Tracking Poll Update: Obama's Lead Stabilizes at 8 Points

by Jonathan Singer, Mon Oct 06, 2008 at 10:06:07 AM EDT

Here are today's numbers:

ObamaMcCain
Diageo/Hotline4741
Gallup5042
Rasmussen Reports5244
Research 2000/dKos5240
Average:50.2541.75

These four polls were all entirely in the field following the Vice Presidential debate, before which Barack Obama's average lead over John McCain stood at 49.75 percent to 42.00 percent -- or nearly the same as it is today. In other words, Sarah Palin did basically nothing to win back voters to the Republican ticket, a genuine missed opportunity.

In other polling news, the Battleground tracker (.pdf) has Obama up 50 percent to 43 percent among likely voters, and the Democracy Corps survey (.pdf), which included Bob Barr, Ralph Nader and Ron Paul as options, shows Obama leading 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. When these polls are added into the daily average, Obama's lead is 49.67 percent to 42.33 percent.

Tags: Tracking Poll Update, White House 2008 (all tags)

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5 Comments

Shadow_head_small
Not only is Gallup Showing 8%,

They are also showing that the numbers have been the same for three days. That indicates a SERIOUS firming of support that is unlikely to change. No candidate has been up this far at this time and lost. It would require a gigantic, gigantic event.

by vcalzone 2008-10-06 10:39AM | 0 recs
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Re: Not only is Gallup Showing 8%,

And not only that, it would require Obama's campaign to act completely defenseless and put up no offensive maneuvers of their own.

by vcalzone 2008-10-06 10:39AM | 0 recs
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Re: Not only is Gallup Showing 8%,

If anything, the total negative move by McCain will probably only serve to harden resolve.  What he is doing is bad for the country.  

I will not be surprised to see cars all over the country on Wendesday November 5 with don't blame me I voted McCain stickers.

by gavoter 2008-10-06 11:45AM | 0 recs
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And CNN...

CNN/Opinion Research has Obama at 53, McCain at 45.

I find only 2% undecided (or third party) suspiciously low, but I'll take the 53 any day.

by Bob Fenster 2008-10-06 01:49PM | 0 recs
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Re: Tracking Poll Update: Obama's Lead Stabilizes

Isn't Jerome the resident polling guru?  It seems like we haven't heard from him for a while.  Is he doing ok?

On a completely unrelated note, when my Sundevils lost 3 in a row, I really lost interest in talking about them.

by the mystical vortexes of sedona 2008-10-06 03:26PM | 0 recs

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