Clinton Scores Major California Endorsement

Coming on the heels of a Field Poll (.pdf) showing Hillary Clinton leading in California by 12 points, effectively unchanged from her 14-point lead in the poll in December, the Clinton campaign is able to boast a major endorsement: the United Farmworkers. First Read had the story first, but here's the Associated Press with a bit of a longer write up:

Democratic Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton picked up the endorsement of the United Farm Workers on Tuesday, adding another powerful union to her list of organized labor supporters.

Union President Arturo S. Rodriguez will make the official announcement with Clinton in Salinas, Calif., spokeswoman Virginia Adame said.

Founded in 1962 by Cesar Chavez, the United Farm Workers of America calls itself the United States' first successful and largest farm workers union. It is currently active in 10 states and represents 27,000 farm workers.

The farm workers union is powerful in delegate-rich California, which holds its primary on Feb. 5.

As we saw in Nevada, union endorsements aren't sufficient to secure the most votes in a nominating event -- even one in which relatively low turnout leads to the expectation that a union endorsement would seal the deal for a candidate. That said, with Clinton already having soundly defeated Barack Obama among Hispanic voters in the neighboring state of Nevada over the weekend and Clinton leading Obama among Hispanics in California by a 59 percent to 19 percent margin (according to the aforementioned Field poll), an endorsement from the group founded by Cesar Chavez isn't likely to hurt the New York Senator -- and it's certainly not likely to help Obama achieve the seemingly difficult task of wooing Hispanic voters into his camp (a task he has yet to accomplish).

Tags: California primary, Endorsements, Hillary Clinton (all tags)

Comments

31 Comments

Obama did very well among Latinos in IA

but I take your point, he clearly has ground to make up with that group on a national scale.

by desmoinesdem 2008-01-22 10:29AM | 0 recs
Re: Obama did very well among Latinos in IA

I wonder what accounts for the major difference.

By the way, did folks see that video of the Frank Luntz group with the (apparently Latino) guy announcing that Latinos in Nevada would never vote for Obama... for a reason he couldn't quite explain?

by Steve M 2008-01-22 11:02AM | 0 recs
I suspect a few reasons

1)9 months of relentless Obama campaigning in IA

2) $15 million + spent in Iowa

3) And this is just a hunch from a white guy back east, but because latinos and african americans make up such a small population of an extremely white state (IA), they may not be as in tune to identity politics as say other voters in larger state, with larger populations, and more urban centers.  They may not feel the need to compete with each other in IA.

by dpANDREWS 2008-01-22 11:24AM | 0 recs
Re: I suspect a few reasons

It is also possible this is really just about the youth vote turning out in such numbers that it skews the other demographics.

My understanding is that Clinton was dominant among most types of women, but lost the young woman vote to Obama and because the youth vote was such a huge proportion of the total it made it look like women in general had turned against her.

Maybe the same thing went on with Latinos?

by rcipw 2008-01-22 11:28AM | 0 recs
Good point

could be

by dpANDREWS 2008-01-22 11:38AM | 0 recs
Re: I suspect a few reasons

I think you're on to something here.  The data really needs to be looked at more closely before the "race and gender" crowd in the traditional media and, unfortunately, in the blogsphere, start off with another meme about the Dem primary being about race -- man, am tired of that meme and how distracting it is from the economic and security issues we must deal with (yet, once more, the traditional media has found another wedge issue to fill their infinite hours of air time and the blaberring mouths of the chattering classes).  

As a Latino voter (just one Latino voter, clearly I can't speak for all of anything), Sen Obama has not offered me the nitty-gritty details that would convince me that he'll deliver on bread and butter issues, which is what I care about most.  Additionally, I'm no policy wonk and cannot get into the what-fors of each the health care plans of the top three Dem candidates; however, I've respected the insights of P Krugman over the past six/seven years, and when he raises concerns over Sen Obama's approach and rhetoric, I listen.

My point is that race and gender is such a disctracion, and that we do a disservice to the American voter (Latino and non-Latino) when we use race as the "explanation" as to why the candidate of our choice is not gaining traction with segments of the electorate.  Let's be critical thinkers, and ask ourselves, instead: Has my candidate done the hard work of organizing and mobilizing voters in the manner that is necessary to win national elections?  According reports (via NPR interviews of union workers in Nevada), the Clinton camp kicked ass in Nevada and in NH... they've the necessary machine together to get votes out.  During the same radio report, a Latino state legislator in Nevada, reportedly, had to reach out to the Obama camp to offer his support, while the Clinton camp had been actively courting him -- again, it's about the hard work of putting an organization on the ground and getting boots out when it counts.

by bedobe 2008-01-22 11:53AM | 0 recs
Re: I suspect a few reasons

bedobe:

We sometimes make a mistake when we think of "organization" as something you can put together for an election. In reality, an organization is built over years and decades. Clinton hasn't gotten the Latino/a vote by reaching out during this election. She's gotten it as a result of the 35 years of relationships she has built working with people and then during the Clinton campaigns.

This is the nitty gritty of "experience" that the Obama supporters don't understand. The experience Obama needs is not learning where all the cloakrooms in the US Capitol are located. It's the years of immersing himself in the national constituent groups of the Democratic Party so that he understands the interests of these groups -- not from a briefing book, but from meetings and dinners and holiday celebrations and visiting the communities.

by hwc 2008-01-22 03:11PM | 0 recs
Re: I suspect a few reasons

DING DING DING!  Win!

Hillary's relationship with the Latino community has to to with more than a few votes.

It has to do with years and years of listening to them, cultivating personal relationships with people in the Hispanic community, attending their symposiums and political roundtable type things, and generally treating the community with RESPECT, as if they MATTER.  It has to do with the record number of Latinos appointed and hired during Bill's administration, and Hillary's ongoing work with and for them.  It goes back to her Arkansas years, trying to help the migrant worker families and chidren there.  This goes far beyond canvasing for votes in an election year, or any skin color issues.

Some things can't be boiled down to "Hispanic friendly" position papers and press releases. Hillary's has been having a true conversation with the community, for years.

Also, in light of this, to run the sort of ad against her that was run in Nevada, when her true respect for them has been so manifest, INFURIATED the Latino community.  I cannot tell you how angry it made the Hispanic community here in San Antonio.  

by WMCB 2008-01-22 03:35PM | 0 recs
Re: I suspect a few reasons

It the same fury that white Democrats feel when Obama's surrogates run around calling Hillary and Bill Clinton racists.

His racist charges, like his ads in Nevada, are the dirtiest kind of politics of personal destruction imaginable. He isn't challenging political positions. He's challenging the personal character of his opponents.

by hwc 2008-01-22 04:36PM | 0 recs
I know they did lots of outreach

from field offices in towns with major Latino populations.

The editor of the largest Spanish-language newspaper in Iowa was very favorable towards Obama from the beginning, and that paper ended up endorsing Obama.

I don't know what other dynamics may have been at work.

by desmoinesdem 2008-01-22 11:37AM | 0 recs
Big Picture

http://securingamerica.com/
pics and transcript - Nevada

Hillary - Wes Clark ( former grassroots candidate ) pushs her up the ladder; her ex president-Bill doing the Obama fighting for her;

while she is conducting foreign policy/bully pulpit:

http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articl es/2008/01/07/hillary_clinton_campaignin g_ponders_putins_soul/

Hillary on January 7th in New Hampshire

"Bush really premised so much of our foreign policy on his personal relationships with leaders, and I just don't think that's the way a great country engages in diplomacy," Clinton said to voters in Hampton, New Hampshire.

"This is the president that looked in the soul of Putin, and I could have told him, he was a KGB agent," Clinton said. "By definition he doesn't have a soul."

by dearreader 2008-01-23 01:28AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Scores Major California Endorsement

This is significant, but on a totally symbolic level. The UFW is largely gutted as a union -- lacking the ground troops or resources to make the endorsement turn into votes.

But as a historic latino union in the US it does re-enforce the media narrative -- based on polling and the results from Nevada -- that latinos are going strongly for Clinton.  

by alexmhogan 2008-01-22 10:32AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Scores Major California Endorsement

This is clearly the truth, contrary to posters farther down.

The UFW hasn't been able to organize anything for years, has a membership of under 7,000, is losing units, and hasn't been a force in any election in decades.

This is totally symbolic and helps move the "Latinos Love Clinton" narrative (as noted above). But in terms of actually delivering money or foot soldiers, let alone votes, the UFW has nothing.

I suspect that other people hearing about it, though, will think it significant, which is a testament to the power of the UFW brand and its past history of fighting for justice.

by nathanhj 2008-01-22 11:20AM | 0 recs
amazing

not fair, insulting and untrue.

are you a obama supporter?  id love to know who is insulting this tenacious union and its members.

by Seymour Glass 2008-01-22 01:32PM | 0 recs
The time and organizational element is important

Culinary waited to long and there is a question about their organzation skills.  They seemed to simply rely on the belief that because they said they would that they could.

The Farm Workers Union has a little more time, and I think they have a record of being fairly effective at organizing.

by dpANDREWS 2008-01-22 10:39AM | 0 recs
Culinary Union

Culinary Union was stupid and arrogant in Las Vegas. Their heavy handed tactics made it easy for the Clintons to gin up resentment of the union endorsement and a massive Clinton turnout just to spite the union.

For crying out loud, union bosses tried to throw frickin' Chelsea Clinton out of a casino the day before the election. How brain dead can you be? We watched her grow up. She's like America's favorite daughter.

by hwc 2008-01-22 03:16PM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Scores Major California Endorsement

Obama is toast--after Florida, he will be lucky to win his home state.  

Let the Obama forces live out the last of their illusions.  

Last night, on a national scale (not appealing solely to his African-American base), Obama self-destructed--despite his ever-ready pro-Obama, anti-Clinton MSM spinners.  He looked like the ultimate petulant brat.

Obama has now lost New Hampshire, Michigan (which WILL count--everyone voting there knew what that "uncommitted slate" consisted of), and Nevada--the latter two by wide margins.

Look for Obama to do much more poorly than anyone has heretofore predicted in South Carolina.  The major star (Elvis and then some) for the Democrats is Bill Clinton, and he has only just begun soliciting for his wife among African-Americans there.

Whatever happens in South Carolina, however, Hillary will absolutely swamp Obama in Florida, wherein core Democrats still adore the Clintons, particularly the Latino population.

And on February 5--look for Obama to struggle even in Illinois.

We bedrock Democrats are taking back our party--and the Obama brats and their anti-Clinton MSM talking heads, are finally going to get their national spanking--which has been long overdue.

by lambros 2008-01-22 10:42AM | 0 recs
A little much

I am a HRC supporter, but you lay it on a little too thick.  A new PPP poll has obma up 16 in SC.  He will win SC handily, but unless he does well among whites, the media will box him in as the "black candidate".  He has a very long way to go, but you can't count him out so easily (he made that mistake with HRC in NH).

by StrongDem08 2008-01-22 10:49AM | 0 recs
Lambros overstating but Obama's in trouble.

For all the reasons we've talked about endlessly. He didn't have a good night last night and I sense even his supporters here know it. Judging by the offensive posture of the Clinton camp over the past couple of days and particularly this morning I think they know he's reeling a bit and they are putting the boot in.  

by ottovbvs 2008-01-22 10:59AM | 0 recs
Re: A little much

Here are the new SC numbers:

White voters:
Clinton: 43%
Obama: 17%
Edwards: 30%

African American voters:
Clinton: 17%
Obama: 70%
Edwards: 1%

by hwc 2008-01-22 11:02AM | 0 recs
woops! there it is!

by Seymour Glass 2008-01-22 01:34PM | 0 recs
Obama is arrogant. Doesn't like to be tested.

We've seen this.  He had a free pass to the US Senate beating a fringe candidate, who some view to be off balance.

Obama does not seem to like being tested by reporters or in debates.  He gets testy.  I think  he has a real problem being beat by a female.  I think it makes him feel weak.   Hillary Clinton has beat him 3 in a row after Iowa.

Now that Sinclair has made his allegations I think Obama has some problems, maybe not major, but he has to respond to these very detailed charges.

by dpANDREWS 2008-01-22 04:47PM | 0 recs
"Como se llama" Obama?

Unfortunately for Obama, the race card has come home to roost.

Que lastima!

by BigBoyBlue 2008-01-22 10:50AM | 0 recs
Re: "Como se llama" Obama?

No tiene nada que ver con la "race card."

We know Sen Clinton has done very well among "bread and butter" voters, and Latinos are certainly "bread and butter" voters.  Sen Obama has done very well amongst those that cite aspirational concerns as their top motivator (i.e., affluent, highly educated, urban voters); however, because some Americans vote their pocket concerns over aspirational concerns, doesn't mean that race is the determinant factor.  It's a shame that some people in the MSM and the blogsphere have focused too narrowly on the gender and race factors of the primary.

No tiene nada que ver con racismo, y to do que ver con el bien estar de mi país.

by bedobe 2008-01-22 11:07AM | 0 recs
Re: "Como se llama" Obama?

The poll numbers make it pretty darn difficult to ignore the role of race and gender in this nominating contest.

The numbers pretty much slap you upside the head with a two by four.

by hwc 2008-01-22 11:12AM | 0 recs
Re: "Como se llama" Obama?

But that's only the superficial reading.  What about all the other factors that have been raised since the NH primary, that make it clear that Sen Clinton is consolidating the "bread and butter" voter and the "traditional" Dem voter.  Fixating on Race and Gender is too uninteresting and, I think, a throw back to the 1960's politics of the past.  Are gender and race a factor, of course, but we shouldn't follow the same tact that the traditional media follow re: race and gender -- frankly, I find that approach boring and insulting.

by bedobe 2008-01-22 11:17AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Scores Major California Endorsement

Si se puede!

by LakersFan 2008-01-22 10:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Scores Major California Endorsement

This sounds a lot like NH to me. And not in Obama being counted out, because he isn't.

It sounds NH because the MSM and Obama's supporters are once again claiming he will win by double digits based on polls, esoteric feelings and momentum.

These ways of thinking did not serve him well in NH and they will not serve him well here.

Expect him to win but not nearly by double digits. This will not the the huge closer he needs.

by americanincanada 2008-01-22 11:18AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Scores Major California Endorsement

Dear Sam,

I support Barack Obama because he doesn't seek to perfect the politics of Swiftboating -- he seeks to end it.

This is personal for me, and for a whole lot of Americans who lived through the 2004 election.

As a veteran, it disgusts me that the Swift Boats we loved while we were in uniform on the Mekong Delta have been rendered, in Karl Rove's twisted politics, an ugly verb meaning to lie about someone's character just to win an election. But as someone who cares about winning this election and changing the country I love, I know it's not enough to complain about a past we can't change when our challenge is to win the future -- which is why we must stop the Swiftboating, stop the push-polling, stop the front groups, and stop the email chain smears.

The truth matters, but how you fight the lies matters even more. We must be determined never again to lose any election to a lie.

This year, the attacks are already starting. Some of you may have heard about the disgusting lies about Barack Obama that are being circulated by email. These attacks smear Barack's Christian faith and deep patriotism, and they distort his record of more than two decades of public service. They are nothing short of "Swiftboat" style anonymous attacks.

These are the same tactics the right has used again and again, and as we've learned, these attacks, no matter how bogus, can spread and take root if they go unchecked.

But not this time -- we're fighting back.

And when I say "we," I mean that literally. I know Barack is committed to fighting every smear every time. He'll fight hard and stand up for the truth. But he can't do it alone.

We need you to email the truth to your address books. Print it out and post it at work. Talk to your neighbors. Call your local radio station. Write a letter to the editor. If lies can be spread virally, let's prove to the cynics that the truth can be every bit as persuasive as it is powerful.

The Obama campaign has created a place where you can find the truth you'll need to push back on these smears and a way to spread the truth to all of your address book.

Take action here:

http://my.barackobama.com/factcheckactio n

So when your inbox fills up with trash and the emails of smear and fear, find the facts, and help defeat the lies.

Barack Obama is committed to bringing our country together to meet the challenges we face, but he knows that power gives up nothing without a struggle -- and to win the chance to change America, we must first defeat the hateful tactics that have been used to tear us apart for too long.

With your help, we can turn the page on an era of small, divisive politics -- but only if next time you hear these attacks on Barack, you take action immediately:

http://my.barackobama.com/factcheckactio n

The fight is just heating up -- we won't let them steal this election with lies and distortions.

Thank you,

John Kerry

by EmilyOR 2008-01-23 10:29AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Scores Major California Endorsement

It's truly amazing (and quite sad) that so many people fell for Obeemer's "unification and hope" bs. All one has to do is check out http://facts.hillaryhub.com/ where each and every lie (which is most of what comes out of his mouth) is documented as a lie. The site provides links that verify each lie, like the one he told at the last debate about sponsoring the bill on sexual abuse. In checking the aforementioned link, one can see that nowhere on that bill is Obeemer's name.

What a lying, deceitful campaign he is running! And while preaching unity, HE starts this feud by slinging the first mud and THEN whines that Hillary is doing it. Seems that all he has to do is talk about "hope" and "change", and people are sucked in. My question is Change WHAT?? And HOW??? I've yet to hear a plan to change ANYTHING.

But now he is courting only the black vote, so that will end his chances right there. Should I add stupidity to his resume?

by reddirtgirl1 2008-01-25 02:18AM | 0 recs
Re: Clinton Scores Major California Endorsement

He may win SC, but only because he is counting on the black vote. That won't work in the rest of America. What a foolish tactic. I knew it was only a matter of time before he played the race card, which is one big turnoff for the rest of the country.

Hillary understands what he has done, and concedes she will probably lose SC (but who knows? look at what happened in NH!). One needs a whole lot more than one state to win a national nomination.

Current delegates: something like Clinton 109; Obeemer 35?? Seems like he needs to start being honest with the people!

Oh - and don't forget to check out http://facts.hillaryhub.com/ for COMPLETE destruction of all his lies, with links to document each one.

by reddirtgirl1 2008-01-25 02:33AM | 0 recs

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