A Little More Clarity From Gore
by Chris Bowers, Wed May 16, 2007 at 07:02:46 PM EDT
This comment by gore is generally keeping with what I have heard:
I've heard varying rumors on what could cause Gore to run. The most interesting one I heard was that he would only run if, later in the year, it looked like no one else had any chance to defeat Clinton. I've also heard that the door might have opened a little wider in the last month or so, corresponding perhaps to Obama's slight fade at the end of March. I have no word on whether that changed during the final two weeks of April,
My basic feeling is that Gore won't run unless both Clinton and Obama noticeably stumble, and he could thus enter the campaign in first place. It would also have to happen in the next three or four months, at the most, for there to be any chance he runs. I just can't see him announcing more than a week or two after Labor Day, or if he wouldn't start with both a national poll lead as well as a lead in either Iowa or New Hampshire. Wait to see where the campaign stands in about two months, after the July concerts and Q2 fundraising numbers are released. If there is an opening for him at that point, his odds of running might increase from about 0.1-0.2% to more like 5%.
But, no matter what happens, Gore's entry seems extremely, extremely unlikely.
When I asked Gore why he hasn't dismissed all the speculation by issuing a Shermanesque refusal to stand, as he did in 2002, Gore said, "Having spent 30 years as part of the political dialogue, I don't know why a 600-day campaign is taken as a given, and why people who aren't in it 600 days out for the convenience of whatever brokers want to close the door and narrow the field and say, `This is it, now let's place your bets' -- If they want to do that, fine. I don't have to play that game."(...)Gore clearly has not entirely ruled out running for President again, including a potential 2008 run. At the same time, he has repeatedly made it clear that it is extremely unlikely that he would run in 2008.
"I'm not issuing a Shermanesque statement because that's not where I am. I'm not ruling it out for all time. Although I cannot presently foresee any circumstances, such circumstances could emerge."(...)
"It's [2008] extremely unlikely, but not impossible.
I've heard varying rumors on what could cause Gore to run. The most interesting one I heard was that he would only run if, later in the year, it looked like no one else had any chance to defeat Clinton. I've also heard that the door might have opened a little wider in the last month or so, corresponding perhaps to Obama's slight fade at the end of March. I have no word on whether that changed during the final two weeks of April,
My basic feeling is that Gore won't run unless both Clinton and Obama noticeably stumble, and he could thus enter the campaign in first place. It would also have to happen in the next three or four months, at the most, for there to be any chance he runs. I just can't see him announcing more than a week or two after Labor Day, or if he wouldn't start with both a national poll lead as well as a lead in either Iowa or New Hampshire. Wait to see where the campaign stands in about two months, after the July concerts and Q2 fundraising numbers are released. If there is an opening for him at that point, his odds of running might increase from about 0.1-0.2% to more like 5%.
But, no matter what happens, Gore's entry seems extremely, extremely unlikely.
Tags: Al Gore, President 2008 (all tags)
-----------
myDD - skin
-----------
57 Comments