Immigration Deal Expected Today

As would be expected in a split government, the deal looks to be a compromise:
Under the tentative deal, undocumented workers who crossed into the country before Jan. 1 would be offered a temporary-residency permit while they await a new "Z Visa" that would allow them to live and work lawfully here. The head of an illegal-immigrant household would have eight years to return to his or her home country to apply for permanent legal residence for members of the household, but each Z Visa itself would be renewable indefinitely, as long as the holder passes a criminal background check, remains fully employed and pays a $5,000 fine, plus a paperwork-processing fee.

A separate, temporary-worker program would be established for 400,000 migrants a year. Each temporary work visa would be good for two years and could be renewed up to three times, as long as the worker leaves the country for a year between renewals.

To satisfy Republicans, those provisions would come in force only after the federal government implements tough new border controls and a crackdown on employers that hire illegal immigrants. Republicans are demanding 18,000 new Border Patrol agents, 370 miles of additional border fencing and an effective, electronic employee-verification system for the workplace.

"This is not the architecture of an immigration bill that I would have initially liked to see," conceded Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (Mass.), the Democrats' chief negotiator, "but we're not dealing with that. This is a legislative process."

The agreement would effectively bring an immigration overhaul to the Senate floor next week, but its passage is far from assured. The framework has the support of the White House and the chief negotiators, Kennedy and Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.). But immigration rights groups and some key Senate Democrats remain leery, especially of changing a preference system that has favored family members for more than 40 years.

"When they say, 'We're all in agreement, we have a deal,' certainly I don't feel that way," said Sen. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.).
As I often note here on MyDD, I am not a policy wonk. The specifics behind the ins and outs of immigration legislation are not familiar to me. I imagine this bill will have opposition from both the left and the right, and I can't speak to the left-wing opposition with any clarity. Also, it isn't as easy as saying that this is a Democratic success, since it has the support of the White House. Immigration is one of the very few policy areas where Bush and Rove do not pander exclusively to the far-right elements in their base. In fact, some have called for his impeachment over this issue, which gives you an idea of how quickly the right will call for the impeachment of the next Democratic President. If there is a deal, as a hack, I have to wonder what impact it will have on the Latino vote, which helped push Dems over the top in 2006. It is going to be hard to stay at 69% among Latinos--will this help or hurt?

Tags: immigration (all tags)

Comments

11 Comments

Re: Immigration Deal Expected Today

The bill looks pretty centrist...Much more conservative then last year bill...I really don't have a problem with it...It will be attack by anti-immigrants and pro-immigrants group because they just don't believe in compromising on anything...The anti-immigrants groups wanted nothing less then mass deportation of the 12 million illegal immigrants while the pro-immigrants group wanted future  temporary guest workers to also have a clean path to citizenship along with the current 12-20 million illegal immigrants that would get that.

This bill also demand illegal immigrants to take a trip back home and wait for their paperwork to clear before coming in, and they didn't like that...I also don't like it, but hey,sometimes you have to make a deal...A trip back home shouldn't be that horrible.

by JaeHood 2007-05-17 04:28AM | 0 recs
Re: Immigration Deal Expected Today

I would have been happier if it were Democrats pushing for tougher punishment on employers.  I would have also liked a provision that allowed illegal workers to come forward with information on who employed them for a reduced fine or other incentives. I hope they don't offer amnesty to businesses who rat out the illegal workers they hired.  

by Rickyspub 2007-05-17 05:35AM | 0 recs
Hrm.

A good deal for immigrants currently in the states.

As far as I can tell, conservative Republicans traded a long fence that won't work for a short fence that won't work and accepted passage, while Democrats gave up a path to citizenship for guest workers. The mass deportations just weren't going to happen.

If guest workers are allowed to apply for green cards, then it's not a bad deal. Employers will have lots of leverage over guest workers, but they would have had that over any "path to citizenship" scenario. If they can apply for green cards it's roughly the same thing, just with lots of extra steps.

by niq 2007-05-17 05:54AM | 0 recs
Screwed.

This chamber of commerce wet dream is not only dripping with amnesty, but it rigs the labor markets to benefit business interests.

If enacted, this policy (or anything similar) will create an oversupply of middle-class and working-class workers, effectively creating a race to bottom of the wage and salary barrel for everyone who earns an income.

Here's what I think needs to be done to strengthen our immigration laws.

by fafnir 2007-05-17 05:56AM | 0 recs
From the left

From the left... the issue is:

1) Temporary work visas basically create an underclass to be exploited who have few if any workers rights.  I thought we abolished slavery in 1865.

2) A part of capitalism is the right to sell your labor for a higher price.  Its not true Americans are "unwilling" to do these jobs- they are unwilling at the prices employers would like to pay-- this will continue a downward cycle of wages and does no favors to organized labor.

3) Amnesty is fine, but the moral issue is:  why are we making people die in the desert and in the backs of trucks?  Shit or get off the pot- either open the border and stop the b.s. or close it and make it clear.

4) Where are the provisions to prosecute employers who knowingly and continually employ illegal workers.  They better be targeting people once these new visas are available.

by jgkojak 2007-05-17 06:06AM | 0 recs
My sentiments as well

Particularly on the employment aspect.  If people need to be employed continuously, or nearly continuously, to keep their visas, then it gives their employers the ability to control them completely.  

That's horrible, and we shouldn't stand for it.

We shouldn't approve an immigration or guest worker bill unless it gives room for immigrants/guest workers to be unemployed for, say, up to four months of every year.  That would give the immigrant at least some opportunity to say, "if you fire me, I'll just get another job," and have a good chance of doing so before the cops come knocking at their door.

by RT 2007-05-17 06:47AM | 0 recs
Re: From the left

And a $5,000.00 fine? Is that a joke? Even if not enforced, it is a ridiculous proposition to fine the poorest of the poor for being poor.

by LandStander 2007-05-17 07:43AM | 0 recs
Re: Immigration Deal Expected Today

From a policy standpoint, you have to start from a realistic premise: as long as the richest nation on the planet is right next to a continent of economic basket cases, people are going to keep coming here to work -- it doesn't have matter how many fences they build and how much they militarize the border. Globalization has freed capital and tries to pen in labor. Doesn't work.

This seems to have the seeds of a No Child Left Behind Act situation in it: by saying that all the wall building boondoggle has to be done first, it sets up the likelihood that the more practical parts never get implemented. We've seen a lot of that.

Whether it is a chamber of commerce wet dream will tend to be decided in the details of how much they've tinkered with the "family reunification" standards for legal immigration. If they make the immigration standard skill and job based, they are using immigration policy as a global hiring hall for brain draining corporations. The laboring classes get screwed in such a deal.

It will take awhile to see how this plays out for Democrats if it is passed. Latino voters are greatly moved by family loyalty. If the Dems colude in reducing the preference for family reunification in immigration law, Latinos MAY punish them. The punishment would likely be passive though -- not voting. We can trust the Republicans to continue to give a home to racist nativists who want to throw 'em all out. That will keep most Latinos away from them.

by janinsanfran 2007-05-17 06:09AM | 0 recs
Leave and apply to reenter

I can't understand what the purpose of having a 'z' visa holder leave the country in order to apply for permanent resident visa (green card)?  Surely this will be abused - the workers family will remain in the US and the green card may not be forthcoming for some or no reason.  Why can't the green card application be submitted within the US?

This looks to me either as a needless impediment or a disguised attempt to punish the z visa holder somehow.  Will the worker be able to keep his US job if he has to leave the US, and for long if 'delays' occur? Is it reasonable to expect a worker to leave his family behind in an indeterminant status - particularly if the children were born in the US with automatic US citizenship (per the Constitution).

And what is the purpose of having the temporary workers having to leave the US and stay out for a year before being able to apply again for temp. worker permit?  Once again, what about his US family?

I smell hidden agendas in these provisions.  And I don't see any way that a temp. worker in the future can move into green card status - even if his children are US citizens.

And of course the 'longer fence' is just ridiculous on its face.  The geographic features of long portions of the border suggest that a fence can't or won't be built, and as long as some areas are unfenced, the migration will move there.  

by JimPortlandOR 2007-05-17 07:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Immigration Deal Expected Today

The Amnesty part seems like a pretty good compromise, although the $5000 dollar fine is pretty ridiculous.

I'm definitely not a fan of the guest worker program, however, they tend to create an underclass of people similar to the ones found in Europe which have for the most part completely failed.

by KainIIIC 2007-05-17 09:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Immigration Deal Expected Today

One of the biggest problems with the bill is the fundamental changes to future immigration policy that it makes, shifting from a family-based policy (where people with family members here get preference) to a guest-worker based policy (where highly skilled English-speaking workers get preference).

The Democrats have to keep fighting this aspect of the legislation, or they could very well get saddled with the failure in the 08 elections, right along with Republicans.

by Jenifer Fernandez Ancona 2007-05-17 11:24AM | 0 recs

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