizah, had won in a landslide election in the March general election.

    When I was over there in June, and met with the PM, he mentioned that he'd heard of cases where Anwar was trying to bribe lawmakers to defect from the ruling party to the opposition party. So it's not surprising to hear him tell the same thing to the AP yesterday, that he has heard many stories about Anwar allegedly making "monetary offers" for defections. Anwar would need about 30 defections to take power in the 222 member Parliament (recent polling).

  • Here's an account from a Obama supporter that came from Prague to Berlin, to listen to Obama. It really was quite an audacious move to hold a rally in Berlin for 200,000 people by Obama. His global understanding is the most compelling reason to vote for Obama. And there's little doubt that the McCain campaign is trying to make Obama's Berlin speech at the Victory Column his "Mission Accomplished" moment, with their Celeb ad, which has become the current #1 video on YouTube in the past few days. Much has been said about the layers of attack in this ad, but the focus on Hilton & Spears (which Ruffini gives a 'triple' rating) overshadows the 'issue-based' attack over Obama meaning "New Taxes" and more "Foreign Oil" with the text of 'foreign' next to Obama's face.

    That, and shake up Obama with some attacks on his campaign style of often joking about the attacks that are made over his being black. This move seemed like it was planned out quite a bit ahead of time, and the unstable cover given by Obama's staff was overly defensive. Martin and Smith have a very good account of how the race issue moved to center of campaign, and Scott Rosenberg notes that its about that time... August in an election year.

Update [2008-8-1 11:1:35 by Jerome Armstrong]:I just received this statement from Al Gore (this is in regards to the sodomy charges against Anwar):

Statement of Former Vice President Gore

(Nashville, TN). The real tragedy is that the government of Malaysia engages in character assassination to silence an effective leader of the political opposition. Twice, now, the government has used the same tactic in an effort to politically destroy Anwar Ibrahim. In the process, however, it is damaging its own credibility at home and abroad. The means exist for the government to allow this situation to be quickly resolved, simultaneously restoring dignity to Anwar Ibrahim and to itself. I hope greater wisdom will prevail.

Tags: Berlin, Israel, malaysia (all tags)

Comments

16 Comments

Wow

For once I find myself in total agreement with one of Jerome's posts!

The spokesman's response to the "race card" thing was overly defensive, and pretty weak all around.  It's obvious that when Obama said that he "doesn't look like all the other presidents on the dollar bills" he wasn't talking about experience.  Hell, Lincoln is on the five, and Obama has pointed out numerous times that he's got the same amount of experience as Lincoln.

Obama's been quite explicit about that in the past, too, though in the same joking manner.

It is going to be very difficult for Republicans to run on their stewardship of the economy or their outstanding foreign policy. We know what kind of campaign they're going to run. They're going to try to make you afraid. They're going to try to make you afraid of me. He's young and inexperienced and he's got a funny name. And did I mention he's black?

Is it playing the race card?  Maybe a little bit--but it's also true, as we've already seen these attacks.  Not specifically from John McCain himself, but from his surrogates and other Republicans.  And that's exactly who Obama was accusing, not John McCain himself.

I hope the campaign comes out and disowns the lukewarm earlier response.  They need to point out that: a) it was a joke, and b) it's already come true.  Jokes are only funny when they have a kernel of truth, after all.

by BishopRook 2008-08-01 06:30AM | 0 recs
Colour me surprised too!

From a UK perspective, Jerome has hit on the head the reason for Obama's popular appeal abroad

His global understanding is the most compelling reason to vote for Obama

And I'm glad he's drawing attention to the McCain campaign's attempt to frame Obama as the 'race card player'

This is difficult and dangerous territory as we all know - very hard to prove or disprove 'who played the race card first.'

It will be a very turbulent next 100 days. We all need to stick together

by duende 2008-08-01 06:34AM | 0 recs
Re: Colour me surprised too!

Hehe, you spell "color" funny. :P

</snark>

by BishopRook 2008-08-01 06:37AM | 0 recs
Playing the colour card?

Shame on you guys. You have no honour, no valour, and you discriminate against 'u's.

by duende 2008-08-01 06:42AM | 0 recs
Time to elevate--sorry, 'lift'--the discourse

Hey, say what you want.  We're American, our psychological armor immunizes us against your criticizing saber-rattling.  You can take that check to the bank.

by BishopRook 2008-08-01 06:50AM | 0 recs
Armoured cheques to banks

You still have banks?

by duende 2008-08-01 06:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Armoured cheques to banks

At least we didn't buy ours, cough cough Northern Rock.

We just gave several of them hundreds of billions of dollars in emergency bailouts with no strings attached.  That's a much more sensible (and less communist) solution.

...... wait a second...

by BishopRook 2008-08-01 06:57AM | 0 recs
Re: Armoured cheques to banks

Yeah. And who benefits, the shareholders...

What did someone call it? Socialism for the rich.

by duende 2008-08-01 07:10AM | 0 recs
But we are the centre

of the universe.

by ReillyDiefenbach 2008-08-01 11:47AM | 0 recs
Celeb ad
John McCain is a constant guest on "The Daily Show" and other celebrity talk shows. We've all seen him...for years and years.... [A]s recently as July 11, 2008, John McCain's own website included this line from an article about one of his 2007 appearances on David Letterman: "A political celebrity, McCain is considered a top contender for the nomination.
by cobsjo 2008-08-01 06:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Celeb ad
In any case, do you know just how many times John McCain has appeared on "The Daily Show"?... "This appearance will mark the Senator's 13th time on the show, more than any other guest..." After learning this, I clicked over to the Internet Movie Database to see just how often John McCain has appeared on other TV talk shows since 2000, when he became nationally famous after his failed presidential bid: Jay Leno: 10 times. David Letterman: 8 times. The Daily Show: 12 times (or 13?). Conan O'Brien: 3 episodes. Larry King Live: 9 times. Saturday Night Live: twice. Live with Regis and Kathie Lee (!): once Entertainment Tonight (!!): twice. The View: twice. Tony Danza Show (!!!): once. The man had a cameo in "The Wedding Crashers"! And in 2006, Senator McCain apparently appeared as an actor in an episode of "24"...
by cobsjo 2008-08-01 06:40AM | 0 recs
Shorter McCain: Can we please

talk about something other than the President whose policies I would continue.

by Geekesque 2008-08-01 06:48AM | 0 recs
Re: Out of the US

The Celeb Ad is pretty superficial. It only appeals to Obama haters already. It makes no real attack on his character. Besides, America loves celebrities. Sure McCain is trying to say he's a lightweight but this is a case of, "Are you going to believe me or your lying eyes?" Obama does not come across as a lightweight like W. Bush did. He shows a thorough knowledge of the issues. He is now introducing an emergency economic plan. So this line of attack is pretty weak.

Nobody reads the Obama camp press releases except online blog readers like us. I do think his press camp needs a tune up, but I also think he should play it nice for as long as he can. Now when he attacks McCain people have already been hearing about McCain's negative attacks for weeks so they think it is deserved. Plus they can quote newspapers and have some distance from the attacks.

McCain's race-baiting failed. Nobody in the media wants to touch that issue with a 10-foot pole and it seems DOA less than 24 hours after it came out. Obama's campaign has always focused on local media and I think that strategy is smart for the most part. Obama is never going to win the cable news media war because there are too many conservative pundits/spinmongers. He has to win in his own way.

by Lolis 2008-08-01 06:49AM | 0 recs
Netanyahu

He would be horrible for Israel and the Middle East.  I can just imagine that airstrike against Iran.

by esconded 2008-08-01 07:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Netanyahu
Doesn't say much for Israel that they keep electing these dubious characters.
At least we have the excuse in this country that we have a high percentage of morons.
by ReillyDiefenbach 2008-08-01 11:51AM | 0 recs
by conspiracy 2008-08-01 07:30AM | 0 recs

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