Paging Bob Kerrey

One would assume that this isn't another false alarm.

Nebraska Sen. Chuck Hagel (R) will be holding a press conference on Monday at the Omaha Press Club to discuss his political future.

Note: Several months ago, Hagel held a similar press conference, in which he was expected to discuss a possible presidential bid. But, to the disappointment of many reporters who traveled to Nebraska for that, he didn't make any news.

This time, it's expected he'll discuss whether or not he seeks another Senate term. He is up for re-election next year.

If Hagel announces that he's not running for reelection, as many believe to be the case, it seems likely that former Nebraska Governor and Senator Bob Kerrey would join the race, almost immediately, as the prohibitive favorite, at the least for the Democratic nomination and perhaps even for the general election, too.

It's clear that there aren't a whole lot of folks within the netroots clamoring for a Kerrey candidacy, certainly due to the fact that the Nebraskan is so hawkish, on Iraq and probably even Iran, and his replacing Hagel would actually represent a shift to the right on the issue of the war. On almost every other issue, however, Kerrey would be a vast improvement over Hagel, as Markos pointed out last month.

And, more importantly, he would help get the Democrats a lot closer to 60 votes in the Senate, which would mean nearly an end to GOP obstructionism in the chamber (which could be particularly important in the area of Supreme Court nominations). With Kerrey running, the Democrats would have their second seat leaning towards pickup already in September (the other being Colorado), with New Hampshire and Virginia likely joining that list assuming Jean Shaheen and Mark Warner, respectively, decide to make runs. Four lean pickups already more than a year out from election day? With a statistic like that, perhaps 60 seats wouldn't be such an improper goal for this cycle after all.

Tags: ne-sen, Nebraska, Senate 2008 (all tags)

Comments

11 Comments

Kerrey's for privatizing Social Security

but as long as we elect a Democrat president, he would not be able to do much damage on that issue.

by desmoinesdem 2007-09-07 10:37AM | 0 recs
Re: Kerrey's for privatizing Social Security

Exactly.  And the thing is, if he wants, he could vote with us so we can vote a bill, to help get the sixty, then vote against us on the 51+ vote.  (Obviously his state would require him voting against us in certain instances).  

Another point here is that we wouldn't need a ton of money for Bob Kerrey to win.  Whereas trying to pass someone who isn't statewide known/popular would cost 10 million more for success.  

by JeremiahTheMessiah 2007-09-07 11:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Kerrey's for privatizing Social Security

Well, that's a deal breaker for me.

Anyone who wants to help Repubs dismantle the cornerstone of the New Deal and disavow one of the central organizing principles of the Democratic Party isn't a Democrat in my book.

by Bush Bites 2007-09-07 11:19AM | 0 recs
Re: Kerrey's for privatizing Social Security

Watch this from the 6:44 point.

Gary Hart on the central principles of the Democratic Party.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZaE4CVgqY 9Y&eurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww%2Edailykos% 2Ecom%2Fstory%2F2007%2F9%2F7%2F124031%2F 0959

by Bush Bites 2007-09-07 11:25AM | 0 recs
Re: Paging Bob Kerrey

Here we go...

by Dave Sund 2007-09-07 11:11AM | 0 recs
Kerrey in . Lieberman out

The more the Dems can solidify their majority, then we can put Harry Reid on the spot why Lieberman still has committee seats with his terrible rhetoric against the Democrats.

by Pravin 2007-09-07 11:12AM | 0 recs
Doubts on Kerrey's chances

He's been gone too long from NE politics to matter (last run was 94?)(1) The state is as republican as Idaho and Kerrey is not as conservative as Ben Nelson (who to me is more of a typical Midwest republican)(2)he's been in NYC for a while and I'm not sure how that will play with NE voters (3) NE's independents would be Republicans in almost any other state East of the MS River and in a presidential year I strongly doubt they'd pull the lever for any national Dem. Now if the GOP throws up a quirky candidate then maybe...other than that, its the GOP's race to lose. Besides..they are better opportunities elsewhere for Dems to spend their money in 2008.

by dantata 2007-09-07 12:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Paging Bob Kerrey

During the 1996 NE US Senate Race between Ben Nelson who was a sitting Governor and Chuck Hagel-a wealthy businessman. Hagel won by a 56-42 percent margin.

In the 2000 NE US Senate Race- Ben Nelson was a popular former Governor. The Republican Nominee was a Conservative State Attorney General. Nelson won by 51-49 percent margin.

Kerrey may lose by a 55-45 percent but this may force Republican to spend money in an otherwise safe seat- money that could be wise spent in CO,NH,VA,MN,ME,MN,OR.
Virginia
Warner(D)55%
Davis/Gilmore(R)45%

Colorado-
Udall(D)52
Schaeffer(R)47

New Hampshire
Shaheen(D)55
Sununu(R)45

New Hampshire
Swett/Marchand(D)50
Sununu(R)50

Minnesota
Coleman(R)50
Franken/Ciresi(D)50

Oregon
Smith(R)50
Merkley(D)50

Maine
Collins(R)52
Allen(D)47

by nkpolitics 2007-09-07 12:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Paging Bob Kerrey

Kerrey could win. This is a year for change, he's been out long enough to seem fresh. The Republicans apparently don't seem to have anyone of stature that could run against him. With battles to hold seats in more expensive states like Oregon and Virginia draining GOP's already depleted coffers, the Republican running against Kerrey could have an uphill battle.

Issues: regarding Iran and Iraq, a Dem President isn't going to escalate anything and will pull out as soon as it's militarily feasible, so nothing there. Social Security repeal is going nowhere as long as there's a Dem majority, add a Dem President, and it won't even be discussed. Kerrey is acceptable in other respects, though, and he certainly won't be helping Republicans or Lieberman at all.

by NewDeal 2007-09-07 02:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Paging Bob Kerrey

If the Dems dont gain at least three seats, they may as well pack up and go home!!

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/07/us/pol itics/07web-hulse.html?_r=1&8dpc& ;oref=slogin

by Boilermaker 2007-09-07 06:22PM | 0 recs
We MUST focus on the marginal and uphill states

We have to focus on the marginal and uphill states this year.  

We will never again have the funding situation the DSCC and NRSC are in this cycle.  

By targeting smaller-population states we can maximize the bang for our buck while forcing the GOP to divert their increasingly scarce resources to defending `their' states.

We have to push Idaho and the newly opened Wyoming senate seat because the new appointees will fall more easily under a DSCC ad onslaught.  

They are freshmen Republicans in a Democratic Senate under an extraordinarily unpopular Republican President.  

Idaho has been trending Democratic and the newly opened Craig seat already had a great Democratic candidate running for 2008.

Don't forget in WY: we can go after the new Senate seat, the full 6 year term of the other one, and bring down the Queen of Mean, Rep Barbara Cubin.  The state has elected Democrats in 6 of the last 8 governor's races.  Given how small the population is we can blanket the state with direct mail, TV and radio spots, and paid phone bankers for a fraction of the cost of a state the size of Florida, for example.

Similarly, we must target Alaska for Senate and the House seat.  These corruption charges against Young and Stevens are a gold mine for Democrats.  Success this year could also tilt the paper thin GOP margins in the state legislature towards the Democrats.  2011 redistricting, anyone?

Alabama falls into a similar scenario.  Figures is not the best candidate but if we're stuck with her we can build a stronger chance for the 2010 Senate race which will hopefully feature a certain Agriculture Commissioner.  The GOP needs to spend as much cash as possible defending that seat, as well as Georgia and South Carolina.  We might not get those states in 2008 but the 2010 races are a different story.

Also, the added Democratic efforts at the top of the ticket will undoubtedly help state legislative candidates in all of those states.  Those are by far the most important races on the ballot next year.

by Irvingguy 2007-09-08 03:29PM | 0 recs

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