Tracking Poll Update: Obama Retakes Big Gallup Lead
by Jonathan Singer, Tue Oct 21, 2008 at 10:17:15 AM EDT
Here are today's numbers:
| Obama | McCain | |
| Diageo/Hotline | 47 | 41 |
| Gallup (Trad) | 51 | 44 |
| Gallup (Exp) | 52 | 42 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 50 | 46 |
| Research 2000/dKos | 50 | 42 |
| Composite: | 49.625 | 43.00 |
In other polling, the new ABC News/Washington Post tracker (.pdf) shows Barack Obama leading John McCain by a 53 percent to 44 percent margin. This poll comes online later in the day than the other four daily trackers listed above, so it is actually a day behind the numbers above. The Battleground tracker (.pdf) goes out on a limb and shows close to a tied race, 48 percent for Obama to McCain's 47 percent.
And for those interested in polling, and the real explosion of polling this year relative to elections past, check out Michael Crowley's article in The New Republic. Although there are some things that I would quibble with in the piece -- for instance, I still don't buy the notion that the polling Research 2000 is doing for Daily Kos is off base, particularly in light of the fact that R2K polling has actually underestimated Democratic performance in the past, and, as you can see above, it doesn't always show the greatest lead for Obama -- though it's worth the read if you have the time.
Finally, a quote of the day:
"It really makes no difference whether you're in a majority or minority, any member of the Congress can go work and make things happen on behalf of their constituents."-- John Boehner
We are 14 days out from election day. What are you doing to help enact progressive change in this country?
Tags: Tracking Poll Update, White House 2008 (all tags)










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