First public poll in IA-04: Latham 47, Greenwald 42

I suspected that Republican Congressman Tom Latham's internal polling must be showing a close race when he put up a negative tv ad on the bailout. Now the first public poll of Iowa's fourth district is out. Research 2000 for Daily Kos found this:

Tom Latham 47
Becky Greenwald 42
undecided 11

Click the link for the internals.

Interestingly, the same poll found John McCain leading Barack Obama in the fourth district by 46 to 42 percent. Given the many polls showing Obama above the 50 percent mark in Iowa, I would have thought Obama would be leading McCain in this D+0 district.

If Greenwald is doing as well in IA-04 as Obama, then I feel really good about our chances for an upset in this district. Obama's superior ground game could easily be worth several percentage points on election day.

Paging EMILY's list and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee: please start spending some money on tv ads in this district! Greenwald has launched a good web ad recently, but she hasn't been on tv for the past ten days or so.

EMILY's List endorsed Greenwald last month, and the DCCC added her to Red to Blue in early October, but I am not aware of any independent expenditures on her behalf yet.   (UPDATE: Supposedly the United Auto Workers just went up on the air with an anti-Latham radio ad, but I haven't heard it and don't have a transcript.)

Please donate to Greenwald if you can.

Tags: 2008 elections, bailout, Becky Greenwald, Congress, House, IA-04, Iowa, Tom Latham (all tags)



one quick question

do you know why McCain and Palin are showing such a renewed interest in Iowa if indeed they are lagging so badly behind in the polls? or is the mood different on the ground? I know that one of Obama's key support was the student community, is some foul play at work to disenfranchise the student vote on election day?

by tarheel74 2008-10-26 05:32AM | 0 recs
I think they are so far behind

in so many states that it's hard to figure out their strategy.

Of the last dozen polls in Iowa, the closest showed McCain behind 52-44 ("only" eight points).

I have no idea why they are wasting their time here--the Des Moines Register ran a story on this recently and quoted several political consultants who were equally puzzled.

by desmoinesdem 2008-10-26 07:13AM | 0 recs


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