Virginia Turning Blue

Since Mark Warner won the statehouse in 2001, Virginia has been trending blue. Tim Kaine's 2005 win, Jim Webb's Senate win in 2006 and Warner's commanding lead in this year's Senate race are all testimony to that.

But the latest polling information on the 2009 Governor's race is the most dramatic evidence I've seen yet that Virginia is becoming a flat-out Blue Big-D Democratic state:

In one of the first surveys to explore the 2009 political landscape, Democrats have a 17-point advantage when voters are asked which party they want to win the governor's race.

The question, included in a Washington Post Poll on the presidential race published Monday, highlights the challenges facing Republicans as more Virginia voters identify themselves as Democrats and independents.

Of registered voters, 48 percent prefer a Democratic governor vs. 31 percent who want a Republican.

...
But for the first time since 1985, Democrats are girding for a primary fight to decide their nominee. Del. Brian J. Moran (Alexandria) and state Sen. R. Creigh Deeds, who narrowly lost to McDonnell in the 2005 attorney general's race, have announced they plan to run. Terry McAuliffe, a former chairman of the Democratic National Committee and adviser to Bill and Hillary Rodham Clinton, is also considering a run.

The nomination is up for grabs in a three-way fight, according to the poll. When self-identified Democrats and independents who lean Democratic were asked which candidate they prefer as the nominee, 16 percent named Moran, 12 percent McAuliffe and 11 percent Deeds.

This gives Virginia Democrats an unprecedented opportunity to push for the most progressive nominee and still have an excellent chance of winning.

Tags: 2009, va-gov, Virginia (all tags)

Comments

9 Comments

Re: Virginia Turning Blue

Do Virginians like having a one-term limit on their governors?

by JoeFelice 2008-10-29 10:55AM | 0 recs
Re: Virginia Turning Blue

I don't live in Va. but I like the idea of term limits.  It seems that if a person knows that they only have 1 term, that they would want to make it as successful as possible and they wouldn't be wasting time or money seeking relection.  Besides, Mark Sanford is my gov. I know: Yikes!

by ND1979 2008-10-29 11:21AM | 0 recs
Re: Virginia Turning Blue

I live in Alexandria, VA and Brian Moran is my state representative. He's a good guy. However, I think Creigh Deeds is the better candidate because he comes from a very rural, conservative part of VA. His appeal to moderate republicans and conservative democrats will help keep the governorship in democratic hands. Northern Virginians will vote democratic no matter who the nominee is.

by Steve24 2008-10-29 11:26AM | 0 recs
Re: Virginia Turning Blue

The poll makes it pretty clear that we don't need to resort to second guessing ourselves about what will appeal downstate. Virginia is a blue state and anyone the Democratic party nominates will have an excellent chance to win.

by Texas Nate 2008-10-29 11:50AM | 0 recs
Re: Virginia Turning Blue

God, terry macauliff? Thats not a name i ever wanted to hear again.

by oyo 2008-10-29 11:42AM | 0 recs
Pennsylvania

One of the big reasons that McCain still holds out hope for PA is that PA has no early voting.   What is Ed Rendell and the PA Democratic Party going to do to rememdy this.

Last week he was wringing his hands because Obama was not visiting the state.   If PA had early voting like Ohio and Georgia and Florida, maybe there would be less hand wringing.  There are already 1.4 million votes in the bank here in Georgia.

I know that the Democrats only have a one seat lead, but this seems like it should be something easy to get changed.  Here in Georgia we have strong GOP leads in both chambers of government and a GOP governor and they still gave us 5 weeks of early voting.

by gavoter 2008-10-29 12:47PM | 0 recs
Re: Virginia Turning Blue

That single-term limit for governors is just the craziest thing I ever heard of.

by Bush Bites 2008-10-29 01:56PM | 0 recs
Re: Virginia Turning Blue

I can't believe 12% actually want Terry McAuliffe. He was a disaster as DNC Chair (it took two years to recover from him) and took Hillary Clinton from inevitable nominee to junior senator. The guy is simply counterproductive.

If he runs, it will be almost as much fun as taking out Lieberman.

by Bob Brigham 2008-10-29 03:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Virginia Turning Blue

get 'em Bobby.

by Jerome Armstrong 2008-10-29 03:32PM | 0 recs

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