May Straw Poll Results
by Chris Bowers, Wed May 16, 2007 at 02:15:12 PM EDT
MyDD May Reader Straw Poll (5/15, 1,668 votes)
Note that the candidates are not ranked according to their first place votes. Instead, they are ranked according to the depth of their support across the entire ballot. The deeper one goes into the ballots, it becomes much clearer, for example, that Chris Dodd is thought of much better than Biden, Gravel and Kucinich. Also, the last place votes have been changed, in that every ballot that did not rank the eight candidates is now considered to be an "unsure" vote for last place. Overall, this change and the new information presented gives us a much clearer picture of the depth of support each candidate has on MyDD. Here is a sort of "acceptability" ranking, where the last place votes for every candidate are subtracted from their combined first, second, third and fourth place votes:
Edwards: 84.0%
Obama: 78.3%
Richardson: 64.6%
Clinton: 34.1%
Dodd: 28.1%
Other: 24.3%
Biden: 10.2%
Gravel: 2.3%
Kucinich: -2.9%
Note the gaps between Obama and Richardson, Richardson and Clinton, and Other and Biden. It suggests a four-tiers of candidate support on MyDD: the first tier includes Edwards and Obama; the second tier is Richardson; the third tier is Clinton, Dodd and "Other"; the fourth tier is Biden, Gravel and Kucinich. It is particularly interesting how Richardson is widely viewed as an acceptable candidate, but has relatively few commenters and diarists directly promoting him.
Anyway, as always, I did my best to remove stuffed results. You can see past MyDD straw poll results here .The field gained slightly on Edwards and Obama from April. Also, you can view the raw data for the poll here. The password is emdy1bxf.
| Candidate | 1st Choice | 2nd Choice | 3rd Choice | 4th Choice | Last Choice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwards | 41.2% | 24.0% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Obama | 31.2% | 24.8% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Richardson | 10.1% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 16.2% | 1.4% |
| Clinton | 4.7% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 9.8% |
| Dodd | 1.9% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 1.1% |
| Biden | 0.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% |
| Gravel | 1.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 13.1% |
| Kucinich | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 16.8% |
| Other | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | -- |
| Unsure | 1.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 11.9% | 45.1% |
Note that the candidates are not ranked according to their first place votes. Instead, they are ranked according to the depth of their support across the entire ballot. The deeper one goes into the ballots, it becomes much clearer, for example, that Chris Dodd is thought of much better than Biden, Gravel and Kucinich. Also, the last place votes have been changed, in that every ballot that did not rank the eight candidates is now considered to be an "unsure" vote for last place. Overall, this change and the new information presented gives us a much clearer picture of the depth of support each candidate has on MyDD. Here is a sort of "acceptability" ranking, where the last place votes for every candidate are subtracted from their combined first, second, third and fourth place votes:
Edwards: 84.0%
Obama: 78.3%
Richardson: 64.6%
Clinton: 34.1%
Dodd: 28.1%
Other: 24.3%
Biden: 10.2%
Gravel: 2.3%
Kucinich: -2.9%
Note the gaps between Obama and Richardson, Richardson and Clinton, and Other and Biden. It suggests a four-tiers of candidate support on MyDD: the first tier includes Edwards and Obama; the second tier is Richardson; the third tier is Clinton, Dodd and "Other"; the fourth tier is Biden, Gravel and Kucinich. It is particularly interesting how Richardson is widely viewed as an acceptable candidate, but has relatively few commenters and diarists directly promoting him.
Anyway, as always, I did my best to remove stuffed results. You can see past MyDD straw poll results here .The field gained slightly on Edwards and Obama from April. Also, you can view the raw data for the poll here. The password is emdy1bxf.
Tags: President 2008, Straw polls (all tags)
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