Texas Results Thread

Here are the early numbers:

Barack Obama: 681,437 votes (50 percent)
Hillary Clinton: 672,185 votes (49 percent)

9,252-vote margin with 17 percent of precincts reporting

It's close, close, close...

Tags: Democratic primaries, texas, Texas primary (all tags)

Comments

188 Comments

Re: Early Texas Results

How the hell is that 1% of the vote? Thats not possible.

by AC4508 2008-03-04 03:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Seriously, if that's 1% that would make the turnout 50 million or so.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-04 03:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Yeah, what's wrong with everyone's math??

This is PUZZLING.

by Sieglinde 2008-03-04 03:42PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I was just gonna say that myself!

Since when did Texas gain a larger population than the entire nation?

by zonk 2008-03-04 03:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

The networks aggregated the early voting numbers into the precinct number so even though the precincts were not fully reporting the numbers showed up with the reported precincts.

The actual results are here ...

http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/mar04_136 _state.htm

... Clinton has a 1% lead now with 8+%. She'll probably win by a few %.

]{

by kristoph 2008-03-04 04:59PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Very early.  Still...  An early lead is always a good sign.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-03-04 03:22PM | 0 recs
Terry MacAwful

is really, really, really digging himself a hole here spinning if Clinton doesn't pull out Texas.

He's on MSNBC talking about winning Texas in the past tense -- repeatedly.

He better hope Penn's numbers are right or he's gonna be the biggest fool of the evening.

by zonk 2008-03-04 03:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Terry MacAwful

he says MI and FL must be counted because voters voices must be heard!

but then chris goes into "Random Attack Mode" (occasionally useful) and he refuses to say that superdelegates shouldn't overturn the results because "you [chris matthews] used to be a democrat"

god spin is one thing, but some people are just full of shit

by falseintellect 2008-03-04 03:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I was wondering where these numbers were coming from, on MSNBC.  Is it really al early voting?  Thats half a million votes!

by alydar 2008-03-04 03:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

if you go to Texas SoS
you can see the early votes too

http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/mar04_136 _state.htm

RACE    NAME        DELEGATES    EARLY VOTES    PERCENT    TOTAL VOTES    PERCENT
President/Vice-President  &nbs p;                
    Joe Biden    0    159    0.32%    159    0.32%
    Hillary Clinton    26    29,351    60.48%    29,351    60.48%
    Christopher J. Dodd    0    110    0.22%    110    0.22%
    John Edwards    0    1,075    2.21%    1,075    2.21%
    Barack Obama    16    17,459    35.97%    17,459    35.97%
    Bill Richardson    0    376    0.77%    376    0.77%
                -----------        -----------   
        Race Total        48,530        48,530   

by el mito 2008-03-04 03:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Thanks!  Great link.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-03-04 03:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

yeah  HUGE lead for Hillary on early votes... incredible

by el mito 2008-03-04 03:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Not anymore, 136,322 to 99,083.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-03-04 03:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

By my calculations, Texas has more people than the universe, with a MoE of infinity.

Could these be votes from the pre-election day voters?

by Kal 2008-03-04 03:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

hahaha, good one!  :)

by Sieglinde 2008-03-04 03:43PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Just looked it up: Texas has 23 million people, total, including Republicans, people <18, etc. (i.e. non-voters).... there is no way half a million people voted early

by alydar 2008-03-04 03:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Actually, over 1 million people voted early.

BurntOrange link

by BriVT 2008-03-04 03:33PM | 0 recs
by MILiberal 2008-03-04 03:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

It's early voting, which Obama apparently won handily.  He's +136k votes now.  That's a big lead.

OBAMARAMA

by Cycloptichorn 2008-03-04 03:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Well ...

The latest state of texas results:

http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/mar04_136 _state.htm

... show Obama with a 33k vote lead and about a 2% spread.

]{

by kristoph 2008-03-04 04:47PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

1% of precincts reporting, not 1% of voters.  If they're not evenly populated that can make some silly looking results.

by thezzyzx 2008-03-04 03:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

strange that there are over 500,000 votes counted with 0 precincts reporting.

by mecarr 2008-03-04 03:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Yes, SUSPICIOUS!!!

by scvmws 2008-03-04 03:49PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results
If that early voting margin holds up, and the exit polling is remotely accurate, Obama should take the popular vote in Texas.
If he narrowly loses the pop vote in Ohio but gets more delegates(which Chuck Todd suggested is possible), and pulls off a mild upset in RI, I think Clinton folds her tent.
by megaplayboy 2008-03-04 03:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

no way. the new spin is "Bill Clinton didnt win until June!!"

by falseintellect 2008-03-04 03:28PM | 0 recs
Which Is Of Course

A total freakin' lie. The '92 Iowa caucus was in February and Clinton had it basically wrapped up when he won New York two months later.

by HatchInBrooklyn 2008-03-04 03:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I think MSNBC made a boo-boo by showing that graphic, because they're now not including Texas on their ticker... there's no way half a million people voted early.

by alydar 2008-03-04 03:26PM | 0 recs
supposedly...

Supposedly, TX early votes were 50% of the total votes expected. Don't remember where I read that. I read at the same time that hillary was purportedly winning those returns by 3%, too, so I have no idea what to think.

by mattw 2008-03-04 03:29PM | 0 recs
i remember reading

60%. but i dont know if thats reliable

by omar little 2008-03-04 03:32PM | 0 recs
You're right

The actual statistic is more than 1 million. According to BOR

by MILiberal 2008-03-04 03:46PM | 0 recs
From a friend...

I used to live in Williamson county in TX (north of Austin), and a friend I talked to says his tiny town is running out of ballots and the caucus has a line around the block. He said local talk radio has been chattering all day about Rush's plan to get Republicans voting for hillary, and that's what they're saying is causing the ballot shortage.

Grain of salt and all, but interesting. I was calling him to encourage him to caucus - he showed up 30m early and left because the line was insanely long, not moving, and he has a cold. Tried to prod him to go back. :)

by mattw 2008-03-04 03:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

CNN has live coverage of two texas caucuses.  

by clean sweep 2008-03-04 03:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Now they are:

448K 58% BO
308K 41% HC

by a gunslinger 2008-03-04 03:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Okay, Olberman just gave validity to the Texas numbers.  They are legit.  Jeebus.

by alydar 2008-03-04 03:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

You think Olberman is credible?

Even as an Obama supporter, you best look elsewhere.

Really.

To make good decisions, you need people who will tell you the truth, be unbiased.

That's not Olberman.

by Marsha1 2008-03-04 03:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Itchy trigger finger there my friend?  All I noted was that I had assumed that the graphic MSNBC was showing was a mistake, but the fact that Olberman referenced it led me to conclude that it was in fact real.  No more, no less.  Simmer down.

by alydar 2008-03-04 03:33PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

No, you made a mistake.

Olberman is not credible, too much bias againt Clinton.

And if he were as biased against Obama, I would say the same thing, don't you analyze him, or do you just agree with him, when he reinforces your POV?

If you  use him as a resource, he will reinforce your bias, and you will make mistakes.

Period.

And we're not friends.

by Marsha1 2008-03-04 03:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

LOL

Someone needs to relax a little:)

by animated 2008-03-04 03:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Clinton is whipped.

They'll be a lot of that attitude going around for the next few days.

by EMTP democrat 2008-03-04 03:45PM | 0 recs
someone is all internet cocky

chill out marsha. dont worry, no one wants to be your friend.

by omar little 2008-03-04 03:44PM | 0 recs
Re: someone is all internet cocky

Oh, I can't.

That time of the month again.

Yawn.

You're BORING.

So, as long as I have you here, what about Obama and the terrorist Auchi?

You guys OK with a former Baathist, bagman to Saddam, money rolling your guy?

Or so they say.

You ALWAYS TAKE THE BAIT.

Idiots.

by Marsha1 2008-03-04 03:46PM | 0 recs
Re: someone is all internet cocky

Oh, here let me do it for you:

Hillary did it too.

ladies and gentleman, the intellectual levels of the next wannabes of the United States.

You're great, really, brilliant.

Really.

by Marsha1 2008-03-04 03:49PM | 0 recs
oooooo...

look at big marsha talking tough. i like it.

by omar little 2008-03-04 03:51PM | 0 recs
Re: oooooo...

Someone's gotta have a dick around here, god knows it isn't your group.

"And fast trigger finger?"

Who just got set up, so he could be asked about Auchi?

YOU just don't think, do you?

by Marsha1 2008-03-04 03:55PM | 0 recs
the fuck are you ranting about?

by omar little 2008-03-04 03:59PM | 0 recs
Re: the fuck are you ranting about?

culturing a pearl I think.

by lockewasright 2008-03-04 04:07PM | 0 recs
A minor quibble

That is some not-especially-compelling internet trash-talking.

I've seen some goading worthy of the alt.flame.* hall of fame around here, but you're not really putting in the effort.

Nobody got "set up," and other posters are running circles around you just pointing and laughing.

Quality, not quantity.

by scvmws 2008-03-04 04:03PM | 0 recs
Ha!

thats just sad.

by omar little 2008-03-04 03:50PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I wonder if we could convince the DNC to give HillaryIs44.com some delegates -- their caucus could be the new firewall!

by scvmws 2008-03-04 03:52PM | 0 recs
Early voting

All I can figure is that the early votes being reported are evenly distributed across all precincts.

That makes no sense to me why the numbers would be reported that way, but that's all I can come up with because all networks seem to be using them.

by zonk 2008-03-04 03:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

These are all early voting.  They're not yet precinct votes.  

In the early voting - Obama +15K in Forth Worth, +30K in Austin, +40K in Dallas, +55K in Houston.  Also doing well in DFW, Houston and Austin neighboring counties.

Hillary +10K in San Antonio, winning almost all the smaller rural counties.

by DaveOinSF 2008-03-04 03:30PM | 0 recs
For Jerome

I think it was you who noted how F'd up the WA state system was this year.

I am thinking the TX system is MORE F'd up!  :)

by kevin22262 2008-03-04 03:31PM | 0 recs
Re: For Jerome

Yeah, Kevin:

BOY, are we going to be reforming the primary season in the future.  Not just Washington State, not just Texas.

Every-thing.

by ChrisR 2008-03-04 04:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

As an aside, Chuck Todd is a real breath of fresh air as far as network coverage goes.  He has no axe to grind, and just sticks with his numbers.  Refreshing.

by alydar 2008-03-04 03:32PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I think the results are from the three main urban centers, Austin, Houston, and Dallas.

by Drummond 2008-03-04 03:32PM | 0 recs
why?

urban precincts typically come in much later.. why would that be different in TX?

by omar little 2008-03-04 03:42PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Now they are:

453K 58% BO
325K 41% HC

by a gunslinger 2008-03-04 03:34PM | 0 recs
Sounds like monster turnout

EVERYWHERE.

I'd like to think that great Obama news, but I don't know anymore.

by zonk 2008-03-04 03:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Now they are:

459K 56% BO
348K 43% HC

by a gunslinger 2008-03-04 03:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

So, most of the numbers coming out of TX are from Dallas, Houston, and Austin

by corunner26 2008-03-04 03:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Which makes sense since most of the people live there.

by Drummond 2008-03-04 03:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

You can see where they are coming from here:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primari es/results/state/#val=TX

Just scroll down for the map.

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 03:46PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Now they are:

467K 56% BO
356K 43% HC

by a gunslinger 2008-03-04 03:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Intrade says yes. Also, Clinton wins Ohio. Not to take the fun out of it for you.

by EMTP democrat 2008-03-04 03:41PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Clinton: Ohio, RI

Obama: Texas, Vermont

by EMTP democrat 2008-03-04 03:43PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Hello!!!  It is 1% of precincts reporting, not 1% of total votes!

by RickM 2008-03-04 03:41PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

1% of the precincts ...  and then perhaps the early voting wasn't assigned specific precincts?

That would make more sense.

by Sieglinde 2008-03-04 03:46PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

If Obama wins Texas she's toast.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-03-04 03:45PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

But she ain't going away.

(Don't pout.)

by Sieglinde 2008-03-04 03:47PM | 0 recs
I am curious

has anyone done a delegate count, for all the states that have voted in the Democratic primaries and cacuses, in a winner take all scenario like the repugs have?

I don't want a winner takes all sort of thing but I am curious.

by kevin22262 2008-03-04 03:46PM | 0 recs
Re: I am curious

Clinton would be in the lead.

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 03:46PM | 0 recs
From what I remember

Obama would be in the lead right now. But that assumes that all states would have gone the same way they did, and in a WTA scenario, he would probably be buried by the media after being hundreds of delegates behind in Super Tuesday.

by MILiberal 2008-03-04 03:53PM | 0 recs
Re: I am curious

In other words, no, nobody has done the count.

by scvmws 2008-03-04 03:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Matthews just said that if Clinton wins, it would be "fear trumping hope...to be blunt."

I know a lot of people hate the guy but I think he's freakin' hilarious.

by animated 2008-03-04 03:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

at 7:50 p.m. CT:

Now they are:

488K 56% BO
371K 43% HC

by a gunslinger 2008-03-04 03:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

No they didn't. That was in a specific county.

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 03:49PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results
breakdown by county at bottom at cnn
Draw your own conclusions
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primari es/results/state/#val=TX
by nogo war 2008-03-04 03:51PM | 0 recs
This is early voting

by MILiberal 2008-03-04 03:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

It is % of precincts, NOT population.

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 03:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I'm with you.  Something just seems wrong about one of those numbers.  There are only 26 million total humans in the state.  Can armadillos vote?

by alydar 2008-03-04 03:53PM | 0 recs
You've posted this half a dozen times by now

For the third time, Burnt Orange Report reports that over 1 million Texans voted early.

by MILiberal 2008-03-04 03:59PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Now they are:

489K 56% BO
374K 43% HC

by a gunslinger 2008-03-04 03:54PM | 0 recs
by mady 2008-03-04 03:58PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I think that they are releasing the EARLY votes...and "1%" ofvoted TONIGHT.

I don't know that Hillary can catch up.

by a gunslinger 2008-03-04 03:55PM | 0 recs
Hidalgo County early voting retuns

Just came in.  +25K votes for Hillary!

Brownsville, Laredo, Amarillo, El Paso all have not yet submitted early voting returns

by DaveOinSF 2008-03-04 03:56PM | 0 recs
Webb County

My mistake - Webb County (Laredo) early turns were already in (+17K for Hillary).  I meant to say Lubbock was still AWOL.

Also missing are Tyler and Galveston

by DaveOinSF 2008-03-04 04:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Now they are:

520K 54% BO
420K 44% HC

WOLF BLITZER Just confirmed my thoughts...that the 1% has to do with tonights results, a LOT of these #'s are from EARLY votes.

by a gunslinger 2008-03-04 04:00PM | 0 recs
CNN

sez no dallas, houston, austin city precincts in yet.

DK reports expect 3.6 to 3.8 million turnout (2.6 Kerry voters in 2004 GE).

Last number I saw has HRC 425K, Obama 515K

by zonk 2008-03-04 04:00PM | 0 recs
Re: CNN

No precincts ANYWHERE yet.  It's all early voting, and Austin, Houston, Dallas, Fort Worth all reported that part of it.

by DaveOinSF 2008-03-04 04:09PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Unless there is a big disparity between early votes and cast votes WITHIN A GIVEN COUNTY, it looks like Obama is going to win Texas.  Almost no votes have been reported from Dallas, Austin, etc. yet they are trending heavily toward Obama.  Many of the other rural counties have reported at least a decent chunk of their votes, which have trended toward Clinton.

by alydar 2008-03-04 04:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

What are you talking about?  Austin is +30K for Obama and Dallas is +40K

by DaveOinSF 2008-03-04 04:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

yes, and that is with very few precincts reporting in Austin and Dallas, so when more precincts report, assuming the trend holds, Obama will have a very very large net gain in those areas, which is why he will win.

by alydar 2008-03-04 04:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

No, that is the early voting, which is still all what most counties are reporting.  THey do not count as precincts.

by DaveOinSF 2008-03-04 04:44PM | 0 recs
Hispanic Vote

WAIT for the Hispanic vote

Cameron County - 340,000 people 85% Hispanic, 0% in
El Paso County - 725,000 people 78% Hispanic, 0% in
Hidalgo County - 570,000 people 88% Hispanic, 50k votes in going 74-24 for Clinton
Nueces County - 313,000 people 57% Hispanic, 20k in going 65-35 for Clinton

by repub319 2008-03-04 04:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

from Geraghty on NRO

Beating the Networks By Several Seconds

I'm hearing a network may be on the verge of calling Texas' primary for Hillary. If' I'm right, I beat the networks. If I'm wrong, forget you ever read this.

No clue how this would happen.  shes down 55-45 right now

by repub319 2008-03-04 04:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I know. If exit polls are 50-49 and O wins early voting by the margins we have seen, it would seem silly.

by Benjaminomeara 2008-03-04 04:12PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

CNN exit polls show HRC up by 7% for women and BO up by 6% for men.  Women 57% and men 43%.  If this holds HRC wins by around 1.5%.

Also the same exit polling as OH.  HRC wins working folk, older married women and latino's and BO wins AA and wealthy Dems.  Wine and Cheese (and i like cheese) versus working folk.  Each candidate has a real problem in the general without the other.

david

by giusd 2008-03-04 04:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

But that wouldn't count early voting, meaning she would lose.

by animated 2008-03-04 04:09PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I dont know the anwser to that?

david

by giusd 2008-03-04 04:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

If 10% of the vote was early and BO won by 10% and i think the possible BO model, then he picks up .1 times .1 and that is one percent so to close to call.

david

by giusd 2008-03-04 04:13PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Whoa...Brokaw just repeated the 50 delegate rumor. Saying it's not a question of whether but when.

by animated 2008-03-04 04:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Just for Irony sake I really want Obama to carry Jeff Davis county.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-04 04:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Yes they did.  Not precincts, but a ton of early voting participants in each of those cities.  

by DaveOinSF 2008-03-04 04:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

True, and Now El Paso's in as well.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-04 04:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Where is this rumor about them calling Texas for Hillary?

by mbfeldma 2008-03-04 04:14PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

texas rumor link:

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/

he has impeccable sources

LOOK at the Hispanic vote.  El Paso still 0% reporting.  That's a 50K margin for HRC at least

by repub319 2008-03-04 04:16PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results
And yeah and Austin hasnt reported yet.
I can guarantee you that's a much bigger margin for Obama right there
by Benjaminomeara 2008-03-04 04:18PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Dallas and Houston are 0% also though.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-04 04:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

CNN exit poll suggests that HRC wins the white vote by aournd 56% to 43% or so based on my quick calculations.

david

by giusd 2008-03-04 04:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Well I just finished with the caucus in Southlake, Texas one of the most affluent and white areas of the State. Obama won the caucus 69% to 31%. I was floored.

by padcrasher 2008-03-04 04:19PM | 0 recs
Exit Polls are crap

Well, okay, I don't really believe that, but they are not very accurate, especially when it comes to the cross-tabs (i.e. demographic breakdowns of various sorts), due to the small sample size.  So, extrapolating from those error-prone numbers to state-wide results is dicey.  Indeed, if one goes back and does that for exit polls from states that have already voted, and then compare that to the actual vote totals, there is a pretty big margin of error.

by alydar 2008-03-04 04:21PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

if you extrapolate out CNN's exit poll using Gender you get

Clinton 49.99
Obama 48.58

by repub319 2008-03-04 04:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

MSNBC called RI for Hillary!

by New York Democrat 2008-03-04 04:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Obama +83,000 votes. Still LOTS of votes to be counted.

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 04:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Early voting was OBAMA 56% 484,538/CLINTON 43% 367,632

Clinton won today's voting (according to CNN exits) 50-48.

Assuming a total voter turnout of 3.7 million

Clinton: 1,719,547
Obama: 1,851,496

Obama should win Texas, but the margin gets closer the higher the turnout.

by Cutwolf 2008-03-04 04:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Oh, and this is assuming that CNN exits are accurate. A big assumption.

by Cutwolf 2008-03-04 04:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

6%  CLinton only 3 % down!!!

at :8:36 pm pacific

by el mito 2008-03-04 04:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

But remember that big cities that favor Obama will report at the end. She is likely to take the lead at some point in the middle there. Does not mean she will keep it in the end.

by Benjaminomeara 2008-03-04 04:42PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

with 7.22% of the vote   obama up by 3.5%

by el mito 2008-03-04 04:45PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

your info seems more up to date than cnn.com... what's your link?

by alydar 2008-03-04 04:47PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

TX  SoS

with 7.97% votes counted

H: 49.29
O: 48.93

by el mito 2008-03-04 04:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Clinton stops the Obama surge...she took RI

by nogo war 2008-03-04 04:46PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Obama +64,000 votes.

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 04:49PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Still 0% precincts from Dallas, Austin & Houston.

by mecarr 2008-03-04 04:52PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Obama +40,000 votes.

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 04:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results
Do exit polls in Texas take into account early voting?
I understand that early voting in Texas wasn't by mail so presumably they could.
by blueosprey 2008-03-04 04:55PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

According to the Texas SOS site, Clinton just took the lead.

http://enr.sos.state.tx.us/enr/mar04_136 _state.htm

by thezzyzx 2008-03-04 04:56PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

lead increased with 8.32 of the votes  yeay!!

by el mito 2008-03-04 04:59PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results
Just look at Democratic totals v Republicans..
even if McCain is already the guy...
by nogo war 2008-03-04 04:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

and obama surged back up when 23% of dallas reported.  

by alydar 2008-03-04 05:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

How does CNN have more details than the SOS site?  Weird.

by thezzyzx 2008-03-04 05:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Weird - CNN has higher numbers of votes recorded than the TX secy of state

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primari es/results/state/#TX
Obama 51- Clinton 48

by mainelib 2008-03-04 05:02PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

im going by the SoS

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

9,4 %

H: 49.52
O: 48.64

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results
Unofficial delegate count by Senate district
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p J0M6W5tNQCPLz7oU3-llfg
by mainelib 2008-03-04 05:04PM | 0 recs
Precincts vs. Early Voting

Some precincts in Fort Bend and Dallas County have begun to report.

In Fort Bend, Obama won the early voting by about 15K.  NOw, with 13% of the precincts in, he's only ahead by 14K.

In Dallas County, Obama won the early voting by about 40K.  With 23% of the precincts in, he's ahead only by 39K.

Obama is not maintaining the margin he had in teh early voting.  Hillary will win this state.

by DaveOinSF 2008-03-04 05:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Precincts vs. Early Voting

I noticed the Dallas County at 23%, but upon refreshing, Dallas is now 4% reporting.  CNN mut be having some problems...

by alydar 2008-03-04 05:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Precincts vs. Early Voting

Where do you see 23% in, I see 4% in on CNN.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-04 05:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

You know, MSNBC should consider no longer giving Republicans details since that race is over and focus the bottom ticker on the challenged election.

by thezzyzx 2008-03-04 05:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

BBBBuuuttt... MikeHuckabee has more to say...

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-04 05:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Close as a tack.

This is exciting...

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-04 05:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Ambinder:http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/

9:58: Many of the early vote "precincts" in Texas have largely been counted, and the election day precincts are beginning to allow Hillary Clinton to close the margin with Barack Obama. But a lot of the bigger counties haven't counted their early votes yet, so the margin could widen in Obama's favor again.

by mainelib 2008-03-04 05:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Obama +27,000 votes.

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 05:09PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Looks like Texas is going to be close.

Ohio is a blowout for Clinton.

Obvious meter alert!

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-04 05:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results
I am rolling my eyes.
Considering Columbus, Cincinnati and Cleveland have not reported yet, it is hardly going to end up as a blowout.
by Benjaminomeara 2008-03-04 05:13PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

We will see.

But you have to admit this is fun....

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-04 05:14PM | 0 recs
Misouri redux?

Missouri looked awful in the early going - then KC/STL came in and he pulls out a slight win.

Personally - I don't think he closes to a tie/win, but I feel very happy that he's gonna close to my upper limits target of 5 pts or less.

by zonk 2008-03-04 05:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

IGNORE CNN's reporting %.  It's completely focked.  It extrapolates out to like 10 million votes

by repub319 2008-03-04 05:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

It is % of PRECINCTS, not voters.

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 05:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

It doesn't they clearly list "number of precincts" reporting, not % of vote, thats why Missouri flipped with the last 3% of precincts making up like 10% of the total vote.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-04 05:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Man, can anyone explain how CNN's vote total is ahead of the TX SOS site?

by Nissl 2008-03-04 05:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

CNN does not have early votes?

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:12PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

So Obama's going to win? Thank god.

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-04 05:13PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

WRONG!! HC IS WINNING....THANK GOD...WE DONT' WANT AN OBAMA CULT

by steve468 2008-03-04 05:19PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Whoa there Clinton Cultist, chill out a little and back away from the capslock.

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-04 05:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Think I'll get another drink...

Go Clobama!

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-04 05:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Clobama!!!!

I love it...if only we were getting that ticket- no chance of that happening though.

by JDF 2008-03-04 05:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

11.52%  SoS TX

H:49.79%
O: 48.31

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

11.93 %  TX SoS

h: 49.71
o: 48.36

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

"the big cities have still not reported yet"-where are some of you getting this information from?

by corunner26 2008-03-04 05:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

CNN is talking about it.

by JDF 2008-03-04 05:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

HC catching up on popular vote. Reports coming out saying that Obama officials have locked HC voters out of some Caucas precincts. Texas Caucas vote and delegate count could be challenged thanks to Obama dirty tricks.

by steve468 2008-03-04 05:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Where are these reports first of all? Otherwise this beyond conjecture.

by JDF 2008-03-04 05:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Im going to call Ohio for Clinton and Texas for Obama.  

by Toddwell 2008-03-04 05:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Ohio for Clinton: Yes

Texas for Obama: LOL - that's just silly. How do you know anything everyone else doesn't know. Look in the mirror. Do you see some sort of special being that can predict the truth 47 minutes ahead of time. No. Just watch the TV.

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-04 05:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Still no reports from Dallas, Austin or Houston. At least nothing beyond early votes

by mecarr 2008-03-04 05:18PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

TX SoS

12.79%

H:49.97
O: 48.06

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:21PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

These areas are all Obama strongholds and they still are not in.  Hillary will likely inch into a popular vote lead soon, but Obama will go back into the lead when Dallas, Austin and Houston start reporting.  

by Toddwell 2008-03-04 05:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

This is the important one...
 Obvious alert!...

Ohio is in the bag for Clinton ( baring some sort of really amazing thing from the cities, which might happen)....but now we look at Texas...

This may be the best night of political drama in my long lifetime.... lots of fun...

Go....

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-04 05:20PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Wow, just wow. Moderators???

by mecarr 2008-03-04 05:21PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Obama will win Texas and I'll gladly take all monetary bets on that.

Except I have no money, but I'm pretty confident.

Early vote + exit polls indicate an Obama win by like 100,000 votes

by Cutwolf 2008-03-04 05:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Doubt it... bet Hillary wins Texas too...

We will find out soon...

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-04 05:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Black women are racist, because if they werent racist they would obviously be voting in higher numbers for Clinton?!? Wait- who's the racist again?

by AC4508 2008-03-04 05:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

Are you serious with this comment??!

by JDF 2008-03-04 05:36PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

TX SoS

14.39%

H:50.19
O: 47.77

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Early Texas Results

I agree with mecarr... I mean, "the black woman"... are you kidding me?

by alydar 2008-03-04 05:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

Early vote not yet counted in Houston - Chuck Todd, MSNBC

by mainelib 2008-03-04 05:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

early votes are counted on the SoS website

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

CNN

Obama +15,000

by RJEvans 2008-03-04 05:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

No more posting results everytime they are updated...It's looking tacky around here.

by mecarr 2008-03-04 05:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread
well...for some of us..after a month o bad news...
we are MILKING THIS
by el mito 2008-03-04 05:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

HRC will pass Obama in the next few minutes and proceed to build a decent lead, then some network will call it for her, and later at like 1 am est., after Dallas, Houston and Austin have come in it will flip the other way.  

by Socraticsilence 2008-03-04 05:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

Only 1% of votes counted in Houston.  Hmmm...

Also, despite nearly half the votes counted in Ohio, no network is calling it yet, despite Clinton leading 56-42.  The big cities are late to report, as always.

People called Missouri for Clinton before St. Louis and Kansas City came in.

by Skaje 2008-03-04 05:33PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

only cinicnatti and cleveland are missing

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

True, but Obama is winning Franklin County (home of Columbus) with 19% outstanding.

by NJPolitico84 2008-03-04 05:41PM | 0 recs
Not Really

They said something along those lines, but it was a bit confusing.

You're wrong because Harris County has zero reporting.

Dallas County has 1 precinct reporting.

All from the Texas SoS state.

by NJPolitico84 2008-03-04 05:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

No early voting has come in from Houston. No election-day votes have come in from Houston. This thing should crawl back to Obama's favor. Ultimately, it's hard to see how Obama won't win more delegates in TX.

by mecarr 2008-03-04 05:36PM | 0 recs
Re: Texas Results Thread

si se hará HILLARY

by el mito 2008-03-04 05:52PM | 0 recs

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