If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 08 Crap End?

One of the most ridiculous things about the Unity 08 "movement" this past year, which in my mind encompasses the fascination with Michael Bloomberg, the whole DC Brooks/Broder/Klein punditry set as well as the actual lame online Republican/Democrat Unity 08 ticket thing, is that it seems to exist in a world without Barack Obama. Like his message or not, Obama has been remarkably consistent ever since his 2004 convention speech: "there are no red states or blue states, we are the United States..." What is the purpose of Unity 08 if not that?

But no, the movement seems to think it's filling some void. Barack Obama to them is just another partisan Democrat. To them, someone who changes parties out of political opportunism and leaves that party because it's crazy is some sign of virtuous independence, as is being forced out of a party by an embarrassing primary defeat and endorsing a presidential candidate of an opposing party, breaking a pledge he'd made to voters of his state. To them, bringing a Republican and a Democrat together on a ticket is in itself a revolutionary act of unity, no matter who those people are, apparently, certainly moreso than getting behind a progressive candidate with a D next to his name.

You see, no matter how unifying Obama's message, he breaks the cardinal rule of what a "unity" Democrat has to be: a Bush enabler, not a Bush critic. But now that voting has actually begun and Obama is turning his post-partisan message into electoral victory in at least one state, likely more, I hope the pundits for whom partisan bickering is the worst thing afflicting Washington will realize there is a candidate who on some level, anyway, speaks for them even though {gasp!} he's a Democrat. Also, I hope it will lead Bloomberg to end his flirtation with a presidential run; Bloomberg could make a case that he fills a void if the candidates nominated on both sides are partisan warriors, say Clinton and Romney, but if Obama wins the nomination and Bloomberg and the rest of the Unity 08 crowd continue to parrot the same "partisan bickering has to end" crap, their so-called movement will be revealed to be as hollow as they claim bitter partisanship itself is.

Tags: 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama, Unity 08 (all tags)

Comments

49 Comments

Congratulations

You've finally given me a reason to rethink my Obama support.

I might find myself nodding in agreement with the Broderites on some future occasion.

shudder

I don't have to start respecting Joe Klein if he starts gushing over Barack because he develops a mancrush on him, do I?

by zonk 2008-01-07 11:01AM | 0 recs
Re: Congratulations

are you the zonk from Slashdot?

by misscee 2008-01-07 11:15AM | 0 recs
Re: Congratulations

nothings wrong with obama and my dream ticket is almost complete.

1. obama, pres.

  1. clinton, vp.
  2. richardson, sec. of state.

by Trey Rentz 2008-01-07 11:22AM | 0 recs
Re: Congratulations

Nope - but I get that a lot...

I am on slashdot, but under a different name.

by zonk 2008-01-07 12:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Congratulations
Don't bet the ranch on any of it.
For one thing I doubt if Klein or "Mushroom Head" Davie Broder are going to come around to Obama, so you're safe.
by spirowasright 2008-01-07 03:37PM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

You have to remember that the people involved in Unity '08 are not starry-eyed idealists any more than Michael Bloomberg is really focused on bringing the country together.  Setting aside random clowns like Sam Waterston, these are basically political figures with a political agenda.

Some of them are Republicans who want the Republican agenda to remain relevant as the political tide moves towards the left.  Others are conservative Democrats who have become increasingly marginalized over the years and want to stay in the spotlight.

You sure didn't see these people run a third-party candidate in 2004, in the era of the so-called "permanent conservative majority."  No, it's only when Democrats are threatening to win that suddenly it's very very important for us all to remain unified and stake out a position squarely in the middle.

And yes, an Obama candidacy would probably ruin their schtick, but don't go thinking that would stop them.  It's their political agenda they're pursuing, not an actual spirit of unity.

by Steve M 2008-01-07 11:06AM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

Gary Hart who supposedly is involved in Unity08 has had very kind words for Sen Obama.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/gary-hart/ obama-and-the-courage-of-_b_79776.html

by Satya 2008-01-07 11:10AM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

Gary Hart is possibly the one person whose presence in Unity '08 I find utterly inexplicable.

by Steve M 2008-01-07 11:13AM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

I would encourage you not to believe a single word Bill Kristol says.

by Steve M 2008-01-07 11:13AM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

Huckabee would have no shot at beating Obama.  Wall Street and the business community, where Republicans get their funding, would overwhelmingly back Obama in such a race.

by Steve M 2008-01-07 11:15AM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

I think the business community would definitely support Bloomberg if they felt he had a solid path to actual victory, which is always tough to imagine for a third-party candidate.

They would not support him merely as a spoiler, no matter how much they like him.  Assuming for the sake of argument that Bloomberg would take more votes from the Democratic side, there is no way Wall Street wants Mike Huckabee in charge of the economy.  They will pull out all the stops to keep that from happening.

by Steve M 2008-01-07 11:22AM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

I agree completely Steve.  MB might run, for whatever reason, vanity I suppose, but he will have to self finance.  And I dont care how much money he spends, he wont get 10% of the vote.  What his consituency if he runs?  Wealthy, economically conservative Republicans.  How many of them who will waste their vote on someone with no chance to win?  Not alot.

by Andy Katz 2008-01-07 06:17PM | 0 recs
do you have any idea how badly

a real conservative or independent, wants to vote for someone who is essentially free of either lobbyists (e.g. clinton) or the american bar association (e.g. edwards).

obama will WIN IN A LANDSLIDE VICTORY i even think he will take my own state of ga.

by Trey Rentz 2008-01-07 11:23AM | 0 recs
Re: do you have any idea how badly

I have plenty of friends in that category and Obama actually seems to do nothing for them.

To the extent I know conservatives that like Obama, it seems to be for the same reason they like Chris Rock.

by Steve M 2008-01-07 11:27AM | 0 recs
Re: do you have any idea how badly

Um have you been ignoring what's been happening in GA? He won't carry GA and will probably get only about 35% of the vote. He wins the black vote and the liberal white vote and nothing else here in GA.

by Ga6thDem 2008-01-07 12:53PM | 0 recs
Re: do you have any idea how badly

Good point. My take on Bloomberg is that if he runs, he will be along the lines of what George Wallace was in 1968--a spoiler represetning a wing of the ruling party that felt frozen out.

by spirowasright 2008-01-07 03:40PM | 0 recs
McCain

If McCain doesn't get the Republican nomination, he doesn't have much to lose. Anyone think there might be a Unity08 McCain-Lieberman ticket? That would have the Broderites swooning, but what proportion of real people would go for it? A scarily large proportion, but enough to win? And how many would otherwise be voting Republican and how many Democratic?

by KCinDC 2008-01-07 11:15AM | 0 recs
Re: McCain

This is a scary thought to me. I think a lot of Clinton supporters would possibly go for a ticket like this if she loses the nomination. It splinters the Republican party (the evangelical right stays away from this ticket, but the fiscal conservatives who aren't as fervent on social issues buy into it.) The problem is it can also splinter our party (particularly along age lines if Obama is the nominee.)

by JDF 2008-01-07 11:51AM | 0 recs
Clinton supporters

Clinton supporters will go for the Democratic nominee - they are Democrats.  It is the independents who have not been swayed for some reason by either party that would go for a third party McCain

by NYMARJ 2008-01-07 12:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton supporters

I truly, truly, hope you are right on this one. A lot of people have a lingering respect for McCain though, and if he were to run as an independent I think that number would jump... of course taking Liebs as his VP might kill that as there is a lot of lingering disrespect for him (and all of that disrespect being deserved and then some.)

by JDF 2008-01-07 12:12PM | 0 recs
Re: McCain

Ugh. I'm a fervent Clinton supporter and I loathe McCain. I'd much rather go for Obama, if Clinton lost the nomination. I know of absolutely NO Clinton supporters who would vote 3rd party rather than a Democrat in the general.

by Coral 2008-01-07 12:30PM | 0 recs
Re: McCain

I think you're right in general with most Democrats but don't forget about the people who aren't that hardcore. If Obama's the nominee, a Unity 08 ticket could hurt him in some places probably not GA because Huckabee would win here but it could cause him to lose NY state and some mid atlantic states and some midwest states. And don't forget Obama's problem with Hispanic voters.

by Ga6thDem 2008-01-07 12:58PM | 0 recs
the Broderites have no base

Bloomberg will learn this if he gets in the race.

by Carl Nyberg 2008-01-07 11:51AM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination

I wouldn't be surprised to see Unity '08 try (and fail)to try to take over the Obama campaign.

The otherside of that coin is that if there is a deal or two that can be made to keep them from doing something stupid no one is more likely to make that deal than Obama. (Edwards certainly wouldn't do it...and I don't think Clinton would either.)

by JDF 2008-01-07 11:23AM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

Ok....
Unity?
A couple of comparisons
Let us look at a couple of things..

Obama's response to Katrina.
(read the first sentence)
http://obama.senate.gov/statement/050906 -statement_of_senator_barack_obama_on_hu rricane_katrina_relief_efforts/

Yes both white and African-Americans were effected/affected..
but the 9th ward was destroyed...
Here is where (9th ward) and what Edwards said
when he announced
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0sBpBouaD Xk
(please watch the whole 9 mins)

If HRC folks want this...fine
http://www.dlc.org/ndol_ka.cfm?kaid=137

You don't have to be a fan to understand that Springsteen is a rich guy who has never forgotten where he came from...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jYsSVNl8x mE

This election is more than who we believe we need to lead...but who we must have to lead..

by nogo war 2008-01-07 11:24AM | 0 recs
they have 2 points

1. is partisanship

but the bigger one is

2. moderation

If dems nominate Obama and Repubs go to the right.

there will 100% be a third party because obama is down the line with the Left on issues.

by yellowdem1129 2008-01-07 11:46AM | 0 recs
Re: they have 2 points

If Dems nominate Obama and the R's go wide right Obama will move to the middle, at least to some extent. He will also probably try to make a deal with the Unity '08 people to keep them out of his way... or at least that would be the smart thing to do.

by JDF 2008-01-07 11:47AM | 0 recs
Re: they have 2 points

It depends how badly "Bloomie" wants to be President. It also depends on whether the thinks he would win or just wind up throwing it to another rightwing nut job (not something that seems to be in his interest.)

It seems to me that there could be a lot of room to deal here, the problem is a lot of deals that could be made might piss off the party faithful, although to be honest I am not sure how much that would bother Obama (or me for that matter,) what are they doing to do, vote for Romney or Huckabee instead? I just don't see it.

by JDF 2008-01-07 11:56AM | 0 recs
whiplash

Wait -

I think Obama was a closet conservative because he uses GOP frames and would be too quick to compromise and play bipartisan games?

It's hard to keep track of all the reasons Barack Obama dooms us.

by zonk 2008-01-07 12:03PM | 0 recs
Re: VERY Partisan

How can you be both very partisan and embrace ideas from the other party? It doesn't work that way. The problem with partisanship is that it often puts beating the other guys above getting things done. I never considered myself particularly partisan because that is how I view partisanship...that all changed thanks to Mr. Bush and his band of lunatics, thieves, and general scum of course.

Now I want to beat them too; but it still remains in the back of my mind that unless we get a bunch more house seats, to 60 in the senate, and a strong leader in the White House, we have to actually work with the other side after we are done winning.

by JDF 2008-01-07 11:46AM | 0 recs
Re: VERY Partisan

You are confusing partisanship with ideology.  You can be a partisan Democrat because, for example, you believe Democrats are the only ones who care about practical solutions.  That certainly wouldn't stop you from considering conservative ideas.

by Steve M 2008-01-07 11:49AM | 0 recs
Re: VERY Partisan

I will agree that saying something like "only Democrats care about practical solutions," is incredibly partisan. I guess I am far more comfortable with ideology than partisanship. I consider myself a Democrat because I think we are right more often than not. I have no desire to beat Republicans just for the sake of beating them though (with the exception of a few...then again I can think of a couple "democrats" I feel the same way about.)

by JDF 2008-01-07 12:00PM | 0 recs
Re: VERY Partisan

Well I have been voting for a considerably shorter amount of time than you so I guess I don't have the bona fides to call myself a "true democrat," or "lifelong democrat," or whatever.

Although I would have to argue with you on one point- you had to think about it at least once. You had to make the choice. Maybe you made the choice because your parents were Democrats, maybe you made the choice because your parents are Republicans... maybe you made the choice because you were inspired by JFK or RFK or McGovern. I don't know.

I made the choice because I believe that Government exists to serve the people. I made the choice because I think that we can do great things with Government if the right people are leading, and I made the choice because you don't get to be a Republican and believe what I believe in regards to social issues. I am not a partisan democrat, I am ideologically liberal. I vote for Democrats, I would say about 98% of the time... there have been a few R's, mostly people I know personally who are in local races, that get my support though.

by JDF 2008-01-07 12:23PM | 0 recs
former Dems backing Unity 08

I would like to see the Dems backing the Unity '08 idea, like David Boren and Sam Nunn, discuss on MyDD what they think the Democratic Party is getting wrong on policy issues.

I think by engaging these people they would start to distance themselves from Unity 08, which is a shadow campaign for Bloomberg, IMO.

by Carl Nyberg 2008-01-07 11:49AM | 0 recs
I took this from Johns site: winning and losing.

This is pretty important stuff. If john stays in the mix, if delegates keep getting picked up, if the debate starts to actually be about change, then John rises. Big states falling his way, bigger Union help, more money flowing in.

Things change on the ground, recognition happens, mistakes are made, debates happen. I think 25% would be respectable too, I'm pushing for Hillary Clinton to come in third again. But I dont have the feeling this is over by a long shot, John is the real thing, it keeps coming out. How good he is is being communicated through, not by, around, not with, the main stream media. Its "The Obama and Hillary Show" still, even though John Edwards beat Clinton convincingly in Iowa.

Convincingly because it was supposed to be Obama or Clinton, convincingly because it was supposed to be the inevitable HRC, But John came second despite the "huge rush to Obama," and the frontrunner HRC.


What are your goals for tomorrow night (none / 0)

If Edwards doesn't come out on top, I would like to see him get 25%.

NH has, I believe, 27 delegates at stake tomorrow.

People should get over the media's frame of "wins" and "losses" in the primaries.  The game is to pick up delegates.  The media's game is to horserace and claim that someone's a winner and a loser, thus hoping to influence the race.

If you frame it in terms of delegates collected, it reduces the potency of the media's argument.

If Edwards wins 25% of the vote, he picks up 7 delegates, added to what he collected in Iowa, he'll have 21 delegates after Iowa and NH.

If the polls are right, and Obama picks up (rounding up) 40% of the vote in NH, he picks up 11 delegates in NH.  Add that to the 16 from Iowa, and he's only won 27 delegates in two contests.

Just 6 more than John Edwards.

I would like to finish ahead of Clinton tomorrow, but if we cannot, 25% would be a darn good showing for John Edwards.

Regardless of what happens tomorrow, either everyone wins (wins a certain amount of delegates) or no one "wins" (because Obama will still need over 2,100 delegates) to win the nomination.

Stop letting the media decide elections, after only a few contest and a handful of delegates.

by wetheleaders
on 1/07/2008 at 2:12 PM EST

http://blog.johnedwards.com/story/2008/1 /7/111759/8395

by inexile 2008-01-07 11:50AM | 0 recs
Re: I took this from Johns site

Wonderful post, very interesting indeed...but what does this have to do with the conversation regarding Unity '08?

by JDF 2008-01-07 11:53AM | 0 recs
Re: I took this from Johns site

Fair comment, Ill be more careful in the future.

by inexile 2008-01-08 02:38AM | 0 recs
Step back for a moment

I had a chance to do this over the holidays...

I've got some wingnuts, some moderate Republicans, some liberals, some yellow dog Dems -- but mostly -- low info, apolitical relatives.

I think we underestimate the frustration the general electorate has with politicians and politics at our own peril.

Look at the polls, issues, and resonance on BOTH the right and left.  There is very much an undercurrent of disatisfaction and anger -- but Americans are no longer interested in who to point a finger at, they want health care, iraq, terrorism, retirement funding, you name it - solved.

Please don't think me a concern troll or a johnny come lately -- I've been heavily invested in this "movement" since a quirky Vermont governor brought me into the political mix over the summer of 2003, when he was the only one trying to resurrect the Democrat's partisan chops.

BUT -- we need to be on guard that we become nothing more than a better informed, slightly less shrill antidote to talk radio.  

In other words, let me put it this way...  I got involved in the progressive movement because I love America.  I want to win elections because I love America and I think progressive policies are what is best for what ails her.  

In other words - it was patriotism that drives my progressivism.   Over the last year - I really started to ask myself.... Was that still the case?  

Was I donating, writing, and volunteering because I loved my country --- or because I loved my ideology and wanted to stick it to the bad guys?

I gotta be honest... for a good portion of 2004 to 2006 - I wanted to get the bad guys.  I wanted to win in 2006.  I wanted to shove a minority chunk of congress up the ass of every last GOP operative, talk show idiot, knuckle-draggin' theocon, and the rest of the charlatans.

Don't get me wrong - I got no love for this "Unity" bullshit.  Partisanship has always been a part of politics - American or otherwise.  It need not be a corrosive thing.

I'm just saying -- we would do well to keep in mind that we're small minority of the electorate.  An awful lot of folks just are not and will never be invested in every single fight the way we all are.

by zonk 2008-01-07 12:16PM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

Unity is about fiscal conservatism.  If they feel the dem nominee is too progressive they will run.  They dont care who wins in the GOP, after all almost all are republicans.  Add a few blue dogs and voila new party just like the old party.

by moondancer 2008-01-07 12:17PM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

The unity attitude is bullshit at this time.
Unity will come about when we have 61 Dem Senators
and a veto proof House..with a Dem President.

We had "unity" for about 3 days after 9/11.
Then those in power decided what unity was.

If the Dems can Sweep, then we get to decide
"unity"

But we can Unite over THIS...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VGWsGyNsw 00

by nogo war 2008-01-07 12:29PM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

Single party rule is dangerous for the country regardless of which party is benefiting from it... just a thought.

by JDF 2008-01-07 12:31PM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

Yes, it is, but the Republicans have become so extreme I don't see any alternative right now but to marginalize them.

Historically, whenever this has happened, the losing party has reemerged with a far more moderate and reasonable stance.  But it's going to take a solid thrashing to teach them that lesson.

by Steve M 2008-01-07 12:36PM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination

Assuming you are right I still have a couple of problems with the theory.

First, it is going to be virtually impossible to actually marginalize the Republican party and actually succeeding would have some far reaching consequences (I don't want to be alive when the pendelum swings back their way if we do succeed thats for sure.)

Also, I don't like the thought of marginalizing the moderate wing of either party. Unchecked extremism is a bad thing regardless of which striped you wear (although lets face it our extremists are still waaaaay better than theirs.)

by JDF 2008-01-07 12:43PM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination

My point is that right now the Republicans really don't have a moderate wing.  In New England, once the solid home of the Rockefeller Republicans, there is exactly one Republican in all of Congress.  They are increasingly an extremist religion-based party whose roots outside the South are steadily dwindling.

by Steve M 2008-01-07 12:50PM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

Best thing that can happen to any Dem nominee will be a Bloomberg candidacy. The only people searching for a savior are the GOP. Dems are by and large satisfied with their field meaning close unity and support for the eventual nominee.

Factor in independents idenfiying more and more with Dem candidates and you get a situation where moderate Repubs disgusted by Romney, Huckabee and McCain head to Bloomberg and the rest of the GOP supports the nominee, but with lackluster enthusiasm and low turnout.

This spells Donkey victory every way you slice it.

by nathanhj 2008-01-07 12:29PM | 0 recs
Re: If Obama Wins The Nomination, Will The Unity 0

Um... if Bloomberg gets NY's and NJ's electoral votes our path to victory gets a lot cloudier. The best thing that can happen to any Dem Nominee is to go 1 on 1 with whoever the R's throw at us (with the possible exception of McCain,) that way this election can be about their failure as leaders and a progressive vision for the future. Rather than have to fight for the moderate wing of our own party.  

by JDF 2008-01-07 12:34PM | 0 recs
Bloomberg=Mario Cuomo??

Bloomberg needs to make a decision already.  If my informal poll is any indication, his NYC constituents are getting tired of the I'm Not Running but Maybe I Am.

Reminds me of another NY politician who couldn't decide whether or not to run for President - Mario Cuomo.  Maybe Bloomberg will have a plane idling on the runway ala Mario in 1992.

by John Mills 2008-01-07 01:33PM | 0 recs
Re: Bloomberg=Mario Cuomo??

There's part of me that still wishes Mario had taken the plunge.  At the very least, I wish he'd taken Clinton up on his offer of a seat on the S Crt.  He's a good man and a much better pollitician than Bloomberg.  

by HSTruman 2008-01-07 05:13PM | 0 recs
Re: Bloomberg=Mario Cuomo??

Agreed.  He would have been a great SC Justice.  However, I did get tired of his Hamlet on the Hudson bit.

by John Mills 2008-01-08 03:39PM | 0 recs

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