What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

MSNBC is rolling out some of their exit poll numbers. They asked voters if Senator Obama and Senator Clinton were unfair in their attacks on their opponent. 56% said Obama was unfair, 70% said Clinton was unfair. Looks like Obama's "she'll do or say anything to win" meme is winning the day. Perhaps more significantly, a full 75% of black voters feel Clinton was unfair to Obama.

There is a larger question here about the fallout from the South Carolina Obama-Clinton scuffle nationally. To the extent that the Clintons are perceived to have gone too far, did they cross a line; did they reach point of no return? Ben Smith brings us an interesting observation from Jonathan Chait in The LA Times:

Something strange happened the other day. All these different people -- friends, co-workers, relatives, people on a liberal e-mail list I read -- kept saying the same thing: They've suddenly developed a disdain for Bill and Hillary Clinton. Maybe this is just a coincidence, but I think we've reached an irrevocable turning point in liberal opinion of the Clintons.

The sentiment seems to be concentrated among Barack Obama supporters. Going into the campaign, most of us liked Hillary Clinton just fine, but the fact that tens of millions of Americans are seized with irrational loathing for her suggested that she might not be a good Democratic nominee. But now that loathing seems a lot less irrational. We're not frothing Clinton haters like ... well, name pretty much any conservative. We just really wish they'd go away.

I have to say, I've experienced the same thing this week. "I can't vote for Hillary Clinton" or "I'll hold my nose to vote for Hillary Clinton" is a more familiar refrain among even Democrats in my circle these days than it ever had been before. If she is the nominee, she's going to engage in a lot of damage control to win them back. In the meantime, though, the question really is whether the behavior of the Clintons this week has hurt her chances of winning the nomination.

Tags: 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Democratic nomination, Hillary Clinton, South Carolina Primary (all tags)

Comments

53 Comments

Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

In Indiana where the Clintons were never really popular but Bill is[was] beloved by Dems,  I have heard that all week from good Dems.....They are claiming Clinton fatigue,  they dislike the mistating of Obama's comments and a desire for Hillary to win or lose this on her own without having to have her husband come in and bully her opponents.

by DemoDan 2008-01-26 01:26PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

People get over this kind of thing.  I was seeing red for about a week over the Katrina thing but like, whatever.

We also shouldn't discount the degree to which the media framing has engendered this perception (every night, it's like episode 234728 of "has Bill Clinton gone too far?"), and of course, just like in 2000 it's abetted by any number of liberals.

by Steve M 2008-01-26 01:30PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

This is all media spin. If you tell someone something long enough, they start to believe it. The Media and Obama is trying to destroy the Clintons. The Media have wanted to do that since the 90's and failed and they will fail again.

by lonnette33 2008-01-26 01:35PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Or maybe the Clinton campaign has really been racist, and they're going to pay for it.

by Drummond 2008-01-26 01:46PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Racist! Not by a long shot. lol

by lonnette33 2008-01-27 06:43AM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

You mean you don't think Bill Clinton knows by now exactly how to get headlines or avoid them?  C'mon, we've been told endlessly he's the political genius of the century.  He knew exactly what he was doing, and it worked.  He played them like a piano, forte.  Just not so sure about the tune.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-01-26 01:38PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

You guys are rapidly turning Bill Clinton into the next incarnation of Karl Rove, responsible for planning every bad thing that happens.

You should really read desmoinesdem's comments and try to let them sink in a little bit.  She's like the most reasonable person on this site by a lot.

by Steve M 2008-01-26 01:42PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

It's kind of funny. When Hillary's voice famously cracked in that New Hampshire diner, everyone rushed to say that was the end of her campaign.

Then she won the primary, and everyone immediately said it was cleverly orchestrated and she meant to do it all along, and what a manipulative thing it was to do.

If Hillary Clinton really is as clever as that, maybe she deserves to be president even more than I already think.

by OrangeFur 2008-01-26 01:45PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Narrative conquers all.  The idea that "the Clintons plan everything" was so powerful that the pundits lost sight of the fact that in 16 years in the national spotlight, Hillary Clinton has never given the slightest indication that she's capable of some Meryl Streep-like performance at a moment's notice.

Meanwhile, real voters who saw it thought it was genuine, as it obviously was.  But the pundits just kept buzzing about their narrative.

This post is a perfect example of taking your narrative from the media instead of from the voters.

by Steve M 2008-01-26 01:50PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

So I'm making this all up?:


Campaigning in South Carolina, Bill Clinton accused the media of adopting the Obama campaign's spin by injecting race into the campaign. "Shame on you," he scolded a reporter. The take in Washington is that if anyone was using race for political advantage, it was the Clintons. "It's like Obi-Wan Kenobi yelling at Luke Skywalker because he's using the Force," exclaimed a Democratic senator, astounded by Clinton's audacity. The cynical view is that the Clintons have deliberately tapped into deep-seated racial feelings.

Eleanor Clift - Cheap Shots, But Valuable? Newsweek 25 Jan 08

The only problem finding a citation to refute you today is that there are so many to choose from.  Are you saying all the pundits are wrong, and me, and, in fact, anyone else who disagrees with you?  You can take fence straddling too far sometimes, especially when the fence is barbed wire.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-01-26 06:47PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

I imagine this is a good part of the reason Edwards has seen his SC numbers rise recently.

by Nautilator 2008-01-26 01:30PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

None. But thanks for the concern trolling.

by freemansfarm 2008-01-26 01:32PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

56% said that Obama had been unfair too. That seems like a sizable number to me--so why aren't we asking what damage he's done to the party?

If it was up to the media and the blogs, Hillary would have dropped out of the race a long time ago, after finishing tenth in Iowa, just behind John McCain, who seems to get more support than her on DailyKos these days.

Fortunately, it's up to the voters, who, while generally scored and looked down upon with contempt by the punditocracy, still hold the key to the nomination.

by OrangeFur 2008-01-26 01:32PM | 0 recs
scored --> scorned, of course.

by OrangeFur 2008-01-26 01:32PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Frankly after watching the Clintons' performance over the past few weeks I can only conclude they just don't care.  Defeating Obama in the primaries is the first priority and they have done a masterful job of framing it they way they wanted to leading into the big states.

Any collateral damage will be absorbed and accepted and a narrow win is a win, to them.  Nothing else much seems to matter.  I'll bet Penn has micro-polled this to death and concluded that they can still eke out a win and the numbers look better to them with Obama's candidacy framed narrowly.  She was always going to be content with a 50% plus one victory.  November is still a long way off.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-01-26 01:32PM | 0 recs
Obama played some things stupidly too

That memo on the Clintons' supposedly racist comments was ridiculous and played right into their hands.

by desmoinesdem 2008-01-26 01:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama played some things stupidly too

He sure did.  I don't think the Obama campaign realised what was happening until it was way too late.  They should have never touched this, it is the kiss of death for his campaign.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-01-26 01:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama played some things stupidly too

Guess we'll find out in 15 minutes.

by Drummond 2008-01-26 01:46PM | 0 recs
Shaun you are dead right.

I think they were quite happy to see this framed as black election. They didn't start it but when Obama opened the gates they were quite happy. Remember were talking msnbc here, Obama love central, but I think the Clintons are quite happy to walk into FL and Super T with SC framed as he won with the race card.

by ottovbvs 2008-01-26 01:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Shaun you are dead right.

I agree, I'm giving this round to the Clintons and I'm not sure Obama can recover.

by Shaun Appleby 2008-01-26 01:42PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

My father, a diehard Dem and a huge fan of President Clinton, called after the South Carolina debate to say the same thing...

I would say his tone is more one of disappointment in the Clintons for resorting to the tactics they have.  

I can only imagine that this will do more to reinforce Obama's (somewhat dubious) message that he is the one to usher in a new type of politics.

by middkid 2008-01-26 01:32PM | 0 recs
mailed the ballot too soon.

If I mailed the absentee ballot, I'm not so sure I would have blackened the square next to Hillary.

Bill needs to get off the trail, and all this race-baiting had better stop.  It's a shame we could throw the election away on this stuff.

by mikelow1885 2008-01-26 01:33PM | 0 recs
Re: mailed the ballot too soon.

I'm having trouble parsing your sentence. You did mail the ballot already?

Personally, I think this whole race-baiting issue is completely overblown. All we have are a bunch of innocuous statements taken out of context, selectively edited, and made to seem sinister when they weren't. It's a creation of the media, helped along by those with a rooting interest in this.

by OrangeFur 2008-01-26 01:42PM | 0 recs
I'm sick of both sides of this argument

It's been obvious to me for more than a year that the party would have been better served by Hillary keeping her Senate seat for life. I wish she hadn't run for president. If we have to go back to the 90s, I would much prefer Gore. Yes, Hillary will be divisive, and yes, she will probably lose states we could have won with a different nominee.

But these people who only just discovered that the Clintons put their own interests before those of the party? Where have they been? Haven't we known that since Lani Giunier got kicked to the curb?

And I'm really tired of the righteous indignation coming from the Obama camp. The way they twisted Hillary's LBJ comment and Bill's "fairy tale" comment was ridiculous.

Do they think that the Republicans are going to play nice with Obama? Do they think whining about unfair attacks is going to win the general? I was talking with a Democrat here the other day (Edwards supporter), and his comment on Obama was, "Talk about a guy who can't take a punch."

by desmoinesdem 2008-01-26 01:33PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm sick of both sides of this argument

The argument seems to have morphed from the ludicrous "all the racial stuff comes from the Clinton side" into "okay, maybe both sides are to blame, but it was the Clintons' fault for doing the baiting."

All I know is that if Obama and/or his overzealous staff and supporters had such a hair trigger that they were prepared to accuse Bill and Hillary Clinton of running a racist campaign, I hate to think how easily they would have been set off by the inevitable Republican baiting in the general.

by Steve M 2008-01-26 01:38PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm sick of both sides of this argument

Well, maybe so but it's a moot point now, isn't it?  I mean what are Obama's chances now after the dust has settled?  About the same as Jesse Jackson Jr's in 1988 I'm guessing.  

by Shaun Appleby 2008-01-26 01:47PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm sick of both sides of this argument

His appeal is more broad.  Jackson didn't get the educated white vote.  He got the black vote, some labor, and the activist left.  Obama has been drawing in independents.  The white voters in South Carolina may rally pursuant to old patterns, but all Obama needs is double digit white support and there's a whole new narrative to this race.

by Drummond 2008-01-26 01:52PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm sick of both sides of this argument

Well, he was only 23 years old so yeah.

I don't consider it a moot point as long as people like you are trying to push the idea that the Clintons planned the whole thing.  By this point, if you have the ability to assess your own arguments critically, you're basically saying that Obama may have walked off a cliff but well, it's still mostly their fault because they watched him.

by Steve M 2008-01-26 01:53PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm sick of both sides of this argument

Yup, the Clintons planned the whole thing.  And then attempted to smokescreen the discussion to portray the Obama campaign as the instigators.  Let's call it the 'Clinton Southern Strategy.'  And it's worked, notwithstanding Obama's victory in SC his high appeal among blacks is being used to frame him as a candidate with a narrow racial appeal, which has never been Obama's strategy or intention.

Consider Bill's comment today:


Said Bill Clinton today in Columbia, SC: "Jesse Jackson won South Carolina in '84 and '88. Jackson ran a good campaign.  And Obama ran a good campaign here."

This was in response to a question about Obama saying it "took two people to beat him." Jackson had not been mentioned.

Boy, I can't understand why anyone would think the Clintons are running a race-baiting campaign to paint Obama as "the black candidate."

Bubba: Obama Is Just Like Jesse Jackson

Why take my word for it when you have the Big Dog's own testimony?  Really, isn't this defense of the Clinton's on this point approaching the precious?  Or are you just unwilling to believe they are capable of this kind of calculation and cynicism when the evidence is before your eyes?

by Shaun Appleby 2008-01-26 06:57PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Go back to any election, in either party, and you'll find the supporters of the losing candidates (not saying Obama is losing yet) saying EXACTLY the same thing. Whatever. I'm an Edwards guy but am very impressed with the scrappiness, toughness, and yes, flat out political meanness of Hillary Clinton. You go!!!

Obama supporters are kind of meandering over toward the characteristics of cult members. They cannot abide by anyone criticizing their man. Well, then they're never going to win. And we're as Democrats will never win with him at the helm. Thick skins are pre-requisites in this game.

by ColoradoGuy 2008-01-26 01:35PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

So,it's all about race.  

Thanks to both O and C.  Meanwhile, the really gutsy candidate is forsaken.  Shame.

by Gloria 2008-01-26 01:36PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

I don't see that Obama has been treated so unfair... He has been treated much better than Hillary when Obama and John Edwards both teamed up against her in Iowa and NH.. Then the Clintons have the press that completely one sided in Obama's favor... They say that the Clintons have played the race card without saying how, and why would they want to go to a black state and play the race card, that favors the black candidate... And I don't think Obama has played the race card, the only group that is playing the race card is the press.. I do think that Obama is getting a free ride and with things going this way I feel that I must vote for Hillary as a protest vote.

by my nickle 2008-01-26 01:39PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

The black voters in South Carolina may have seen it differently.  We'll find out soon enough.

by Drummond 2008-01-26 01:52PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage

Obama represents the death of the Democratic Party--God bless the Clintons!  They are the real Democrats.  

I loathe Obama and his GOP minions.  And Hillary will be the nominee on February 5, when real Democrats vote in real primaries.

I am honored that the MSM hates the Clintons.  I hate them right back.

I would like the Obama minions gone--let them find another party.

by lambros 2008-01-26 01:40PM | 0 recs
your comments do not help your candidate

You seem not to be aware of the fact that if Hillary wins the nomination, she will need all hands on deck to win the general. Yes, she will have to mend fences with Obama supporters. For you to say you hope they leave the party reveals only your own ignorance about what a winning coalition for Democrats looks like.

by desmoinesdem 2008-01-26 02:00PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

this is such a bogus, nonsensical diary. what exactly did the Clintons do, again? nothing that by any stretch of the rational imagination is dirty or particularly untoward by historical standards. They did, certainly, twist Obama's words on Reagan, but for the most part this is media-driven sturm and drang that is accentuated by the voices of Clinton hatred on the web.

Jon Stewart had a great piece the other night in which he showed clips of all the media talking heads going off on Clinton 'ranting and raving,' going 'off the hook,' being red-faced with anger....etc etc. He then showed the clip of the guilty party in which the supposed demon was speaking in a soft, rational voice and making, in fact, a relatively complex argument. That is not quite to the point of supposed attacks on Obama, but it's analogous. The idea that there has been some sort of ungodly aggression (from either side) is simply, silly, and a diary with that as its assumption is intellectually dishonest. An invention of the media echo chamber that should be rejected by anyone committed to rational political discourse. If, as Stewart did, you look at what the Clintons have done rather than what the media says they did, this is no story.

One comes to websites like this to escape media spin, not to read  it accentuated for partisan purposes.  

And I say this not as a Hillary partisan (though I like her a lot), but as someone who will be voting for Obama.

Actually, in terms of my last point, anyone want to take a bet that the positive numbers for both Obama and Clinton will be very high among all SC Dem voters in exit polls? If that's not true, than I'll agree that there has been real deep divisiveness. I'm fairly certain, however, their positive numbers will stay quite high, despite the media onslaught. One can cherry pick out a silly quesiton from this exit poll (EVERY candidate is unfair to their opponent in a campaign, this question shows nothing), but in doing so you're simply seeking to make a political point.

And can we also stop with the anecdotal 'I've heard from ALL my friends (i.e, your dog and your cat) that NOW they couldn't EVER vote for Hillary Clinton. Uh...right. Before the campaign all we heard was 'no one i know will vote for her' but that turned out to just be a function that among certain liberal elites the Clintons are hated. That says nothing about their overall electoral support, as has been shown time and time again. The idea that just this week there has been a tsunami of anti-Clinton feeling that has swept the nation is the epitome of lame non-thought.

by CalDem 2008-01-26 01:41PM | 0 recs
Please spare us the anecdotes.

These are really totally meaningless except as meas of bolstering the author's own prejudices

by ottovbvs 2008-01-26 01:43PM | 0 recs
Re: Please spare us the anecdotes.

precisely.

by CalDem 2008-01-26 01:52PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Looking at actual positive and negative numbers seems to be beyond the capacity of both the professional pundits and most of the amateur ones.  Instead it's all crap about what somebody's cab driver said.

That's why Chris Bowers has always been one of the most refreshing bloggers.  He's actually willing to look at data and see where it leads even if it's not what fits his preexisting narrative.

by Steve M 2008-01-26 01:45PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Why don't we wait and see the results. I'm not in the least surprised black supporter of Obama were complaining.

by ottovbvs 2008-01-26 01:41PM | 0 recs
Baloney

Can someone give me just 1 (one) example of something that the Clinton campaign used that other campaigns haven't?

Because there isn't anything.

Campaigns grab soundbites by other candidates and run with it. Film at 11. What do you think the Obama campaign pushing Hillary's MLK quote was?

Every campaign in the history of mankind is full of that stuff. But when someone named "Clinton" does it, they're evil.

The mass hysteria I'm seeing against anyone called "Clinton" has reached beyond ridiculous levels. The character assassination on them is unbelievable.

by Frank 2008-01-26 01:41PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Poor diary that is beneath you.

by Todd Bennett 2008-01-26 01:44PM | 0 recs
two things

1. 56% of voters think Obama went too far as well, that's only 14% lower then Hillary's number, and while I think 14% is a far amount, I do think we should be worrying almost as much about his 56% as we are about Hil's 70%.

2. When did "really wishing" someone would "just go away" become not irrational hatred? Sounds kind of irrational to me.

by forecaster15 2008-01-26 01:44PM | 0 recs
Re: two things

Change this diary's title.

by Todd Bennett 2008-01-26 01:46PM | 0 recs
Re: two things

What's remarkable is that plenty of Clinton's supporters thought she was unfair, and plenty of Obama's supporters thought he was unfair.  Obviously a lot of folks thought it really wasn't that big a deal.  Unlike on the blogs, in the real world Democrats aren't divided into opposing camps where their own candidate is perfect and the opposing candidate is pure evil.

It's also remarkable that no matter how many people try to claim this has been some sort of historically negative primary, which is just silly, the voters keep showing up in record numbers.  Eventually someone will realize they're really not that turned off.

by Steve M 2008-01-26 01:47PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Clinton is good about planning his words to give him plausible deniability with a literal interpretation of his words.  Fortunately, it may be that black voters know what he really means.

by Drummond 2008-01-26 01:48PM | 0 recs
Yeah, yeah...

with a wink and a nod to the racists in the party.

Let me guess.  4 out of 5 of the black voters were too stupid to see the truth?  Maybe it's time the black voters remind us that racism is alive and well in this country, and it comes from places we don't always expect.

by Drummond 2008-01-26 02:49PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

Yeah, the Clinton's problems are always everybody's fault but their own.

by Drummond 2008-01-26 01:49PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

I wonder if in that unfair campaigning question you had to pick one or if you could say both.

by Piuma 2008-01-26 01:49PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

I'm guessing the questions were asked in sequence.

by OrangeFur 2008-01-26 01:51PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

This diary is a bunch of overhystarial non sense. Hillary will be fine if she's the nominee, and she is the likely nominee regardless of what happens this evening. People talk to a few people and treat their thoughts like it were some scientific poll. Please.

by Christopher Lib 2008-01-26 01:50PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

The centerpiece of the diary is an opinion piece in today's LA Times.  You can disagree with it, you can dismiss it as being significant, but since it does come from the paper of record for the biggest city in the biggest state it is not nonsensical to be written about.

by Piuma 2008-01-26 01:54PM | 0 recs
Re: What Sort Of Damage Have The Clintons Done?

I have never voted for a Republican.  I am a white gay male, consider myself progressive in my politics, am in my 40's, and an attorney who makes a good living. I read this and other progressive liberal blogs relatively frequently, although not obsessively.  This is my second post in well over a year. So, in that context, I will tell you that I will never vote for Hillary.  If she is the nominee, I will simply not vote.  If surviving four more years of a Republican is what we have to do to turn the page on the Clintons--on full display the last two weeks, especially--then so be it.  And I can tell you that I have heard from many, many people I know and work with that they feel the same way, and have been disgusted by how Hillary and Bill have nakedly displayed their say-anything, do-anything, to get back in power ambitions.  Karl Rove would be proud.

by denis diderot 2008-01-26 03:16PM | 0 recs

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