Tracking Poll Update:
by Jonathan Singer, Fri Oct 10, 2008 at 09:39:27 AM EDT
Here are today's numbers:
| Obama | McCain | |
| Diageo/Hotline | 48 | 41 |
| Gallup | 51 | 41 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 50 | 45 |
| Research 2000/dKos | 52 | 40 |
| Average: | 50.25 | 41.75 |
In today's other polling, the Battleground tracker (.pdf) is largely in line with the four-poll average above, with Barack Obama leading John McCain by a 51 percent to 43 percent margin. The latest survey from Time (.pdf) isn't too far off either, pegging Obama's lead at 50 percent to 44 percent.
So what do we know now? With at least two-thirds of the interviews upon which the data above are based taking place after Tuesday night's presidential debate, Obama's lead is as big, if not bigger, than it was before the debate, when his four-poll average lead stood at 49.75 percent to 42.75 percent. In fact, there has been very little movement in the last 13 days, with Obama's average showing ranging from 49.25 percent to 50.25 percent, and McCain's average showing ranging from 41.75 percent too 43.00 percent even through a window of time that included two presidential debates and one vice presidential debate. In other words, despite the seeming ups and downs of the campaign, the race has actually remained somewhat static as of late, interestingly enough, which isn't a great sign for the GOP.
Tags: Tracking Poll Update, White House 2008 (all tags)
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