Nebraska Caucuses Violate the "Spirit" of DNC Rules

Interesting debate bumped, jerome

On the front page of MyDD today, there are some who are touting the win of Scott Kleeb over Tony Raimondo in the Nebraska Democratic U.S. Senate primary [Source:  5/13/2008 MyDD blog "Scott Kleeb Wins Nebraska Democratic Senate Primary!"].

Let me begin by congratulating Scott Kleeb on becoming the Democratic Party of Nebraska's U.S. Senate nominee.  I wish him much luck in November.

Now, look at the vote totals for that primary...

...In the U.S. Senate race, more than 90,000 people participated in that Democratic primary.  Just to put that number into perspective, in the February 9th Nebraska Democratic Presidential Caucuses, less than half of the people (38,571) who voted in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary participated in the caucuses [Source:  2/10/2008 Nebraska Democratic Party 2008 Presidential Caucus Results].

To put things into further perspective, if Nebraska had held a primary instead of a caucus to choose its national convention delegates, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama would have been virtually tied.  Below are the results of Nebraska's Democratic Presidential Preference Primary:

Democrat - President 

Hillary Clinton - 43,614 or 47%
Mike Gravel -  3,864 or 4%
Barack Obama 46,279 or 49%

Source:  5/13/2008 Unofficial Nebraska Presidential Preference Primary Results

Now you know I've got to pull out my trusty Democratic National Convention Delegate Selection Rule book and cite y'all some rules.  It's what I do.
Rule 2.A

Participation in the delegate selection process shall be open to all voters who wish to participate as Democrats.

Rule 3.A

All official Party meetings and events related to the national convention delegate selection process, including caucuses, conventions, committee meetings, filing dates, and Party enrollment periods, shall be scheduled for dates, times and public places which would be most likely to encourage the participation of all Democrats, and must begin and end at reasonable hours.

Rule 3.B

All such meetings or events which are the first meeting or event in the delegate selection process shall be scheduled at times and dates which are uniform throughout the state, except where it is established by the state party and approved by the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee that such uniform times and dates would significantly reduce participation in the delegate selection process.

The short summary of these rules is that the Democratic Party of the United States A.) wants the delegate selection process to be open to all persons who wish to be known as Democrats; and B.) expressly prohibits the scheduling of delegate selection meetings that would "significantly reduce participation in the delegate selection process."

Now you tell me...with 38,571 Democrats participating in the Nebraska presidential caucuses and 93,757 Democrats participating in the Nebraska presidential preference primary, which method A.) opens the process to all persons wishing to be known as Democrats; B.) encourages the participation of all Democrats; and C.) does not significantly reduce participation in the delegate selection process.

Now I know what the 20,000 screaming Obama-maniacs would say. They'd say that rules are rules and Sen. Obama won the Nebraska caucuses.

But I would suggest that when more people participate in a so-called "meaningless" primary that doesn't count than participated in caucuses that did count, we know which process encourages the participation of all Democrats and which process allows a candidate to "game the system" in his favor.

Tags: Nebraska (all tags)

Comments

251 Comments

Tips & Recs for Eliminating Caucuses...

by Andre Walker 2008-05-13 10:06PM | 0 recs
Tipped and Rec'd
This is such an unsettling theme. Thank you for pointing this all back to how absolutely undemocratic caucuses are- directly from the mouth of the party.
by linc 2008-05-13 11:01PM | 0 recs
by Yalin 2008-05-14 06:30AM | 0 recs
Re: Tips & Recs for Eliminating

About a decade ago I moved to Iowa.  Caucuses amused me at first.  Well, they still do because they are a weird thing.  Plus it's a lot of fun to meet presidential candidates.  Not just watch at a rally - MEET.

At first I thought - wow, the democratic process in action.  Some long-time Iowans taught me differently.  They pointed out that fewer people can participate in a caucus than an election.  My caucus this year was outside of town.  Without a car, you would be sunk.  There was no elevator in the building but we had to go upstairs.  If you had mobility issues... SOL.  Also, people who have night jobs (no, it's not all that easy for the working class to get paid time off for this process) are SOL, as well as parents who can't afford a babysitter for several hours on caucus night.  The list of who canNOT participate is long and worrisome.

I'm all for eliminating caucuses, and I have felt that way for eight years now.

by Montague 2008-05-14 03:44AM | 0 recs
Don't forget Military personnel

serving overseas.  That there is no way for them to vote and participate, by itself, is a stain on the process of caucuses.

Can you imagine?  This is the most exciting and close primary election in a long time, and the soldier fighting overseas for the country does NOT have a choice of casting a ballot for his candidate in a caucus?  A vote on who should be CIC, a vote with a huge impact on his/her life, and on his family?

It's a bloody shame.

by ghost 2 2008-05-14 05:52AM | 0 recs
And Obama had zero say in how the Democratic

primaries and caucuses were set up, unlike say the Clintons and their friends, notably Harold Ickes. Complaining you don't like how the system you helped set up works (and complaining only after you don't like the results) comes off as transparently disengenuous.

by DSloth 2008-05-14 07:01AM | 0 recs
Did you read what I wrote?

I decided 8 years ago that it's a sucky system.  I'm not saying anything about who does and doesn't get helped.  Caucuses are not democratic.  Furthermore, Iowa never seems to produce the winner in the general, not on the Dem side.

by Montague 2008-05-14 08:46AM | 0 recs
This is not about blame

This is about which type of venue is more representative and appropriate.  According to USA Today, the voter participation rate in Super Tuesday primaries was about five times higher than the participation in Super Tuesday caucuses.  This is the third example (the others being Texas and Washington State) of a primary result being markedly different than a caucus result in the same state.

What possible advantage is there in having this many states selecting their delegates by a less representative process?  

by lombard 2008-05-14 11:28AM | 0 recs
Re: And Obama had zero say in how the Democratic

Sorry, late answer.

However, if you read my post, I say nothing about Obama.  I am only stating how unfair caucuses are and that they should be changed.  

Obviously, this is about changing them for the next election, not this one.  

by ghost 2 2008-05-14 07:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Don't forget Military personnel

Thanks for pointing that out.  There is no "absentee" caucusing, which leaves out anyone who is out of town that night, or too sick to spend 3 hours at a caucus, or is serving in the military, etc.

by Montague 2008-05-14 08:44AM | 0 recs
Re: Don't forget Military personnel

Caucus is more about those who CAN attend, than ensuring that ALL should be able to attend.

The list of those who cannot attend is endless: single parents, shift workers including police, nurses, and firefighters, the elderly, the disable, and anyone without a ride/means to get themselves to the caucus site.

Who can afford to take 3 hours off in a mid-week evening, and then also have the means to get to a caucus site?

by ghost 2 2008-05-14 07:33PM | 0 recs
Re: Tips & Recs for Eliminating

Not all caucuses have the same rules.  For example, Maine has caucuses but has an absentee ballot system allowing votes to be cast without attending.  

I would not be opposed if states that currently have caucuses changed to a primary system.  However, the purpose of a caucus is more than just taking a straw poll.  It is intended to be a forum for COMMITTED PARTY MEMBERS to consider who the best candidate for the target general election might be.  It may or may not actually succeed in doing that, but consider the current "Operation Chaos" kerfuffle.  It is much less likely that that sort of gaming of the system will work in a caucus, since the players have to show up and actually interact socially with the other party members.

The party rules cannot be construed as being intended to disallow a caucus because when they were adopted many states had caucuses.  Do you think there wouldn't have been a large controversy at the time, resulting in an all primary system if that were the intent?  The rules are meant to make the scheduling and procedures of a caucus or of a primary fair.  A venue without handicapped access is obviously a rules violation, just as a primary voting place with such problems would be.

by texasobserver 2008-05-14 08:57AM | 0 recs
Re: Tips & Recs for Eliminating

I do understand about the partial reasons for the caucus system.  

But if you want COMMITTED PARTY MEMBERS then why should anyone and their dog show up on caucus night and be permitted to go in and vote, committed Democratic or no?

As an attendee of three separate caucuses now, I can tell you that you do NOT know all your friends and neighbors, and there are always people at caucus that you have never seen before, but it would be gauche to try to suggest some of them don't belong.

Re: disabled access, I found it very strange, but no one said anything.  There was one guy on crutches and he managed with difficulty to negotiate the stairs.  The party was expecting big attendance and they scrambled for places.   Our district got the worst part of the deal, a truly third-rate choice.  A huge number of people never before seen at caucus were there.  Inside caucuses, I've seen party leaders who don't know/follow the rules and who are running the caucus do things that are clearly questionable, but everybody wants to get the eff outta there and go home after a few hours, so no one says anything.  I've seen paid staff from other states rounding up the votes - not this year - completely against the rules which I didn't know at the time but discovered later.  I myself have had to school some leaders at caucus.

I could go on, but it would take forever.  One more thing I'd like to mention is that Iowa propelled Kerry forward in 2004 and Obama in 2008.  Kerry turned out a bad choice in the GE, and I believe the same will occur with Obama.  Iowa has yet to make the choice that wins the White House, not including incumbents and sitting VPs who run in the primary.  Iowa has made the wrong choice in 1976, 1984, 1988, 1992, 1996 and 2004. That makes the system appear broken to me, if its intent is to help get a Democrat in the White House.

by Montague 2008-05-14 11:56AM | 0 recs
One note ...

If Nebraska used these primary results to allocate delegates (and did not use a caucus), the primary results would not necessarily be the same.

For example, Scott Kleeb got high turnout from his base in CD-3 which is the large western rural area of Nebraska. Hillary could be expected to do better here than in the more densely populated CD-2 and CD-1. This could inflate Hillary's numbers in the primary results.

Obviously primaries get higher turnout than caucuses becuase they are easier. But if this primary "counted", how do we know that the Dem turnout would not be 120,000 instead of 90,000. People did not show up to this primary to support a president, but other candidates on the ticket. Obviously, if the election counted for president  then the results could be remarkably different.

by Paranoid Humanoid 2008-05-14 04:30AM | 0 recs
Re: One note ...

Exactly.  When people know the primary doesn't count, lots of people just stay home, and we just can't know how that affects the outcome.  Here in WA, for example, my whole family stayed home from the meaningless primary, because the delegates had already been distributed in the caucus 2 weeks earlier.

by travelerkaty 2008-05-14 05:20AM | 0 recs
Re: One note ...

This is such a blindingly obvious point that it makes me a little sad it needs to be made. There is plenty wrong with caucuses, but plenty more wrong with using a beauty contest vote that everyone knows in advance won't count to try to prove anything.

by Mullibok 2008-05-14 06:21AM | 0 recs
Re: One note ...

Having a caucus and THEN having a primary later on seems a kind of insanity that makes the Iowa caucuses appear almost sane by comparison.

by Montague 2008-05-14 11:59AM | 0 recs
understanding the rules

Now I know what the 20,000 screaming Obama-maniacs would say. They'd say that rules are rules and Sen. Obama won the Nebraska caucuses.

In your rush once again to paint Obama's supporters as somehow insane, you conflate two points: what the rules are and what the rules should be.

Repeatedly on these boards I have seen Obama supporters agree with the notion that the primary/caucus process needs updating, clarifying, improving, what have you. I think many of us would like to see a more transparent type of contest regardless of which candidate we back.

But that doesn't change the fact that, as you so disparagingly put it, the rules are the rules.

Both candidates were (or should have been) aware of the rules before going into the contest. They both had the same rule books from each of the states to go by. That being the case, how can you claim that one candidate was able to 'game the system,' when the truth is that one candidate simply better understood how the system works.

Face it, Obama played a better game. That's why he's had the lead in pledged delegates throughout the ENTIRE campaign.

by vadasz 2008-05-14 04:36AM | 0 recs
Re: understanding the rules

I am a strong Obama supporter, but I agree with the post suggesting that caucus results are less representative than primaries.  However, if we want to complain about undemocratic practices, perhaps we should start with the entirely undemocratic practice of having superdelegates in the first place.  Why is it that around 800 party regulars are essentially allowed to choose the candidate?  Why have anyone vote at all, let's just have these superdelegates make the decision and save the rest us us ignorant states all the time and money of giving our opinion?

Look, if there were only primaries and no caucuses (caucasi?), this thing might have been won by Clinton already.  If there were no super delegates, it would have been over in March with Obama on top.  It is what it is, and because there are both caucus states and superdelegates involved, it has yet to be decided.  I think it is disingenious however to pretend that we would know the outcome if "only it has been more democratic or more inclusive to the voters".

The whole process is unfair from one perspective to another, including the fact that we don't have every state hold their vote on the same day, sparing us all the momentum roller coaster that has been the last, almost unbearable, 4 months.

by JimmyJames01 2008-05-14 05:07AM | 0 recs
Re: understanding the rules

I know that if the speed limit were to be raised on the route to my work, I would get there faster; I would save fuel and help the environment; and I would could sleep and extra 10 minutes in the morning.   (The road is safe enough and wihtout too much traffic, so safety is not a concern.)  Do you think the cop or judge will congratulate me when I decide to drive 15 MPH faster?

Of course I don't think I will work to change the speed limit, or for that matter make any public statement about it until after I get a citation.

by tominstl 2008-05-14 05:36AM | 0 recs
going faster does not save fuel

... this is why speed limits got lowered in the 1970's. They're back up again, because after the '70's, everyone stopped paying attention to them.

by RisingTide 2008-05-14 05:48AM | 0 recs
Re: going faster does not save fuel

Come ride in my car and watch the guage.  If I drive 15 miles faster on the highway I save fuel.  The car is marginally more efficient at that speed, but I also run the car engone for a shorter amount of time.

by tominstl 2008-05-14 05:54AM | 0 recs
gladly!

... will you drive me to Costco?

(I don't own a car)

by RisingTide 2008-05-14 06:22AM | 0 recs
Your car violates some fundamental properties of

physics then.

The faster a car goes the greater the wind resitance which will (marginally) reduce fuel efficiency.

by DSloth 2008-05-14 06:57AM | 0 recs
Re: Your car violates some fundamental properties

Yes wind resistance increases with speed, but so does engine efficiency.  Try driving your car at 1mph for a whole tank and see what kind of mileage you get.

Optimal fuel mileage is somewhere around 55-60mph in most cars.  Higher in sleek cars, lower in boxy cars.

by ChrisKaty 2008-05-14 07:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Your car violates some fundamental properties

So a car moving 1mph will save fuel over ve a car moving 60mph, for the distance of a mile? What about a car moving 1/4mph over the distance of a mile?

Probably there are other factors involved apart from wind resistance ;-)

by reenactor 2008-05-14 07:23AM | 0 recs
Re: going faster does not save fuel

But then again, my original post was not really about fuel or cars anyway.

by tominstl 2008-05-14 06:03AM | 0 recs
It can be.

Wonkish explanation of opposing factors:

1. To maintain speed, a car's propulsion has to act against ground and air friction.  Air friction is dominant at higher speeds, and actually increases with the square of the speed.  Which means that driving 20% faster will cost about 44% more fuel.

2. Car engine "thrust coupling" (not sure of the exact term) is optimized for certain speeds, depending on the engine.  A Porsch might get better mileage at 100mph than a Toyota Echo, for example.  As I understand for most passenger cars it's optimal at just under 60mph.  This is why highway driving is more efficient than city driving, even apart from the wasteful idling and breaking you do in the city.

So, depending on your car aerodynamics and engine design, you may save fuel up to a certain speed before the wind resistance effect becomes dominant.

by corph 2008-05-14 06:10AM | 0 recs
Re: It can be.

Shame on me for buying a performance car built for speed!

by tominstl 2008-05-14 06:15AM | 0 recs
Yeah if you're gonna speed anyway

it's best to go with a muscle car.  But you're not gonna out-mileage the Echo chugging along at 50.

by corph 2008-05-14 07:12AM | 0 recs
Wahh! More Sour Grapes

We all (should) know that primaries that don't count aren't a fair indication of anything, as many would be voters stay home.

by Lefty Coaster 2008-05-14 04:56AM | 0 recs
The DNC pays for caucuses

the state has to pay for primaries.

I love how you guys keep denigrating the process whenever it suits your fancy.

Caucuses also help ensure that there is no Rush Limbaugh effect.

It takes more of a commitment, and you get to network with your democratic neighbors and build the party, which was the original goal of having them in the first place, a sort of social neighborhood gathering of democrats.

by missliberties 2008-05-14 05:28AM | 0 recs
Re: The DNC pays for caucuses

What difference does it make who pays for them?  The goal here isn't to make sure that only the committed activists (like all of us here) get a say - any Democrat should get the opportunity to help decide who the nominee will be.

I'm a firm believer in closed primaries - any Democrat who wishes can vote by secret ballot. Elections aren't about networking and social gatherings, and we should be lowering the bar for participation in elections, not raising it.

Your thoughts on caucuses seem entirely in opposition to your signature line.

by Denny Crane 2008-05-14 05:47AM | 0 recs
Re: The DNC pays for caucuses
What difference does it make who pays for them?

Some people might think that it is wrong to have the taxpayers of a state pay for an election for a political party.  Political parties are essentially private institutions.
by you like it 2008-05-14 06:18AM | 0 recs
Re: The DNC pays for caucuses

What an absurd thing to say:

Caucuses also help ensure that there is no Rush Limbaugh effect.

Why?

Also, your candidate was the one who openly asked republicans to be democrats for a day and vote for him.  

Your hypocrisy knows no bounds and no shame.

by ghost 2 2008-05-14 05:55AM | 0 recs
Re: The DNC pays for caucuses

Your hyperboles know no bounds ;)

by kasjogren 2008-05-14 06:53AM | 0 recs
Re: The DNC pays for caucuses

Voting rights were fought for and won just so EVERYONE could get to vote, in secret, for her or his choice. Not just so activists who have more time to network can bring their buds to caucus.

The right to vote, in secret, with just you and your conscience in that booth, is what democracy is all about. Making the choice you think is best, in private, without intimidation -- and that doesn't spell caucus.

Caucuses are inherently anti-democratic. And any progressive knows this in her/his heart.

The Democratic party needs to end caucuses, superdelegates, the proportional system, and get back to a fair, all-inclusive way of choosing nominees.

by cuppajoe 2008-05-14 09:27AM | 0 recs
obakasama!

I bow to your very earnest wisdom, and hope that you find many diamonds in Chelm.

by RisingTide 2008-05-14 05:49AM | 0 recs
Thank you! Thank you!

If it had not been for you I would have missed a critically important aspect of being a Jew of Polish decent.  I have already berated my father for not informing me of this great term (Chelm) and I will now cherish it.

by nklein 2008-05-14 06:19AM | 0 recs
Several problems here....

There are several problems with your post.

1) Obama has more primary wins that Hillary Clinton does.

2) Caucus counts aren't 1:1 with popular vote. They are delegate selectors.

In other words, there are several caucus states where a single 'vote' is actually representative of 5-10 people. Sometimes up to 20.

You can't state that 38,000+ votes in the caucuses is 1/3 of the votes received in the primary.

Hope this information doesn't ruin your meme too much.

by Yalin 2008-05-14 06:28AM | 0 recs
Several problems here, and offensive!
Now I know what the 20,000 screaming Obama-maniacs would say. They'd say that rules are rules and Sen. Obama won the Nebraska caucuses.

This kind of tone, bashing the supporters of the "eventual Democratic nominee", does not belong on the front page of a "Democratic blog". It's offensive.

This diary does not help anyone understand the caucuses better. It spreads more disinformation about how few people participate in caucuses. Sure, it's less, but you make a great point about how the votes are tallied. It also shoots a big hole in Hillary's "popular vote argument". If you take into consideration the actual participation in caucuses, Obama's popular vote margin is even greater than most people acknowledge...

I feel sorry for the Hillary supporters here. Your candidate is losing and it's almost over. EVERYONE running should have known the rules for each state before the campaigns started. Obama's team studied the rules; Hillary's team was not ready... That's why I don't think Hillary is ready to be president or vice president.

by power of truth 2008-05-14 07:48AM | 0 recs
Go ahead and make your case for eliminating them

I've seen so far that they...

* Increase participation

Which is fine.  But, let's not forget that caucuses have some positives too:

* They help build party strength, especially in more rural states where the party is thinner on the ground
* They give a second dimension by which to measure the overall strength of a candidate

Since it takes more effort and time to caucus, you get the people who are able and willing to spend more effort and time -- and those people are likely to again be willing to spend more effort and time (and money) in the general election.  It's another measure of candidate strength.

I see your case -- increasing participation is a good thing, no doubt about it.  But it's not the ONLY thing, and pretending otherwise is at best myopic.

by Rorgg 2008-05-14 06:36AM | 0 recs
Re: Tips & Recs for Eliminating Caucus

When did Obama call the white working class racists?  Please provide a citation.

by texasobserver 2008-05-14 09:03AM | 0 recs
A hell of a sidebar to tonight's WV thumping!

Truly, perhaps almost as important as Hillary's official butt-kickin' of "the likely nominee" tonight in WV, IMHO.

Adds mega-fuel to the fire surrounding the concept of taking popular vote Primary results much more seriously and credibly than caucus results.

In fact, many, including major foreign press outlets, have said for over three months that perhaps the most important argument that may be made to a superdelegate to support HRC is when you strip out the caucus results and just focus upon the numbers from the states that had bonafide Primary elections.

And, the word: "thumping" was what CNN's John King called Hillary's landslide romp over you-know-who in WV.

by bobswern 2008-05-13 10:10PM | 0 recs
Re: A hell of a sidebar to tonight's WV thumping!

If a SD were to have an interest in choosing which candidate would be the strongest in the GE, he or she might consider looking at primary performance only, especially in swing/battleground states.

Long story short, that'd be Hillary.

by Nobama 2008-05-13 11:31PM | 0 recs
Re: A hell of a sidebar to tonight's WV thumping!

If they looked at electibility and her over reliance of the Clinton Name and Gender Bias in the Democratic primary, where both those things were an advantage.  They would realize what an utter failure she would be in a general election matchup where they are not.

by Tumult 2008-05-14 12:26AM | 0 recs
Re: A hell of a sidebar to tonight's WV thumping!

Or they might look at general election match-ups, which show that both candidates can win, just in different areas.

Primary and general election performance is not correlated (unless you want to argue that Obama will win Georgia).

by Englishlefty 2008-05-14 04:43AM | 0 recs
Yeah Yeah Yeah

All that is happening, is that Hillary is galvanizing her voters against Obama even further. That's her goal. I don't think it does the party much good, personally. I also know you don't care.

by missliberties 2008-05-14 05:30AM | 0 recs
Re: A hell of a sidebar to tonight's WV thumping!

Well, no.  In fact, you're flat wrong.

If a SD were to have an interest in choosing which candidate would be the strongest in the GE, he or she might consider looking at primary performance only, especially in swing/battleground states.

In the 31 primaries up to (but not including WV), including Texas (an amalgam) and Democrats Abroad, Senator Obama has won 18.

In the past 30 primaries (not counting Dems Abroad - for which I don't have numbers to hand but which Obama won), Senator Obama has garnered 1288 pledged delegates; Senator Clinton's total is 1262.

In the past 30 primaries (again not counting Dems Abroad), Senator Obama has won 50.5433% of the available raw vote total, while Senator Clinton has won 45.0666%.

Long story short, that'd be Hillary.

...you said.

What measurement for winning are you using?

by Jaime Frontero 2008-05-14 07:37AM | 0 recs
Re: A hell of a sidebar to tonight's WV thumping!

Adds mega-fuel to the fire surrounding the concept of taking popular vote Primary results much more seriously and credibly than caucus results.

Obama leads in delegate count if you only count primaries.

Obama leads popular vote count if you only count primaries.

by PantsB 2008-05-14 06:10AM | 0 recs
That count must exclude FL and MI

by lombard 2008-05-14 11:30AM | 0 recs
Re: That count must exclude FL and MI

Of course it does.

That would be because... they don't count.

Even The New York Times (which endorsed Senator Clinton on 1/24/08) doesn't include them.

The people who wrote the Party rules that exclude FL & MI, work for Senator Clinton.

Why would you include states where...

The voters were told not to vote, and that their votes wouldn't count if they did?

All candidates weren't on the ballots?

The Party agreed, and the candidates pledged that the delegates would not be seated?

Call it a quirk of mine, but my feeling is that we're Democrats.  We believe in rules, and in enforcing those rules.

Or we might as well be Republicans...

by Jaime Frontero 2008-05-14 12:59PM | 0 recs
Re: A hell of a sidebar to tonight's WV thumping!

"you-know-who"?  What, is he freakin Voldemort?  You Clinton fans are getting more and more out there every day.

by kasjogren 2008-05-14 06:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Finishes Within 2 Points of Obama in N

I proposed earlier that Clinton should try to get the WA and TX delegations seated based solely on their primary results, but that was ruthlessly hammered upon by Obama supporters, so I don't think you will get much sympathy here, though that is not what you are proposing.

by RJEvans 2008-05-13 10:16PM | 0 recs
Nope, just point out that caucuses inherently...

...Violate the spirit of Rules 2.A, 3.A, and 3.B which A.) states the delegate selection process is open to all whom wish to be known as Democrats; B.) seeks to encourage the participation of all Democrats; and C.) expressly prohibits the scheduling of delegate selection meetings that "would significantly reduce participation in the delegate selection process."

Now I know what the 20,000 screaming Obama-maniacs would say.  They'd say that rules are rules and Sen. Obama won the Nebraska caucuses.  

But I would suggest that when more people participate in a so-called "meaningless" primary that doesn't count than participated in caucuses that did count, we know which process encourages the participation of all Democrats and which process allows a candidate to "game the system" in his favor.

by Andre Walker 2008-05-13 10:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Nope, just point out that caucuses

Surely you're familiar with the concept of aspirational principles.  One could just as easily argue that all primaries that do not permit same-day registration also run contrary to the spirit of at least A) and B).  Should we chuck the results of all but those as well?

by rfahey22 2008-05-13 11:20PM | 0 recs
Re: Nope, just point out that caucuses

It's a question of degree.

We can't toss out a state because there was a snowstorm but we can discredit it when it consciously adopts a fraud-prone and voter-unfriendly form of administering an election.  

by BPK80 2008-05-13 11:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Nope, just point out that caucuses

I'm sure that you're smart enough to see the distinction between a random act of nature and a contest where both the candidates and the voters knew the rules ahead of time and which, historically, the voters of certain states have approved of.  If the system is good enough for the people of Nebraska, doesn't that suggest that it's not as "fraud-prone and voter-unfriendly" as you claim?  And, shouldn't they be the ones who make that call?

by rfahey22 2008-05-13 11:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Nope, just point out that caucuses

There in fact may be a discussion of whether the system is good enough for the people of Nebraska.  Architect of the NE caucus as much admitted that the move to a caucus was an experiment last night:

"Vince Powers, the Nebraska Democratic Party official who pushed for this year's caucus vote, said there will most likely be much discussion both in Nebraska and nationally on what form the next nominating process should take."

by wasanyonehurt 2008-05-14 04:38AM | 0 recs
Fraud prone is primaries..

sorry, but for all the folks who think that a Republican should NEVER be allowed to vote in a Democratic contest -- Dauphin County has more democrats than republicans now. 30 days before, they registered.

When it's just show up and cast a vote, it is more fraud prone.

That said, i think that both have flaws, and that some of the arguments here are disingenous. From what I tracked in Iowa, most candidates offered rides, and not just to their own supporters. Yes, this still didn't help those on EMT duty, but there are better ways than junking the whole system.

If you want to be conservative, that is. ;-)

by RisingTide 2008-05-14 05:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Fraud prone is primaries..

Didn't help those that were working as waitresses, janitors, night watchpersons, nurses, or that were taking care of the elderly in their families, or other family members either.

There are legions of people that caucuses just don't work for, legions.

The primaries we had in Arkansas were great. Almost an entire week, all day long, so you could pick a day and time that worked for you. There was also no intimidation, privacy, and it was very quick. Only took a few minutes, instead of HOURS.

Why ANYONE would want to do it any other way is beyond me, unless you want to CUT OUT a whole bunch of people, ESPECIALLY those in the lower financial classes.

by splashy 2008-05-14 10:08PM | 0 recs
2nd Diary on the same subject, in the last hour

Hmmmm.

what a coincidence!!!

Hillary44.com or Taylor??

by Al Rodgers 2008-05-13 10:23PM | 0 recs
Opps, I was wrong

it's not the 2nd diary on the same subject, within the last hour.

no.

It's the 3rd diary on the same subject, withing the last hour.

whatta coincidence.

by Al Rodgers 2008-05-13 10:26PM | 0 recs
Gee! Maybe that's 'cause it's...

...quite noteworthy! (And, virtually unnoticed tonight, too!) This is a story that happens to be worth three diaries! IMHO. May thirty of 'em if that's what it takes to bring it to the attention of enough people where it'll make a difference!

Then again, you can go over to DKos and read 12 diaries in 24 hours about Randi Rhodes calling Clinton and Ferraro a "fucking whore," with about 10 of those 12 being supportive of Rhodes! Now there's a story worth ten supportive tomes, right?

Has this even appeared on the MSM tonight. I didn't see jack about Nebraska on CNN tonight! What a damn shame. Time for those 30 diaries!

by bobswern 2008-05-13 10:51PM | 0 recs
Re: Gee! Maybe that's 'cause it's...

I am suprised.  The MSM usually likes to talk about meaningless things as if they are significant.  I guess they were tied up trying to read something into the WV primary that wasn't there.

They really need to invest in a Ted Strickland bobblehead, so it looks like someone agrees with them.

Follow that up with Bill Clinton, praising how Hillary's base of low information voters can't get fooled like those informed college kids, and educated voters can.

by Tumult 2008-05-13 11:30PM | 0 recs
is this Faye Dunaway?

HA!

by Al Rodgers 2008-05-13 11:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Gee! Maybe that's 'cause it's...

I call massive B.S. While there were a bunch of diaries about it on dKos (and here), almost all of the comments of the diaries were people shouting down any notion that this was acceptable. Which is pretty much what we should be doing en masse to anyone suggesting that we ignore caucus results from this election.

Change the rules for 2012, that's fine with me. But to suggest that we somehow ignore caucus results from 2008 makes all the posturing about MI and FL ten times more ridiculous. If the notion is that illegitimate elections that were conducted in the knowledge that they would not count are just fine, nothing wrong with them, no drop in turnout, no effect from lack of campaigning, etc, etc, while caucuses with full participation that everyone knew would count and the candidates participated actively in shouldn't count... that's a whole new level in disenfranchisement.

by Texas Gray Wolf 2008-05-14 05:49AM | 0 recs
Re: Gee! Maybe that's 'cause it's...

Hear Hear!

by miguelpakalns 2008-05-14 06:02AM | 0 recs
P.S. Astrotuff

fake grass roots.

it's too late to make a difference, but in the future, Peter Daou has to work on the coordination thing.

by Al Rodgers 2008-05-13 11:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Finishes Within 2 Points of Obama in N

I think her campaign should SUE the DNC.

by nikkid 2008-05-13 10:25PM | 0 recs
I'd pay to see that!

Hillary!

please sue the DNC!!

please, please, please!!!

by Al Rodgers 2008-05-13 10:27PM | 0 recs
Re: I'd pay to see that!

careful they will so declare you a troll

by Hillarywillwin 2008-05-13 11:05PM | 0 recs
Yes, by all means sue

Didn't she already threaten this tack in Texas to be sharply rebuffed? If you want the remainder of this contest to come to a screeching halt by SD, then by all means encourage your candidate to sue. I'm all for it.

by bookish 2008-05-14 04:16AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Finishes Within 2 Points of Obama in N

Here's some mojo for that idea.

I want to see her do it wearing a neck-injury collar.

by Jordache 2008-05-13 11:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Finishes Within 2 Points of Obama in N

She can't, she's broke.

by John Poet 2008-05-14 03:31AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Finishes Within 2 Points of Obama in N

her campaign is broke.  She's still filthy rich.

by semiquaver 2008-05-14 04:29AM | 0 recs
she ain't filthy rich...

she isn't a billionaire.

by RisingTide 2008-05-14 05:55AM | 0 recs
Snerk

Come on.  When exactly did "annual income in 8 figures" become "not filthy rich"?

Not that I'm putting any aspersions on it.  Hell, I'd love to pull in $10M+ a year, and you could call me filthy rich all day long.

by Rorgg 2008-05-14 06:41AM | 0 recs
Since the number of billionaires

got out of control.

Clintons, the both of them, have one chip. enough to buy a moderate company.

Hedge fund managers play with many chips.

by RisingTide 2008-05-14 06:43AM | 0 recs
Sorry,

I should have said

"She's pretty rich, but not as much as some hedge fund managers.  And she's not a billionaire.  She's kind of rich, depending on one's viewpoint."

Hmm.  not quite as zippy.

by semiquaver 2008-05-14 09:37AM | 0 recs
Try upper upper class...

or hoitytoity, if you prefer a bit of color.

by RisingTide 2008-05-14 09:44AM | 0 recs
always loved that term.

Hoity-Toity.   It sounds like a diaper-pail brand name.  I wonder what the etymology is.

by semiquaver 2008-05-14 10:01AM | 0 recs
If nothing else, this demonstrates that

It weakens Obama's argument that superdelegates should not overturn the decision of hte  "pledge delegates".

by alright 2008-05-13 10:34PM | 0 recs
because WV is a swing state?

4 years ago:

Bush won nationally by 2.46%.  He won WV by 12.86%.  He won WV by a large margin, even though, John Edwards (the son of a Mill worker) was on the ticket.

Bush won WV in 2000 by 6.33%.  He beat Gore in WV, even though Gore won the popular vote.  Even though Gore was the sitting vice president, even though Gore was a southerner, and even though Gore had a right-wing, holly-roller for a running mate.

The disproportional results prove WV is out of the mainstream.  It isn't Iowa (bush +0.67% in 2004 Gore +0.32 2000).

Congratulations on a BIG victory.  Enjoy it.

But claims that WV is a swing state, like Iowa, are not supported by GE numbers.

by Al Rodgers 2008-05-13 10:52PM | 0 recs
Re: because WV is a swing state?

West Virginia is a historically Democratic state that responds well to centrist Democrats like the Clintons but soundly rejects big-city elites like John Kerry and Barack Obama.

by BPK80 2008-05-13 11:26PM | 0 recs
Re: because WV is a swing state?

More elitist rhetoric from the camp of the $133 million dollar crowd.

by bookish 2008-05-14 04:18AM | 0 recs
Re: because WV is a swing state?

elitism is not about how much money someone has.

by TeresaInPa 2008-05-14 04:22AM | 0 recs
Then please define your meaning

What makes Obama an elitist?

by bookish 2008-05-14 04:46AM | 0 recs
Re: because WV is a swing state?

No, it's a disease which is relentlessly beaten upon by patronising demagogues because outsiders are scary and people who drink lattes are communists.

Let's not be retarded here. Elitism is about the elite, and the best way to get a place in the elite is through money. Hillary is part of the wealthy elite and mocking economists for being able to add up isn't going to change that.

by Englishlefty 2008-05-14 04:49AM | 0 recs
Re: because WV is a swing state?

How did Clinton manage to take her nine-figure income, blue-blood college educated, Chicago-born, New York City living self out of the elite category?

"elite" is a Rovian perversion.  To use it as a class warfare metric is a continuation of the divisive "dumbing down" of our culture demonstrated by the most recent 8 years. We only get Us vs. Them mentality, and we get pablum proposed as solutions.  Would it not be better to recognize the elite (those that show extraordinary expertise in a topic) as being GOOD to have as leaders?

by tominstl 2008-05-14 05:50AM | 0 recs
Re: because WV is a swing state?

Yes, and Texas was a historically democratic state until the early 80's. Things change. The last time WV was a democratic state for President was 1996. The population that voted for Bill Clinton is 12 years older and a lot of things have changed from then to now. I'm not saying it's not winnable -- the one poll that we have, nationally, shows Hillary winning it vs. McCain. I'd argue that there are issues with that poll (particularly when it was taken), but it's winnable. However, it's hardly a bellweather Democratic state any more than Texas is now. It might have been in the past; it's not now.

by Texas Gray Wolf 2008-05-14 05:55AM | 0 recs
More like out of the Obama "spinstream!"

No Democrat has won the general election since 1916 (nineteen freakin' sixteen!) without winning WV in the GE.

This is a major reality, certainly worthy of better denial and craftier spin than you're attempting to put on it here!

Add the Nebraska beauty contest results tonight, compared to the caucus results there, and there's a massive story worth spinning! Why? Because it's as credible and factual as it gets.

Unless you'd prefer letting the Republicans win the White House again, before giving the nom to HRC! Then where would you be? We couldn't be that pragmatic, could we? After all, we're DEMOCRATIS!  :-(

by bobswern 2008-05-13 10:59PM | 0 recs
More like out of the Obama "spinstream!"

Not only that: No one from EITHER party has won the presidency without a pink penis.  And that goes all the way back to the nation's founding.

by Jordache 2008-05-13 11:07PM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

No Democrat has been elected since 1912 without winning Minnesota.

Two can play this game, and mine goes back further.

by Reaper0Bot0 2008-05-13 11:11PM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

Minnesota will be blue this November regardless of the nominee.

Wisconsin and Michigan are problems though.  

by BPK80 2008-05-13 11:27PM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

Hillary is losing there, acccording to recent polling...

by LordMike 2008-05-14 04:15AM | 0 recs
Lost the Arab vote... n/t

by RisingTide 2008-05-14 05:58AM | 0 recs
Re: Lost the Arab vote... n/t

Probably.  How's she doing with the Welsh vote?  I hear they all count the same amount.

by Rorgg 2008-05-14 06:45AM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

Ignore the half assed EV maps on MyDD.  THey don't follow Polling Averages and cherry pick polls.  Obama has led nearly EVERY Wisconsin poll but 2.  THe last one was a 1 day poll favoring McCain by Rassmussen, hardly the most reputable.

by yitbos96bb 2008-05-14 04:36AM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

A Democrat has never won the White House without winning Missouri. Checkmate.

by RBH 2008-05-13 11:27PM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

May I direct you all to Lord Hadrian's excellent diary on the subject?  It's just two or three doors down from here.

by Jordache 2008-05-13 11:29PM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

That is a good diary (in terms of prep work and presentation) but the analysis there is flawed.  Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Delaware, and Massachusetts are not "safe" for Obama.

by BPK80 2008-05-13 11:31PM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

Speaking from personal knowledge, Wisconsin is not safe for Clinton, either.

by rfahey22 2008-05-13 11:38PM | 0 recs
Correct

These inherent problems for the party in Wisconsin and Michigan make it all the more compelling to align with the candidate who can insure against losing their many EV's by bringing in the big red states: Ohio and Florida.

There aren't enough Nevadas and New Mexicos on the map to offset the deathblow Obama experiences if he loses MI, WI, or PA.  Clinton winning Ohio and Florida is huge.  I think she has a realistic chance of safely putting Arkansas into the Dem column as well as West Virginia.  Based on demographics, she is stronger in Missouri and new Hampshire also.  

I think Mass eventually will align with Obama, but the "perfect storm" there is the reason he's tied with McCain in the last six out of seven polls of Mass.  

by BPK80 2008-05-13 11:51PM | 0 recs
Re: Correct

You misunderstand me.  I believe that Obama will win Wisconsin and other states such as Michigan.  I have greater doubts that Clinton could win in Wisconsin.  Besides, so far as I know Clinton's path to electoral victory requires that she win the Kerry states plus a state such as Ohio.  It is not an option for her to lose Wisconsin.

by rfahey22 2008-05-14 12:02AM | 0 recs
Re: Correct

But Obama wins WI easily and MI close. Clinton loses them. That's a really big swing there.

Obama also wins PA, as does Clinton. Ohio's easily within Obama's reach. Florida is tough, but MI, IL, and IA make up for it.

Clinton has a 28% chance of carrying NH, Obama has a 27% chance. That's not a very big demographic swing.

I agree about AR and WV. However Clinton is 50-50 in WA, while Obama carries it easily, and Obama carries CO, NV, and NM, none of which Clinton has a shot at, and together are just as big as Ohio.

Their EV maps are different. Obama carries more EV and carries them more securely. That's the important thing.

Obama has an 82% chance of carrying MA. I wouldn't worry too much about it.

by Texas Gray Wolf 2008-05-14 06:06AM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

Couldn't you say the same thing about Missouri.

D.C. ?

This argument is lame.

by spacemanspiff 2008-05-13 11:31PM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama

Eh, I'm not being entirely serious.

Although Missouri gets to be first at the line due to seniority.

And why yes, you can send the DNC money-filled briefcases to my residence, i'll disburse them accordingly. ;)

by RBH 2008-05-13 11:48PM | 0 recs
Firsts

No Democrat has won the general election ever that was not a white male.

Are we going to draw the conclusion from that, that it's not possible for Hillary to win ???

by hebi 2008-05-13 11:14PM | 0 recs
Re: Firsts

Mine was more colorful.

by Jordache 2008-05-13 11:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Firsts

I'll grant you that, but I bet you're guessing about Barack.

And according to James Carville you might even be geussing about Hillary.

by hebi 2008-05-13 11:39PM | 0 recs
Re: More like out of the Obama "spinstream!

Shit. I forgot about that bit in the constitution where it says that to be president you have to have the votes of a majority of electors, but it doesn't count if you don't win West Virginia.

by Englishlefty 2008-05-14 04:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate

I would agree that caucuses are an imperfect, if economical, means by which the state parties administer the voting.  I'd prefer to avoid them.  That being said, the absolutely worst time possible to rework these things is in the middle of the primary season, in order to change the winner.

Succeeding within a flawed system is far more legitimate than failing in one and creating a new one to aid a particular candidate.  The former involves skill and planning, whereas the latter includes intellectual dishonesty and frankly whining by the candidate that the rules be changed out of self-interest.

This isn't the time to fix this stuff.  By all means, point out the flaws, but don't be insane enough to think it's going to change anything now, nor should it.

Also, to those who think that, had we had no primaries, Obama would have lost most of those states, please understand that the degree of skill and planning that his staff has shown should tell us, if nothing else, they'd have tailored their strategy to whatever system we'd have used.

Bottom line - trying to guess who would have won under any other system is entirely academic.  We can't know how it would have went because it never happened.

by Reaper0Bot0 2008-05-13 11:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate

This was a good comment that was credible and objective.  I wish we'd see more of it here.

I think the concerns about caucuses are well noted however for two reasons:

Superdelegates and even pledged delegates have free discretion to choose the nominee of their conscience.  When such latitude is afforded at the beginning of the contest and coincident with the rules, exercising that discretion can hardly be thought of as illegitimate or "changing" the rules.

And secondly, drawing attention to the serious flaws of caucuses but conceding that "they count too" undercuts the prime argument that Florida and Michigan should be excluded.  I've heard them referred to as "banana republic" elections when in fact they are much more aligned with Democratic principles than the shenanigans we see in caucus returns.  If we fully count caucuses, we should naturally fully count Michigan and Florida as well.

by BPK80 2008-05-13 11:36PM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate
The big advantage of a caucus is that it helps a party get organised. That used to be a big factor, though it's relevance is diminished by the introduction of new technology such as nation wide databases and internet.
Still, from an organisational point of view I think caucuses are valuable.
It might be more legitemate to decide pledged delegates through primaries and super delegates through caucuses. With the added benefit of adding even more races to the calender. Yummy.
by hebi 2008-05-13 11:49PM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate

I would agree that caucuses are an imperfect, if economical, means by which the state parties administer the voting.

They may be economical in states that don't hold primaries, but they are--in addition to being undemocratic--a waste of money in states such as Washington, Texas, and Nebraska that do hold primaries.

by markjay 2008-05-13 11:50PM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate

I see that somebody named "knoxvoljj" -- who has never had a diary here and who hasn't made a comment since July 2006 -- gave my comment a "1" , i.e., gave it a troll rating

I suggest, Mr. or Ms. knoxvoljj, that you read up on the current rules, because that is definitely ratings abuse and has gotten a number of people kicked off here.  There is absolutely nothing in that comment that could be interpret as trollish.

by markjay 2008-05-14 05:29AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate

Actually, they're historically extremely important in terms of organizing and party-building in Texas. Without the caucuses, we'd need another method to do local party building, and there wouldn't be the draw that the Presidential race provides. Without that, the local parties would just even more ingrown and moribund.

by Texas Gray Wolf 2008-05-14 06:09AM | 0 recs
I don't mind riding the horse by the tail...

... that's what it seems like people are doing by doing it that way. ;-)

by RisingTide 2008-05-14 09:35AM | 0 recs
You don't care about rules.

You can say the same thing over and over, and find whatever new ways you want to say it.  Rules should be changed before not after a contest. No matter how desperately you try to tie meaningless things into your arguement they are still meaningless.   West Virginia had no impact, and just because people are voting for one candidate says nothing about willingness to vote for another candidate.   And Clinton and her supporters limited view of the electoral map is one big reason why she should not be nominated.

Now if you are making the arguement that the rules should be changed for future contests fine. I agree, that they should. But as far as this contest goes the rules were established ahead of time, if Clinton failed to understand them, I guess she didn't have as much experience as she thought.

by Tumult 2008-05-13 11:14PM | 0 recs
Re: You don't care about rules.

The diarist is not talking about changing the rules.  He's talking about enforcing the existing rules, which appear to have been violated by Texas, Washington, and Nebraska.

by markjay 2008-05-13 11:21PM | 0 recs
Re: You don't care about rules.

How were they violated?  This is quite a novel charge when I assume that both the state and the DNC have election attorneys that have reviewed such procedures.

by rfahey22 2008-05-13 11:25PM | 0 recs
Re: You don't care about rules.

So now you suddenly care about punishing states for violating DNC rules?  I guess FL and MI should remain unseated, then.

by sidwood 2008-05-14 12:43AM | 0 recs
Re: You don't care about rules.

Horseshit.

The foremost experts on the rules, the Democratic National Committee, approved all those contests as being in accord with the rules, long before they were ever held.

So this 'against the rules' talking point is just that: a 'talking point' and one which is not in touch with reality.

by John Poet 2008-05-14 03:35AM | 0 recs
Caring about Rules

He's cited the actual rules in question.

It's funny that the people who talk about the rules tend to be the ones who haven't read and/or understood them.

We see the same phenomenon with the catastrophically inane "rules" arguments Obama supporters make in favor of suppressing Florida and Michigan.

by BPK80 2008-05-13 11:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Caring about Rules

The actual rules in question that were cited, make EXPLICIT mention to the possibility of caucuses.

That he's "cited" them, doesn't mean he's read them.

And obviously, neither have you.

by Aris Katsaris 2008-05-14 04:09AM | 0 recs
Re: Caring about Rules

Cute, but caucuses are only listed as illustrative examples.  It says nothing about states who execute both a caucus and a primary, especially when the results in the caucus subvert the democratic will of the people.  

I think you're seeing things the way you want to see them.  

by BPK80 2008-05-14 01:52PM | 0 recs
I vehemently disagree with your assertion...

...That I "don't care about the rules."

If I didn't care about the rules, then why have a majority of my diaries this year featured in one way or another some reference to the Delegate Selection Rules for the 2008 Democratic National Convention.

If I didn't care about the rules, then why is it that I have the Call for the 2008 Democratic National Convention, the Delegate Selection Rules for the 2008 Democratic National Convention, the Regulations of the Rules & Bylaws Committee for the 2008 Democratic National Convention, and the Charter & Bylaws for the Democratic Party of the United States all saved on my computer.

My argument is this...

...Based on the rules, which I cited above, the Nebraska caucuses violate the spirit of the Delegate Selection Rules in that they do not encourage the participation of all Democrats and because they do significantly reduce participation in the delegate selection process.

In my diary, I haven't advocated a single rule change.  What I did was point out that more people participated in a so-called "meaningless" primary than participated in the caucuses that counted.

by Andre Walker 2008-05-13 11:27PM | 0 recs
Re: I vehemently disagree with your assertion...

Having the rule book, and caring about the rules have no relation.  You can have the rule book, and not care about the rules.  Kinda like claiming that wearing a flag pin equates to being a patriot.

No if that was your arguement and you wanted a true discussion about it, you would not have included this:

Now I know what the 20,000 screaming Obama-maniacs would say. They'd say that rules are rules and Sen. Obama won the Nebraska caucuses.

But I would suggest that when more people participate in a so-called "meaningless" primary that doesn't count than participated in caucuses that did count, we know which process encourages the participation of all Democrats and which process allows a candidate to "game the system" in his favor.

You may have not been making an explicit arguement, but you were making one directed at Obama.  And as such, you did not  care about the rules, you were using them. Now if you want a neutral discussion about caucuses and rules, go edit the other crap out.   Which I believe I already said that I felt they should be changed, just not with regards to the current contest.

And I am not going to bother to reply seperately to the other two Hillary supporters who want to pretend that the diary was not directed at the current set of primaries.

by Tumult 2008-05-13 11:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Rules

Suggesting rules changes for use in future Primary Elections is clearly a legitimate exercise.

But, ex post facto changes or selective disregard for existing rules that would overturn the outcome of an election in progress and already decided is clearly one definition of 'cheating'.

There is really no gentler way of putting it.

by xdem 2008-05-14 04:01AM | 0 recs
Nice find, Andrew

If I'm not mistaken, based on what you've presented, the Nebraska caucuses violate the letter of the rules as well as the spirit, yes?

It's not as though these Democratic principles need to be derived from "penumbras and emanations" coming from other rules; they're stated flatly in those you cited.

As the poaching of pledged delegates has begun by a Maryland Clinton pledged delegate moving to Obama, I think these arguments you raise are compelling enough that some delegates awarded by subversive "democracy-loophole" caucuses should join Clinton's camp.  This is especially true in states where both primaries and caucuses were held: Texas, Washington, Nebraska.  

by BPK80 2008-05-13 11:19PM | 0 recs
Re: Nice find, Andrew

No, it doesn't violate the letter of the rules.  The language is open-ended.

by rfahey22 2008-05-13 11:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Nice find, Andrew

Precisely.  The language of the rules.

"Spirit" of the rules refers to something that is unwritten albeit arguably intended.  The "letter" refers to things that are actually codified in language.  

by BPK80 2008-05-13 11:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Nice find, Andrew

Um, you just suggested that Nebraska's setup violates the letter of the rules.  Because the plain text of the rules allows for multiple electoral setups, there is no way for that to be the case.

by rfahey22 2008-05-13 11:59PM | 0 recs
Re: Nice find, Andrew

If you read carefully, you'll see that caucuses are only sanctioned if they enable maximum participation and "begin and end at reasonable hours."

I don't think 2 AM or 3 AM is what many would consider a "reasonable hour."

by BPK80 2008-05-14 01:54PM | 0 recs
Who could have changed the system !!!

If anyone was in a position to to change the rules of the Democratic primary over the last 16 years it was Bill or Hillary. Well I'll grant you one, Harold Ickes.

How much effort have they put into making sure "undemocratic" caucuses were eliminated ? What did they do to make sure that all the states played a role in deciding who the nominee would be.

The total intelectual dishonesty of having absolutelly no problem with the whole setup, agreeing with all the rules, doing nothing to change them and then make a 180 degrees flip at the moment you're losing, is mindbogling. Not the kind of team I would like to see in the White House.

by hebi 2008-05-13 11:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Who could have changed the system !!!

Let's also not forget former DNC chairman Terry McAuliffe

by tysonpublic 2008-05-14 05:17AM | 0 recs
Errrrm...

Obama WON the Nebraska Presidential Caucuses AND the Presidential Preference "Primary"...

Must be that problem he has with white working class voters...

Or something.

Seriously, you folks are really, really sad and desperate.

You hitched your wagons to the wrong horse, and many of you, in doing so, managed to alienate huge swaths of your former allies, friends, and compatriots.

And now you will do, say, recite, and write just about ANYTHING to justify and defend your stupidity.

Good luck with that.

Let me be clear about where I am coming from first and foremost. I spent the bulk of the primary season on a boat in the middle of the pacific ocean with extremely limited access to email, and barely any internet.

I started the primary season agnostic on ANY candidate, wishing that someone interesting and different would run.

I came off that boat and started looking at who was still standing (Clinton and Obama) and liked obama better for a number of reasons.

Then came the shitstorm. Obama supporters are cultists. Obama is a Muslim/BlackPowerAdvocate/Racist/Connect edtoKenyanThugs/AssociatedWithTheWeather men and on and on and on.

And the racism.

And the nonsense about "important states"

And with each one, the "Hillary Dial" got turned lower and lower and lower in my mind.

Nice work.

by RedDan 2008-05-13 11:45PM | 0 recs
I'm going to take issue with something specific

you wrote, specifically that the Clinton supporters "hitched their wagon to the wrong horse."

Even though I'm not a Clinton supporter, I really disagree with that fundamentally.  Clinton was certainly a viable candidate -- came in 2nd out of 8 national candidates and had a realistic chance of victory deep into the process.  As such, her platform carries a not inconsequential amount of weight in the party agenda going forward.

To pick an obvious example, let's take health care mandates.  Personally, I'm against them, but many people are in favor -- it's an oft-cited reason for those who support Hillary.  I don't think they're wrong per se, they just have a different approach.  And supporting her candidacy gives weight to her platform planks, that among them.  The party will have to take that into account as a part of its overall strategy.

There's no shame and no futility in supporting a candidate who loses if it's part of a larger goal.  Like most Obama supporters, I think having a lively contest that's spurred voter registration and media attention has been, on the whole, a positive thing.  (The tenor of the campaign as it went past the point of likelihood is another matter entirely, and one that doesn't necessarily correlate).

The only way to hitch your cart to the wrong horse is if the only aim you have is to finish first.

by Rorgg 2008-05-14 06:56AM | 0 recs
Bad mis-interpretation of the rules

Andrewalker argues that caucuses violate the DNC rules because caucuses significantly reduce participation in the delegation selection process compared to primaries.  So, he believes Rule 3b requires states to choose an electoral system that will maximize participation by voters.  

Sorry, that interpretation butchers the plain meaning of the rules.  Go back and look - Rule 3a and 3b address scheduling issues, not methods of choosing delegates such as caucuses or primaries.  In other words, Rules 3a & b simple say that caucuses or primaries should be scheduled in ways that will maximize voter participation.  

In fact, Rule 3a specifically mentions caucuses as a one way a state can choose delegates.  

by ProfessorReo 2008-05-13 11:46PM | 0 recs
Well "Professor", there you go...

...Finding meaning in my words that aren't there.

I did not say the Nebraska caucuses violated the rules.  What I did say is that the caucuses violated the spirit of Rule 3.A and 3.B.

The spirit of Rule 3.A and 3.B is to A.) encourage the participation of all Democrats; and B.) prohibit meetings or events that significantly reduce participation in the delegate selection process.

Now I want you to compare the participation in the Nebraska caucuses to the participation in the Nebraska primary and then tell me with a straight face that the caucuses A.) encourages the participation of all Democrats; and B.) does not significantly reduce participation in the delegate selection process.

The fact that nearly double the number of Nebraskans participated in the primary than did the caucuses should give you a big hint on which process "maximizes voter participation."

by Andre Walker 2008-05-13 11:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Well "Professor", there you go...

Rule 3A actually says caucuses are fine.  So how then can caucuses violate the "spirit" of the rules?

Or is Rule 3A one of those pesky facts, so it "doesn't matter" and we should simply ignore it?  Have we moved from only certain states matter now to only certain rules matter too?

by bk23 2008-05-14 12:13AM | 0 recs
Absurd results

A rule of statutory construction is that any interpretation cannot lead to absurd results.  

Your interpretation leads to absurd results.  By your interpretation, even the primaries would be illegitimate, since there are other means of electing delegates that would maximize participation, systems that allow same day registration, for example, or voting by mail, or early voting.  

Your interpretation is also clearly inconsistent with the intent of rulemakers.  As I noted earlier, the rule explicitly recognizes caucuses as one way of choosing delegates, even though they don't maximize participation.  Does that mean rule 3a is inconsistent with itself?  Why would the rulemakers acknowledge caucuses as one of way of choosing delegates knowing that they reduce participation compared to primaries?  

Additionally, the rules of statutory construction states that any "spirit" arguments cannot fly in the face in the plain meaning of the statute.  In other words, you can't argue that the spirit or underlying purpose of the statute somehow contradicts what the statute or rule says on its face.  A "spirit" argument is used when the meaning of the text is ambiguous or vague.  But, clearly, the meaning of the rules 3a and 3b are very clear - they are concerned with making sure primaries or caucuses are scheduled to maximize voter participation.  

by ProfessorReo 2008-05-14 12:18AM | 0 recs
Re: Absurd results

Also, caucuses existed well before these rules were drafted and still play an important role in the Democratic nomination.  Historical practice may inform the interpretation of ambiguous text.  

Of course, since caucuses are mentioned in the rules themselves, it's pretty much a closed case anyway.

by rfahey22 2008-05-14 12:25AM | 0 recs
Is it not true that you said...

..."They are concerned with making sure primaries or caucuses are scheduled to maximize voter participation"; and

Is it not further true that more voters participated in the Nebraska presidential preference primary than participated in the Nebraska presidential caucuses; and

Is it not further true that if the Democratic National Committee is concerned with making sure primaries or caucuses "maximize voter participation", then the spirit of Rules 2.A, 3.A, and 3.B is violated because more people participated in the primary than did the caucus?

by Andre Walker 2008-05-14 12:34AM | 0 recs
Re: Is it not true that you said...

You cannot violate the spirit of a rule by doing exactly what it explicitly allows.

by bk23 2008-05-14 12:36AM | 0 recs
It is not true that Rule 3.B states...

"All such meetings or events which are the first meeting or event in the delegate selection process shall be scheduled at times and dates which are uniform throughout the state, except where it is established by the state party and approved by the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee that such uniform times and dates would significantly reduce participation in the delegate selection process,"; and

Is it not further true that the meetings or events which constituted the first meeting or event in the Nebraska delegate selection process were the caucuses held on February 9th; and

Is it not further true that 38,571 Democrats participated in the Nebraska presidential caucuses; and

Is it not further true that on May 13th, 93,757 Democrats participated in the Nebraska presidential preference primary; and

Is it not further true that the difference between the participants in the Nebraska presidential caucuses and the Nebraska presidential preference primary totaled 55,186; and

Is it not further true that the 55,186 more Nebraska Democrats who participated in their state's presidential preference primary amounts to nearly double the number of Nebraska Democrats participating in the state's caucuses; and

Is it not further true that under Rule 3.B, the number of Nebraska Democrats participating in the caucuses was significantly less than the number of Nebraska Democrats participating in the presidential preference primary; and

Is it not further true that I would be correct in my assertion that by the simple fact that more Nebraska Democrats participated in the presidential preference primary than did in the caucuses, the Nebraska Democratic presidential caucuses violates the spirit of Rule 3.B which expressly prohibits the scheduling of meeting or events which are the first meeting or event in the delegate selection process that "significantly reduces participation in the delegate selection process."

by Andre Walker 2008-05-14 12:52AM | 0 recs
Re: It is not true that Rule 3.B states...
As to your last question...
Nope.
by Tantris 2008-05-14 05:08AM | 0 recs
Re: It is not true that Rule 3.B states...

See, you've just perfectly demonstrated your misreading of the text.  This is a rule about scheduling, not about the type of electoral process that works best.  The point of this particular rule is that uniformity of scheduling is supposed to be enforced unless having the first meeting/event on the same date and at the same time would be likely to significantly reduce turnout, by some strange reason.  

The rule's implicit assumption is that having the first meeting/event on the same date, and at the same time, is presumptively the fairest way to hold an election, and not have 1 county vote on day 1 at 12:00-7:00 p.m. and another county vote on day 2 from 3:00-5:00 a.m., for example.  And, you've made no claim that there were scheduling problems with the caucus.  The rule says nothing about which electoral setup a state should use.  Heck, as repeated to you multiple times now, the very rules you cite sanction caucuses.

It's quite remarkable that Jerome did not take the time to realize that there are glaring flaws in your argument before bumping it to the front page.

by rfahey22 2008-05-14 06:54AM | 0 recs
It's about scheduling

For example, Nebraska would violate the rules if they scheduled their caucus from midnight to 7:00 a.m.  

The rules are merely about making it convenient as possible for voters to make it to a caucus or primary, they are not about ensuring that the procedural system for choosing delegates maximizes voter participation.  

By your (mis)interpretation of the rules, the PA primary was illegitimate, because it was closed to independents and republicans, thereby preventing them from participating as democrats and reducing voter participation.  

by ProfessorReo 2008-05-14 12:40AM | 0 recs
Is it not true that Rule 2.B states...

...Nothing in these rules shall be interpreted to encourage or permit states with party registration and enrollment, or states that limit participation to Democrats only, to amend their systems to open participation to members of other parties; and

Is it not further true that your argument that the Pennsylvania primary would be illegitimate since participation was limited to Democrats only is completely invalid and irrelevant to the subject of this diary.

by Andre Walker 2008-05-14 12:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Is it not true that you said...

The rules you've cited merely require caucus organizers to take into account participation concerns when deciding on scheduling.  Those rules do not dictate that a state choose one electoral process over another.  A caucus that is open to all Democrats and is scheduled during regular hours would comply with those rules.

by rfahey22 2008-05-14 12:43AM | 0 recs
Rules for what?

Let's look at a hypothetical.  I need to schedule an event whose goals could be phrased (looking at two extremes) as;

a) determine the preference of the largest number of people that had checked a box labeled "D" on the day of voting for a candidate to be run as the Democratic party's choice in a general election; or

b) ensure that the candidate chosen represents the preferences of the largest number of people who actually are committed members of the Democratic party, defined by their purpose to choose the candidate with the maximum ability to win my state.  

If I chose a primary scheduled at a convenient time and where polling places were convenient and accessible I would certainly maximize goal (a).  I might not be maximizing (b).  To maximize (b) I might choose a caucus to be held at a convenient time and in a convenient and accessible place where people whose party preference was more than just a checkbox on a form, who were likely to work for the election of the chosen candidate could both organize and express candidate preference for the state.  Other factors might influence the choice, such as whether the party membership/past voters were rural or urban, whether the party was already strongly organized or was weak and need to build infrastructure, and whether the party itself would have to pay for either or both types of events to be held.  

The interpretation of the rules has to be in the context of the purpose of the rules and the Democratic Party.  The question is not a one-dimensional decision.

by texasobserver 2008-05-14 10:01AM | 0 recs
Re:

I briefly mentioned it above, but some here are placing far more emphasis on these aspirational rules than they can possibly bear.  Here is one possible interpretation of the rules cited above:

Rule 2.A. - "Participation in the delegate selection process shall be open to all voters who wish to participate as Democrats."

Therefore, any "delegate selection process" that does not permit voters to register as Democrats immediately before the process (i.e., same-day registration) violates the spirit of this rule.

Rule 3.A. - "All official Party meetings and events related to the national convention delegate selection process, including caucuses, conventions, committee meetings, filing dates, and Party enrollment periods, shall be scheduled for dates, times and public places which would be most likely to encourage the participation of all Democrats, and must begin and end at reasonable hours."

Therefore, all events related to the "delegate selection process" that are not scheduled on weekends violate the spirit of this rule, because contests scheduled on days and at times where a majority of people work cannot "encourage the participation of all Democrats," almost by definition.

As for Rule 3.B., I'm actually not sure what moral force is supposed to be derived from it, since it merely states that the "first meeting or event" in a state's selection process shall be carried out at the same date and time unless doing so would "significantly" reduce participation.  The Nebraska caucuses were held on the same date and at the same times, so far as I know.

by rfahey22 2008-05-13 11:55PM | 0 recs
This Proves Obama Can Win In States

That are almos entirely white, not especially affluent, and definitely on the elder side.

You do know he won the primary, right, in spite of the demographics of the state overwhelmingly favoring Clinton?

So you see, it really isn't a white voter problem or a lower-income voter problem he has, it really is limited to Appalachia.

by Davidsfr 2008-05-14 02:15AM | 0 recs
Re: This Proves Obama Can Win In States

Obama lost the white working-class vote in Nebraska, just as he has in every single state besides Wisconsin.

by Steve M 2008-05-14 06:02AM | 0 recs
Breaking! FL & MI invalidated!

In keeping with the spirit of the DNC rules that require selection processes to "encourage the participation of all Democrats," the DNC made a stunning announcement that no further consideration would be made for seating the FL & MI delegates.  

Democratic voter turnouts in those states clearly fell well below national averages, clearly indicating those processes were not in keeping with the spirit of the Rules.  HRC supporters were herewith encouraged to STFU about FL & MI if they're going to complain about NE.

by rb608 2008-05-14 02:44AM | 0 recs
all caucuses are fraud, including Nebraska and...
TX and WA proving this too!
every time when we had caucus and primary in the same state, results of primary are vastly different from results of caucus.
All delegates from caucuses have to be ignored. If you want will of the people, you need closed primaries (and ideally direct vote).
And you have wrong rules - acknowledge wrong doing and correct it.
by engels 2008-05-14 03:35AM | 0 recs
How are the primary/caucus results

"Vastly different" in WA and NE?

Obama won both the primary and the caucus in those states.

That's not "vast" by any stretch.

by RedDan 2008-05-14 04:30AM | 0 recs
Re: How are the primary/caucus results

check the numbers: if you think that black is white i cannot help you

by engels 2008-05-14 04:49AM | 0 recs
Re: How are the primary/caucus results

And if you think an actual primary contest is the same as a beauty contest vote that everyone understands is non-binding...

... wait, that explains a lot about the Clinton position on Michigan and Florida.

by Rorgg 2008-05-14 07:02AM | 0 recs
THINGS DON'T COUNT

It's well-established fact that caucusing is easy.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=racTAiemE QU

Er - sorry, that was six months ago, when the Clinton campaign was sane, acknowledged that Michigan and Florida wouldn't count, and that 2,025 was the threshold for the nomination.

Then again, I guess this is an improvement over the "Obama talks on a cell phone in front of reporters JUST LIKE BUSH" diaries.

by jaiwithani 2008-05-14 04:03AM | 0 recs
Re: THINGS DON'T COUNT

Caucusing is NOT easy for anyone that is not a 9 to 5er.

Geez, y'all really don't want to admit it, do you.

A week long primary, all day long, is the most democratic thing there is. Caucuses cut out a huge number of people. It's a fact.

by splashy 2008-05-14 10:30PM | 0 recs
I came looking for discussion of MS-01

And there's nothing on the front page.

But there's lots of Hillary Rodham Clinton stuff.

You need to add some front pagers who aren't so focused on presidential politics.

by Carl Nyberg 2008-05-14 04:07AM | 0 recs
Re: I came looking for discussion of MS-01

Silly.

MS 01 is a victory for Obama and totally destroys the "Wright/Obama No Coattail, ruins all our November Chances" meme that you'll find as the foundation for all these "If Only The Election was Completely Restructured In a Way Most Favorable to Hillary" debates. Keep in mind, when she was inevitable, all these caucuses and front-loaded primaries were supposedly TO HER ADVANTAGE. She had the machines, likely the unions would be split between her and Edwards. The caucuses were easy to fill and tended to baffle insurgent candidates (see Dean, Howard.)

But now! Evil! EEEEVIL!

Forget the fact that the caucus system and Obama's success in them will be a big part of the Democratic wave in November.

It doesn't fit the narrative.

Nor does Miss 01.

by Lettuce 2008-05-14 05:53AM | 0 recs
Rule 3.A makes reference to caucuses

Rule 3.A makes explicit mention to caucuses, allowing them. Issue closed.

That you copy-pasted these rules obviously doesn't mean you bothered to read them, either you or Jerome.

It merely mean you're Lawful Evil caring to use the letter of the law when that suits you, and ignoring it in favor of its "spirit" when it does not. And the spirit of the law is always what you intend it to be, of course.

by Aris Katsaris 2008-05-14 04:15AM | 0 recs
A few notes on the logic here

1. Eliminate caucuses, they're undemocratic.

2. Keep superdelegates, they can fix voters' mistakes

3. Counting results from a contest people are told won't count is more democratic than counting results from a contest where people are told they will count

4. Dozens of states, including Iowa, have been fundamentally in violation of the DNC rules for decades, but only now have the brilliant sleuths of myDD tracked them down.

5. The campaigns would have acted in exactly the same way, and people would have acted exactly the same way, if the rules had been different all along.

6. "Participation in the delegate selection process shall be open to all voters who wish to participate as Democrats."...we should have same-day registration primaries everywhere?

7. "All official Party meetings and events related to the national convention delegate selection process, including caucuses" this naturally leads to the conclusion that caucuses are in violation of the spirit of the DNC rules

8. Texas - where both the primary and caucus were actual races - suggests a swing of about 5-10 points towards Obama for caucuses. Take that away from all his caucus victories and his pledged delegate lead shrinks a bit, but does not disappear. However, his popular vote lead grows enormous when you account for the increased turnout. So - if you use this argument, you're going to have to drop the popular vote thing.

9. Shorter version of this diary: If things had been different maybe Clinton would have won.

by jaiwithani 2008-05-14 04:18AM | 0 recs
Re: A few notes on the logic here

10. We should strictly adhere to the the most stringent interpretation of the DNC rules possible - and also count the MI and FL delegations in full in direct violation of the DNC rules.

by jaiwithani 2008-05-14 04:31AM | 0 recs
Re: A few notes on the logic here

My favorite part:

1. Eliminate caucuses, they're undemocratic.

2. Keep superdelegates, they can fix voters' mistakes

sigh.

by Lettuce 2008-05-14 05:54AM | 0 recs
Oh, no, Todd is starting to parrot Jerome.

When the reasonable diarists start looking like the unreasonable ones, it's a clear sign this has gone on too long.

by bookish 2008-05-14 04:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Oh, no, Todd is starting to parrot Jerome.

This is Jerome promoting someone else's crazy talk. Todd, like the rest of the non-Jerome FPs, is still sane.

by jaiwithani 2008-05-14 04:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Oh, no, Todd is starting to parrot Jerome.

My bad. Sorry, Todd.

by bookish 2008-05-14 04:40AM | 0 recs
Re: Bottom Line

 Rules might favor a particular strategy, but not a particular candidate.

by xdem 2008-05-14 04:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate the

Obama still won!... you want a couple more delegates 'cos he won by less... fine... take 'em.. we've got plenty to spare... you're still losing the nomination.

Honestly, I've never heard so much whining before... A lot of people didn't like Kerry... but no one tried to take the nomination from him... He was winning...

Bill Clinton had no problem winning caucuses... The Hillary camp certainly could have won them if they tried, but they didn't try... you should blame them, not the system.

Caucuses are cheaper and better for party business.  The state parties hold them for a reason, usually 'cos the various states won't pay for true primaries.  If you want to bankrupt the democratic party by having them pay for every primary, go ahead...  I know that Clintons left most of the state parties bankrupt after they left office, so I can see why this would appeal to Hilary supporters.

Next thing you know, there will be whining about the electoral college when Hillary steals the nomination and loses in the general...  We've been through that before... it's not going to change the constitution.  That's the way the game is played, whether you like it or not!

by LordMike 2008-05-14 04:23AM | 0 recs
This is crap.

You bring up a valid point in the Caucus Vs Primary debate.

But your tone and implications are absolute BS.  You imply Obama is responsible for the Nebraska caucus...  He didn't force Nebraska into a caucus.  He didn't sue Nebraska into a caucus.  HE HAD NOTHING TO DO WITH ANY STATE CHOOSING TO DO A CAUCUS.  In fact Illinois, HIS HOME STATE, does a Primary.  

You sit and complain about the rules Andrew, pretty much following "super" (bad) strategist Mark "California is a winner take all state...ooops" Penn and the Clintons.  Yes, caucuses are probably not as fair as primaries... but that's not Obama's fault nor problem.  HE ran a great campaign that KNEW the RULES and structured their strategy accordingly.  Clinton did not, and it cost her the nomination.  I understand your upset by this, but to attack Obama because states do caucuses is utterly ridiculous.  It's like me blaming Hillary because some primary states don't have laws that help make it easier for College Students to vote.  Both arguments are ridiculous.

Fight to change the rules, but don't badmouth a candidate because he worked within the rules to win... Its "gaming" the system, its playing within the rules.

by yitbos96bb 2008-05-14 04:32AM | 0 recs
Re: This is crap.

Of course they're blaming it on Obama. EVERYTHING is blamable on Obama because his central crime isn't just winning -- which is still criminal -- but the mere act of running before he was "ready." What a jerk! Understanding the rules, using the rules to his advantage because he understood them.

After all, the media made him win. The blacks made him win. The youth and elites made him win. Sexism made him win. Caucuses made him win. Kodos and Kang made him win. Anti-Hillary Republicans and ultra-liberal activists put aside their weapons and made him win.

Because, there's just NO WAY he could have won on the merits, because it's JUST NOT FAIR!

So this comes up after every Obama win; it's a remarkable form of projection -- and is ridiculously Bushlike. The rules say don't wiretap, or torture... complain about the rules obstructing the fight against terror when the case FOR torture doesn't hold up.

Whatever. It's been going on for months, without success outside of the echo chamber and the true believers. If insanity is "doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results," well, I'll just let that hang poignantly and wait for the comments arguing whether Ben Franklin, Einstein or some "snark of the day" calendar originated that quote.

Also, what's up with the ad with the creepy girl in the plunging neckline? Why is she so amused while typing. Is she mocking us? Trollop!

by Lettuce 2008-05-14 06:03AM | 0 recs
Sort of a moot point, isn't it?

Obama Edges Out Clinton in Nebraska Primary
Posted: May 14, 2008 01:53 AM
Lincoln, NE - In Nebraska's presidential primary, Presumptive Republican nominee John McCain took the top spot.

In the Democratic primary for president, Barack Obama came from behind to beat Hillary Clinton.  With 97 percent of precincts reporting Tuesday night, Obama won 49 percent of the vote. Clinton received 46 percent.

by bookish 2008-05-14 04:34AM | 0 recs
Re: Sort of a moot point, isn't it?

But it's only a 2 point win! That shows no support for him.

However, his 1 point loss in Indiana also shows no support for him.

Let's just agree to disagree why no one supports Obama, and get back to the crucial task of finding a metric that Hillary wins so we can convince a few superdelegates that caucuses are undemocratic, so they should undemocratically overturn those results. Unless the supers "give" the nomination to Obama, after which they should give their superdelegate status to a field of Appalacian coal miners who alone know what america looks for in a President during a single party primary.

by Lettuce 2008-05-14 06:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Sort of a moot point, isn't it?

Go mountaintop removal! Go Hillary!

by bookish 2008-05-14 07:34AM | 0 recs
this should be the end

of this caucus foolishness.

It would be one thing if there was some correlation, but it is clear the caucus system invites people with no jobs or really good jobs.  

Normal people will not take 2 hours out to play political games in public.  Especially with volitale candidates separated by race and gender.

Also, the idea that obama got more delegates from Idaho than Clinton got from New Jersey is so absurd that there should be a revolt.

Obama people would have credibility if on the day this primary ends, they offer real democratic reforms.

by yellowdem1129 2008-05-14 04:40AM | 0 recs
Re: this should be the end

Obama people would have credibility if on the day this primary ends, they offer real democratic reforms
Which probably should mean in your opinion that the Clinton's don't have creditability, because they were in a position over 4 Presidential primary seasons to have the caucuses changed.

And they didn't.

by tysonpublic 2008-05-14 05:23AM | 0 recs
Re: this should be the end

EXACTLY

I agree we should reform this system, but given that McAuliffe and Ickes and Wolfson have been major players in creating and maintaining it - having full control to have made changes as recently as 2004 - this whining about the system being unfair is really pathetic.

A candidate and team "ready on day one" - especially one with the experience of having run the system that recently, and veterans of several national campaigns should understand the system...

that Obama better campaigned under the system is evidence of his, and his teams, better preparedness to run the administrative branch of our system of government as well as to affect necessary changes.

by its simple IF you ignore the complexity 2008-05-14 05:56AM | 0 recs
Re: this should be the end

Your logic has no place here. That precise point has been made for months -- but since it doesn't help Hillary, it is a paradox.

See, all facts must support Hillary.
The fact her campaign is more to blame for the "current system" than any other democratic campaign this cycle (if only because of her reliance on democratic party establishment and the years of her advisors, like Rendell and McAuliff actually RUNNING The DNC for much of the 90s and 00s.)

But hey, that fact does not support Hillary. Therefore, logic dictates that is not a fact, and must be discarded for the much more "factyness" friendly idea that Obama stole the nomination through his unethical use of these mysterious "caucus" things that totally blindsided poor Hillary -- who was too busy writing her lone Universal Health Care Plan and Hardscrabble Coal Miner Non-Elite College Tuition Plan or whatever to pay attention to those silly caucuses and their silly rules.

by Lettuce 2008-05-14 06:10AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate

I've participated in two caucuses here in Minnesota.  The first was great.  It was here the U and there were lots of young energetic people with opinions and resolutions to discuss.  My second caucus this year was a joke.  The guy that led it spent half the time reading the rules.

It wouldn't break my heart to see the caucus replaced by a primary.  It's more convenient for people that work nights and in general.

Regarding the rest of this diary.  Both candidates knew the rules.  They knew which states have caucuses and which ones have primaries.  With the exception of Mark Penn they knew delegates weren't given on a winner take all basis.  Heck, Hillary has been through this process a couple of times already when Bill ran.

So, they both knew the rules and planned their strategy.  Obama put alot of focus on the caucus states.  Hillary could have done the same thing.  She had money.  She had the name recognition.  However, she chose a different strategy, to not focus on the caucus states and it cost her.

by chewie5656 2008-05-14 04:57AM | 0 recs
re: the "Spirit"

The screaming Clinton maniacs really have trouble with losing, don't they?  I am always entertained by all the different ways they come up with showing how, in an alternate universe with different rules, Hillary would have won ...

by Southjaw 2008-05-14 04:57AM | 0 recs
Re: re: the "Spirit"

I'm not arguing the point you get to, but calling people "screaming maniacs" is hardly helpful to anyone, now, or in the future.

by Rorgg 2008-05-14 07:07AM | 0 recs
Wow

A couple of points:

I am 99% sure that the Democratic caucus in Nebraska took place on a Saturday, so all the comments about the system inviting people with no jobs or with really good jobs totally fails.

While the article was interesting as an intellectual exercise, the idea that the caucus results are somehow tainted due to this hypothesis is laughable.  Obama is not to blame for the rules.  You can bet your ass that if Hillary won a caucus or two, this argument would be laughed at by her campaign and all her supporters. Winning by the rules is not "gaming" the system.  There was nothing underhanded about how Obama won the caucuses.

This really seems like sour grapes.  I voted in the Missouri primary and was not sure who I was going to vote for until I got into the voting booth.  I was a big defender of Hillary until recently.  But the idea, suggested by a number of commenters, that this state of affairs reveals something about the electability of the two is silly.

by bdub78 2008-05-14 05:01AM | 0 recs
Re: Wow

First of all, don't knock sour grapes.  I had (and still do) major league sour grapes over Bush becoming president. I happen to think they're legitimate sour grapes.  There is a difference between being bummed your guy (or gal) didn't win and really believing that a) they lost unfairly; b) a huge mistake was made; c) both a and b, as is the case with Bush, and perhaps some think with Obama and Hillary.

What I find interesting about this whole rules debate is that, Obama seems to be winning in much the same way Bush did, and I find that disturbing, that Democrats have taken up the whole Messiah thing, the candidate can do no wrong, double standards for him than for everyone else, winning by NOT counting votes, etc.

by Juno 2008-05-14 05:06AM | 0 recs
Re: Wow

Maybe you could clarify a few things for me.  

How is Obama winning the same way Bush did?  Obama is winning on every metric out there, except for maybe by the "Ignore the caucuses" metric you Clintonites are supporting.  Obama is not trying to prohibit the counting of votes.  Its comments like these, where Clinton supporters compare Obama to Bush that discredit Clinton supporters.

And with respect to the Messiah thing, granted, Obama has fervent support, but how is that any different than Clinton's support? In fact, Clinton's supporters, as these comments indicate, are at least as irrational as Obama's.  The reason the Bush Messiah situation was so awful was he refused to set forth an agenda or policies. That is not the case with Obama.

(And upon review, I can't tell if this has too hostile a tone.  If so, I didn't want that to be the case.  I am all for Democratic solidarity).

by bdub78 2008-05-14 05:16AM | 0 recs
Re: Wow

I don't sense a hostile tone in your post at all.

I think Clinton was never a phenom because she was a known while Obama was unknown.  She ran on boring policy from the beginning. He ran on this vague, nebulous and mystic hope/change/inspiration thing. Obama was pretty late coming to the policy thing, and it's been noted often that they really are no different on such matters. No, Obama has run on and appealed to people with this personality thing, just like Bush. Indeed, Obama really struggled in debates when actual issues came up, which I found disturbing and worrisome.  In fact, I was supporting Edwards, but it was when I LISTENED to the New Hampshire debate on the radio (as opposed to WATCHING) that I switched to Clinton, because by LISTENING, you are not subject to visual distractions but tune in to the substance of what people are saying, and it was so obvious to me that Clinton was far superior on substance, and it was then I changed my support. Obama was very weak.

He cites Scripture and often uses a pulpit/preacher  voice when giving speeches. I've not seen the rather blind, cult-like following around Hillary that I have around Obama, not even close.  I think Clinton's supporters started out simply preferring her based on experience and her intelligence but were neutral about Obama, simply feeling that he needed more experience before becoming president.  Most I saw said a Hillary presidency followed by an Obama presidency would be brilliant for Democrats.

But then Obama's supporters turned so ugly and vicious toward Clinton, and I think that has turned a lot of her supporters off and actually made them dislike Obama.  It's certainly caused me to feel that Obama cannot in fact inspire people to a better and more civil politic, quite the opposite. He seems to have brought the worst out in many, in fact (I won't even bother telling you the vile crap I personally was subjected to by Obama supporters on the Huffington Post, not to mention that HuffPo did a sweep/purge of Clinton supporters).  

I've seen a lot of similarities to how Bush ran his campaign and how Obama is running his. I think Americans are into personality and cult-think now because it's easier and it feels good, so I think that might be part of it.  I think the Obama campaign has, ironically, used race and accusations of racism in a political manner, which I find repugnant and Rovian (taking an asset of an opponent and turning it into a liability ,ie: calling Kerry a traitor over his combat service!  Calling the Clintons racist or race baiters....really gross).

This post is already too long, so I can't list all the similarities I've seen from the beginning, but there are a lot, and I've been saying it for a long, long time.  I was one who felt that Obama would be great in four or eight years. I actually agree with him more culturally and philosophically than I do with Clinton, but there are other factors and one has to see the whole picture when making such decisions.

by Juno 2008-05-14 05:40AM | 0 recs
Re: Wow

Wow! This comment really shows just how out of reality those that like caucuses are:

I am 99% sure that the Democratic caucus in Nebraska took place on a Saturday, so all the comments about the system inviting people with no jobs or with really good jobs totally fails.

What about janitors, waitresses, nurses, other health care workers, families with young children, families that have elderly they have to take care of, and so many others that have to work on weekends? Who do you think is doing things for you when you take your Saturdays off? Try looking around at all the people that are working all around you if you go out in town at ALL.

Or are they like furniture or vending machines to you?

You 9 to 5ers, 5-days-a-week folks just don't get it. Pitiful.

by splashy 2008-05-14 10:41PM | 0 recs
interesting.

You know, you guys were all celebrating a Clinton Indiana victory a just a bit ago.  Margin was smaller there.  Do you want two percent to be huge or a tie?

Why couldn't Clinton close the deal on the NE primary?

Are Clinton supporters going to add these results, now, to Obama's popular vote lead? Or does it not count?

Do you think that it made a difference that the primary really didn't count for the presidential election? Disclaimer, I think it's awesome that Kleeb won.

I understand that one of the foci of your post is that we should reform the rules for a future election.  Why not talk about it? However, one candidate won the system that was in place for this year.

by reenactor 2008-05-14 05:04AM | 0 recs
Where do you come up


   with this nonsense? How on Earth do you get the # that puts Clinton and Obama virtually tied?

  All caucus goers support Obama, while all primary voters support Clinton? Are you serious?

  This is ridiculous. You have no way of knowing whether Clinton would've won a NE primary or whether Obama would've beaten her the way he did in the caucus.

  Quit whining about the caucuses. Obama has won several primaries in addition to dominating the caucus states.

by southernman 2008-05-14 05:08AM | 0 recs
Here's your key

if you ignore the delegate system in place and only count popular votes,

and completely discount the caucuses that don't report PV totals,

And count all of Florida,

And count only votes for Clinton in Michigan, because obviously nobody in Michigan wants Obama to be the president,

then Clinton's just losing by a little bit.

And if that made your brain hurt to read, pity the frame of mind it takes to understand the thought process enough to repeat it.

by Rorgg 2008-05-14 07:10AM | 0 recs
Grasping for Straws again?

So when you say that 49% to 47% in NE is a virtual tie, then that means a 2 point spread in Indiana is a virtual tie?

Milbank has a great column today:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con tent/article/2008/05/13/AR2008051302862. html?hpid=topnews

2:57 p.m., Yeager Airport, Charleston, W.Va.: A steep descent brings Clinton's plane to Charleston's hilltop airport. After an appropriate wait, she steps from the plane and pretends to wave to a crowd of supporters; in fact, she is waving to 10 photographers underneath the airplane's wing. She pretends to spot an old friend in the crowd, points and gives another wave; in fact, she is waving at an aide she had been talking with on the plane minutes earlier.

On the way into town, she makes an unscheduled stop at an upscale farmers market, but about 30 Clinton supporters, several wearing AFSCME T-shirts and waving Clinton campaign signs, have

somehow gotten wind of it. Clinton works the crowd, signing autographs and making small talk ("Is that your dog?"). She makes her way past rows of geraniums and marigolds.

But even among the blooms, Clinton is reminded of her troubles. She stops at Ellen's Homemade Ice Cream and orders a scoop of espresso Oreo and a scoop of butter pecan. "Ooh, that looks good," she says after taking the confection, then pauses. "Now, let's see. Who's got my money?" asks the woman who has lent her campaign $11 million to keep it afloat. She laughs. "Where -- where'd they go, the people with my money?" Finally, two aides arrive to retire Clinton's dessert debt.

C ustomer: "Look, matey, I know a dead parrot when I see one, and I'm looking at one right now."

Pet-shop owner: "No, no he's not dead, he's -- he's resting! Remarkable bird, the Norwegian blue, isn't it, aye? Beautiful plumage!"

-- From "Monty Python's Flying Circus"

by TimO 2008-05-14 05:13AM | 0 recs
Re: Grasping for Straws again?

I'm so making that my sig now.

by Lettuce 2008-05-14 06:13AM | 0 recs
Game the system?

They both have the same opportunity to get their voters out.

by heresjohnny 2008-05-14 05:17AM | 0 recs
Not to upset anyone


    but Obama won the vote you are citing too, and did so by a larger % than Hillary won Indiana.

   West VA last night means Clinton has won exactly ONE, ONE more primary than Barack Obama. ONE.

   This bullshit that only Clinton can win primaries is nonsense.

by southernman 2008-05-14 05:19AM | 0 recs
I call bullshit

Caucuses keep the party firmly in control of the people.  For lower level races like State House that is essential.  You don't have to rely on big money to get elected, you can work your butt off and get your message out, you don't need huge checks.  It gets better politicians out of the process.  Paul Wellstone came from a Caucus process for example.  He never would have had a chance in a primary system.  

by pjv 2008-05-14 05:26AM | 0 recs
You sound like a Tammany ward boss

I don't want the party firmly in control of the people.  I want the people firmly in control of the party.

by Fuzzy Dunlop 2008-05-14 05:53AM | 0 recs
Tammany Hall was a primary process.

Get your facts straight.  Almost all of the big machines in the US are built under a primary system.   The reason that works is because it is much easier to control and manage the process and to kick down potential candidates.  Internal reform is made all that much more difficult because you don't have a way to get rid of bad party officials.

by pjv 2008-05-14 09:32AM | 0 recs
Re: Tammany Hall was a primary process.

Tammany Hall was a caucus club that, ultimately, after various changes in the local electoral system, ran a primary system in an extremely exclusionary way.  The raison d'etre of the system was to have the machine control the people, rather than the other way around.

I called you a Tammany ward boss because you advocated that verbatim, that the party should be controlling the people.  Even beyond whatever effects the two systems have on candidate selection, a system that effectively tends to exclude 90% of eligible voters from participation and violates the principle of secret ballots is fundamentally undemocratic.  If your ideal is for the party to control the people, maybe you don't care.

I also am skeptical of your contention that primaries are necessarily more conducive to machine politics.  Are there any broad empirical studies that you can point me to in that regard?  Or is this just your opinion?

by Fuzzy Dunlop 2008-05-14 11:12AM | 0 recs
Alas, the rules are the rules

Caucuses are what allocate the delegates.   The Obama campaign was prepared to contest the caucuses, the Clinton campaign was not.

There is no doubt in my mind that if we had had a primary-based nominating process, Clinton would be our nominee.

I personally detest the caucus process.  I think very little of our overall delegate selection process as well.   But team Obama understood the rules better, and ran a better campaign against those rules.

Will we have the weaker candidate in the fall as a result?  I think so.  But that doesn't matter at this point.   What matters are the rules.

Could the superdelegates reverse Obama's PD win?  They could.  That's in the rules.  But to do so would sow the seeds of a rupture in the party.  The media is in bed with Obama, reinforcing the notion that he is inevitable as they have been since Iowa.   The media has shaped the debate to the point where SDs would be foolish indeed to take this away from Obama.

by activatedbybush 2008-05-14 05:44AM | 0 recs
a win is a win

a win is a win...Obama 49  clinton 47

by feliks 2008-05-14 05:46AM | 0 recs
Stop the Madness

Silliness....energy lost that should be devoted to going after McShame and his crowd.  I worked campaigns for Democrats since 1976, am a PCO in Washington (we select delegates by caucus) and formally in Iowa (a caucus state).  No candidate or supporters of candidates have bitched and moaned about the "system" more then the current supporters of Ms. Clinton.  Get real...her husband ran the party for 8 years and did not get rid of the caucaus system.  She ran aggressively in Iowa and Nevada and did not pull out because they were 'undemocratic" (in fact she boasts of winning Nevada).  Stop the moaning...the system is what it is.  Lets focus on November and electing democrats not on crying over the loss in the nomination process by a candidate that miscalculated the system and lost.

by dnichols 2008-05-14 05:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Stop the Madness

Stop the moaning...the system is what it is.

Ah yes, what an inspiring message from those who support the candidate of change.

by therealdeal 2008-05-14 07:59AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate the

Excuses...

The Hillary campaign has been all about excuses since February on, at least...

The game is played the way it is played.  The Clintons certainly know how to win caucuses...  Bill  Clinton won dozens of them... In fact, that's where he excelled.

They simply fumbled the ball by not having a post Feb. 5th strategy...

So, since then, it's all been about excuses and what could have been.  Hilary is no neophyte.  She should have known how to play the game.  She didn't and she lost...

There are no do-overs in politics...  better luck next time.

by LordMike 2008-05-14 05:54AM | 0 recs
It's so craaaazy

That more people voted in a caucus that elected delegates than a meaningless straw poll.  It simply boggles the mind.

by JJE 2008-05-14 05:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses

Hillary could have done better, maybe if she would have campaigned there, but she did not.  Nuff said!

by Spanky 2008-05-14 06:03AM | 0 recs
Re: Caucuses Violate Your Fragile Mind

I stopped in to see if MyDD had picked up the circle jerk we last saw after PA.

Yep.

Ahh, well, let 'em have their fun. It's amusing.

by ragekage 2008-05-14 06:04AM | 0 recs
When its all said and done

are the supers going to look at this as they make their choice?  Obama is ahead through caucuses, but seems to have lost all the primaries. Does this even register for the DNC, or is the "fix" already in for Obama?

Seems this is what people have been saying all along, is that the caucuses gave Obama his early lead but he can't close the deal through primaries.

Anyone know?

by 4justice 2008-05-14 06:15AM | 0 recs
Re: When its all said and done

Obama is ahead through caucuses, but seems to have lost all the primaries

Uh..Clinton has one exactly one more primary win than Obama. I have no idea what point you are trying to make above, but it doesn't make a whole lot of sense.

by tysonpublic 2008-05-14 08:32AM | 0 recs
since you didn't answer my question

I'll assume the fix is already in for Obama.

by 4justice 2008-05-14 10:38AM | 0 recs
I'm in favor of going all primaries next time.

But they are expensive so will the DNC help the states who can't afford them?  It's something that would have to be discussed.

As for this election and elections in the past.  If we're going to try to recalculate who would have won the primary if the rules had been different in this election, then who would have won if the rules had been different in prior elections?  Would we have had Clinton as president?  Who knows?  Hindsight is nice but we really have to move forward.

by GFORD 2008-05-14 06:22AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate

What is wrong with you people?  I read these comments and it appears that you have taken leave of your senses.  

4justice writes: Obama is ahead through caucuses, but seems to have lost all the primaries.

No, Obama won a lot of primaries too.

I just scrolled through a bunch of the comments and it appears that I am not alone in my appraisal of MyDD.com.  I used to have a lot of respect for the people who run this site, but it appears to have become a lint trap for Clinton apologists.

Get it together or become irrelevant.

by dan robinson 2008-05-14 06:27AM | 0 recs
Nothing like whining

Nothing like casting doubts on the legitimacy of an election by one side's partisans - sure helps in November!  

The rules also allow state parties wide latitude in how they conduct their election. Some chose primaries, some chose caucuses.  Not everyone likes caucuses, but so what?  Nebraska does.  

And what the hell? Why are you whining about Nebraska: you could have picked New Hampshire or Nevada.  (Or any of the states where Obama out-organized Clinton.  She lost Maine.)

Go ahead and get involved in Democratic party politics and push for an end to caucus politics -- that's your prerogative.  Argue with Iowans and New Hampshireans, go on the Daily Show to rail against them, pen a bestseller about the injustice of caucuses -- fine. But I suspect that's not the cause that's near and dear to your heart...

by Twin Planets 2008-05-14 06:37AM | 0 recs
Re: Caucuses

There is a big difference between a Primary and an Election.  When it is simply Republican vs. Democrat the choice is pretty clear.  It doesn't take a lot of information to make a fairly informed decision and the end result is a final result.  Not so with a Primary.  The end result is the beginning of the election process.  Policy differences are more nuanced requiring a more informed voter.  GOTV, campaign staff and structure are all key elements to be factored in as to who will be the best choice.  The argument for caucuses is that the Primary elections give a pronounced edge to the incumbent and best known of the candidates who may not be the best qualified candidate to run in the fall.  This gets even worse in the Primaries in the front of the schedule which have early voting, something which allows voters to pick before the candidates have even had time to campaign and make there pitch to voters.  If we had a winner-take-all Primaries only system, no doubt Clinton would have won easily and early and her weakness in campaign staff and organization would not have been exposed until it was too late.  We would have had Mark Penn charting the electoral map for her.  There is a reason some states decided on a caucus system.  

The question is whether we change and what is the best system for picking the best candidate.  It used to be that this stie was a Progressive democrat site with a strong role in the netroots movement.  That orientation skewers heavily toward Obama because of his commitment to a more grassroots style of politics and organizing.  Effectively using an activist internet-savvy base, he has radically changed the way campaigns are financed and put some backbone in campaign finance reform.  These are all good things which supporters of both candidates should be in favor of.  There is something to say for the caucus system which relies on, builds, and trains a grassroots style organization in service of the general election.  There is a certain built-in unfairness to them concerning the time restriction, but rather than scraping them entirely perhaps we should search for solutions to that problem instead of giving up on them.  The work Obama has done in the caucus states will pay great dividends in the fall.  It's something to consider.

by Piuma 2008-05-14 06:48AM | 0 recs
IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF

IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF IF

by joed 2008-05-14 06:51AM | 0 recs
what's the point of this diary?

Yes caucuses suck. For so many good reasons not even mentioned. They should be eliminated and replaced with a national primary where the popular vote winner is the nominee. No games. No SDs.

Next time, that is. There's no way to rewrite the rules that this campaign was conducted by now. So I really don't see the point of this diary since it doesn't even offer any remedy for the future. It's just complaining about a result the writer doesn't like.

by Nomo Clintons 2008-05-14 06:54AM | 0 recs
Re: what's the point of this diary?

A national primary would favor party insiders, as it would not allow a relatively unknown candidate to meet the country before large-scale voting.

by reenactor 2008-05-14 07:20AM | 0 recs
Re: what's the point of this diary?

As it is, most people never get a chance to vote for the candidate they really prefer as most are forced out after a few contests. It also forces candidates to camp out for a year and spend ridiculous sums in IA and NH instead of letting voters in other states share their time. Forcing candidates to kowtow in IA and NH also poses inherant advantages and disadvantges for some while the overt pandering and hand kissing candidates must do to excess, in IA in particular, is detrimental to the political process. But worst of all is that it's just not fair to voters in later states, because even in a drawn out primary season like this one, our choices had been mostly eliminated by others before we even got to vote.

by Nomo Clintons 2008-05-14 09:00AM | 0 recs
Re: what's the point of this diary?

Your points are valid.  How do you feel about a rotating primary schedule?

by reenactor 2008-05-14 02:44PM | 0 recs
Re: what's the point of this diary?

The trouble with that is the possibility, if not likelyhood, that in most years voters in the later primaries will be effectively disenfranchised either because their favorite candidate has been forced out, or one candidate has wrapped it up before their turn to vote comes around.

A national primary day with Instant Runoof Voting would level the field for voters

The way to get around those with the most money burying the less financed candidates would be to impose reasonable spending limits on the candidates which would force them to rely on debates and personal campaigning rather than TV ads.

by Nomo Clintons 2008-05-14 06:07PM | 0 recs
Re: what's the point of this diary?

See, if you do everyone at once all but the most populous states will be disenfranchised, because there's little point in campaigning there.  Toss up a few national ads and spend the rest of your time in the 20 biggest cities...

Instant runoff is interesting, but while we're dreaming, let's go for a Borda count :-)

by reenactor 2008-05-14 06:48PM | 0 recs
Re: what's the point of this diary?

That's why I suggested spending limits.

And I'm not so sure people outside the 20 biggest cities would fall for being ignored. I can see some candidates working lots of small states retail style and getting free local press coverage and doing quite well.

In my mind nothing is worse than a system that eliminates most candidates, if not all but one, before 80-90% even get their chance to vote.  

by Nomo Clintons 2008-05-14 08:15PM | 0 recs
Rather than keep complaing about how unfair

it is how about changing it. This continuing theme that caucuses are unfair is an issue that keeps coming up. If its so unfair why not make a grassroots efforts to have each state that holds caucuses to change to a primary. I am now living in Minnesota and suggested that to the local party chair. He said he had also tried to change it to a primary but various party leaders but they were not receptive. My guess is that alot of other states would have changed it if they wanted to but the desire is not there. You guys are welcome to try but whining about how unfair it is to your candidate is just a "sore loser" argument. Just like me arguing that the demographics in W. Virginia made it impossible for him to win.

Otherwise this is a "sore loser" complaint. The  system was set up to choose a nominee. My first choice was Edwards he lost. Quite frankly Hillary was always way down at the bottom of my list. After a living a long time in the South I realized that she rallies the Republican base. I can't prove it but I am positive she will rally the Republican base more than Obama will. It's a gut feeling from over 30 years of living in the South.

To get back to my point Hillary and all the candidates had the same rules. Hillary suffered from negative press coverage but she benefitted more than any other candidate by having most of the Washington establishment in the Clinton's pocket. Edwards who was the most electable in the GE was constantly having to fight the big money donors, the establishment the Clinton machine. It sucks but he played by the established rules and he lost just like Biden, Dodd, Richardson etc...
Now Hillary wants to change the rules for Mi and Fl . She wants to "look" at the popular vote she wants a "pause" while she continues to poison the well for Obama. Yes she has poisoned it by legitimizing the white latent racism in the last remaining contests. I don't think she is  a racist I think she is a savvy politician exploiting an issue to win. Its troubling because it damages our nominee and she is okay with the collateral damage.

So as the end approaches and the bitterness continues. Keep in mind that while this last ditch effort has some benefits its got some pretty large negatives. This site proves that the longer this process continues the more the attitudes are hardening for or against the nominee of the party whether its Obama or Hillary manages the upset.

And for all the talk about the closeness of the race keep in mind that yet again that does not matter. Because the way our system works the person  with the most votes not the two closest gets the office.  So even if those W. Virginia don't want to vote for Obama in November that does not matter because what matters is that he will have gotten the nomination by the rules established by the party and put together the necessary wins and superdelegates to represent the party in November.

by KosTexasliberal 2008-05-14 06:58AM | 0 recs
Re: Rather than keep complaing about how unfair

MN has both a Caucus and a Primary.  If the people think the party gets it wrong they can overturn the Party decision in a primary.  This has happened frequently.  Ironically, the primaries that overturned the caucus vote were usually disastrous candidates recently.  Primaries don't make people more electable.  Primaries don't apply to the presidential race.

by pjv 2008-05-14 09:40AM | 0 recs
Caucuses Lose Elections
Caucuses are often complicated processes that favor party activists at the exclusion of "Jane and Jo Normal Voter".  I say this from the experience my family had in the Colorado Caucuses.  They took 2 hours and were big public spectacles.  My mom and sis said they would "never do it again".  There you go.
This is why Democrats LOSE General Elections.  We anoint a candidate based on the results of these small, activist-based caucuses- and often wind up with someone who does not appeal to the masses.  I'm not saying Obama is going to be that person- but it is a fact that Hillary wins most of the Primaries, and he wins most of the Caucuses.  Nebraska, Washington and Texas are prime examples.  When everyone votes- Hillary either wins or gets A LOT closer to Obama.  Take what you want from that- but those are the facts.
by easyE 2008-05-14 06:59AM | 0 recs
Re: Caucuses Lose Elections

Fact is he's won the majority of Primary states and Caucus States.

by Piuma 2008-05-14 07:17AM | 0 recs
Lose General Elections?

Are you seriously suggesting we will lose this fall? Have you been paying any attention to the current political climate. For Christ sakes, a Dem won in a +10 PV district yesterday. We will not lose this fall's general election.

by Foward with Feingold 2008-05-14 07:47AM | 0 recs
true, but

Republicans have just as many caucuses, so wouldn't the caucus-activism-leads-to-electoral defeat argument apply to them as well?

by semiquaver 2008-05-14 09:14AM | 0 recs
Re: Caucuses Lose Elections

So now the Democratic party are just a bunch of activists who deserve to be cut out because they don't represent the real Dem Party?  I guess you must be referring to me.  If that is true, I don't like being insulted.

by pjv 2008-05-14 09:52AM | 0 recs
Quit crying

The Clinton campaign knew (or should have) known the rules of the process beforehand.  They got out organized and got their butts kicked in the caucus states, that's their own fault.  No use crying over spilt milk now.  I'm all for getting rid of caucuses, but given how bad the Clinton campaign was in spite of all of its institutional advantages, I wouldn't want her running the country.

by ctd72 2008-05-14 07:11AM | 0 recs
I agree with most of what you said, but...

your last paragraph is a needles and meaningless jab at Obama. I agree that the rules of caucuses suck, most Obama supporters agree with this statement.

However, your last paragraph where you accuse him of "gaming the system," is absurd. We have had caucuses as part of the primary system pretty much forever so you can't fault Obama's campaign for their existence and you certainly can't fault Obama's campaign for developing a strategy that allowed them to over-perform in the caucus states. It was a smart strategic decision. The idea that one of our campaigns making smart strategic decisions is somehow to be frowned upon is patently absurd.

by JDF 2008-05-14 07:11AM | 0 recs
There's no there there.

Wonderful citation of the rules; but there's not even a hint of any violation that so many seem eager to jump on.

2.A requires the process to be open to all.  No problem; it unquestionably was.

3.A and 3.B impose scheduling rules.  That's all.  No process rules, just scheduling; and there is absolutely no evidence presented in this diary that indicates that the lower participation in the caucus was due to the scheduling.  

Caucus numbers were smaller; no disagreement.  The important question is why were they smaller?  Was it a scheduling issue?  Were caucuses scheduled non-uniformly or in such a manner as to limit participation?  No, they were not; and consequently the entire hypothesis of this diary is moot.  

Lower participation has many causes.  Unless it's conclusively the result of scheduling, the Rules 3.A & 3.B argument is worthless on its face.

by rb608 2008-05-14 07:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses

"Unofficial" primary means just that, unofficial.

If you tell voters that a primary wont count, it depresses turnout.

You can't make any real observations based upon something that is unofficial.

end of.

by astoria gooner 2008-05-14 07:33AM | 0 recs
Gaming the process?

Yeah and suggesting a change of rules in the middle of the game isn't "gaming the process." Save this debate for after the primary.

by Foward with Feingold 2008-05-14 07:43AM | 0 recs
Sounds like

Washington State.

by kevin22262 2008-05-14 07:51AM | 0 recs
bitter jerome

Now I know what the 20,000 screaming Obama-maniacs would say. They'd say that rules are rules and Sen. Obama won the Nebraska caucuses.

you sound pretty hard up, still.

I suppose once your credibility is lost, you retort to crazy talk, nothing really makes sense, you start being accusatory without real reason and you spin out of control.

must really suck to be you right now. I suggest you replace yourself with Bowers.

by alex100 2008-05-14 07:52AM | 0 recs
Funniest thing about it

is that Obama won the unofficial primary results as well, so we, apparantly, should just give NE to Hillary because, god dammit, we want it and she deserves it.

I thought seating Michigan straight up was f'n nuts, now this is beyond absurd.  I think these guys are now just playing tricks for the f of it to rile us up

by KLRinLA 2008-05-14 08:15AM | 0 recs
Re: bitter jerome

You guys sound like Republicans did after the '00 Election.

Remember the "Sore/Loserman" signs and chants?

So much for change, hope, inspiration and unity.

by Juno 2008-05-14 09:58AM | 0 recs
Re: bitter jerome

So much for change, hope, inspiration and unity.

this only makes sense if you believe that Obama's supporters need to believe his campaign strategy.

I don't vote on marketing sloganeering. The "fighter" tag applied to Hillary is a joke as much as the "unity" tag is an ironic choice for Obama. Neither are true.

by alex100 2008-05-14 10:45AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate the

MyDD: Where logic goes to die.

by DeskHack 2008-05-14 07:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate

Just because more people voted does not make it more democratic.

It is far easier to vote in a primary, we know that. But the point is that everyone should be able to vote, not that we try to have as many people vote as possible.

If we handed out ballots on the street or went to people's homes to have them fill out ballots we could get a lot more people to vote and it would be less democratic.

I for one think the dedication and spirit involved in caucuses is exactly what democracy is about. I want to encourage people to attend, and I think there ought to be changes that allow for people to be able to who ordinarily can't (absentee ballots for those out of state, mandatory time off work, etc.).

But for those people who vote in a primary because its easier but don't want to  give up enough time for a caucus, I really don't think it should matter. If we are choosing a nominee we are supposed to be picking the strongest candidate, and that could mean who has the most dedicated supporters.

The fact that this is on the front page, and there is no discussion over how undemocratic superdelegates are (for the record, i don't think they are, though their number should be decreased) is laughable.

This is not about discussion, this is just about wanting Hillary Clinton as the nominee and the only way to do that now is to try to undermine the whole process.

by BlueGAinDC 2008-05-14 08:01AM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate

So, you don't think that those that HAVE to WORK or that have family obligations are dedicated?

Wow! Only the 9 to 5ers that work 5 days a week, or people that aren't working at all are dedicated? The rest just

don't want to  give up enough time for a caucus,

Talk about wanting to cut out a huge group of people, just because they have different lives from those that CAN participate in caucuses! No thought as to whether they have a CHOICE in the matter. None at all.

by splashy 2008-05-14 10:58PM | 0 recs
Another useless what if crybaby

sour grapes sore loser whining diary.  My comment may seem insulting but it is by no means lower than the level of intelligence or discourse contained within the diary.

Talk about voter disenfranchisement!!!

by KLRinLA 2008-05-14 08:09AM | 0 recs
If These are the Rules

Then all caucuses violate their spirit.  And so do all primary elections not held on Saturdays.

by kaleidescope 2008-05-14 08:30AM | 0 recs
Re: If These are the Rules

I would say that all primary elections not held over an entire week, all day long, along with caucuses, violate the spirit of the rules. They should be done away with, and replaced with week long primaries held all day long. That's the way it's done in my state, and we love it.

That way, everyone that has obligations, at any hours and days of the, week will have a chance to vote.

by splashy 2008-05-14 11:02PM | 0 recs
Re: Nebraska Caucuses Violate the

I don't like caucuses, but that's what we've got in WA so I went.  I also don't like fake primaries that I don't vote in but which people use to 'prove' that my participation in the caucus was 'unfair' to their candidate.  I also don't like open primaries, since the whole concept of a primary is to have that party's adherents choose it's own nominee, but I'm very much in the minority on that one here in WA.

What I don't like the most, however, is whining, and trying to change the rules after they've been agreed upon.  The rules suck, yes.  It would certainly be easier for all of us to compare apples to oranges, Washington to New Hampshire, whatever, if we were all operating under the same system - closed primary, open primary, caucus, primacaucus, whatever.  

But we aren't.  

And contrary to a fair bit of the rhetoric I hear, all the presidential candidates had an equal opportunity to design a strategy that worked WITHIN THE AGREED UPON SYSTEM.  

They both had disadvantages - Obama came into the race with a huge name-id disadvantage, with the media practically coronating Hillary in 2007, and with Hillary having locked in many of the traditional fundraising avenues and a fair number of superdelegates before anyone started voting.

Hillary came in with a fair bit of overconfidence, a deep loathing among long-time Clinton-haters, and a very loyal but unimaginative campaign team.

Both teams knew the rules many many months in advance.  One team used the rules to their advantage, and the other spent the last 3 months complaining about how unfair the rules are, and devising scenarios in which under other rules they would have won.

Yes, caucuses are unfair.  And so are open primaries.  And so is having 100% name-id going into a race.  And so is being able to give a great speech.  

It's a race.  You take your advantages and try to win with them, and take your disadvantages and try to minimize them.  You don't bitch about how your opponents advantages are unfair, and your own advantages don't exist.

by travelerkaty 2008-05-14 08:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Caucuses Violate the "Spirit"

Here's how your diary reads to me:
blah, blah, blah, blah, "gaming the system".

If the system were different from the outset, we would have "gamed" that too.  You cannot speculate that HRC does better under different rules, because a campaign's goal is to understand the rules and devise a game plan to win by those rules.
Unfortunately for you, your candidate's campaign failed to appreciate the strength of Obama's support, and failed to understand the playing field.

Don't blame Obama.  If you can't cook with the ingeredients you have, get out of the kitchen.

by haystax calhoun 2008-05-14 09:14AM | 0 recs
Rules is Rules!

States decide how to allocate their delegates, whether via primary or caucus.

Period.

Don't like it?  Get the folks in Nebraska to change the rules for next time.

by AK Democrat 2008-05-14 09:17AM | 0 recs

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