More About Those Edwards Delegates

I'd mentioned earlier in the Edwards endorsement speech thread, that John Edwards currently has 19 delegates that may, but don't have to, go to Obama. DemConWatch clarifies:

So how many Edwards delegates are there? Four from New Hampshire, 8 from South Carolina, and 4 so far from Iowa.

With the help of Ben Smith, DemConWatch identifies 13 of the 16. But what about the other 3?

The DCW tracker shows Edwards with 19 delegates. Why the difference? It's because Edwards is projected by The Green Papers to get 3 state-wide delegates at the Iowa State Convention on June 14. But as we learned at the Iowa Congressional District Conventions in April, these delegate projections are only estimates. And it's difficult to see the Edwards forces holding together in June. (assuming the race is still going on then). So those final 3 delegates will likely get reassigned to other candidates, leaving Edwards with the 16 delegates described above.

Edwards also has 13 delegates out of Florida whose fate we will know after the DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee meeting on the 31st.

Now, as for the extent to which Edwards's delegates are now compelled to vote for Obama:

...from a political and practical viewpoint, pledged delegates will keep their pledge to vote for the candidate they were elected for until "released" by that candidate. By endorsing Obama, Edwards finally ended his campaign, which had been "suspended" up to now, and "released" his delegates to vote for the candidate of their choice. Of course, these delegates may decide to follow their original candidate and support Obama, and Edwards will of course be contacting them to urge them to support Obama.

In other words, as of now, they are essentially unpledged delegates akin to the supers. The likelihood is, of course, that they'll declare for Obama.

In fact at least one already has.

Tags: 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama, Democratic nomination, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards (all tags)

Comments

183 Comments

Popular Vote Totals

JRE's popular vote totals should be added to the obama total.

by parahammer 2008-05-15 01:11AM | 0 recs
Re: Popular Vote Totals

Meh, if it satisfies the popular vote crowd.  I never took the metric seriously since it relies on estimation in four caucus states (seriously, what kind of reliable count relies on estimation?!)

That's the reason we use delegates, otherwise every states would have open primaries to maximize their clout, or risk being skipped by the candidates.

by Skaje 2008-05-15 01:49AM | 0 recs
Re: Popular Vote Totals

I agree but the popular vote crowd will never accept that, we all know it.

by MNPundit 2008-05-15 05:58AM | 0 recs
Re: Popular Vote Totals

The popular vote crowd must still be waiting for Gore to be sworn in. Who cares what they think? For them, reality sucks.

by kitebro 2008-05-15 09:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Popular Vote Totals

I think he was kidding.

by danfromny 2008-05-15 06:14AM | 0 recs
Re: Popular Vote Totals

Ha, that's what I was thinking, too.  It's no less logical than any of the popular vote games that some here have been playing.

by rfahey22 2008-05-15 06:32AM | 0 recs
Re: Popular Vote Totals

This snark occurred to me yesterday when Edwards endorsed.  It's about as logical as everything else regarding the 'cumulative popular vote'.

by chinapaulo 2008-05-15 10:53AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Excellent job managing endorsements by the Obama campaign.

I know people have been critical of Edwards sitting idle, but I think its obvious that once he made up his mind the O-team asked him to wait until the most opportune time. Well done!

With the amount of supers trickling in(or pouring in) to Obama's column, Clinton's chances are getting thinner by the day. I think Clinton should remain in the race until its mathematically impossible to win (but I will not endorse any funny business).

by Paranoid Humanoid 2008-05-15 02:08AM | 0 recs
One error in the post

Actually, all 4 of those Iowa district-level delegates have been selected, I believe.

The three floaters are the three MORE statewide delegates Edwards was projected to gain at the state convention.

Obviously now, that won't happen -- how that will shake out is less clear, but Edwards had 16 actual delegates and 2nd level caucus votes for 3 more ... a total of 19, not 16.

by Rorgg 2008-05-15 05:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama desperate for white voters!

Obama called them racists?  Really?

Link please.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama desperate for white voters!

The voices in the heads of a few overzealous partisans don't post on the web, so I don't think any link is available.

by zonk 2008-05-15 08:07AM | 0 recs
Its regional, not racial

Obama does not have a problem with white voters, otherwise he never could have won my state (Wisconsin) by the comfortable margin he won it with.  There are plenty of other 'white' states he won by even wider margins.  His 'problem' seems to concentrated in Appalachia and does not extend to the rest of the country.  Every candidate has regions they do poorly in and others they do stronger in.  His national numbers and electoral map still show him winning.

by protothad 2008-05-15 06:14AM | 0 recs
Re: Its regional, not racial

Hear hear.

Before this primary began, if you had told me our nominee was going to be a black person, I would have mentally written off West Virginia and downgraded Ohio.  It's got nothing to do with white people, or Barack, or Hillary - it's just the way it is.

For now.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Its regional, not racial

Obama has an appalachian problem which can be overcome winning out west. I do think he could still win Ohio given how the dems are doing well there. It would be close but I definitely think he could pull it off.

by sweet potato pie 2008-05-15 07:21AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama desperate for white voters!

It wasn't an argument, more of a compliment.

by Paranoid Humanoid 2008-05-15 08:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama desperate for white voters!

John Edwards said he wouldn't endorse until the race is over.  Maybe you didn't get the memo.  The race IS over and has been effectively over since Wisconsin.  The media has given your candidate special treatment and favoritism to prolong the race and divide the party for their ratings.  It's worked wonders!

John Edwards can see the math... it's pretty obvious who the nominee will be.

by LordMike 2008-05-15 09:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama desperate for white voters!

Please substantiate the claim "Obama called them racists - then brings in a white guy to help him get white voters."

Whose "them" and when did Obama call "them" racists?

If you are alluding to the fact that some Obama supporters and media personalities have stated that a percentage of WV voters were motivate by race/racism, then I recognize a plethora of evidence.  But your statement as written is false and only adds to the misinformation and anger.  Is that your goal?

Try to be more precise in your critique.

by chrispy 2008-05-15 09:08AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Maybe he should have waited a day.  I can see whey they did it, yesterday... the press was starting to turn against him again, and he knew that Hillary was going to be on TV gloating...

Only, she didn't gloat.  She was very gracious.  That was a surprise, considering the words of her surrogates on Tuesday promising scorched earth.

So, now the Hillary supporters are offended again.  I don't think there's any way to please them, other than stealing the nomination from Obama, but what are you going to do?  Two weeks ago, the argument was that the supers should decide this thing.  Now, they claim that the supers are overriding the will of the people, even when they are not.  He's pretty much won, and has been in the lead since day one!  He's never been behind in the delegate count.  Never!  And yet, people are obsessed with taking his nomination away!

She really had no chance after WI... the numbers were too daunting to overcome....  The media gave her special favoritism to prolong this race, which, unfortunately, has really hardened hearts with false hopes.  

I would like to hear what her path of nomination is...  She needs a supermajority of all the remaining delegates (even WITH FL and MI)... How, exactly, does she obtain them?

by LordMike 2008-05-15 09:21AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

As long as she concedes by mid-June, its good for the Dems. The party can make-up, Obama has weathered the storm and came out stronger, and every state had its chance to rev up the base and get out new voters.

Its gotten a little nastier than I'd like, but a net gain I think.

by Paranoid Humanoid 2008-05-15 09:50AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Maybe... I'm not convinced she will concede, and I think there are a more than a few dead enders that won't listen to her pleas for unity.

It's an incredibly bizarre situation!

by LordMike 2008-05-15 10:11AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Still waiting on Jerome's reaction to this. Given the quality of his posts of late, I'm guessing the Edwards hair video? Only fair to spread the baseless potshots around...

by jaiwithani 2008-05-15 02:09AM | 0 recs
Bring it to Jerome

I've got the Bo Diddley song "Bring it to Jerome" in my head. I always look for the most absurdly anti-Obama spin from Jerome.

Bo Diddley Bring It To Jerome lyrics

(Jerome Green) 1956
(BO DIDDLEY): Well, every day I work,
Bringing home my pay,
Come to find out baby,
You've bin giving my money away.
Tell me baby,
What you tryin' to do?
You ain't seen me hummin',
Like you used to do.
Tell me mama,
What's wrong with you?
You know pretty baby,
I'm so crazy 'bout you.
(JEROME GREEN): All you pretty women,
Bring it to my home,
You don't have to worry,
I won't do you no wrong.
Bring it on home,
Bring it to Jerome,
Bring it on home,
Bring it to Jerome.
Look here pretty baby,
This mess I won't stand,
All the other women,
Say you got another man.
Bring it on home,
Bring it to Jerome,
Bring it on home,
Bring it to Jerome.

by elrod 2008-05-15 04:04AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Hah! No, but someone at Taylor Marsh did! Soooo predictable. Soooo Republican. Noooooo sense of irony.

by danfromny 2008-05-15 06:16AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Is there a difference these days?

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:25AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

MyDD doesn't advertise "The Postmodern Coup" -- yet.

by jaiwithani 2008-05-15 08:26AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Maybe we should start a Jerome clock, like they did at Fox and friends for Obama?  ;-)

by LordMike 2008-05-15 09:07AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

According to the Obama Campaign, Obama needs 133 more delegates to get to the 2,025.

If Obama gets 13 out of the 16 Edwards delegates that makes it 120.

With OR and KY counted, Obama will have the majority of pledged delegates, so we can add the Pelosi Club, that is +6 delegates (and -1 for clinton), so that leaves Obama with 114 to go.

If we add 52 delegates form KY/OR (23/29), that leaves Obama with 62 to go. Obama has received over 35 endorsements since IN/NC, so it would reasonable to expect he will receive 30 more before KY/OR. That would leave him with 32 to go. Add a wave of endorsements after KY/OR and he will reach 2,025 before May 31st, when the Rules and Bylaws committee will meet.

Clinton will try then to change the magic number to 2,209, but I think it is very likely that even on that day, there won't be enough uncommitted left for her to reach the new number. Moreover, if the outcome of the meeting is that MI/FLA are seated with half delegates, things get even harder for her.

Of course all this speculation is academic, because Obama is already the nominee, but it's fun to speculate anyway...

by Fairy Tale 2008-05-15 02:21AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Plus Obama gets 9 in Montana, 8 in South Dakota, and at least 20 in Puerto Rico.  Plus a bunch of add-ons in states he won.  It's no longer a question of will Obama hit 2025, it's when.

by Skaje 2008-05-15 02:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamalytics

Your command of Oba-mathematics and Obam-algebra moves you to the head of the class.

Thanks for the excellent Obama-logical Obam-anaylis!

Downright elegant.

by xdem 2008-05-15 02:51AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamalytics

Nothing compares to Clintonometry!

The distance to the goalpost increases in proportion to the lack of votes, delgates, and superdelgates.

1+1=?

by TimO 2008-05-15 05:41AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamalytics

actually, clinton math is more like y + x= denial.

by alex100 2008-05-15 07:22AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamalytics

The winner goes to the person with the most votes.  Where you go the idea that that's some CRAZY KOOKY OBAMALOGIC is beyond me.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:07AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamalytics

With this logic, why have caucuses/primaries in "red states"? After all, they won't go blue and all they do is screw up the delegate count.

by poserM 2008-05-15 06:08AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamalytics

You're not writing off rural America are you? Isn't that what you're accusing Obama of doing?

Nice logic!

by TimO 2008-05-15 06:50AM | 0 recs
I think I'll enjoy this:

all that matters is the numbers Obama obtained by winning caucuses and red states that will still be red in Nov.
Like... Washington?  And Minnesota?  And Iowa.  And Wisconsin.  And Colorado.  And Maryland.  And Delaware.  And Connecticut.  And Maine?

Riiiight.

It doesn't matter that Obama can't win in OH,
Two most recent OH head-to-head polls:
McCain +1 (Quinnipiac 4/26)
McCain +2 (SurveyUSA 4/12)
A poll within the sampling error 6 months before the election is your preferred narrative, not a fact.

PA,
Two most recent PA head-to-head polls:
Obama +7 (Susquahenna 5/4)
Obama +9 (Quinnipiac 4/26)
You're just completely wrong here.  Again, you're painting a picture of how you'd like things to be, not reality.

FL,
Most recent FL head-to-head poll:
McCain +1 (Quinnipiac 4/26)
Again, within the sampling error and six months away.  You again have stated something not supported by reality.

Head-to-head state polling at www.Pollster.com is a trainwreck with Obama.
I've just provided actual data with citations proving this to be absolutely false.

by Rorgg 2008-05-15 07:10AM | 0 recs
Re: I think I'll enjoy this:

First of all, this is still speculative while we still have two candidates in the race and no VP choice made.

Here are 3 names to ponder, Foster, Childers, Cazayoux (forgive me if the speling is off on that one)

3 pick ups in soldily Red districts due to the Dean/Armstrong/Markos/Trippi/Obama 50 state strategy vs. Carville/Begala/Penn/Shrum/Clinton 50%+1 strategy which has been a losing strategy.

Talk to me when we have a nominee.

As far as Florida and Michigan, we will never know what the true outcome would have been. You can guess, but you will never know.

by TimO 2008-05-15 07:20AM | 0 recs
Trainwreck?

Maybe we are viewing two different pollster.com websites because he is ahead in states like Colorado, PA, NM and is practically tied in Ohio. Please explain the trainwreck again?

by sweet potato pie 2008-05-15 07:23AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Obama is at 1609 Pledged Delegates plus 293.5 Super Delegates plus 33 Add-on delegates plus 83 Pledged Delegates from Kentucky, Oregon, Perto Rico, Montana and South Dakota totals 2018.5.  That means Obama only needs 6.5 more Pledged and/or Super Delegates for him to win.  If Obama gets 51.5 Pledged and/or Super Delegates by May 20th, he can declare victory on May 20th.  He is quite likely to get another 51.5 by next Tuesday and thus can declare victory on May 20th.

by ajleiker 2008-05-15 10:10AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Obama is at 1609 Pledged Delegates plus 293.5 Super Delegates plus 33 Add-on delegates plus 83 Pledged Delegates from Kentucky, Oregon, Perto Rico, Montana and South Dakota totals 2018.5.  That means Obama only needs 6.5 more Pledged and/or Super Delegates for him to win.  If Obama gets 51.5 Pledged and/or Super Delegates by May 20th, he can declare victory on May 20th.  He is quite likely to get another 51.5 by next Tuesday and thus can declare victory on May 20th.

by ajleiker 2008-05-15 10:10AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Wouldn't be a kick if the Florida Edwards delegates go to HIllary?  Wouldn't that just rock the Obama Universe that some people are going to worship at the Church of Barack?

We aren't all lemmings, you know.

by stefystef 2008-05-15 02:45AM | 0 recs
I see...

Supporting the likely nominee is akin to being a lemming.  But all people who support the losing candidate are brilliant free thinkers.

the problem I have with that statement is, only one candidate's numbers are off the cliff right now.

by semiquaver 2008-05-15 02:55AM | 0 recs
Re: I see...

What you call the "loser" may end up being the "winner" in the end...

Hillary '08-  The One they let slip away

by stefystef 2008-05-15 03:46AM | 0 recs
Re: I see...

not likely, but sure keep believing in that.

by TruthMatters 2008-05-15 03:50AM | 0 recs
I said 'losing'

'loser' would have been rude.

by semiquaver 2008-05-15 04:00AM | 0 recs
Re: I see...

In the future you might want to make sure that your sig line doesn't make a fool out of your actual post.

Or is it vice-versa?  Either way there's some pointing and laughing going on.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:11AM | 0 recs
Please, please think of McCain

I would like to implore,encourage,beg all of you out there, Clinton or Obama, to please support the Democratic nominee.

We cannot have McCain. My family can barely afford health care, and my wife and I are both college educated professionals.  His health care plan will make it worse on us.

We cannot have another war in Iran, and we cannot even afford this one, literally or morally.

Please, please, both sides, when it is time, either concede gracefully or win graciously.

It cannot be McCain and it cannot be the NeoCons.

Thank you so much,
Alec Timmerman

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 04:10AM | 0 recs
insults don't add up to votes

My family can barely afford health care, and my wife and I are both college educated professionals.  His health care plan will make it worse on us.
Obama needs to work on the "uneducated white working class" that he keeps ignoring and writes off as unimportant. It's not your job to make the case for him. The media and the Obama campaign insults and ignore voters and then expects rural America to support Obama because he claims that he's on the right side of policy. Sorry, it doesn't work that way. How can a person trust someone that dogs them?

by soyousay 2008-05-15 04:29AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

I don't see how you expect the Clinton campaign would be able to unite the party after how they've treated black voters, the under 30 crowd, and party activists that that she keeps ignoring and writes off as unimportant. It's not your job to make the case for her. The media and the Clinton campaign insult and ignore voters, and then expect them to somehow support Clinton "just because". Sorry, it doesn't work that way. How can a person trust someone that dogs them, and is so arrogant that they take them for granted?

by ragekage 2008-05-15 04:44AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

Helloooo...It's the Obama supporters asking Clinton supporters to vote for Obama. What you wrote is a red herring.

by soyousay 2008-05-15 04:48AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

Exactly.  Soyousay is no longer interested in electing Clinton - it's all about making sure that Obama doesn't win.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:12AM | 0 recs
There are a few

Clinton supporters (the H44 crowd) who have a two part agenda.  First, get Clinton elected.  If that should fail then Second, prevent Obama from getting elected.

Once the primaries are over, we'll be able to weed out those troublemakers.

by GFORD 2008-05-15 07:19AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

So, I'm making the opposite argument. And there are some Clinton supporters who still insist that she'll be the nominee. How's she 'sposed to be able to do that?

My point was to try and get you to think about what you said a little more. You're reacting out of a passionate feeling for your candidate, when Obama did no such thing (insult voters)- I'd say he's as guilty as what you accuse him as Clinton is of what I accused her.

And yes, I'd like to have a unified party, but I'm not going to kiss ass to get you to vote for Obama. I'm still going to refute things you say that are incorrect or I don't agree with, and I respect your ability to do the same- tactfully, of course.

by ragekage 2008-05-15 10:21AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

Clinton isn't going to be the nominee, so this argument is moot.

It's also false.  The "Clintons as race baiters" thing was a Rovian play perpetrated and perpetuated by Obama surrogates.

It's Obama who abandoned a liberation theologian, after 20 years, the second it became politically damaging to continue the relationship.

It's Obama who abandoned Environmental Justice legislation in SC, while Clinton continued working on it (compelling the (black) man who spearheads those efforts in SC to back Clinton), an issue that predominantly affects AA communities, because he didn't want to be considered a "black candidate" for president.

Obama has run from the black community whenever it's posed a political risk for him to stick around.  

And to have successfully portrayed people like the Clintons as racist or race baiters is not only beyond repugnant, but it's divisive and insulting to the black community. It's also Rovian in nature, ie: taking an asset of an opponent and turning it into a liability.

It's been one of the more repugnant occurrences during the campaign.

by Juno 2008-05-15 04:56AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

What's repugnant is taking the political judgment of the black community and making it illegitimate by saying they are merely being fooled.  Virtually all of them.

They're not wrong by the way.  As an early Edwards supporter I was horrified at what the Clinton campaign was doing.  It was one of the things that made me support Obama after Edwards dropped out: running a Southern Strategy pretty much disqualifies you from the Democratic nomination in my book.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:18AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

Eek!  I guess this journalist (and now the Obama camp) are running a southern strategy campaign!

http://www.time.com/time/politics/articl e/0,8599,1779544,00.html

by Juno 2008-05-15 07:22AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

my exact same experience.

by alex100 2008-05-15 07:30AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

Exactly!  Black voters aren't idiots! In fact, they are probably the most intelligent voting demographic out there!  Every year, the republicans put up some uncle tom hoping that AA's will vote for a black face.  They never do.  They know what's up, and aren't fooled easily!

by LordMike 2008-05-15 09:10AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

Health care is killing us all, educated, uneducated. The stratification of society is killing us all. McCain will hurt us all. I teach in an urban school district in a school that is 95% poverty. I know first hand the working poor, and how McCain agenda will make it worse. You can't let that happen!

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 06:16AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

The obama campaign needs to back up and really gauge how succesful the clinton healthcare plan is to attract votes in the fall.

Americans are essentially apolitical. They vote for things that directly impact them, first. The maxim "all politics are local" comes to mind.

Clinton's outstanding performance amongst certain demographics likely stems from one single position: her healthcare plan.

If and when the Obama campaign embraces it, they will double their margin against McCain.
And owing to the essentially apolitical nature of the electorate, that swing will provide Obama with a general election victory. There will be no
partisan handwringing in this election. This will be a true realignment of the American electorate.

The American voters have been given one too many straw men. They will throw the bastards out if you give them half a chance. They can figure out where Big Pharma is getting their man.

I think however, Obama will have to name Clinton to VP in order to get them to believe it.

by Trey Rentz 2008-05-15 06:25AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

If Obama changes healthcare plans, and I hope he does, I hope he changes it to the Edwards plan and not the Clinton plan.  The Edwards plan allows people to opt in to medicare if they choose - it's an ingenious way of allowing market forces to gradually move things towards single payer, if Americans decide with their paychecks that government is handling their healthcare more efficiently than the HMOs are.

I'm really not thrilled with handing the entire system permanently over the HMOs as the Clinton plan does, and then pronouncing the problem solved.  It would be as if when FDR came up with Social Security, he start it out privatized.

Short of that, I don't see much difference between the Clinton plan and the Obama plan electorally.  They both make healthcare affordable.  The Obama plan has the benefit of appealing to more libertarian leaning voters who are frightened of mandates.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:32AM | 0 recs
Re: insults don't add up to votes

I agree with you that Obama should adopt more of the Edwards/Clinton style Healthcare plan and put Hillary in charge of it in the Senate.

by TimO 2008-05-15 07:22AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Obamans need to work on being better winners.  

They win like Republicans do: ugly, mean-spirited, and wanting to leave their opponent bloodied and humiliated (how unObaman!).

The booing of Clinton during Edwards's speech is an example.  Unity?

I don't think so.

by Juno 2008-05-15 04:58AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

There are so many problems with an Obama nomination, I don't know where to start. The fact that the Clinton's were humiliated by the Obama campaign with accusations of racism is just one of many reasons why I will not support Obama. I also left the party and am now an independent (valued voter, IMO.)

by soyousay 2008-05-15 05:09AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Intellectually, and for the sake of the country, I know I have to vote for Obama.  

I have to get over my own pettiness and personal grievances I have about him, and I am aware that that is from what I am suffering.

There IS a bigger picture.

In order to do so, I'm going to have to not pay attention to the race.  I would never consider voting for McCain, no way.  But Obama really turns me off,and I have to ignore that.

Funny thing is, I agree with him culturally and philosophically more than I do Clinton, but I think he is so cocky and arrogant and smug, and i have a hard time listening to him, esp. when he uses that preacher voice. I think his campaign is fraudulent (his own supporters prove this to me every day) and is manipulative of people's emotions, and it reminds me in a lot of ways of how Bush won, and that style doesn't sit well with me.  But I think his INTENTIONS are genuine, if not very realistic.

But, like Hillary does and is condemned for doing, ironically, I know I have to get cold and hard and make the realistic choice, even if I don't like it.

That's what Hillary did. Some realize it; others do not and attack her for it.

Always go with reality, though.

by Juno 2008-05-15 05:23AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

I will not vote for McCain but I will not vote for Obama either. Rev. Wright did it for me. Some don't think Wright is a big deal, I do. To this day, I can not understand how Obama can support someone like that for 20 years.

by soyousay 2008-05-15 05:28AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

I don't think that's a good reason to assist ushering McCain into the White House.

The only problem I have with the Wright situation is that Obama and his camp continue to insist that Obama does not make politically expedient decisions, which of course is untrue and the Wright situation proves that.

Of course he does.  He has to, like they all do. They have to. Again, reality folks!

Your argument, to me, is like people saying they will not vote for Clinton because of her Iraq authorization vote, and then condemn her for making a politically expedient position rather than being idealistic and high minded. That simply is not the reality.

They make politically expedient decisions because if they don't, and they lose, what good are they?  

People need to empathize more, understand the positions these sorts of things put these people in, and try to understand their thinking processes, but we don't do that.  

I too am bothered by the Wright stuff, but only i the sense that it dispels the myth about Obama having great judgment and not being political.  If they'd acknowledge that he's mortal like the rest of us, including Clinton, I'd ease up on him a bit.

by Juno 2008-05-15 05:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Your argument, to me, is like people saying they will not vote for Clinton because of her Iraq authorization vote, and then condemn her for making a politically expedient position rather than being idealistic and high minded. That simply is not the reality.
Everyone has different values and reasons for voting or not voting. In my opinion, not only does Barack Obama have poor judgement, he lacks integrity. He has only himself to blame for losing support from some Democrats. It's a little late to denounce Rev. Wright, about 20 years too late.

by soyousay 2008-05-15 05:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

We're still on Rev. Wright? Please, can you tell me one thing that Jeremiah Wright has said that is more offensive than anything Hagee, Pat Robertson, or Jerry Falwell has said? (And remember: Robertson and Falwell hold YOU personally responsible for 9/11.)

by CrazyDrumGuy 2008-05-15 06:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Exactly, but when it was Falwell, the Left went crazy on him, rightly so, but when it was Wright, they defended him.  No consistency.

The issue is not Wright or anything Wright said or believes.  The issue is what it revealed about Obama.  Wright isn't running for president. He can say whatever wants in the pulpit or elsewhere.  

by Juno 2008-05-15 07:21AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Well, except that Falwell said that the US deserved it, which is crazy.  

Wright said that it was predictable, which is not only not crazy, it's fairly mainstream.

The sermon is actually really good.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 07:31AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Vomit.

So explain Obama's disgust with Wright. Can't be political expediency because Obama isn't a "typical politician", right?

by Juno 2008-05-15 09:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Too funny. Wright is so far from "mainstream," Obama had to denounce him.

by soyousay 2008-05-15 10:05AM | 0 recs
Hillary lacks integrity

She is a fraud. I do not trust her at all and I'm not alone says 58% of the country.  As a black person your comments can be easily interpreted as racist.  You can go ahead and say that is typical of Obama supporters but as a black person growing up in America, your comments are all too familiar to me.

by sweet potato pie 2008-05-15 07:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Hillary lacks integrity

There is NOTHING racist in that post.

by Juno 2008-05-15 09:51AM | 0 recs
Re: Hillary lacks integrity

Are you black? If you aren't don't you dare tell me what is racist and what is not.

by sweet potato pie 2008-05-15 11:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Hillary lacks integrity

ANY attack on Obama is racist, right? :D That may work now but it won't work in the general election.

by soyousay 2008-05-15 10:14AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Obama did not throw Wright under the bus. The Philadelphia speech was a serious attempt to get people to understand Wright and then Wright blew him off.

And you know who would disdain his relationship with Wright more than anybody?

The WHITE WORKING CLASS VOTERS! THE WV VOTERS WHO HATE BLACKS! THE VOTERS THAT HILLARY IS PANDERING TO!

Hillary voting for the Kyl-Lieberman bill and talking of "Obliterating Iran"!?!

Talk about politically expedient.

Obama is not perfect but don't pretend Hillary is.

I had problems with my pastor also but my kids were getting a great education at the church's school and had been there from kindergarten. I hung on for a few more years until they all graduated. Should I have made my kids suffer, being away from their friends and upset their education to make a political statement? No.

I'm guessing from your comments that you never had to face such a choice.

There is the public perception of the situation and the actual situation which none of us truly are privy to. His personal decision does not effect you in any way, but the public votes for war do.

by TimO 2008-05-15 05:54AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

I think this has been such a spirited fight, because people like the two candidates so much.

by Trey Rentz 2008-05-15 06:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Oh please.

The PA speech was an attempt to appease people by appealing to everyone. Whites are victims, blacks are victims...something for everyone to shut them up.

The second Wright criticized Obama PERSONALLY, Obama quit him.

Btw, why is it okay to say that Obama needs to go after the white, male, blue collar vote but it's racist for Clinton to do so?

Curious, huh?

Obama has achieved that Bush thing of being allowed to maintain two contradictory positions at once. On the one hand, he's transcended race and never wanted to be the"black candidate" or make race an issue. On the other, he alone courageously raised the issue of race in America, (as though it's never been raised before  - good grief), all the while getting 90% of the AA vote, without which he would not be ahead at all, while at the same time having overthrown a liberation theologian and walked away from black communities (while Clinton stayed) when politically expedient.

It's a comedy of errors.

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:44AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

The African American vote always votes 80-90% for SOMEBODY in the primary.  When Bill Clinton ran, it was him.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:47AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Big time hatin' Juno.

You're twisting things around a little. It's not that someone goes after the blue collar vote at all,  it's HOW they do it.

You're a MYDD fan and I assume a Crashing the Gate fan. Read Jerome's own words on how the GOP use the fear of race, god, guns and gays to scare you away from the Dems and how single issue groups divide the party enough to put us at a disadvantage in every election.

When Hill uses those same tactics and pounds her  "hard working white american" theme against one of ours(D), it hurts the party.

The Carvilles and Penn's are the ones you should be mad at. Their strategy sucks and it put Hillary behind from the start; in fundraising and vote getting. Now she's stuck trying to move goal posts. Why can't she raise money? Because she miscalculated and stuck with her "old time politics" guys instead if moving into the new century. Now the first words in every speech are "Go to Hillary.com and donate"

Sorry too late.

I feel bad for her and I even voted for here in my AZ primary but when she started rolling in the dirt I jumped ship.

by TimO 2008-05-15 07:36AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Total gobbledy-gook.

This is nothing more than white guilt.  Ending racism means treating everyone equally, and I have no issue with Clinton or Obama noting blocs of voters they have to try to get, be they African Americans, White blue collar males, Jewish, Catholic, or one-legged albinos.

I am sick of Obama being a hero for talking about race and Clinton being a racist at any mention of race, or even NO mention of it.

THAT, to me, is racism at its worst.

by Juno 2008-05-15 09:49AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

When I hear someone say, "I treat everyone the same"

It frustrates me because it disregards and minimizes people's personal history and cultural history that have an impact on their lives. As if saying one thing to one person, is the exact same as saying it to someone else no matter what their experience.

I value trying to empathize and understand all aspects that might affect someone, especially if they have had a different experience than me.

Therefore, I would request that you stop deciding for other people what offends them and what is racist for them.

It is not white guilt, it is reality.

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 03:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

My father is a preacher, and yes, I would have pulled my kids from such a place.  Obama's supporters have this need to defend everything and anything remotely connected to Obama, no matter how vile or wrong.

So how do they reconcile the fact that Obama himself divorced himself from Wright and expressed revulsion at things Wright said?

by Juno 2008-05-15 09:46AM | 0 recs
The talking box is lying to you

First, Wright's sermons can not be accurately characterized by the snippets that were played on TV.  Most of what he preached about was about Christ and community and working to improve your own life.  He is not the black separatist racists that some would have you believe.  I know the non-black members of his congregation certainly don't believe that of him.

Secondly, a church is often much more than just its preacher.  Being active as a community organizer, Obama may have felt motivated to stay active in that church because it was THE church for that area and was central to much of the social outreach going on in that community.

These issues are never as simple as the TV would like you to believe.

Peace

by protothad 2008-05-15 07:57AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

I'm genuinely saddened if you're not voting for Obama based on Wright, because your decision is premised on a falsehood. I live in Chicago, and both Reverend Wright and Trinity are very respected here--and nationally among the religious community. I'll admit that I was disturbed by the clips I saw. However, I understood better after I listened to the sermons in their entirety, and considered that they amounted to a few minutes ripped from 20+ years of preaching.

I won't deny that Wright has a reputation for being controversial, and holds some political views that I disagree with. But the truth is that you can't judge Wright without also considering the immeasurable good that he's done for the community. He's a man of the civil rights era and he's built a church that embraces people from all races, viewpoints, and walks of life. He's been a strident fighter for the downtrodden, not just the black community. He was at the forefront in embracing the GLBT community, establishing an AIDS care program, and opposing apartheid and racial injustice when the rest of the world ignored it. Under his guidance Trinity established job training, child daycare, and numerous other outreach programs.

All of these works define the Reverend Wright that we know in Chicago. That's why he was supported through this crisis by religious leaders of all faiths from across the city and country. He's a genuinely good man who's devoted his life to the service of others. That's why Obama didn't condemn him in his Philadelphia speech, and that's why not one of his parishioners, or the community in Chicago, would condemn him now. We know him for who he is, not the caricature that has been painted of him by a few minutes taken out of context.

The saddest part of this situation is what it has done to Trinity. They've been regularly receiving bomb threats, had parishioners harassed at home and in services, and Wright's life has been repeatedly threatened. If you don't understand why Wright lashed out at the press club, just keep in mind how heavily all this was weighing on him. And understand that the press are the ones responsible for painting this inaccurate picture that led to the assaults on him and his church. I admit that, given his frame of mind, even going to the press club was bad idea. It was an act of anger mixed with vanity, and that's why the people who know him well tried to stop him. But he went, and Obama was forced to publicly reject him. It's a sad thing, but Wright had gone too far and I can't see how Obama had any other choice at that point.

So, we all know that Wright has his flaws, but if you look at the man as a whole you can see the overwhelming good that Obama saw. And really, is it fair to fall into the trap of attributing Wright's views to Obama? Many practicing Catholics are pro-choice and support the GLBT community, even though their churches regularly preach against that. For those Catholics, the strength of their faith and goodness of their church outweigh the faults of the messenger. If you can accept that, I don't see what you can't accept about Wright and Trinity.

by noop 2008-05-15 08:10AM | 0 recs
OK, I'll bite...

What do we know that Wright said over 20 years, that Obama heard, that makes Obama so disgusting?  That he said God damn America for how it treated some of its people?  Even out of context, it's not nearly reason for four more years of the horrific road down which this current administration has led us.  They HAVE damned America.  

I'm concerned about the lobbyists Clinton has so readily cozied up with, but I'll still gladly vote for her in November.

It's about who they are and what they've done.

This whole Wright thing to me seems so OBVIOUSLY a red herring charade that it's hard for me to fathom your comment (unless you're a republican, secret, closeted, or otherwise...not accusing, i just don't get it).  I can't see remotely what's so offensive about him.

by thurst 2008-05-15 09:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

It's funny, and believe me, I would knock on every single door if Hillary is the nominee, and I started off a Hillary supporter, but it is just funny how impressions can be. You perceive Obama as going all Bushie, and what turned me off HRC is that it appeared to me she went all Rovian in her campaign. Which disgusted me.

It is just funny, how two, rational, heartfelt, like minded people can see things so differently. Thank you for supporting whoever the nominee is.  Obama is not perrfect, Clinton is not perfect. But McCain leaves Americans behind. Thank you thank you. Thank you for supporting whoever is the nominee.

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 06:29AM | 0 recs
There have been studies on this

People perceive bias in the news, and the more aware they are of the issues the more bias they perceive. One study looked at the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. They took supporters of both sides, and had them watch the same newscast. Both sides reported it as biased against their side. Just something to keep in mind as you argue here.

... for those interested, I think I learned about this reading Blink, by Malcolm Gladwell. Great book.

by Purplepeople 2008-05-15 06:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

In a lot of ways, the long primary has hurt the party.  If you took Democrats, showed them Obama and McCain side-by-side and asked them to choose the better candidate, there's no question who they'd pick. And they did, early on; virtually all Obama voters said they'd back Clinton and vice-versa.

Now you have imbeciles saying they won't back Obama because of Reverend Wright or because the media's mean to Hillary or because of something Randi Rhodes said or other trivial or made-up issues.  It's a gauntlet that McCain hasn't had to deal with.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:36AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Right.

I guess it's different when people attack Hillary.

That's okay. But to criticize or challenge Obama is dividing the party.

Cripes.

The primary is not hurting the party.  That's just a Rovian Obama talking point created to try to push Clinton out of the race and hand Obama the nomination.

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

You're right - I was focusing on Obama because I am assuming he would be the nominee.  He may not be.

In any case attacks on Hillary Clinton are not okay either.  I never said they were.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:45AM | 0 recs
intellectually and for the sake of the country

I cannot vote for Obama or McCain!

by 4justice 2008-05-15 07:33AM | 0 recs
Biting Again

Why?  It's an important juncture in time...what about Obama is so intellectually unappealing (in a way that Clinton is not) that you just CANNOT vote for him and would prefer to passively aid in four more years of Bush?  It is your right, of course...but if you really are upset with the direction of the country or believe in the furtherance of progressive ideals, you'd better have a valid answer for that one.

It's not that I think Obama is such the progressive ideal, but have trouble seeing how people could see him as so much worse than Clinton.

by thurst 2008-05-15 09:18AM | 0 recs
Subjective Judgments of Character

The danger of going with subjective judgments of character is they are too often wrong.  Countless people went with their 'gut' in supporting Bush and look where it got us.  Your decision to focus on issues is commendable.

I agree that Obama must have some level of arrogance, otherwise he never would get very far in politics.  The same could be said of Clinton or any of the other candidates.  The important question is will they do what they say.  Are the issues they talk about really important to them or are they pandering?  The only way to know that is to look at their records.  I was initially skeptical of Obama until I started examining his history, his voting record, his campaign finance reports.  Objective measures that tell me he really does care about issues of government transparency and ethics and campaign finance, that he believes in defending the Constitution and civil liberties.  I can't know how he really 'feels' about those issues... but I at least know they are issues he championed and worked for and will likely continue working for as President.    

As a disappointed Edwards supporter, it took a while for me to grow comfortable with Obama, but the more I've learned about him, the more I like him.  He is not perfect by any stretch, but his history leads me to believe he really is in this for the right motives.  He is the new kid on the scene, but he has proven to be studious in tackling unfamiliar issues and selects competent advisors.  That mitigates any fears I have about lack of experience.  His rejection of lobbyist and PAC contributions and the fact that most of his money comes from a large pool of small donors reassures me about where his loyalties lie.

The opposite is true of McCain.  His reputation and his history of collaboration with my favorite senator Russ Feingold initially had me feeling rather comfortable with him.  Then I began to dig into his voting record and finance reports and read about his platform.  Wow.  No chance I would vote for him as President.  He might be OK on a few issues as a Senator but it would be a train wreck if his current circle of advisors follow him to the Whitehouse.  Four more years of the Neocon rape of our nation.

I will also mention (though I know these things are difficult to recognize in ones self) that we often see an opposing candidate through the filter of the loyalty we feel for our chosen candidate.  It can cause us to amplify every flaw and disregard the positive.  In a heated campaign, we gradually build an emotional justification for the rational choices we've initially made.  Be on guard for that.  Try to set your passions aside as you take a fresh look at Obama.  Yes, he is not a perfect candidate, and there is some amount of political theater to his campaign (like any campaign)... but in the balance he has a good stand on the issues and solid (if shorter) history showing he will work for what he believes.  He is certainly waaaaay better than McCain.

Peace.

by protothad 2008-05-15 07:36AM | 0 recs
Re: Subjective Judgments of Character

Well said.

by TimO 2008-05-15 07:44AM | 0 recs
Re: Subjective Judgments of Character

It's not about Obama v. McCain for me. That goes without saying.

It's about obama v. clinton.

by Juno 2008-05-15 07:50AM | 0 recs
Re: Subjective Judgments of Character

Fair enough.  I encourage you to continue supporting Clinton until she says she is done.  If by some amazing set of circumstance she pulls out the win, I promise to apply all the same principles I mentioned above in getting enthusiastic about my vote for Clinton in November.

Cheers.

by protothad 2008-05-15 08:06AM | 0 recs
Re: Subjective Judgments of Character

I've never felt Clinton would win.  

But I think Obama has bamboozled a lot of people, and I'm sorry to see it.

by Juno 2008-05-15 09:41AM | 0 recs
One thing I think you need to accept

from the beginning, is that some of the things that the Clintons got accused of race-baiting for were, right or wrong in your mind, legitimately viewed that way by a significant number of blacks, regardless of preferred candidate at the time.

However Bill and Hillary and various surrogates meant a lot of those things, especially in the run-up to South Carolina, there were plenty of people who took umbrage of their own accord.  The idea that they've been race-baiting, whether they were or not or somewhere in between, is truly felt by a lot of people.

If you try to blame all the backlash on the Obama campaign, you're doing a huge disservice to people who largely made up their own minds on the issue.  What's more, it absolves the Clinton campaign for making what were at least some errors in judgement of having a tin ear for the sentiments of these voters.

by Rorgg 2008-05-15 07:19AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

as a minority, the racism was quite evident to me.

in any regard are you saying you're voting for mcCain? not voting at all? If that's the case, good riddance. no one likes a sore loser who whines.

by alex100 2008-05-15 07:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Soyousay-

"The fact that the Clinton's were humiliated by the Obama campaign with accusations of racism is just one of many reasons why I will not support Obama."

Link please?

by chrispy 2008-05-15 09:13AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

It doesn't help when twice as many Hillary supporters say they won't vote for Obama should he be the nominee.

I think you have more work to do on your side.

Start with the WV voters who say they would NEVER vote for a black man.

there's a good dose of unity for you!

by TimO 2008-05-15 05:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Race baiter!

by Juno 2008-05-15 05:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Citing an Associated Press analysis "that found how Senator Obama's support among working, HARD-WORKING AMERICANS, WHITE AMERICANS, is weakening again, and how whites in both states who had not completed college were supporting me," she went on to say: "There's a pattern emerging here."

by TimO 2008-05-15 05:58AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

I forgot to mention that she changed her statement from "working" to "HARD-working`White Americans" when she was campaigning in 95% white WV.

I'm white too so I wouldn't exactly say I'M race baiting. That's when you exploit people's fears of a race for political advantage not when criticize other people for doing it.

think before you speak.

by TimO 2008-05-15 06:05AM | 0 recs
Obamans, forget and forgive any slights perceived

I am begging the Obama supporters too, to forget and forgive the ugliness of campaigning. If you won, that is all you need. I may have been offended by the HRC campaign, but let it go. Win graciously, and forgive any slight you may have felt.

Again, I cannot stress the reality of working with poverty every single day and seeing how MCCain will make it worse, and throw people in the trash like commodities.

Focus on McCain, please and thank you,
Alec Timmerman

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 06:34AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamans, forget and forgive any slights percei

I agree, but what are we supposed to do when people list, among the reasons that they won't vote for Obama, the revisionist history that it was Obama who put those words in the mouths of Clinton surrogates?  It's not us that keeps bringing this stuff up.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:43AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamans, forget and forgive any slights percei

Surrogates?

Care to give me the equivalent tossed at Obama of "big, fucking whore"?

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:59AM | 0 recs
I'd go with the "drug dealer" references

as loosely equivalent.

Not that Rhodes was in any way a surrogate.

by Rorgg 2008-05-15 07:21AM | 0 recs
the "drug dealer" references

And Shaheen was fired the next day. What more could Hillary have done? Executed him? Hillary has publicly apologied in front of AA leaders for the statements made by her surrogates that could have been construed as race-baiting or outright racist, including her husband's spin on the SC race.

When has Obama ever issued a similar apology for the misogynistic statements of his supporters? And you wonder why Hillary supporters have a tougher time supporting him than the other way around.

by Inky 2008-05-15 08:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamans, forget and forgive any slights percei

Randi Rhodes is not an Obama surrogate, nor was she speaking at an event that had any link with Barack Obama or his campaign in any way.

There was a hoax put out by NoQuarter that was immediately debunked.  If you want the details I'll give them to you.

btw, what are you doing at NoQuarter?

by Jordache 2008-05-15 07:23AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamans, forget and forgive any slights percei

Of course she is a surrogate.

by Juno 2008-05-15 07:48AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamans, forget and forgive any slights percei

No she isn't and up until a short time before Geraldine Ferraro's comments she was uncommitted.

To this day she says that she would be satisfied with either candidate.

Her analogy is Obama more like Kennedy and Clinton more like FDR.

Ferraro's comments that Obama has no value other than being black deserved the whore comment.

by TimO 2008-05-15 09:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamans, forget and forgive any slights percei

Ferraro's comments that Obama has no value other than being black deserved the whore comment.

That's a complete distortion of what Ferraro said.

by Inky 2008-05-15 09:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamans, forget and forgive any slights percei

Jordache,
   It is hard for me, when my candidate is bashed, in what I perceive is a baseless way. Every fiber of me wants to bring up the hypocrisy and what turned me against the other candidate, but we cannot do it.

If someone bashes your canidate, stay on message, don't get distracted, and know that McCain will throw away living breathing human beings because he a fascist corporatist.

That's it.
Alec

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 07:01AM | 0 recs
Re: Obamans, forget and forgive any slights percei

Don't tell me about revisionist history. I lived through that history. I saw the way Bill's comments about the "fairytale" and Hillary's comments about LBJ vs. MLK were distorted. And I've read the 4-page memo, but even without reading it, I witnessed the campaign  first-hand that was launched on AA and progressive radio to alianate AA voters from the Clintons. And yes, some in Hillary's camp did make stupid statements and they were fired, or, in the case of her husband's awkward spin of the SC loss, Hillary publicly apologized before AA leaders.

Don't worry. If you don't plan to forgive and forget, then neither do I.

by Inky 2008-05-15 08:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

How do you know she wasn't calling Asian Americans lazy?

It's ridiculous on its face.  Democrats for years have been ruing the loss of the white, male, blue collar worker vote without being accused of racism.

Can Hillary talk about daffodils without being accused of race baiting?

Hmmm...

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:36AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Juno, you're really, really in the minority here.  If an aggreived party is telling you something you ought to give them the benefit of the doubt.  If black voters are fleeing the Clintons in droves, your opinion doesn't trump theirs.

As a man, I don't run around telling women what they can and can't consider sexism.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:21AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Merely noting that, when Clinton talks about race, it's race baiting .When Obama does, it's brilliant courage facing a real problem in America!

Lol.  

Btw, Hillary having been called every vile name in the book has gone on  with impunity while one can't even use the term "fairy tale" w/r/t  the Iraq war without being accused of race baiting.

Sexism and misogyny are alive, well, thriving, and accepted still.

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:34AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

We know what Hillary said.

Hypothetical Obama quote - "I am more electable because Senator Clinton's support among working, hard-working men is weakening again, and more men are supporting me."

That OK with you?

by danfromny 2008-05-15 06:38AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Sure. They're a voting bloc.

If Hillary had 90% of the female vote but was struggling with the male vote, for Obama to note that he was getting that vote and it was crucial, I would not take that as a slam against women.

Sheesh.  

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:57AM | 0 recs
Actually the equivalent would be

"her support among people, hard-working people, male people..."

by Rorgg 2008-05-15 07:22AM | 0 recs
Re: Actually the equivalent would be

or maybe then she could claim , if for athletes, that she's got an.... athletic supporter.

ahem.

by Trey Rentz 2008-05-15 07:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

does that really need to be said?

by alex100 2008-05-15 07:39AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

You can always tell that people aren't going to deal with what the Clinton's did when they bring up "fairy tale".  That's the easiest one to explain away, and as far as I know, the only person who found it egregious was Donna Brazile, who was more upset that Bill Clinton kept calling Barack Obama a kid.

That doesn't explain shuck-n-jive, madrassa, the muslim smears, drug-dealer, con-artist, "Jesse Jackson won South Carolina in 84" and everything else they said once a week for two months leading up to Super Tuesday, where it was supposed to pay off.

Black people are not stupid, by the way.  They are not children to be manipulated.  When I saw what the Clinton campaign was doing I might have given them a pass if black voters did.  As it happened, they didn't, and I defer to them.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:41AM | 0 recs
Sexism, Racism, misogyny

Juno,
  You are 100% correct that misogyny is a horrible blight on this country still. The way HRC has been treated is an abomination against feminism.

Imagine how a supreme court with three more right wing judges will be. Roe V Wade will last about 3 minutes. Equal pay for equal work will be completely disbanded, as opposed to now when it is only a crime if you can't get away with it for 180 days.

Sexism and misogyny are not acceptable, but they are the norm on the right. McCain will continue on with this.

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 07:07AM | 0 recs
Re: Sexism, Racism, misogyny

Roe v. Wade ain't goin' nowhere.  

It'd do Repubs in politically if that football weren't around anymore.  

by Juno 2008-05-15 07:47AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Race baiter?

What?

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 06:30AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

even if you're making a point, that's a blatant troll against the site guidelines.  TR'd.

by semiquaver 2008-05-15 06:59AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

I am begging everyone to change their tenor. Win graciously, concede gracefully. Obama or Clinton, I don't care. We cannnot haave McCain.

Again, I teach in a large school that is 95% poverty and I see the two Americas everry single day. McCain and his ilk do not give a rat's ass about my students and their families. It is disgusting that my student's stories persist in a country of wealth.

I am just begging that everyone goes after McCain. Please, because it makes me sick to see everyday a whole portion of our society thrown away because they mean nothing to the corporatist fascists in the Republican Party.

Damnit, I am begging everyone, we can't have McCain. If it is Hillary at the top I will say the same as if it is Obama.
Thanks,
Alec Timmerman

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 06:23AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

You seem to be a very reasonable voice. So, it is with much regret, I must go to some other site where knuckleheads rule.

by danfromny 2008-05-15 06:51AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

Juno-
You write "the booing of Clinton during Edwards's speech is an example."

I, too, found the crowd troubling, and I'm not a fan of the "O-Ba-Ma" chant for a campaign that is rooted in grassroots mobilization.  That said, watching the speech, I was not aware of booing or hissing that compared to a recent campaign stop Hillary did right before the WV primary.  I just think that comparing supporters is a lose-lose proposition and only adds to the bitterness.

by chrispy 2008-05-15 09:18AM | 0 recs
Re: Please, please think of McCain

My only point when I bring these things up is that the behavior runs completely contrary to what Obama is supposedly about.

I expect politics to be brutal, politicians to pander, etc., but if a candidate runs on changing all that and he can't do it, as is shown by his supporters, I see a problem.

by Juno 2008-05-15 09:38AM | 0 recs
Re: Better winners

But, but, but, we haven't we won yet, and we're not gonna win.  

Unless the message has changed.

Are you saying we've won?

by xdem 2008-05-15 02:23PM | 0 recs
Delegates shouldn't betray the will of the voters

Edwards delegates ought to ask themselves this question: between Hillary and Barack, who do they think connects more effectively with the kinds of voters John Edwards claims to champion in his two-Americas schtick?

And if they're still having trouble answering this question, I suggest they pore over the election data and exit polls.  Who do they think the "left-behinds" believe to be their more effective champion?

It is nothing short of BETRAYAL to those who Edwards claims/claimed to speak for if his elected delegates choose Obama over Clinton in the convention.  They shouldn't follow Edwards down his cowardly path of political self-preservation.

by Sieglinde 2008-05-15 04:52AM | 0 recs
Edward's anti-lobbyist stance

I suspect the main reason Edward's threw his support behind Obama is because Obama shared his stance on not taking money from lobbyists or PACs.  Removing corporate influence from the levers of power was in fact one of his main issues.

by protothad 2008-05-15 06:37AM | 0 recs
Re: Edward's anti-lobbyist stance

Obama = second in receiving money from the healthcare industry.

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:54AM | 0 recs
Re: Edward's anti-lobbyist stance

And No. 1 from the oil industry, I think.  Something like that.

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:54AM | 0 recs
That's intellectually dishonest

and you either know it or should, and will soon.

Every time you make a donation to a candidate, you have to disclose data, including your employer and industry.

Take me, I'm a mid-level tech guy -- I work in IT, and spend my days taking care of computer systems with no real relation to what exactly is on them.  It's all data.

It so happens that I work for a large banking and financial company.  Every dollar I donate, under your definition, is a donation "from the banking industry."  Trying to equate that to PAC money is not only absurd, it's dishonest.

by Rorgg 2008-05-15 07:26AM | 0 recs
by Juno 2008-05-15 07:45AM | 0 recs
Re: That's intellectually dishonest

What those articles don't tell you, but a dig into the raw campaign finance reports will, is his money from particular industries still comes from individual donors, not PACs or bundlers.  Obama received only about $25000 from oil industry employees, while receiving nearly twice as much from the employees of alternative energy industry.  McCain received nearly 20 times as much money the oil industry, and most of his funds come from maxed out donors and PAC money.  Hillary's finance numbers look better than McCain's, be she still has a much larger pool of maxed out donors and a decent chunk of PAC funding.

The following links can help if you really want to dig into the details of how each candidate finances their campaigns.  While there is not complete transparency in our current system, the available data definitely shows a contrast between the candidates.  The way most of Obama's contributions come from low dollar donors, it is clear he is not in the pocket of special interests.

www.opensecrets.org

www.fec.gov/disclosure.shtml

If you want to see where a man's loyalties lie, just look at who signs his paycheck.

by protothad 2008-05-15 08:42AM | 0 recs
Re: That's intellectually dishonest

Sorry, but what those articles tell me is that obama has gotten a lot of money from those two industries, so I think it's high time his supporters stop deluding themselves about this guy.

I'm not blaming him for taking the money.  You have to in politics now. IT is not his or Clinton's or McCain's fault that it costs a fortune now to run for political office and that in order to be able to do so, you have to sell your soul a little bit.

But I am sick and tired of the obama as saint and goody-goody non-politician BS.  It's why a lot of people say of Clinton that she's more honest in her dishonesty.

Btw, those articles also say nothing about individual donors from those industries and indeed indicate that the money is from and on behalf of the industries, so you are fixing the facts to suit the agenda.

by Juno 2008-05-15 08:49AM | 0 recs
Re: That's intellectually dishonest

Those articles are making the classic mistake of saying contributions from employees of an industry are the same as contributions from the industry itself.  If those contributions are organized by a PAC or a bundler, that might be true, but it is incorrect as a blanket statement.  It is even possible that people writing this type of article know that and are being purposely deceptive to trash the Dems.

The point is, you MUST look at the raw campaign finance numbers to get a more accurate picture.  That is the definitive source that can assure you Obama received no PAC money.  You can see for yourself how much of his money came from maxed out donors and how much from small donors (i.e. a donation from a CEO is not the same as a donation from a guy in the mail room).  I am not saying that Obama is perfect or that Clinton is a tool of special interests, but an objective look at the numbers shows that he is in fact better on this issue than she is... and they are both definitely better than McCain.

Peace

by protothad 2008-05-15 09:11AM | 0 recs
Re: That's intellectually dishonest

The articles say nothing about the money coming from individual employees. You are making an assumption to back up your preconceived notion.

The article clearly states that it is and INDUSTRY thing, not an individual thing.

by Juno 2008-05-15 09:18AM | 0 recs
I am going to try one more time, and then stop

The article is not authoritative.  The actual campaign finance disclosures that the candidates are legally required to create ARE authoritative.  I am basing my opinion on my examination of the raw data, the actual legal disclosures... not some reporter's flawed interpretation of them.

Obama gets his funds from individual donors.  Those donations can be lumped into industries based on where the donors work, but that is not the same as receiving money from a registered lobbyist or political action committee.  Those differences are laid bare in the finance report and it is clear Obama is getting money only from individual donors.  While it is possible to skirt campaign finance law using bundlers to disguise donations, those show up as a large number of maxed out donors, and again, Obama's campaign finance filings make it very clear he has far fewer of those than other candidates.

Again.  I am basing this on the ACTUAL CAMPAIGN FINANCE DISCLOSERS, not an article containing someone else's spin on them.

I encourage you to go to the web sites I listed earlier and poke around.  They are very illuminating.

Thanks.

by protothad 2008-05-15 09:39AM | 0 recs
Re: That's intellectually dishonest

How much of a tool to anyone could a two-year senator be?

Once again, we see his lack of a record being used as evidence of his doing or not doing something.

Fallacious argument.

by Juno 2008-05-15 09:19AM | 0 recs
Re: Edward's anti-lobbyist stance

Again, I really need to see evidence of that.  From what I see, most of his contributions come from small dollar donors.  If he was receiving money from special interests, it would show up in the reports, either as explicit PAC contributions or as an unusually high number of maxed out donors (a sure sign of bundlers).  That is just not what you find.  Indeed, his average contribution was under $100 last I checked.

Compare that to what you find with Clinton and McCain.  Their reports paint a very different picture.

by protothad 2008-05-15 08:18AM | 0 recs
Please provide your evidence of this

I've looked at his campaign finance information rather closely and I have no idea what you are basing that statement on.  It smacks of the sort of FUD the Republicans would float just to undercut the opposition's strength.

by protothad 2008-05-15 08:11AM | 0 recs
Re: Please provide your evidence of this

I did. It's below.

by Juno 2008-05-15 08:21AM | 0 recs
Re: Please provide your evidence of this

Actually, its above with the way the posts have been threaded, but thanks.  I appreciate being able to discuss these issues in a civil manner like this.

Cheers.

by protothad 2008-05-15 08:50AM | 0 recs
unfortunately, not that nobel

Obama paid of Edwards' campaign debt and gave him a few million for JRE's "causes".

Money can buy you a lot of things...I guess even endorsements!  Also, anyone who backs Obama gets his donor list of 1.5 million people.

by 4justice 2008-05-15 07:40AM | 0 recs
Re: unfortunately, not that nobel
Unfortunately, you have your facts wrong. The maximum the Obama campaign could give to the Edwards campaign is $2300, just like everyone else. This was discussed extensively when there was talk about Obama helping to retire Clinton's campaign debt. He can hold joint fundraisers, suggest to his donors to contribute to the other person but he can't directly give more than what's legally allowed.
by kjblair2 2008-05-15 09:57AM | 0 recs
Edwards delegates

What kinds of voters do you think Edwards is talking about? Because I think Edwards fights for the left behind poor whites that Hillary seems to be getting and the poor left behind blacks that Obama is getting.  Both Clinton AND Obama are fighting for the under represented!

Those delegates are going to support someone that furthers the cause of Edwards, regardless of who they choose.

All we know is that McCain will leave them all behind.

by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 06:40AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Yea those 3 delegates would be a real coup for Hillary!

The parrot is dead.

by TimO 2008-05-15 05:21AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Having said all this, the day that Hillary becomes the nominee if that should come to pass, the "Hillary '08" sign goes up in my front yard and I'll post a picture of it for your viewing pleasure.

by TimO 2008-05-15 06:00AM | 0 recs
Ditto TimO
HRC wins the nomination, the sign goes up.
Obama wins, then I would love HRC as VP
Obama picks someone else, then how about HRC replacing Reid!
by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 06:43AM | 0 recs
Re: Ditto TimO

Pardon me but Harry Reid is doing a fine job.

by Trey Rentz 2008-05-15 07:13AM | 0 recs
Ehhhh

if the party had held tight for FISA, I'd agree with you.  Caving on that was really disappointing.  Good for Pelosi and the house Dems.

by Rorgg 2008-05-15 07:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Ditto TimO

Reid is a good tactician but Horrrible spokesman!

We need someone that can work the press alot better.  Someone the press goes to for a solid sound bite.

When Sports casters want the money quote they go to Charles Barkley not Tim Duncan.

When they wanted the boxing quote they went to Ali or foreman not mumbling Joe Frasier.

The country needs to hear how f*cked the GOP is not a rambling treatise on Senate procedures.

I like Reid but he shouldn't be the front man.

We need our version of "The Hammer" without the corruption of course.

by TimO 2008-05-15 07:42AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

I'd like to hear your thoughts on Hillary's path to the nomination.  There must be something you know that I don't.  She needs an overwhelming number of delegates to win.  

What insider information do you have that makes you think this is possible?

I'm not being snarky or rude... I really want to get an idea what is going on in Clinton supporters' heads.

by LordMike 2008-05-15 09:15AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates
All you Hillary supporters are nothing but cry babies. Your girl lost  so you want to screw up the country for another 4 years with McCain.
Enjoy your war with Iran and sec of state Joe Lieberman!
by JOEL1954 2008-05-15 06:24AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

you're mean

by danfromny 2008-05-15 06:27AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Yet more of that class and grace and unity stuff from Obama world, I guess.

So, how is this unity thing going to happen?

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:30AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Every campaign has supporters who act like assholes  Considering Obama has the support of a slim plurality of Democratic voters, there's probably millions of em.  Just as there are millions of Clinton supporters who are assholes.  

That shouldn't matter one whit in terms of voting.  

by telephasic 2008-05-15 06:35AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Some weird dichotomy though, I noticed. Many Obama supporters are assholes, while many assholes are Clinton supporters.

by danfromny 2008-05-15 06:39AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

No, but it matters in terms of negating Obama's message and rendering his own call for unity a failure.

by Juno 2008-05-15 06:52AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

No, it matters more because it bothers YOU.

I saw you, in Jerome's "preening" thread.  It was a totally scurrilous, disgusting attack, and who were you angry with?  The people who took offense.

Try to be more even-handed?

by Jordache 2008-05-15 06:56AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Lol.

My comment on the preening thread was that there was nothing offensive (about Obama) in that video and I didn't quite understand why it was up there.

Ouch!  Me and my vicious attacks on Obama!

Btw, that video and using it as a thread might have been silly, but it was not a vicious, scurrilous attack on Obama.

Try some proportionality.

by Juno 2008-05-15 07:06AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Jerome was comparing Obama to Bush.  That's fairly vicious.

Like I said this stuff bothers Obama supporters a great deal.  It does not bother you because you are not an Obama supporter.  You probably don't even notice it.

Hence your feeling that Clinton is owed all kinds of apologies.  It's human nature, but I'm honestly asking you to put yourself in other people's shoes.

by Jordache 2008-05-15 07:26AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Let's try this again.

I am not an Obama supporter, but I did express confusing as to what was so damning toward Obama in that video.

I've defended Obama on numerous occasions, and have, from the start, said that I think he'd be a great nominee for Secretary of State, that is talents are better suited there.

I've only seen Hillary Clinton dragged through the mud, even booed last night at the Edwards announcement, by Obama's supporters even as they claim to be uniters and inspired to a better politic.

I can't tell you the things I've been called on liberal blogs by Obama supporters. Pretty obscene stuff.

And I've seen a lot of similarities in Obama's style to Bush's, not in ideology but in style and attitude, including creating a following of people utterly full of hubris (applying one standard to their candidate and an entirely different one to everyone else, as you do here), and intolerance and rage at any criticism or challenge leveled at their candidate.  It's kind of creeped me out and made me ask why Americans need to have a savior figure as their leader.

Yes, Obama citing Scripture and using a preacher voice and his arrogance are among the traits I've seen that remind me of Bush.  People listed numerous traits. There have been many.

Does it mean he'll enact the same policies as Bush?  Of course not.  If I thought he would, he wouldn't have a prayer of getting my vote.

And btw, I think all the accusations of racism and race baiting directed at the Clintons have been pretty offensive, so six of one, half dozen of antother.

by Juno 2008-05-15 07:41AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

btw, according to some Obama supporters here, Jerome (and Rhandi Rhodes) are not surrogates of their candidates, so they can say what they want and it can in no way be deemed offensive or evidence of anything having to do with the candidate.

I happen to disagree, but that's the Obaman argument.

by Juno 2008-05-15 07:57AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates
Joel, presumably you won. turn the other cheek and accept them into the fold, if they will come.
Sincerely,
Alec
by alectimmerman 2008-05-15 06:44AM | 0 recs
donut courtesy

of an Obama backer.  You're not helping anyone here, least of all yourself.  There are acceptable and rational ways of expressing the sentiment.  Name-calling is not one of them.

by Rorgg 2008-05-15 07:28AM | 0 recs
Re: More About Those Edwards Delegates

Bill Clinton was #3 behind Perot and Bush Sr. at this juncture in 1992. Based on that fact, we can conclude that the various state polls mentioned as a way of downgrading Obama's chances in November are also unerringly accurate.

by joeldanwalls 2008-05-15 08:05AM | 0 recs
Release the hounds

You need an update.  The dam has broke:

Super Delegates:

Obama +4
Rep. Jim McDermott (D-WA)
Larry Cohen, the president of the Communication Workers of America and a super-delegate from D.C.
Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA)
Rep. Howard Berman (D-CA)

Pledged Delegates:

Obama +7 from Edwards' Delegates.  
Reportedly the breakdown is
(1) - NH
(6) - SC

Daniel Boan, Christine Brennan-Bond, Robert Groce, Susan Smith, Mike Evatt and Lauren Bilton are the South Carolina Edwards Pledged Delegates confirmed by CNN as supporting Obama.  

Endorsements:

Obama:  United Steelworkers Union

by Piuma 2008-05-15 09:31AM | 0 recs
Re: Release the hounds

WOW, as of this morning we have 11 new delegates for Obama, and it's been only half a day since the Edwards endorsement.  

by haystax calhoun 2008-05-15 09:39AM | 0 recs
It's getting more and more likely

that he'll reach the 2025 before the DNC makes their decision, which means it's a virtual impossibility that the would do anything that would be seen as taking an extant victory away from him.

With the combined eleven delegates today, he needs 126 to capture the nomination under the 2025 threshold. There are 15 day between now and May 30. at 4-5/day (which could be conservative), he would have amassed 60-75 SDs; split the difference, say 68, and he needs 58 more pledged delegates. In the contests between now and then he's likely to get 18 (Kentucky) and 46 (Oregon). 58-18=40. 40-46=victory.

by bookish 2008-05-15 10:22AM | 0 recs
Re: It's getting more and more likely

Good point.  I'm right there with you on that, but your number for Oregon is not right.  Maybe 36, but still enough to put him over.

by haystax calhoun 2008-05-15 10:31AM | 0 recs
Looked at the wrong delegate count

for Oregon. My bad. Nonetheless, I expect he'll get more like 5-6/day (more if he gets one more high profile nod, say Gore), so, yeah, he can probably meet the standing number before the committee gets the chance to up it.

by bookish 2008-05-15 10:41AM | 0 recs
Re: Looked at the wrong delegate count

Meeting theat number before May 30th is critical, as much as the HRC team has been trying to recast the number as 2210.  Their problem is that the supers know that the HRC team is being disingenuous, as HRC and her top advisors and campaign managers have frequntly cited the 2025 number throughout the first half of the campaign.  On top of that, you have McAuliffe advocating against counting Michigan's delegates back in 2004 for the very reason he is asking Michigan to be counted as is in 2008.  These guys spin too wildly to be taken seriously anymore.

by haystax calhoun 2008-05-15 11:00AM | 0 recs
Re: Looked at the wrong delegate count

I think they realize that that's the best way to "close it out." It will make me nervous, but the way he's been strategically rolling out the SDs, I wouldn't be surprised if we see 4-5/day until the Oregon vote is over. At that point, he'll have given Clinton the chance to retire gracefully with WV and KY under her belt. I'll bet that if she doesn't retire that evening, we'll see a crazy number of SDs on the following Wednesday, and there on out.

by bookish 2008-05-15 12:15PM | 0 recs
The parrot nailed it!

That sounds EXACTLY like Obama's speech. Yes we can, yes we can, yes we can, etc, etc, etc.

by soyousay 2008-05-15 10:18AM | 0 recs

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