I don't think he will reverse it.  As we saw in the Ohio poll, Clinton pulls ahead in the last days as her core groups "come home to mama".  Most polls underestimated her in the end (except SUSA).  Obama better hope SUSA isn't right this time- or he's gonna have some splainin' to do- after breaking all records for candidate spending in Penn.

Excerpt

But we know that for the past seven and a half years, we've had a whole different philosophy in the White House. They call it the ownership society - but what it means is you're on your own.  You're a worker who's been laid off from a job? Tough luck, you're on your own. You're a single mom trying to find health care for your kids? Tough luck, you're on your own.  You're a senior whose pension got dumped after a lifetime of hard work? Tough luck, you're on your own. - Obama

Now, John McCain seems to think the Bush years have been pretty good because he's offering more of the same. And today's a good reminder of that because it's Tax Day. This is supposed to be a day when we pay what we owe to the government. But it's become a day when George Bush's Washington rewards its friends on Wall Street. - Obama

http://thepage.time.com/full-text-of-oba mas-remarks-to-the-building-trades-legis lative-conference/

...in the Rasmussen Poll a 2% shift could also simply mean that there is no movement present in the past week.

Thanks for the demographics though :)

The new SUSA poll has Clinton up by 14.

Says Election Inspection: "If you believe last week's SUSA poll was valid, Obama has improved 4 points since then. Now kick yourself for believing last week's C+18 SUSA poll was valid, you fool!"

I then heap abuse on ARG, figure Rasmussen looks like a good median, and return to my prediction of 2 weeks ago: Clinton by 5-15% in PA, gaining 14 delegates.

It's a foregone conclusion that Hillary will win the state.  Obama's goal is to limit the win as much as possible.  

At this point, Indiana is much more important for Obama to win.  He needs to get in there hard as soon as he can.  A win there and in North Carolina will probably end this thing.  

Rasmussen is the best poll going right now.  With the robo calls and constant polling they get good predictive data.

Here is my take, Obama has kicked rural Pennsylvania in the jewels.  But he did it during the end of the weekly news cycle and most of the discussion was over the weekend when people don't pay attention as much.  So we haven't really seen the fallout from "bittergate" yet.

For those of you that don't get it, Obama cannot belittle God & guns for the same reason Trent Lott cannot suggest Strom Thurmond would have been a good President.  It is that simple.  Obama just did something 10x worse than "I voted for it before I voted against it."

"Rasmussen doesn't conclude whether Clinton's increase"

Given that the MOE is certainly greater than 2, there was no statistically significant change in either the Rasmussen or SUSA polls.

In the scheme of things , I really don't think the whole bitter thing would move that much votes.

Both candidates are practically frozen in place.

Just trying to fight for voters at the margins , people have been following these elections for a long time and I figure most people have made up their minds by now , I don't even think the debate would mean much in the scheme of things unless there is some earth shattering event.

Studying poll results that do not reflect Obama's and Clinton's latest remarks makes no sense to me.  This is anal.  Let the dust settle around recent events and then look at the polls.

okay a couple of points here andthere from previous poll is not really much to bank upon.

Still sticking with my 14% Clinton win prediction.

and his failure to apologize lost him the nomination.

Time to unite with the one who gives hope for the future and can admit mistakes,

Hillary Clinton.

Gallup's tracking poll is out for today.  Obama's lead is now 11 points, which is marginally up (within the margin of error) from the past few days. Together with Rasmussen's tracking numbers, there might be a slight upward trend in Obama's margin.

I think in a lot of Democratic circles, Clinton's attacks are seen as low-brow and clumsy; could she be facing a blow-back?

Anything can happen in the next six days, but, at this point, this pod for Obama is content. PA is truly Clinton country. Here was the place for my senator to net the massive haul of delegates she needed to resurrect herself. Unless Clinton wins 65-35 needed to net 50 delegates, this is not going to happen. The Obama investment of resources in PA was a wide one if this plays out to a 60-40 conclusion. Clinton gets nothing -- except a blackened reputation for doing McCain's dirty work.