AP: Childers WINS!!!

Per NBC News, Democrat Travis Childers will win the special election in Mississippi's first congressional district!

Update [2008-5-13 22:13:44 by Jonathan Singer]: !!!!!!!!!!!!!

Update [2008-5-13 22:23:57 by Jonathan Singer]: Short, simple, to the point from the AP: "Democrat Travis Childers wins special election for Mississippi's 1st Congressional District."

Update [2008-5-13 22:33:14 by Jonathan Singer]: Two quick thoughts on this...

  1. I don't want to go so far as to say that this is the end of the Republican Party, because it's not. But this is as bad news as the GOP could possibly get at this point. They lost a district that leans 6 points more Republican than the nation as a whole in Illinois in March. They lost a district that leans 7 points more Republican than the nation as a whole earlier this month in Louisiana. Now they lost a district that leans 10 points more Republican than the nation as a whole in Mississippi. If they can't win in Mississippi's first congressional district, where can they win?
  2. The Republicans tried to make this election about two people: Barack Obama and Reverend Jeremiah Wright. And despite running this type of campaign, they lost. While it is true that Childers distanced himself from his party (and implicitly from Obama), the fact is that the Obama/Wright smears simply DID NOT WORK. The Republicans are going to have to get a new game plan, and the establishment media are going to have to get a new meme. Sorry folks.

Update [2008-5-13 22:45:9 by Jonathan Singer]: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chairman Chris Van Hollen have statements on this monumental victory over at The Stakeholder.

Update [2008-5-13 22:50:17 by Jonathan Singer]: Senator Ronnie Musgrove (D-MS). Make it happen.

Update [2008-5-13 23:5:45 by Jonathan Singer]: An 8-point victory for Childers. What a drubbing. I thought this could be a couple-point win for Childers, at best, but 8 points? In an R+10 district? Wow. Just wow.

Tags: House 2008, MS-01, Special Election (all tags)

Comments

72 Comments

Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Democrats! Democrats! Democrats!

this country wants a change and we will have it in November!

by TruthMatters 2008-05-13 06:14PM | 0 recs
Yeeeeeehawwwwww!

by lojasmo 2008-05-13 06:14PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

That's awesome!

by DeskHack 2008-05-13 06:14PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Incredible ... it's going to be a banner year for Democrats in the fall.

by VAAlex 2008-05-13 06:15PM | 0 recs
Woooooo Hoooo!!!!

This is a great year for Democrats.

by Tatan 2008-05-13 06:15PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

My god, this is a done deal now?

Good for him, and good for our chances in the fall.

by werehippy 2008-05-13 06:15PM | 0 recs
YAY!

by Zeitgeist9000 2008-05-13 06:15PM | 0 recs
Chant it, chant it!

Everyone was saying this was the special election most closely tied to Obama with over a million poured into attempting to tie them together.

Cooooattails, coooooattails!

Woo!

COATTAILS!

Lets go Democrats, let's go!

by Lord Hadrian 2008-05-13 06:15PM | 0 recs
And yes Senator Clinton

would have around the same coattails.

But this was specifically Obama-based.

by Lord Hadrian 2008-05-13 06:16PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Wow!  November is going to be amazing.

by map 2008-05-13 06:15PM | 0 recs
WHOOOOOHOOOOOOOO!

Both Democrats had a great night tonight.

Clinton pulled in a big win in West Virginia.

Obama showed that he is not the "scary Muslim negro liberal terrorist," even in the Deep South.

Great night for Democrats!

by elrod 2008-05-13 06:16PM | 0 recs
Exactly!!!!

Yeah for the Democrats!!!!

by puma 2008-05-13 06:21PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Timmeh called it seismic.

by DPW 2008-05-13 06:16PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

This is SOOOO COOOOOOL!!!!

by mady 2008-05-13 06:16PM | 0 recs
WOOOOOHOOOOO!

Republicans are going to get CREAMED in the fall.

I wish I was sitting in Tom Cole's living room right now, putting out the electrical fire that he caused when he broke his TV screen.

by The Great Gatsby 2008-05-13 06:16PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

I didn't think it was possible, but things like this make me dream of a wonderful number.

60.

by freedom78 2008-05-13 06:16PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Senator Warner
Senator Udall (CO)
Senator Udall (NM)
Senator Shaheen
Senator Allen
Senator Franken
Senator Hagan
Senator Begich
Senator Kleeb

At least its conceivable :).  Maybe even 60 without Joementum if we can pick up Oregon!

by PantsB 2008-05-13 06:42PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Two words: Senator Noriega

by DanM 2008-05-13 06:55PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

3 for 3!!!

Hopefully we'll keep it up in November!!

by werd2406 2008-05-13 06:16PM | 0 recs
FANTASTIC news!

Hopefully many more of these on the way in November.

The 'ol Repub train is close to jumping the track....

by Seeking Cincinnatus 2008-05-13 06:17PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Results look close to me and not all county's have reported..... egg on face..?

by Jaz 2008-05-13 06:17PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

They know the counties well from the last round with these exact candidates, all the R strongholds are in and big D strongholds are still out.

by nwodtuhs 2008-05-13 06:25PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

haha, i bet Cheney didn't overnight there.

by Jerome Armstrong 2008-05-13 06:17PM | 0 recs
This is fantastic!

It almost seemed like all Cheney's campaigning hurt Davis.  All that Schadenfreude I've been trying not to feel in the primary race is gushing out now.  This is a fantastic omen for November.

by semiquaver 2008-05-13 06:17PM | 0 recs
Childers Win will scare the Shit Out of Repugs

EVERYWHERE!

               #              
            #    #
         #    #   #
             \  l  /                  
                l/

               {:~D)

by Lefty Coaster 2008-05-13 06:18PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

And now we're going to Washington to TAKE BACK THE WHITE HOUSE!  BYAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!

by thehastyexit 2008-05-13 06:18PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

4 years late, but it sure is sweet.

by nwodtuhs 2008-05-13 06:31PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

2008 is the year Dean wins. A fifty-state strategy funded by small donors over the internet, an engaged electorate, an activist base, a proud democratic party that stands up on principle while reaching out to Republicans and Independents...

The movement that started with Dean is only now coming to fruition, with millions of new voters and participants (even if some (Jerome) have jumped off).

by jaiwithani 2008-05-13 06:48PM | 0 recs
Alright

Now if Kleeb wins (looks pretty likely) everyone who voted in my poll was right!

Congrats to Rep Childers!

by Student Guy 2008-05-13 06:18PM | 0 recs
Woot!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wow this is AMAZING!!!!!!!

by puma 2008-05-13 06:18PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

A result we can ALL agree on!  Fantastic news!

by mlr701 2008-05-13 06:18PM | 0 recs
The GOP is terrified right now.

by heresjohnny 2008-05-13 06:19PM | 0 recs
This says that Obama as the boogie man

is NOT going to work this time.

Americans WANT change!!!!!!!!!!!

by puma 2008-05-13 06:19PM | 0 recs
Yes...take that Bush

I am so proud to have donated to his campaign!

by netgui68 2008-05-13 06:20PM | 0 recs
Re: Yes...take that Bush

Agreed...me too.  

by mascho 2008-05-13 06:21PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

The Republicans ran ads tying him to Obama - and he won - just like the last special election.  Another indication of the limits of this strategy.

by politicsmatters 2008-05-13 06:20PM | 0 recs
This brings a sigh of relief to

both the Obama campaign and the superdelegates that that negative campaigning that the Repubs will use against Obama may not work this time.

As Obama says "NOT THIS TIME!"

by puma 2008-05-13 06:23PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

No matter what, yet another fantastic night for Democrats.  

(As an aside, Governor Huckabee, who is spending his night on MSNBC, is still pulling in 10% of the vote against McCain in the W. Va. primary.  Just throwing that out there).

by mascho 2008-05-13 06:21PM | 0 recs
I love the smell of Repug tears in the evening.

Smells like...victory!

Can we have a Kleeb diary now?

by Elsinora 2008-05-13 06:22PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Does this mean Obama will win Mississippi in the g.e?

by nzubechukwu 2008-05-13 06:22PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

may haps. Definitely proves he's electable.

by astoria gooner 2008-05-13 06:25PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Heh. Bill Clinton won Georgia and Louisiana. April's not the month to make predictions.

But our House prospects are great.

by Lord Hadrian 2008-05-13 06:26PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

the GOP is so toast in the fall.

by kasjogren 2008-05-13 06:24PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

this is awesome news for republicans!

by truth hurts 2008-05-13 06:24PM | 0 recs
Awesome, and look at the growing margin

With the three counties still out or partially out, Childers is going to end up taking this R+10 rather easily, probably a six point win.

by Fuzzy Dunlop 2008-05-13 06:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Awesome, and look at the growing margin

Holy Shit... That's incredible!

by Tatan 2008-05-13 06:29PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Gobama! Gobama! It's your birthday! It's your birthday!

Seriously though, this is now the THIRD special election, all GOP districts, all in increasingly heavier GOP districts, where the Repubs ran on the bad guy Obama -- and the Democrat wins.

How awesome are we! Seriously, Clinton folks, for all your Obama disdain, dislike, distrust, and distaste -- this is really good news for the party.

by Lettuce 2008-05-13 06:28PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

OBAMA COATTAILS, BABY!

by LordMike 2008-05-13 06:32PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

The guy RAN TELEVISION ADS saying that he didn't know Barack Obama and had nothing to do with him.

The reaction?  "Obama coattails, baby!"  God, it's a great time for celebration, but can we at least do it in a non-delusional fashion?  There were no "Obama coattails" involved in this win.

by Steve M 2008-05-13 06:57PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

The GOP attached Obama to him like a lamprey on a shark....  So, yes, it's Obama coattails...

by LordMike 2008-05-13 07:10PM | 0 recs
Negative coattails - Denials don't matter

Doesn't matter. This is about negative coattails and when your opponent hangs them on you, either they work or they don't. For decades Southern Republicans hung Ted Kennedy or the Clintons on every Southern Democrat. And every time the Democrat proclaimed his independence from Kennedy or Clinton. And it usually sunk the Democrat. This time it didn't. In fact, Childers actually INCREASED his margin after the GOP attacks. Looks like the anti-Obama attacks actually drove UP Democratic turnout.

by elrod 2008-05-13 07:16PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

W00t.

by MNPundit 2008-05-13 06:34PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

by emptythreatsfarm 2008-05-13 06:41PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

...the fact is that the Obama/Wright smears simply DID NOT WORK. The Republicans are going to have to get a new game plan, and the establishment media are going to have to get a new meme. Sorry folks.

Agreed.  Time for Fox News and the GOP to find a new smear tactic.  Same goes for those nefarious Rev. Wright exploitationists over at HillaryIs44.org.

by nafamabo 2008-05-13 06:44PM | 0 recs
OOPS!

Sorry for the blankie.

I thought for sure that the previous election results would wake up some sleeping Republicans and that they would come out and Childers would lose.

This is great news.

I think we all need to stop wetting our pants and wringing our hands about the once mighty Republican attack machine.  Right now, it's in retreat.

by emptythreatsfarm 2008-05-13 06:44PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Wooooooo Hooooooooo Childers!!!!  So much for a R+20 stronghold......Dems all the way!!!!!

by hootie4170 2008-05-13 06:45PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Awaiting Jerome's post about how this is bad news for Obama.

by jaiwithani 2008-05-13 06:48PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

What's that you see?

Coattails?

Whose?

OBAMA'S?

Reaaaaally?

So much for the "hurt the downticket" line.

by spacemanspiff 2008-05-13 06:49PM | 0 recs
Bring on the SDs!

by chrisblask 2008-05-13 07:41PM | 0 recs
YYYYYEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRGH!

WOW!  I LOVE IT!  

by DailyKingFish 2008-05-13 06:53PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Spectacular win!!

Now that we've helped this guy get elected, I sure hope he manages to vote with us at least once or twice ;)

by Steve M 2008-05-13 06:54PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Just took a closer look at the numbers.  Childers will end up winning 54-46 minimum.

Not even close.

by Fuzzy Dunlop 2008-05-13 06:58PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

This is astonishing. How many states do you think the Dems will actually win in the GE?

by Rationalisto 2008-05-13 07:12PM | 0 recs
All of them...

OK, maybe not that, but anything close to a theoretically contestable state is on the table.

-chris

by chrisblask 2008-05-13 07:38PM | 0 recs
swu- eat

I really want to see the kind of landslide this will create in November if numbers like this hold up. Even after sending in every statewide republican in Mississippi they still couldn't even come close. WOW.

by bentheben 2008-05-13 07:13PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Holy crap.  Eight points? Eight points?! in an R+10 district?

Actually some pretty good analysis over at redstate:

WHY KEEP BRINGING BACK UP OBAMA

Stop blaming other people. The media has nothing to do with this. The fact is that independents, moderate Republicans, and conservative Dems think the Republican party has really nothing to offer.

Honestly name 1 new thing that is new that has been said in this campaign season by the leadership that could help reduce oil prices for the long term or deal with healthcare or home foreclosures or blah blah blah blah.

The answer is NOTHING
Then you got the President threatening to veto popular Democratic bills that pisses off people even more. I know he doesn't have to run again but you think the Republican leadership by know would say it is time to save the party.

Hehe.

by Mandoliniment 2008-05-13 07:35PM | 0 recs
This is huge

and the Republicans ran vicious Obama/Childers attack ads...

Not only did Obama's coattails work, but more generally the move against the Reps is shown.

Again.  3 for 3.

Bring Nov!

-chris

by chrisblask 2008-05-13 07:37PM | 0 recs
Whether you're a Dem or a Rep

This win is the REAL story tonight. Republicans are probably trying to unload GOP stock like it's 1929.

by Nomo Clintons 2008-05-13 07:37PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Wow. Just Wow. November is going to be fun.

by tysonpublic 2008-05-13 07:38PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Time to can the idea that Obama can't win. This is a big Democratic year.

by politicsmatters 2008-05-13 08:05PM | 0 recs
Re: AP: Childers WINS!!!

Can y'all say SENATOR Ronnie Musgrove?!

by TheBlueWarriors 2008-05-13 09:17PM | 0 recs
8 pts??

Holy kay-rap.

by Purplepeople 2008-05-14 05:39AM | 0 recs

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