Michigan Revote "All But Dead"

This is a shame. From Michigan Liberal:

The subscription-only MIRS service issued a release just before noon today that Senate Democrats "emerged from a closed-door caucus this morning and proclaimed that a fledging idea floated by top Michigan Democrats to create a special June 3 primary election is all but dead."

Sen. Buzz Thomas, an Obama supporter, is quoted as saying the votes are not thereto do the primary.  Sen. Gretchen Whitmer, a Clinton supporter, puts chances of the primary as "on life support."

Ben Smith elaborates:

A Lansing insider IMs to explain the latest development: The Senate Dems just had a long caucus meeting following their long phone call with the Gang of Four [as Carl Levin and others pushing a re-vote are called], and the result is that no one moved. Votes aren't there. Thus, it will not go to a vote in the Senate. And barring some other last minute miracle that doesn't involve those four, the governor and Hillary traveling to Michigan, it is dead as a doornail.

I spoke to Adam Fogel of Fair Vote today and he was pretty clear that delegates from both Florida and Michigan will be seated at the convention but that is complicated by the fact that these delegates, if allocated, could be determinitive in who gets the nomination. It looks now as though Hillary Clinton's only move is to rally support for seating both Florida and Michigan delegates per the January primary results, even if it means cutting the delegations in half. That appears to be a more practical solution for Florida than for Michigan since Obama wasn't on the ballot in Michigan, but expect Clinton to remind people that Obama took himself off the ballot for the January MI contest and made no effort -- in fact, arguably he even worked to stop -- a proposed June ballot that his name would have been on.

Tags: 2008 Presidential election, Democratic nomination, Michigan primary (all tags)

Comments

119 Comments

Michigan is solidly Blue

Setting aside the questionable ethics of ignoring the votes of millions because of decisions made by the party leaders, I think the alienation of the Florida vote could end up losing the election for the Dems. Michigan not so much because it is solidly blue.
by dMarx 2008-03-19 02:45PM | 0 recs
Video: Clinton Today In Detroit

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CLICK ON PLAYER TO START VIDEO

Hillary Clinton spoke today in a Union Hall In Detroit. It is one thing to read reports about the issues surrounding the disenfranchisement of Michigan from the Democratic Primary. It is another to actually hear the arguements in favor of letting the people of Michigan vote. If you have four minutes, I strongly encourage you to watch the one Democratic candidate who is in favor of having all the people vote in the Democratic Primary election.

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-19 02:58PM | 0 recs
Can she drop out now?

Seriously guys. It's over.

by Erik 2008-03-19 03:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

See, the thing is, that it isn't over. If Obama has succeeded in blocking the revote in MI and FL then the issue becomes seating the delegations at the convention. The way I understand it works every single Obama pledged delegate is going to have to vote against seating these states' delegation. This will take place on the floor of the convention in front of the nation, and in front of the world. We will have the spectacle of the delegates from 48 states voting to disenfranchise the delegates from two of the most critical states to electoral success in the fall in this, the greatest democracy on the planet. This is what Obama has done. It is not clear at all yet how it turns out. There is a long way to go until the convention.

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-19 03:41PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

the whole convention votes? I thought this was decided by the credentialing committee? I cannot get  straight answer of who will have to stand up against credentialing the FL & MI delegations.  Surely some group will start a lobbying campaign but who are the targets?

by hctb 2008-03-19 04:14PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

It is the Credentials Committee's decision first, but it can be called to the full convention very easily, and you can bet your bottom dollar it would be. I think this is a valid point. There's no guarantee all Obama voters would vote to not seat the delegations, and there's every reason to expect the Clinton delegates (and Edwards delegates) will.

by ColoradoGuy 2008-03-19 04:18PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

so this means every delegate is going to get a lot of emails telling them to seat these delegations.

Not sure any of these delegates knew what they we getting into when they accepted these posts. I kinda feel sorry for them.

by hctb 2008-03-19 04:26PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

so this means every delegate is going to get a lot of emails telling them to seat these delegations.

This would be a real mess.  You would try to get delegates pledged to Obama to vote in a group that would change the result to Clinton.  That would based on some sort of argument that it was the fair thing to do.  I don't think that is really the way we want the convention to start.

And I think the Superdelegates probably also don't want to see it happen.  I think that they will make some sort of offer to Clinton that will not change the result and couple that with the threat that enough super delegates will back Obama that it will not mater if the pledge delegates all vote to seat the contested delegates.

It is really hard to believe that Clinton would be willing to push this fight and then expect the super delegates to also support her.

by Fred in Vermont 2008-03-19 07:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

No, Fred. I think you misunderstand me. I am suggesting all of the delegates are going to get lobbied (from many sides) about seating the MI and FL delegations.

This is not a Obama or Clinton vote, but something more technical.

It is a mess but i think you are being far too hopeful that Clinton or Obama can be scared out of the race. That is why the FL & Mi situations are such a big problem for the DNC. It is just one more quagmire that they have stepped in/failed to solve.

I do not think supers are going to be that willing to push back on Clinton about seating these delegations (particularly FL).
If you dont think Clinton will fight for a revote, I think you underestimate her. Right now I think the supers refrain of "wishing, and hoping, and dreaming .." is not getting them anywhere.

This is a mess.

by hctb 2008-03-19 11:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

Actually, this can be decided in the Rules Committee from now until June/July. After that, it goes to the Convention, where the Credentials Committee hears the arguments and the Convention votes on seating the delegates.

by RJEvans 2008-03-19 04:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

Michigan is the most critical state to electoral success in the fall?  Really?  It's blue and going to stay that way.

As for Florida, well, Obama has a clear path to the nomination without Florida.  Clinton needs Florida to beat McCain; Obama doesn't.

by thereisnospoon 2008-03-19 04:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

It's blue and going to stay that way.

Since you say it, it must be true.

And a good thing too, since your candidate just threw them under the bus.

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-19 04:39PM | 0 recs
Threw MI and FL under the bus.

alon with his grandmother and Geraldine while he hangout with Rev Wright

by indus 2008-03-19 04:45PM | 0 recs
Re: Guam votes Mi and FL don't

Ain't that a kick in the pants.  Votes from places that do not vote for President will count but votes from two of the largest states in th union will be counted out.

Obama got his state Senate seat by disqualifying the incumbent and his US Senate seat against a late, lackluster replacemnt.  I guess this is part of the pattern?  Will John McCain pull out so he can run against Alan Keyes again?

by David Kowalski 2008-03-19 05:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

"Seriously guys. It's over."

If it soooo over then why not let MI and FL vote?

Help me with the cognitive dissonance here.

by dMarx 2008-03-19 04:56PM | 0 recs
Re: Can she drop out now?

You mean Obama .

Praising God damn America is a sure loser. His numbers are tanking.

He should drop out.

by gotalife 2008-03-19 05:09PM | 0 recs
Minor misspelling in

Minor misspelling in

Minor misspelling in title line.

You wrote:     Michigan Revote "All But Dead"

Should read:   Clinton Campaign "All But Dead"

by Cleveland John 2008-03-19 02:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Minor misspelling in

Should read:   Clinton Campaign "All But Dead"

Ha, Cleveland John, you wish.  The Obama-bots are running scared right now.  April 22nd is a long way off...lots of time for more revelations about Obama.

by stefystef 2008-03-19 03:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Minor misspelling in

You mean more "revelations" about his pastor right? Race-baiting by Democrats is pretty unattractive.

by brimur 2008-03-19 03:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Minor misspelling in

I'm afraid I came off somewhat flippant.  I meant to be more on the funny side. I like Hillary, I really do. I would not be the least saddened if she were the nominee. The truth is -she just can't win at this point. The only way she could be the nominee would look like a total coupe de ta. That is -seating Michigan 82 delegates to 1 and then still having super delegates flock to her in spite of losing the pledged delegate count.

She's great, her supporters are great, and I think she will have her day in the Sun -just not in 2008.

Peace be to all Democrats.

by Cleveland John 2008-03-19 04:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Minor misspelling in

Hahahahahaha, okay everyone is great and wonderful.  

I just would like to see the DNC salvage MI and FL because we can't afford to lose those state in November.

by stefystef 2008-03-20 06:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Minor misspelling in

Yes, I for one am terrified.

by deminva 2008-03-19 04:41PM | 0 recs
More confirmation for me

This is yet more confirmation of my original impression that the FL and MI delegates would be seated as-is. There is no precedent for determinative re-votes or the refusal of a state's or states' delegates to be seated at the national convention.

by Zeitgeist9000 2008-03-19 02:52PM | 0 recs
You can't be serious

Do you honestly think it would be acceptable to award Clinton 82 delegates to Obama's 1?

Even the most fervent Hillary supporter knows that isn't close to fair.

by Cleveland John 2008-03-19 02:55PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

I'd really respect Hillary's calls for a re-vote in Michigan a lot more if she and her campaign hadn't been routinely calling it a win for her, listing it along with other contests she's legitimately won.

Michigan knew that it was crossing party rules when it held the primary early. That was when the disenfranchisement occurred. The candidates including Hillary did not complain about it then. To the contrary there was an explicit agreement to not campaign there.

Today, there are two fair ways to go. 1) Stick to the rules or 2) Re-vote.

I'd be happy with either.

by Friday 2008-03-19 03:26PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

Make a deal and award Obama those Uncommitted delegates.  What would that be - like a 55-45 split?

by Independent Ben 2008-03-19 03:28PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

Sorry, but Obama voluntarily took his name off the ballot. He gambled and lost. Screw him. To the winner belongs the spoils, or in this case, the lion's share of delegates from FL and MI.

by SoCalHillMan 2008-03-19 03:52PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

He gambled? He followed the rules. And so did Hillary, until it was to her benefit to do something else. And he will control the credentials committee. They will not be seated unless he wants them to. They'll prob be seated in some compromise that allows her to net 10-20 delegates at most. This race is over 1,000 different ways.

by brimur 2008-03-19 03:59PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

If this is about fairness, I think we can be clear that all the uncommitted votes were not his. There was a third candidate who was polling at 15-20% at the time--John Edwards.  If you were interested in fairness you would be making that point.  As you are not, it seems more likely you are just protecting your preferred candidate. In politics, apparently fair is whatever suits your interests.

by hctb 2008-03-19 04:20PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

This poster is far from the first person to suggest that all the Uncommitted MI delegates be allocated to Obama.  I've seen that suggestion made on blogs and in the media for more than a month.

by deminva 2008-03-19 04:43PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

I've been advocating that as well. 68% of African-Americans voted "Uncommitted." I think giving him those delegates is the best way to at least include him in the game, despite the fact that he voluntarily removed his name from the ballot.

by RJEvans 2008-03-19 04:58PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious
Why let African-Americans vote at all if Obama get every vote cast by an AA who did not support Hillary.
C'mon. Edwards was still around. It is not reasonable to count all of the uncommitted votes for Obama when Edwards was still drawing substantial support.
by hctb 2008-03-19 11:33PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

I've seen that suggestion made on blogs and in the media for more than a month.

That makes it reasonable? The preponderance of people repeating the same argument?

by hctb 2008-03-19 11:30PM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

All the candidates but Clinton took their names off the ballot.  As they'd agreed.

by McNasty 2008-03-20 07:19AM | 0 recs
Re: You can't be serious

Not fair.  Some of those were Edwards backers.  A fair split might be more like 30 or 35% Obama, 10-15% uncommited. 55% Hillary.  And that is generous considering the hardball tactics of the Obama-ites.

by David Kowalski 2008-03-19 05:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote "All But Dead"

yeah, hundreds of thousands of votes not counting.. a real reason to celebrate, bots

by atomic garden 2008-03-19 02:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote "All But Dead"

A couple of political scientists recently published an online article with the central thesis that counting the MI and FL votes would effective disenfranchise about 2.7 voters who didn't vote--given that neither primary was supposed to count.

As an Obama supporter, I do celebrate the fact that the rules are being followed and that Senator Clinton is not benefiting from the rule changes she's been seeking -- especially since she was quoted in the fall as saying she knew that the primary votes wouldn't count.  It saddens me that the MI Democratic Party tried to skirt the rules, and that the FL Democratic Party declined the DNC's offer to pay for a caucus back in February.

by deminva 2008-03-19 04:49PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote "All But Dead"

citation?

by hctb 2008-03-19 11:34PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote "All But Dead"
Washington Post, October 10, 2007 (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/co ntent/article/2007/10/11/AR2007101100859 .html ): CONCORD, N.H. -- Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Rodham Clinton said it would be foolish to take her name off Michigan's primary ballot and sacrifice her chances against the Republican nominee. <<snip>> "It's clear, this election they're having is not going to count for anything," Clinton said Thursday during an interview on New Hampshire Public Radio's call-in program, "The Exchange." "But I just personally did not want to set up a situation where the Republicans are going to be campaigning between now and whenever, and then after the nomination, we have to go in and repair the damage to be ready to win Michigan in 2008." <<snip>> Clinton was prompted by a caller who said, "It strikes me that this is politics as usual, where politicians say one thing and do something else." Clinton brushed aside the comment.
by deminva 2008-03-21 10:00AM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;
Washington Post, October 10, 2007 (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/co ntent/article/2007/10/11/AR2007101100859 .html ): CONCORD, N.H. -- Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Rodham Clinton said it would be foolish to take her name off Michigan's primary ballot and sacrifice her chances against the Republican nominee. <<snip>> "It's clear, this election they're having is not going to count for anything," Clinton said Thursday during an interview on New Hampshire Public Radio's call-in program, "The Exchange." "But I just personally did not want to set up a situation where the Republicans are going to be campaigning between now and whenever, and then after the nomination, we have to go in and repair the damage to be ready to win Michigan in 2008." <<snip>> Clinton was prompted by a caller who said, "It strikes me that this is politics as usual, where politicians say one thing and do something else." Clinton brushed aside the comment.
by deminva 2008-03-21 10:02AM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Obama interviewed by Anderson Cooper today and shown by Wolf Blitzer on CNN, said he would agree with what ever the DNC decided. But he won't and hasen't. He wants to keep Fl and Mi from revoting. As a Mi voter, if my vote is thrown away now, by the DNC, my vote won't mater in Nov. either.

by owllwoman 2008-03-19 02:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

There has been no approval by the DNC, so far as I know.  Two members of the Rules and Bylaws Committee circulated a memo stating that, in their personal opinion, the plan would meet with approval by the entire Committee.  However, they don't speak for the whole Committee.  I really don't understand why the R&B Committee would only review the proposal after it had been enacted by the legislature, since it would put a lot of pressure on the Committee to rubber-stamp whatever was approved, but that's apparently what they wanted to do.

by rfahey22 2008-03-19 02:58PM | 0 recs
No, I'm calling BS.

"But he won't and hasen't."

You can say this, but you can't back it up.  What evidence can you present to say that Barack Obama has not and will not abide by the DNC's decisions in FL and MI?

by McNasty 2008-03-19 03:08PM | 0 recs
Chirp, chirp.

Chickenshit.

by McNasty 2008-03-20 07:21AM | 0 recs
Clinton is part of the blame...

for that. She signed the agreement. Did you forget that?

by Erik 2008-03-19 03:32PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Obama doesn't want a re-vote because he doesn't feel confident about winning there or Florida.

I have been saying to anyone who will listen that if you don't count MI or FL in the primary, you might as well hand it over to the Republicans.  Even Michigan, because I believe there will be a severe backlash from the Democrats.

They will not come out or they will vote for McCain, especially if the nominee is Obama, who they may feel helped to squash the re-vote.

by stefystef 2008-03-19 03:41PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Agreed. Obama's tactic may net him the nomination, but it will cost him the presidency.

Don't expect that to dampen Obama's supporters triumphalism today that they think succeeded in blocking 2 million voters from participating in the Democratic Primary.

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-19 03:46PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

You guys are unbelievable...HRC has used race, gender, back room deals, secrecy, fear mongering attack ads and you people all think Obama is ruining the election for everyone.  You people are delusional.  You Clinton colored glasses are making you look like fools.  Smarten up - she's done.  All she can do now is drag the party down with her failing, and flailing campaign.  Put a fork in her.

by Rockville Liberal 2008-03-19 04:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

No she hasn't.  She has treated Obama with kid gloves.  She can't even compare him to Martin Luther King without getting called a racist.

Wait until you see what the Republicans have in store for Obama in the general where he won't have a black base to shore him up and people are by and large proud to be Americans.

But I still think he can win, I just don't think it is a done deal.

by dMarx 2008-03-19 05:55PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;
uprated bc of McNasty's tr for ?
Being irritated by Obama?
Citing Anderson Copper?
by hctb 2008-03-19 04:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

voices keep blaming this situation on Obama but he had nothing to do with it AND, to actually provide his quote from CNN:

"Sen. Clinton, I have to say on this, has been completely disingenuous. She said when she was still trying to compete with the votes in Iowa and New Hampshire that Michigan and Florida wouldn't count," he said.

"Then, as soon as she got into trouble politically and it looked like she would have no prospects of winning the nomination without having them count, suddenly she's extraordinarily concerned with the voters there."

"I understand the politics of it, but let's be clear that it's politics," he added. "I want the Michigan delegation and the Florida delegation to be seated. And however the Democratic National Committee determines we can get that done, I'm happy to abide by those rules."

His assessment pretty much matches my own, independently arrived at, opinion.

If Clinton and her supporters had wanted those votes to count, she and they had plenty of time to complain about it - but only when it became a political necessity did she/her supporters cry foul.

by keaton 2008-03-19 04:55PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Maybe Obama doesn't understand what is meant by disingenuous. Clinton is not being disingenuous, she is flip flopping.  There is a difference, one is dishonest the other is a change in position.

Disingenuous is when you tell America that you were unaware of Rev. Wrights controversial nature and then a couple days later tell America you were aware.

Disingenuous is when you tell America that Rezko never visited the property with you and then admit that you had visited property with him.

Disingenuous is when you tell America that judgment counts more than experience but your own lapses in judgment don't count.

by dMarx 2008-03-19 06:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Lets see Clinton agreed to and signed the pledge regarding the potential barring of campaigning and delegates in Florida and Michigan, Now that she needs them to try and win the nomination, she cries foul. Is her being a hypocrite surprising? Of course not. Look at her past statements and actions on iraq for one. she voted for military force, than defended it, than said it was a mistake. The woman is a fraud, a liar and snake. You want to see this woman steal the nomination? You want to see the Democratic party split by her devious and deceitful ways? She is the last person we need in the White House....have we not had enough the the Clinton's and their sense of personal entitlement at any cost?

by adbct 2008-03-19 02:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Name-calling is not productive.  And to some extent, this is standard politics unfortunately: press any possible advantage.  But you're spot-on about the hypocrisy of it, and that's entirely fair to point out.

by McNasty 2008-03-19 03:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Clinton signed a pledge not to campaign, which she did not. People's votes should count....

The rest of your comment is, well, um, typical.

by Zeitgeist9000 2008-03-19 03:06PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Actually I believe she signed a pledge to not "campaign or participate" (emphasis mine) in Michigan.

by ChrisKaty 2008-03-19 03:13PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Yes, that was the exact wording.  Here's the PDF:
http://www.fladems.com/page/-/documents/ THREE_pledge_versions.pdf

"THEREFORE, I (Hillary Clinton), Democratic Candidate for President, in honor and in accordance with DNC rules, pledge to actively campaign in the pre-approved early states Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and South Carolina. I pledge I shall not campaign or participate in any election contest occurring in any state not already authorized by the DNC to take place in the DNC approved pre-window (any date prior to February 5, 2008)."

by McNasty 2008-03-19 03:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

What does participate mean?

As far as I'm concerned, participate is applicable with respect to campaigning.

by Zeitgeist9000 2008-03-19 03:52PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

There is no surplusage. The word participate is a separate part. It clearly refers to something other than campaign.

by brimur 2008-03-19 04:02PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

If that's the case, then Obama violated the pledge by not removing his name from the FL ballot. Of course, we all know why that is, which reveals the true meaning of the word "participate." Get my drift?

by RJEvans 2008-03-19 05:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

It is my understanding that due to the scheduling, none of the candidates could remove their name from the Florida ballot.

by Timetheos 2008-03-19 05:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

He tried to but it was too late.  This has been extensively blogged.

by interestedbystander 2008-03-20 04:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Kind of like what the defintion of "Is" is, huh...Clintonian word parsing, the best around.

by Rockville Liberal 2008-03-19 04:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

All the candidates but Clinton apparently took "participate" to mean "stay on the ballot."

by McNasty 2008-03-20 07:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

None of the candidates signed anything about the delegates.  That was solely the decision of the DNC.  The only thing they agreed to was to not campaign in either state.

by Independent Ben 2008-03-19 03:32PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

See above--they agreed not to campaign or PARTICIPATE, that includes being on the ballot.  All the other candidates except Dodd knew that, why didn't Hillary.

by DreamsOfABlueNation 2008-03-19 04:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

It's worth noting that John Edwards, Joe Biden, Bill Richardson also took thier names off the ballot in Michigan.

by howardpark 2008-03-19 03:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

It is also worth noting that Kucinich kept his name on in Michigan.

by stefystef 2008-03-19 03:33PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Yes, because he missed the deadline to withdraw!

http://www.iowaindependent.com/showDiary .do?diaryId=1253

Even he didn't want to be on the Michigan ballot.

by rfahey22 2008-03-19 03:34PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

It is also worth noting Kucinich believes in Aliens and UFO's...so do I, but at least I know i'm crazy...

by Rockville Liberal 2008-03-19 04:32PM | 0 recs
Solidarity

"expect Clinton to remind people that Obama took himself off the ballot for the January MI contest"

As did Edwards, Dodd, and Gravel.  Team players, who understand the importance of the rejuvenated DNC and our 50-state strategy.

First Senator Clinton's campaign said this:

"We believe Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina play a unique and special role in the nominating process.
And we believe the DNC's rules and its calendar provide the necessary structure to respect and honor that role.
Thus, we will be signing the pledge to adhere to the DNC approved nominating calendar."

But you know, they're just words.

"Clinton said last October that the Michigan primary was meaningless, but she left her name on the ballot. Obama and the other major Democratic candidates removed their names from the ballot in a gesture of good faith to early-voting states whose primaries were officially allowed by the Democratic Party."

Having's one cake and eating it too is pretty standard politics.  But now that FL and MI have decided against a do-over, how can Senator Clinton argue honestly that the delegates should be seated?

by McNasty 2008-03-19 03:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Solidarity

They don't want to drag Edwards into this discussion because they crave his endorsement.

by rfahey22 2008-03-19 03:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

I think they should really look at taking Michigan and Florida and splitting the delegates 50/50. To me, that is the easiest and fairest way to solve the issue without having yet another dem. blackeye.

by Politivine 2008-03-19 03:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

As an Obama supporter, I favor the half-Nelson.  I think doing it 50/50 would actually be more condescending than stripping them of all delegates.  People aren't stupid, they can see what a meaningless gesture that would be.

by rfahey22 2008-03-19 03:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Clinton will get credit for all the support she received.

by Zeitgeist9000 2008-03-19 03:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Splitting them 50/50 is exactly the same thing as totally disenfranchising them.

by Independent Ben 2008-03-19 03:34PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

The best solution is for Hillary to drop out. If you don't count the votes it wouldn't be fair to those who participated in the primary. If you count the votes it wouldn't be fair to those who did not participate because they thought it wouldn't count.

by brimur 2008-03-19 04:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Actually, I think the best solution at this stage will be for Obama to drop out.

by ColoradoGuy 2008-03-19 04:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Not until Florida freezes over.

by victoryfordems 2008-03-19 04:44PM | 0 recs
Split

Splitting them 50/50 has the same legitimacy problems as awarding them all.

by DreamsOfABlueNation 2008-03-19 04:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

The Republicans penalized Florida and Michigan also, awarding only half of the original number of delegates. Not saying the Democrats should follow the Republicans methods, but there wasn't any controversy that I am aware of.

by victoryfordems 2008-03-19 04:42PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

RNC will seat the full delegates as per John McCain and the gov of FL

by indus 2008-03-19 04:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

This takes us back to the issue of how much weight the pledge delegates should have in this nomination process, at least with respect to the delegates from the caucus states.  We all know that the caucuses were a farce, and that the delegate count is not a reflection of the "will of the people." But with Pelosi disingenuously arguing that the super delegates should follow the pledge delegates, the legitimacy of the pledge delegates should be carefully considered.

With that in mind, a group of us are getting together to try to investigate the caucus abuses.  We ask that anyone who has information regarding caucus irregularities, contact us at the below email addresses.  We will keep your names and personal information confidential if you request us to do so.  We would like to hear the complaints of both Hillary and Obama supporters because the issue is the integrity of the caucus system, not which candidate we support.  But Obama supporters be warned, we will forward any abusive emails to your friend Nancy Pelosi so she knows what good company she is keeping.

For Iowa: IowaCaucusIrregularities@gmail.com
For Washington: WashingtonCaucusIrregularities@gmail.com
For all other caucuses: DemocraticCaucusIrregularities@gmail.com

Thank you

by suskin 2008-03-19 03:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Wow.  Such an unbiased agenda.  I'd definitely put a lot of stock in whatever the results are.

by rfahey22 2008-03-19 03:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

You're just making excuses for the Clinton campaign that had no 50 state campaign plan or any strong organization in the caucus states. Their plan was to win all the large, delegate rich states and ignored the small, less populous states. How many states have the Clintons po-ed because they considered them irrelevant?

by victoryfordems 2008-03-19 04:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

If Hillary doesn't withdraw now, the only reason she can have to remain in the race is to take the Democratic Party down with her.

by MikeWalk 2008-03-19 03:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Since it is Obama that pulled this stunt, it is Obama that is pulling the Democratic Party down. Hillary Clinton can not drop out now and let this type of anti-democratic maneuver decide the nomination. She has to fight on. To quit now would be a worse capitulation than Gore in 2000.

by MediaFreeze 2008-03-19 03:43PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

In all fairness, Obama had nothing to do with this decision.  He could have said he was for the votes counting or against it, but ultimately he and his campaign have no power in the final decision.  He's already said multiple times that he will accept whatever the final decision is, so I think it's unfair to call anything he's done thus far as a "stunt."

I think the main issue here is that there was a time when we should have been worried about voter disenfranchisement, and it was long before the primaries in FL and MI.  My only hope out of all of this is that the voters of both of the respective states vote out all these morons that went along with the date changes, knowing full well that they were taking away the voices of their constituents.

by thatpurplestuff 2008-03-19 04:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

What stunt would that be? Don't forget the Florida Republican governor and legislature's shenanigans in screwing up the Florida Democratic primary.

by victoryfordems 2008-03-19 04:32PM | 0 recs
where did this animosity start?

Why can't we as supporters of both candidates stand by them without hoping the other loses if their candidate doesn't win?

Are we letting our anger towards each other impact how we feel about each candidate unfairly?

Do we really think Clinton and Obama are that different in policy? Can we be honest enough to admit that we are downplaying each others strengths and over exaggerating their weaknesses?

Can we admit that Obama's wife took Clinton's fairytale comments completely wrong and at the same time admit that Clinton did marginalize BO with the Jesse Jackson comment?

Can we both admit that Clinton's foreign policy speech was pretty damn good a day before Barack's historic speech on race?

I mean what are we doing here? If Mccain wins, the supreme court is Eff You See Kayed for a whole generation.

We gotta get it together people.

Come on. don't let partisan frustrate you to the point you will allow a guy who can't tell the difference between shia and sunnis in office.

by Sbekele 2008-03-19 04:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote "All But Dead"

MI and FL will now probably count more than ever. We will have two different scenarios, and two different sets of delegates, for the SD's to ponder. One that includes the 50 states, and one that excludes MI and FL-- Obama's 48 state strategy.

by Jerome Armstrong 2008-03-19 04:02PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

And under neither will Hillary have the lead.

by brimur 2008-03-19 04:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Oh yes she easily could. If Obama can't make up in NC and IN the ground he's going to lose in PA, the rest of the states are VERY pro-Clinton (KY and WV will be two of her best states bar none). She could end this thing down maybe 30 delegates, and remember Edwards has 26 of his own (39 if Florida is seated as voted on in January), and there's still tons of superdelegates.

Give up the "this is over" meme, or if you truly believe it, stop trying to convince yourself by writing these silly comments.

by ColoradoGuy 2008-03-19 04:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

And if frogs had wings they wouldn't bump their butts every time they jumped. Just because you can imagine a far-fetched scenario where Obama falls below 35% in every single remaining congressional district doesn't make it realistic.

by brimur 2008-03-20 11:30AM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Jerome, you know better than this.

by thereisnospoon 2008-03-19 04:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

That's probably about 30 states more than the big state strategy of $2 million dollar a month salary, Mark Penn.

by victoryfordems 2008-03-19 04:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

48 is still more than 5, last I checked.

by rfahey22 2008-03-19 04:50PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Time out. I'm not drawing blood from Hillary or Barak here. I just have a simple question.

(1) Clinton's name was on the Michigan ballot. Obama's was not. I know that lots of you are ready to throw spears over those facts, but I am simply stating them.

(2) Many delegates were elected as uncommitted delegates in Michigan. A quick campaign took place in Michigan for Obama supporters to vote for uncommitted delegates, and many did. Accordingly, we can assume that most, if not all, uncommitted delegates, if seated, would vote for Obama at the convention. Again, fight about the details if you want, but I think I state the broad picture  correctly.

So, why do people keep talking as if Obama can't get votes from the Michigan delegation if it is seated? Uncommitted delegates used to be a common sight at conventions. Do any of you know of any rule, either at the Michigan level or the national convention level, which would bar the uncommitted Michigan delegates from voting for Obama (or for Clinton, for that matter)?

If there is no such rule, why shouldn't the uncommitteds vote as they wish?

by anoregonreader 2008-03-19 04:13PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Pledged delegates for Uncommitted would not be uncommitted delegates, they would be pledged to a candidate called "Uncommitted." So it would depend upon which delegates were selected to represent "Uncommitted", yeah?  If all the reps for uncommitted are Obama supporters than I think you are right.  I have not heard anything to this effect though.

by hctb 2008-03-19 04:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Please stop trying to use logic in here - it will merely confuse everyone...

by Rockville Liberal 2008-03-19 04:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Obama would not carry Florida or Michigan in the general. Its clear to that he doesn't want a re-vote. So The delegates will be seated proportionally favoring Hillary.  

by nzubechukwu 2008-03-19 04:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

OK, I propose compromise here. A real one, not one that obviously favors one candidate.

A. Florida delegation goes as determined by January vote, but less than the full delegation. Half is OK but I think 2/3 is fairer.

B. Michigan is seated 50/50.

C. Clinton is allowed to rhetorically count the Florida vote in her popular vote argument to the superdelegates, but is not allowed to count the Michigan result.

Fair?

by ColoradoGuy 2008-03-19 04:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Split the delegations 505 50% and then remove all of MI and FL  superdelgates ---- they screwed up, they need to pay

by kmwray 2008-03-19 04:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

No that's too pro-Obama and he does not have that kind of leverage.

by ColoradoGuy 2008-03-19 04:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

I like the Durbin plan: count the FL vote as it was (despite its blatant unfairness), but cut the delegates in half.  Why?  Because polls show that a potential FL revote would look something like the first results--though a campaign there would bring Obama's numbers up as always.

Split Michigan 50/50.  Neither Obama's nor Edwards' nor any other credible candidate outside of Kucinich's name was on the ballot--and current polls show that neither candidate would get much of a delegate swing out of a revote.

Sound fair to anyone else?

by thereisnospoon 2008-03-19 04:32PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;
Nope. Count the FL delegates as the results.
and Michagan according to the results with the uncommitted going to BHO
by indus 2008-03-19 04:51PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

that's hardly fair to anyone.

by thereisnospoon 2008-03-19 11:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

No. You can't use anything that proportionately rewards one candidate more votes than the other when there was no real participation equally by both.  You don't know that the results would have been the same had both candidates campaigned. If you seat them with the full number of delegates but split them 50/50, at least they will have all of their people at the convention from those states.

The reason it is important to get early resolution of who is the candidate is that the convention was scheduled for late in year on the assumption that there would be a clear candidate earlier.   They wanted to limit the "swift boat" period between the convention and the general election and also have more viewers for the convention after Labor Day to kick off the campaign.  

Now we have the problem that both candidates will continue to beat up on one another right up until September after which there will be less time to organize for the general. If one candidate, regardless of who it is, can't win the majority of the delegates, it is only going to hurt the inevitable nominee to keep up the blood letting.  

Can you say: "President John McCain"?      

by MikeWalk 2008-03-19 04:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Don't forget that Michigan's legislature is controlled by a Republican majority, and I'm certain that they heard about the Limbaugh's exhortations. It is not that Republican voters can cross over, but if Hillary can win, it would bring her closer to pulling it out.

McCain wants to run against Hillary, no ifs, ands, or buts about it.

by shergald 2008-03-19 04:37PM | 0 recs
RNC would like to run against BHO

after the wright controversy.

http://youtube.com/watch?v=72B3tUAqpo4

Their Ad would be similar to this one.

by indus 2008-03-19 04:53PM | 0 recs
Re: RNC would like to run against BHO

Don't think so. The Limbaugh effect is still out there and pushing Republicans to vote Hillary.

There is no "after Wright" effect that all of a sudden makes a difference, except possibly in your own mind. The Republicans want Hillary as the Democratic nominee pure and simple.

by shergald 2008-03-21 05:01AM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

you people who blame the dnc and say it's the dnc who's taken away your votes and disenfranchised you are wrong.

the dnc didn't do it to you!

your own state party leaders did it to you!

why don't you call for their heads?

both of the state parties knew what they were doing and did it anyway. the dnc is the one trying to follow the rules not the states.

how many of you howled when george bush was flounting constitutional law and legally passed congressional laws?

huh?

answer that to yourselves and then take a look at what's happening with the rules of your own party rules.

don't they count either?

neither state's delegated should be seated. or in a limited extent if the rules allow that much.

blame the ones who deserve the blame and NOT the dnc!

by egresor 2008-03-19 04:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

I do not live in either state. I blame the DNC for not getting a compromise ironed out before January or in the months since. They played hardball with MI & FL (and not NH) and it would not have mattered until this became a dogfight. But they were not so lucky. The majority of blame for this should be placed at the feet of the DNC for not herding the cats effectively. it is their job.

by hctb 2008-03-19 05:09PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

What stupidity on display by the DNC by penalizing a state for holding it's primary early.  Now we are in dangering of loosing both states in the general.

by nzubechukwu 2008-03-19 05:12PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Dan Abrams and 3 Dems (including one of Bill Clintons press people) discussed HRC's statement tonight. Bear in mind that he is very sympathetic to her (To balance KO I guess), but they all agree Hillary's statement was a cheap shot and they all laughed at length about the silliness of it, although they also expressed admiration at Hillary being able to deliver the fake unbridge with a straight face.

It's not good when people start laughing at the fake outrage, because then they start pointing their temple and making little circles with their fingers.

by bernardpliers 2008-03-19 05:42PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

Godddamn it people!  It's not that hard.

Hold caucuses out of peoples' houses.  Have the state party run it.  Gather donations at those houses.

Cheap, easy, and state governments can't get involved because it would violate the right of association.

Sometimes I swear that only Democrats can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

by Timetheos 2008-03-19 05:56PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

If Obama wanted new primaries in MI and FL then I'm sure there wd be new primaries. He has  pulling strings behind the scenes to prevent the voters in those two states from having their democratic say.

There is an anti-democratic tendency in Obama that I find increasingly disturbing.

There was a little-noticed story in the Chicago Tribune recently about how Obama won his first race for the illinois senate. He took four opponents, including the incumbent,to court the have them removed from the ballot for deficiencies in their nomination petitions. This enabled him th win WITHOUT an election.

This is getting to be a pattern with him. Perhaps he should remember Al Gore's slogan."Let every vote count."

by pechorin 2008-03-19 05:59PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

---
If Obama wanted new primaries in MI and FL then I'm sure there wd be new primaries.
---

Anyt evidence of that?

by Timetheos 2008-03-19 06:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Michigan Revote &quot;All But Dead&quot;

I still believe the delegates from Michigan and Florida will be seated, but probably not with their full votes or completely based on the vote that happened in January.

An increasingly likely scenario is one where half of the delegates (from Florida at least) are seated as elected in January and the other half are allocated in some other fashion (either 50-50 or by the national popular vote ratio).

Michigan, of course, is more complicated because Obama was not even on the ballot. They either need to hold a caucus or split those delegates evenly.

by Adam Fogel 2008-03-21 10:10AM | 0 recs

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