The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

The Presidential contest has me in despair.  As far as I can tell, all of our candidates except for Richardson and Dodd see no problem in keeping troops in Iraq.  I hope Bill Richardson keeps talking up his plan.  It appears that the Edwards plan for Iraq is very similar to the Obama plan; both assert that troops should remain in Iraq for humanitarian purposes.  Obama's is apparently written by Samantha Power, the author of the excellent book, 'A Problem from Hell'.  I suppose it's kind of annoying to have the author of this book summarize an upcoming key foreign policy address that she helped prepare like this.

"We're going to hear something very unusual on the left, which is a genuine pride in what America can be again," she told me. "It's a bigger story about failing states. It's not a regional story. It's more freedom from fear and freedom from war."

Power is owned by the reflexive notion that the left has no pride in America, which makes sense considering that she came from the world of journalism rather than advocacy.  Journalists like to think of themselves as liberals who are above politics, a current especially strong in the foreign policy set.  Oh I wish the younger foreign policy people, the ones who don't insult the activist left on a consistent basis, will take over soon.  Anyway that kind of chatter is irritating but not significant.  The details, though, are.  And coincidentally, this newer prouder foreign policy has American troops as a continuing presence in Iraq.  

A plan put forth by Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) has come under neoconservative fire for setting a target departure date, but it provides for flexibility to suspend the U.S. drawdown if Iraqis meet the key economic, political and security benchmarks they have committed to achieve this year. The plan would also retain some U.S. forces in Iraq and the region to help deter atrocities by sectarian militias and aggression from Iraq's neighbors...

If Iraqis tell us that they would feel safer in religiously homogenous neighborhoods, and we lack the means to protect them where they are, we should support and protect them in their voluntary, peaceful evacuation -- a means, one might say, to preempt genocide in advance of our departure.

I'm doubtful this is a wise course of action, as I suspect that the US military is going to have difficulty helping millions of Iraqis move around the country when they themselves are a prime irritant and cause of the violence.  Regardless of your sense of how smart this plan is, though, it is important to recognize that residual American forces will remain in Iraq under a President Obama.  This is something to consider.

UPDATE: I see McJoan got here first.

Tags: Barack Obama, Iraq, Samantha Power (all tags)

Comments

84 Comments

Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

WHat do you think of the Murtha plan to keep an "over the Horizon" force, i.e., troops nearby that, if I understand him correctly, would be empowered to swoop in and perform military operations if they sense an Al Qaeda threat?

by pontificator 2007-04-13 06:59PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

That makes sense to me.  It's an extremely sucky situation, but we basically need to prevent a war between Saudi Arabia and Iran over Iraq, which would put the top three oil producers in unstable positions.  That could be very very bad, like $15/gallon gas bad.  That means getting our troops to the periphery where they can be credibly used as a threat, and convening an international conference to align interests.  Right now we are just bogged down and weak.

Ironically our troops will probably be a lot more useful to Iraqis outside the country as a threat than inside the country stirring up violence.

by Matt Stoller 2007-04-13 07:06PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

I would sure feel better if US troops were there under UN jurisdiction instead of on our own. As the comment about empire points out even self-proclaimed anti-war leaders (Obama) think the US should be drawing other country's borders and moving their populations.

Self-determination is best, then international agreement. Unilateral imposition and domination are almost guaranteed to produce resistance and war.

by RandomNonviolence 2007-04-13 07:22PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

"we basically need to prevent a war between Saudi Arabia and Iran over Iraq"

I think this is the issue many are trying to figure out doesn't happen as part of the withdrawal.  I want our troops out quickly but I also know we must have some stability in the region until we can establish energy independence.  Your idea may be the way to go but this is just a huge mess with no particularly good solutions.

by John Mills 2007-04-13 08:09PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

What you have written in this comment - to me - is great policy.  It makes a lot of sense.  I hope someone running for president could both adopt that stance AND articulate it as well as you just did.  But I'm not holding my breath.

by jgarcia 2007-04-13 08:18PM | 0 recs
Empire

We really have gone way too far down the path of empire.  Drawing borders, moving populations, it's unbelievable.  

by John DE 2007-04-13 07:09PM | 0 recs
Re: Empire

No, no, this is the prouder left-wing empire, so it's cool.

by Matt Stoller 2007-04-13 07:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Empire

there is a serious strain of thought in parts of the left that believe in order to be credible, we must have a positive vision for the military.  it was this notion that lead us to bosnia/kosovo.  i fear they may be correct.

knowing that obama has power as an advisor makes his positioning on darfur come into light.

by colorless green ideas 2007-04-13 08:11PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Of course, Richardson's formulation does not rule out dispatching forces on an agreed to mission to protect humanitarian workers ... and today's coverage on the front page "clarified" that the formulation said what it sounded like it meant, but avoided addressing whether questions had been raised regarding after the occupation has been stopped.

And of course, Edwards explicit refusal to rule out forces on a mission to protect humanitarian workers does not imply that there will be such a mission, let alone imply that it will commence before the withdrawal is complete.

... so while I am unimpressed with whar I read of Samantha Power's approach, when I see that the linchpin of the piece is

Obama's is apparently written by Samantha Power

it seems only prudent to take that with a grain of salt.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-13 07:22PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

is the edwards campaign paying you to be here to try to create ambiguity where there is none?

by colorless green ideas 2007-04-13 08:13PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

No. I am not "trying to create ambiguity". And, no, the Edwards campaign does not pay me in any capacity (though I'd be happy of the work if they were hiring, I doubt there is an ambiguity generator title in their organizational chart).

However, I see nothing wrong with being careful as opposed to careless about what the statements actually say, no matter how much fun it may be to throttle every remark and try to force them confess a detailed and "unambiguous" account of what will be done under any future combination of circumstances.

I see this statement, linked to above with the heading the Obama plan, but it is, instead, Edwards response to an enquiry from a front pager:

When we say complete withdrawal we mean it. No more war. No combat troops in the country. Period.

And I see these three statements protrayed as making that into (according to the title of the piece) a "big lie":

Firstly

If John Edwards is president, we're not going to leave the American Embassy in Iraq as the only undefended embassy in the world, for example. There will be Marine guards there, just like there are at our embassies in London, Riyadh, and Tokyo.

Secondly
And just the same, if American civilians are providing humanitarian relief to the Iraqi people, we're going to protect them. How in good conscience could we refuse to protect them and then allow humanitarian workers to be at risk for their lives or the work not to happen at all?

Thirdly,
Finally, it's also Senator Edwards' position that we will have troops in the region to prevent the sectarian violence in Iraq from spilling over into other countries, for counter-terrorism, or to prevent a genocide.

Matt has walked back from considering the first and the third points to be any form of contradiction to complete withdrawal of our occupying forces. Indeed, the first and third points are explicitly part of Richardson's policy, so he could not very well continue to critique them in Edwards remarks and at the same time praise Richardson's plan as the gold standard.

Now, Edwards has been on the record since 2006 arguing that there will be no political settlement until all parties are clear that US forces are going, and the best way to make it clear that US forces are going is to start going.

So he has called for an immediate drawdown, followed by a regional conference of the parties to the conflict in Iraq and Iraq's neighbors, including Syria and Iran, and then, after getting the best outcome that we can, we remove the balance of the occupying force. He was saying this when we were all awaiting the results of the Iraq Study Group, before the McCain Surge Doctrine was first adopted by the Bush regime.

Above, in the famous point two from which a number of people have extrapolated a plan to continue the occupation indefinitely under the pretext of protection of a humanitarian effort, it says that if American civilians are providing humanitarian relief, we are going to protect them.

That there shall be American civilians providing humanitarian relief -- unambiguously that is not what it says. That has been read in.

And at the same time, that the Richardson formulation, as originally stated or as elaborated on the front page today (well, "today" for left coasters) rules out US forces protecting some future humanitarian mission, that is also read in.

In reality, each statement puts unambiguous constraints in place. Edwards statement puts constraints on a humanitarian mission ... he is not going to be sending Americans in on a humanitarian mission if they cannot be protected. Richardson's statement puts a constraint on timing ... any force protecting a humanitarian mission would have to be after withdrawal is complete and after the peace conference, whichever comes last.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-13 09:02PM | 0 recs
if there are humanitarian missions?

he's the president, why the if? what good are the humanitarian missions doing, other than creating more targets?

at least with obama, he's saying he wants there to be a humanitarian detail, including troops, edwards is just saying "if they are there then there will be troops". why leave it open ended and vague? this is his policy, for when he is president--there need be no if.

and yeah, matt was being silly with the no marines at the embassy thing, i'm with you there.

by colorless green ideas 2007-04-13 11:37PM | 0 recs
Re: if there are humanitarian missions?

he's the president, why the if?

Because he's the President of the United States, as opposed to the King of the World.

Did you miss the part about peace negotiations? Or is there some part of the definition of "negotiate" that you missed? The preference for trying to impose an absolutist view of the correct outcome, with as little tolerance as practicable for the demands of diplomacy and multilateral action ... that would be the current administration.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-13 11:55PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Very reasoned post. I don't see Edwards or any democratic president having US humitarian workers in Iraq unless they have a certain level of safety.

And this goes for NGOs as well. NGOs are always the last to pull out of a country, and when things get really really bad they do too. If groups like Oxfam international, Red Cross, Doctors without Borders etc dont feel safe enough to operate in Iraq, we wont be having anyone like USAid in there either.

But if we do have USAid in, its reasonable to expect some sort of protection. I just don't see this somehow equates to the 10,000 troops that Matt is talking about. A few hundred at most would be more likely and only if Iraq is stable enough after we pull out to actually be able to deliever aid.

by okamichan13 2007-04-14 06:19AM | 0 recs
Persnal attacks even

by "sneaky" questions are way uncool.   You did not like his comment, so you accused him of being employed by a campaign.  Yet you have no evidence.

Why not debate the merits?

by littafi 2007-04-13 09:04PM | 0 recs
no i asked him a question. big difference

he has been everywhere harping on the same theme. i figured either he is is employed by the campaign, retired, or unemployed, and i wasn't interested in the latter two possibilities.

by colorless green ideas 2007-04-13 11:39PM | 0 recs
Re: no i asked him a question. big difference

If you reckon I have been "everywhere harping on the same theme", your horizon is very narrow. You definitely seem to be missing Energize America tagged diaries on dKos.

Perhaps you should consider possibility four, that my wife is living and working overseas, so that I don't really have a life other than work at the moment, and that I type fast.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-14 12:03AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

why don't you wait and see what he says come Tuesday or are you going to assume before the finished and actual speech, like usual

by vwcat 2007-04-13 07:22PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

My thoughts as well.  

by John Mills 2007-04-13 08:12PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

But underinformed speculation is so much more fun!

Seriously, if Samantha Power advised Obama, she certainly would not be the only person who did, and the substantial issue is not what advice he was offered, but what advice he has taken.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-14 12:12AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

this is a cat and mouse game.

by heyAnita 2007-04-14 02:38AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

I always say if your belief system is so weak you can't listen to someone's advice and ignore it if you don't agree, you shouldn't be in politics or an elected official.  

Despite the fact that some people don't like Obama's advisors/friends, I haven't seen evidence his positions are shifting as a result of this input and that' what is important.

by John Mills 2007-04-14 07:57AM | 0 recs
I think the more salient point...

is that ANY Democrat will be forced to leave substantial residual forces in Iraq. Richardson and Dodd are pandering on the assumption that their facile prescriptions will translate into Mindless Foaming Angry Nutroots Left Wing Fringe Moonbat votes and internet money. Like the rest of the Beltway consultant class, they believe that enough bloody shirts waved means millions of dollars in netroots money. The hell with them.

The real issue at hand is, whom do you trust to expedite this regrettably necessary course with the most efficiency, honesty, and integrity?

by jforshaw 2007-04-13 07:24PM | 0 recs
Forced by what, the threat of subsiding ...

... violence if Americans are not present to act as lightning rods? The situation on the ground can't "force" residual US forces to remain inside Iraq. That is and will continue to be a US political decision to postpone the day of reckoning for the damage that has already been done, with the toll continuing to mount every additional day we remain.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-14 12:18AM | 0 recs
I don't see any problems with residual troops

in Iraq, because we did create a bit of a mess there and if we had some troops in a relatively safe, isolated location, for non-permanenet peacekeeping, I don't see the problem with that.

What we may overlook is that there are already large gatherings of US military in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, and those aren't going away anytime soon. Those bases are going to be there regardless...but it may make sense to have a 'quick-reaction' force in Iraq, so long as they are not under constant attack, and are staying out of the fray.

I don't WANT that...I'd rather our troops were completely out of harm's way, but the Iraq War veteran in me tells me that its probably necessary for the short-term.

by mihan 2007-04-13 07:39PM | 0 recs
Re: I don't see any problems with residual troops

I don't know about that. I think there is great merit in a 100% withdrawal of US troops -  if you work under the assumption that US troops are still, in part, fueling the civil war. I fear that if we pull out, only to go back in to solve a crisis or nap a terrorist, it will just amplify the conflict every time we do so. This, of course, is just a theory.

And for the record (don't mean to nit pick) the US withdrew most of its forces from Saudi Arabia following 9/11.

by LandStander 2007-04-13 08:04PM | 0 recs
Re: I don't see any problems with residual troops

Following our invasion of Iraq.  We didn't think we'd need Prince Sultan.  We were building a bunch of new bases in Iraq.

by jallen 2007-04-13 08:19PM | 0 recs
Re: I don't see any problems with residual troops

And for the record (don't mean to nit pick) the US withdrew most of its forces from Saudi Arabia following 9/11.

Its not even close what it used to be back in the day, this is true. However, (also not meaning to nitpick) when I was there in 2003 it was still a major refueling station and a forward station for our regional calibration laboratory. They had just built the barracks so that people weren't living in freaking tents anymore. A far cry from the days of camel spiders and scorpions. Or so I've been told. So its not a major air base anymore, with only a few hundred personnel(the majority having shipped off to US Central Command in Doha, Qatar). You're right though, I should have mentioned we have a much greater presence in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Oman and the UAE.

Otherwise, I'd agree that I wouldn't want our troops to be involved helping to fuel a civil war, amplifying the conflict...I think that should go without saying. That would be thoroughly unacceptable. IF it could be done, however, in a manner that avoids this scenario, then I'd be for a residual force. If not, then, no way in hell.

by mihan 2007-04-13 08:20PM | 0 recs
Re: I don't see any problems with residual troops

I don't see any problems with residual troops in Iraq, because we did create a bit of a mess there and if we had some troops in a relatively safe, isolated location, for non-permanenet peacekeeping, I don't see the problem with that.

How do we have troops that are (1) in a relatively safe, isolated location, who are also (2) engaged in an effective peace-keeping mission that (3) does not involve any interaction with the Iraqis?

Because any effective peace-keeping will involve interaction with the Iraqis, and at this point, with the US forces widely seen as an occupying foreign power, any sustained interaction with the Iraqis will have the opposite effect to peace keeping.

Because we have so thoroughly messed things up in Iraq, if there is a peace-keeping mission, the one nation that will not be making any useful contribution by providing combat troops is the United States.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-13 09:14PM | 0 recs
Nitpicky

How do we have troops that are (1) in a relatively safe, isolated location, who are also (2) engaged in an effective peace-keeping mission that (3) does not involve any interaction with the Iraqis?

Well that's the rub, isn't it? That's why my support for that kind of plan is conditional. Maybe you don't think it can happen, but if it can, I say we should do that. I never said it wouldn't involve any interaction with Iraqis at all...it would have to. But it wouldn't be the kind of situation where the average Iraqi would see American forces anymore...those occasions would hopefully be as rare as could be.

There are relatively safe, isolated locations such as up in the Kurdish northern area where we already have a makeshift airbase. That doesn't mean it would always be that way, but I'm sure it would help the situation on the ground if the troops we DID have in Iraq weren't part of the Iraqi people's everyday lives.

By peacekeeping I do not mean patrolling the streets of the cities, such as the way a UN peacekeeping force would. I mean that if a group of militants attacks somewhere with some force, we'd have a quick-strike force ready to take it on , if the Iraqi army can't do it.

I think you're making too much effort to analyze the semantics of what I'm saying. I want our troops out, but if there is a way we can still help, we should do that.

by mihan 2007-04-14 05:46AM | 0 recs
Re: Nitpicky

But even out of sight is not out of mind. Once the people of a country have identified a foreign power as an occupying force, any presence of the occupying power on their soil is politically provocative.

The US may be able to provide logistical support for a peace keeping mission, but they cannot do the peace keeping itself.

And the peace keeping does involve day to day contact with ordinary Iraqis, because its in Baghdad and a couple of other cities where the current ethnic death squad activity is the most active.

I'm sorry if you think this is nitpicky, but I have followed a couple of peacekeeping missions in Africa rather closely, some more successful, some less, and what you sketched out seems doomed to be ineffective at the same time that it undermines a political solution.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-14 03:06PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq
I find it ironic that Obama is getting slapped when he saw this was a stupid war to begin with but, as a thoughtful and intellectual man, can see it will be difficult to get out.  He did not approve of the war.  But, this is what is left to people like him to figure the best way to get out.  And though he is praised for his vision when it he told what would happen, now he is trashed because he can see that the options are awful there but, it is not what people want to hear.  They want to hear the fantasy rather than the reality that Iraq is a total mess but, we do hold responsiblity for making it that way.  We have to clean up Bush's mess.
Then, Edwards is praised though he went along to get along rather than try to find out more information about what was being fed to him.  And so he voted for war and ultimate power to Bush.  He is not held to any responsibility for this mess that people like Obama are getting vilified for because they have to clean the damn thing up and the mess Edwards voted yes to.  
You don't like the situation or the fact that the answers are not what you want to hear, then you should at least hold some of this to Edwards rather than dump it all on Obama who is the clean up guy.
by vwcat 2007-04-13 07:42PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Not entirely fair - Obama was never given the chance to vote for or against authorization. Are we just supposed to assume, on good faith, that if he was in Edwards of HRC's position he would have taken the high road?

I'd like to think so, but we can't just give him credit for avoiding a mistake that he was never in a position to make.

by LandStander 2007-04-13 08:06PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Obama was an elected official seriously thinking about running for the Senate.  He spoke out as a sitting State Senator at an anti-war rally.  That was not a popular position in the fall of 2002.

Obama is squarely on record opposing the war from the beginning so it does not really matter whether or not he had a vote.  Howard Dean and Al Gore didn't have votes in 2002 either - that didn't make their opposition at the time any less legitimate.

by John Mills 2007-04-13 08:23PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Wow. Amazing - Obama lays out the uncertainties about as accurately as anyone could have at the time, and the burden of proof is still on him?

Meanwhile, Clinton and especially Edwards gave Churchillian speeches in favor of the war. Yeah, they wove in a couple of caveats, in the classic DC dance. That's exactly why they both fell so far from grace - because the DC Democratic establishment thought it could carve a couple of opt-out clauses and then sell "We were duped" to a gullible base.

I am amazed that there is any question of "burden of proof." Nobody knows what Obama would have actually done, but any honest aggregation of evidence would indicate Obama much more likely would have voted with Feingold than Clinton, Kerry, et al.

And, of course, we all know what Edwards "would have" done.

by jforshaw 2007-04-13 09:08PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

edit-Edwards came back from his fall in grace, somehow. Mostly because Obama isn't such a desperate panderer, and a lot of netroots have shifted to Edwards because the netroots, like anybody else, want to believe people who tell them what they want to hear.

by jforshaw 2007-04-13 09:20PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

you fail to remember that at the time the vote was being taken, he opposed the war.

by howieinseattle 2007-04-14 12:00AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Yes it's a mess, yes we hold responsibility for making it that way, and I don't know what fantasy you're referring to.  But why does saying it's a mess mean that it will be difficult to get out?  Our presence there continues to make it a mess, and Obama's (or anyone's) plan to leave troops there won't clean it up.

by Aunt Martha 2007-04-13 08:15PM | 0 recs
the flip side

is that as we take most of our troops out, it's not clear to me that we will have an Iraqi govt that wants us around.  Al-Sadr sure doesn't.  So it's very possible that removing most combat troops will lead to everyone gone anyway.  Not exactly a progressive vision, but it may be what happens.  

by John DE 2007-04-13 07:45PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

remember that power advocated going into iraq in 1998.

it is very interesting to hear that she is an advisor to obama, i konw she's been quite influential to people like george soros in creating an intellectual basis for a 'positive military'.

fwiw, i like richardson on iraq.

by colorless green ideas 2007-04-13 08:08PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

I can't support Richardson unless his values on other issues change.  All the people I could support want to get the troops out, they just differ on the hows, making Iraq important but not my biggest issue.  So I look at stances on other issues, and Richardsons views on Trade and tax cuts for the upper class don't really gel with my beliefs.  I'll support him if he wins, but to me is only slightly better than HRC.

by yitbos96bb 2007-04-13 09:49PM | 0 recs
Edwards plan and Obama's plan

are very different. the troop remainder argument may be valid but otherwise the plans are very very different. I think Obama and Edwards supporters would agree on that.

Maybe some rephrasing?

by okamichan13 2007-04-13 08:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards plan and Obama's plan

Maybe I'm oversimplfying it, but both want to get the troops out.  

Obama's plan, If memory serves, follows many of the recommendations of the iraq committee, which supported the deadline extentions if the Iraqis met certain goals.  I know this isn't your favorite Plan Matt, but it did have some support before Bush told the committee to go Fuck off.

by yitbos96bb 2007-04-13 09:47PM | 0 recs
How Much Is Edwards Paying You

They wouldn't be there under President Obama.

They would have been their under President Edwards.

So sorry you sold your brain for money.

Mr. EDWARDS. Mr. President, I am here to speak in support of the resolution before us, which I cosponsored. I believe we must vote for this resolution not because we want war, but because the national security of our country requires action. The prospect of using force to protect our security is the most difficult decision a Nation must ever make.

We all agree that this is not an easy decision. It carries many risks. If force proves necessary, it will also carry costs, certainly in resources, and perhaps in lives. After careful consideration, I believe that the risks of inaction are far greater than the risks of action.

Saddam Hussein's regime represents a grave threat to America and our allies, including our vital ally, Israel. For more than two decades, Saddam Hussein has sought weapons of mass destruction through every available means. We know that he has chemical and biological weapons. He has already used them against his neighbors and his own people, and is trying to build more. We know that he is doing everything he can to build nuclear weapons, and we know that each day he gets closer to achieving that goal.

Edwards in his own words 9/12/2002

Mr. EDWARDS. Mr. President, as a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, I firmly believe that the issue of Iraq is not about politics. It's about national security. We know that for at least 20 years, Saddam Hussein has aggressively and obsessively sought weapons of mass destruction through every means available. We know that he has chemical and biological weapons today. He has used them in the past, and he is doing everything he can to build more. Each day he inches closer to his longtime goal of nuclear capability--a capability that could be less than a year away.
I believe that Saddam Hussein's Iraqi regime represents a clear threat to the United States, to our allies, to our interests around the world, and to the values of freedom and democracy we hold dear.

Saddam has proven his willingness to act irrationally and brutally against his neighbors and against his own people. Iraqi's destructive capacity has the potential to throw the entire Middle East into chaos, and poses a mortal threat to our vital ally, Israel.

What's more, the terrorist threat against America is all too clear. Thousands of terrorist operatives around the world would pay anything to get their hands on Saddam's arsenal, and there is every possibility that he could turn his weapons over to these terrorists. No one can doubt that if the terrorists of September 11 had had weapons of mass destruction, they would have used them. On September 12, 2002, we can hardly ignore the terrorist threat, and the serious danger that Saddam would allow his arsenal to be used in aid of terror.

by rapallos 2007-04-13 08:10PM | 0 recs
Residual Troops in Iraq

I agree with the comment above that we need to deal with the Iraq situation in a UN context.  The next President needs to go before the UN Assembly and say, "Hey, we screwed up big-time, but America has done some great stuff for the world in the past, and we hope that you will forgive us for Dubya's stupidity and please join with us and help create the best possible outcome in Iraq."

A little humility would go a long way.

by global yokel 2007-04-13 08:16PM | 0 recs
Re: Residual Troops in Iraq

Agreed but I think it is doubtful the UN is going to bail us out.   A regional solution is probably going to be needed.  

Bill Richardson would probably be best equipped to deal with this mess since he clearly has the strongest foreign policy background of any candidate running.  I am trying to determine how strong a candidate he is.

by John Mills 2007-04-13 08:34PM | 0 recs
Mcjoan beat you to it and you beat me

Samantha Powers words about the left infuriated me so much, it's such a Lieberman kind of way of talking about the Democrtic party, progressives and THE LEFT, that I was going to post about it.

This is so typical of Barack Obama and the people HE HAS CHOSEN TO SURROUND HIMSELF WITH.

Matt, you may think the substance of his views is more important, but in this case I know that HOW HE TALKS ABOUT IT TELLS YOU HOW HE THINKS,  NOT JUST ABOUT THIS ISSUE BUT HOW HE WOULD DEAL WITH OTHER FOREIGN AND DOMESTIC POLICIES IF HE WAS PRESIDENT.AND WE WHO CARE SHOULD WORRY if he keeps having Samantha Power and her ilk speak for him because, you know, maybe by now we should realize it's him as well.

I think these kinds of words from him and his surrogates are a window into his political soul.  And I will defend myself by saying I knew who  Joe Lieberman really was long before the blogs knew what kind of Democrat he was.  When I sat next to him on a plane for 5 hours in the early 90's, I thought he was a faithless Dem and I said so repeatedly in Dkos comments when people trashed Kerry and I was constantly bringing up  "you don't know what an unprincipled Democrat is until you look at Joe"

John Edwards,  not now or ever,  even as a more moderate Southern Democrat, has spoken with such unthinking disdain for the left and the Democratic party.  I admire him for that.  It frankly makes me trust his instincts, his judgments and what he will do in the future.  

And I know too few of you will give her credit for it.... but Hillary Clinton doesn't talk about the Democratic party, progressives and even the left with such casually assumed, unthinking disdain for Democratic party, its  principles or of those of us on the left.  I too think this tells you something about how she thinks about principles we care about and how she would govern, what her values are.

In this case I think it's the style, the meta, that tells us more than anything substative.  These kinds of words are prognosticators for the future. We should pay heed.  

by debcoop 2007-04-13 08:19PM | 0 recs
Maybe she's just a little insecure

quote--

"We're going to hear something very unusual on the left, which is a genuine pride in what America can be again," she told me. "It's a bigger story about failing states. It's not a regional story. It's more freedom from fear and freedom from war."

"A genuine pride in what America can be again."

Maybe I missed it, but did the left have pride in what GWB's America could have been?

To me, she's saying that "Not in our name!" has given way to grassroots activism, ie electing a new president. How is she wrong, and how is that a remark of disdain?

I don't know anything of Ms. Power, maybe she is a Lieberclone for all I know. But on the face of it I don't see any winger memes there whatsoever. I think mcjoan jumped the gun.

by jforshaw 2007-04-13 09:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Maybe she's just a little insecure

The right wing meme is that the left, now and in the past, has had no pride in America.  McCarthy accused the left of that, the Nixonian right accused the left of the 60's of having no pride in America ( we did indeed feel that the Republican administration of Nixon betrayed the principles of America) and now Bush, Cheney and their right wing echo chamber constantly assail the left for their supposed lack of patriotism.  They conflate the left's contempt for their  adminstration and the Republican party as lack of pride in America.

Please note that she did not say the left has no pride in this administration, she said the left has no pride in America.   That is a calumny and Joe Lieberman would, indeed, say just such a thing...maybe a little more fluently like " some on the left..."

by debcoop 2007-04-13 09:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Mcjoan beat you to it and you beat me

That comment really upsets me.  I know she's just an "informal advisor," but how stupid do you have to be to take that kind of shot at liberals when you're trying to help someone win the DEMOCRATIC primary?

The kind of offhanded way some people on our own team throw around the dirty fucking hippie rhetoric is absolutely infuriating.  I really hope Obama clears that up or repudiates it or does something about it because right now I am holding it against him.

by Steve M 2007-04-13 09:21PM | 0 recs
Well - about Hillary

there was here comment about "some" in the democratic party being weak on terror, the "some" seeming to refer to other democratic candidates.

So can't agree with you on her

by okamichan13 2007-04-14 06:30AM | 0 recs
Catastropic Failure of Judgment

I have been a huge fan of Samantha Power, as my girlfriend works on Anti-genocide issues and Power is a rockstar in the field. However, while personally am willing to cut people slack ...I am taking a post about cutting slack from this site to heart.

Power's plan is a recipe for disaster, unending entanglement, and exacerbating genocide. All she needed to do was look at her OWN research. The 1947 Hindu-Muslim genocides were so bad because of the relocations. Identification is a key step towards mass genocide. When people start moving en masse, that is when they have revealed who they are and are most vulnerable. Our troops would be trapped in the same conditions that led towards the worst excesses of the Khmer Rouge and the horrors in Gujarat.

Second, while I do not believe Power was ill-intentioned in her comment, it showed she is extremely out-of-touch with the future of the democratic party, proud progressives and netroots activists.

by Ascendency 2007-04-13 08:33PM | 0 recs
My Challenge To Matt

OK. You want to support the Edwards plan, whatever it is this week, check the polls.

So all the netgoons made fun of McCain for going to Iraq to show the surge was working. Actually, he showed us the opposite, but regardless.

You want to call Edwards anti-war.  You do know he put us here, I hope.  Edwards didn't just vote yes, he was a cheerleader.

You have seen what Obama said before the war, he wasn't just anti-war, everything he said has happened.

So here is my challenge.  You think leaving now is the answer.  Disclaimer, a lot of me does as well.

So show us how much you believe.  When we pull out all the troops.  Go there and walk down the street.   Feel Lucky?

Edwards put us here.  Obama wants to figure out the best way out.  Agree or disagree, you don't know what will happen.

If you think it will be nirvana.  Go there.

There well may be humongous slaughter. Because it is not Americans, I should not care.

Well, I do.  And I trust Obama a billion more times then Edwards.

Of course I have a track record. You don't.  Your hero put us there.

When are you leaving to Bagdad.

by rapallos 2007-04-13 08:48PM | 0 recs
Re: My Challenge To Matt

you said it better than me!

by nevadadem 2007-04-13 09:01PM | 0 recs
Re: My Challenge To Matt

No he didn't. Not unless you didn't use paragraphs either.

by js noble 2007-04-14 08:43AM | 0 recs
Did you bother to read the post?

Matt is praising Richardson's plan, lumping Obama and Edward's plan together, and condemning them both by association with Power's remarks.

So when you say

OK. You want to support the Edwards plan, whatever it is this week, check the polls.
... not only is it silly based on the fact that Edwards has had the same plan since last year, which elaborated the position he set out in late 2005, but trying to label Matt as a slavish supporter of Edward's approach when he is in the middle of attacking Edward's plan as he reads it ... that is a real clunker.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-13 09:23PM | 0 recs
This is the part I have most trouble with

saying Obama and Edwards have the same plan on residual troops, then basically implying from that iffy statement that their plan is the same and that the Edwards plan is basicaly the same as Powers' plan for Obama.

Its an incredible leap and a bit unfair.

by okamichan13 2007-04-14 06:39AM | 0 recs
Re: This is the part I have most trouble with

Hopefully Obama's policy will be clearer after Tuesday. On the other hand, if they read Obama's speech no more carefully than they read Edwards answer to their question, the aftermath may well see as much smoke as light.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-14 02:37PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

The Edwards plan: Say what ever satisfies every last whim by liberal bloggers on Iraq because I don't have to vote in the senate anymore. That way those bloggers will bash my opponenets even though when I was put to the test I voted for war and co-sponsered it even though I knew better because it was popular at the time and Bob Shrum told me so. If I win the nomination I will backtack on the "I wont leave any troops in Iraq under any circumstances because it will be political death to say their are no circumstances where any residual troops would remain to fight some legitimate terror fighting goal, then the democratic party will have to exept reality which is I will try and get the troops out ASAP logistically which is what all the dem candidates for the nomination said earlier.

by nevadadem 2007-04-13 09:00PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

The Edwards plan: Say what ever satisfies every last whim by liberal bloggers on Iraq because I don't have to vote in the senate anymore.

... that's an odd rendering, given that he would have made the bloggers much happier if he ruled out American participation in humanitarian projects after the withdrawal of the occupation forces.

Not categorically ruling out humanitarian missions is, after all, what has Matt up in arms.

by BruceMcF 2007-04-14 02:42PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

As far as I can tell, all of our candidates except for Richardson and Dodd see no problem in keeping troops in Iraq.

You need to look a bit farther. Kucinich not only voted against the war, in the first place, but has called for withdrawal consistently.

by ravi 2007-04-13 09:13PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

And why should anybody take Kucinich seriously?

Richardson has a tiny window of opportunity in the race, sure, but that only makes his pandering all the more obvious, imho.

by jforshaw 2007-04-13 09:26PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq


And why should anybody take Kucinich seriously?

Perhaps a trick question, but I will respond anyway. Because he represents progressive principles and goals better than the other candidates. Because he is the most honest and reliable of the lot (based on his record).

The question really is why are we not taking him seriously? The answer it seems is that we are afraid of what our own principles compel us to do.

Even pragmatically speaking, you can take Kucinich seriously without having to commit yourself solely to his victory in the primaries or the eventual election.

by ravi 2007-04-19 02:24PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Matt,

I'm not sure why this is being made a big deal of NOW.  It sounds like some of the bloggers seem that they are pushing some big scoop.  This has been part of Obama's bill since the beginning and has been discussed in the MyDD comments in various diaries numerous times.  All of a sudden I see Taylor making this out to be some new scoop that she had never seen before, and you seem to be doing the same.  Did you miss this in you initial reading of his Iraq proposal?  

by yitbos96bb 2007-04-13 09:43PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

It seems like it's a bit of coordinated attack by some members ot the liberal blogosphere, find every possable thing wrong on Obama and pounce, while Edwards "contoversies" are ignored or papered over.

by nevadadem 2007-04-13 09:50PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

I'm cold, but I don't care. If they fall into complete civil war, so be it. I want our troops home.

by rikyrah 2007-04-13 10:13PM | 0 recs
Hang in there, Matt!

Us young types on the political left are foreign policy, and not given to the sound bites like the one Samantha Power issued.  That said, I want to see her whole background, before I toss her off as journalistic offal. If the comment is that telling though, I can promise you:  she's got one hell of a lot to learn about us Americans on the left.  This is one member of the American left who damn near bursts with pride when he thinks of his grandfather, who stopped accepting steelworker deferments so he could fight fascism in the Pacific Theater.  Anybody who thinks the Reagan crowd has the market cornered on patriotism has their head up their ass.  

And many of us young Dems, I promise you, are Clarkies.  Otherwise, the closest that comes to him is probably Bill Richardson.

However, before we dissect Obama's plan, can we please enumerate what benchmarks his plan will consist of?  Why not have a plan for gradual draw-down that is balanced by these pragmatic incentives?  Like everyone else in this blogging community, I get fed up with easy does-it approaches, but political will is not contradictory to caution in this case.  

And, for electoral purposes and the more important task of getting the best nat'l security reorientation we can, I am disinclined to make my primary vote a reductive issue of only counting boots on the ground.  

What is most important is that any plan, ANY plan, is accompanied by excellent shuttle diplomacy, effective reallocation of the troops as a means to adjusting Iranian and Syrian positions, and whatever it takes to fortify/lend legitimacy to the Iraqi government.  

While I want my buddies who are serving to come home quickly as much as the next guy does, I want it done in a fashion that is accompanied by some decent geopolitical thinking.  It seems like the differences between the current Dem platforms on this issue, then, are matters of degrees, rather than being the difference between day and night.

by IrishCatholicDemocrat 2007-04-13 10:26PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

mcjoan alway getst here first!

Hope ya Obama Police are ready for my next post:

Why Barack Obama is the next Joey the LiarMann and what you can do about it!

by Pericles 2007-04-13 10:57PM | 0 recs
What the hell is wrong with a race

in which the best candidate on foreign policy is a former DLC chair and war supporter?  How the hell did this happen?  Are we so easily seduced by faux liberals?

I'm this close to pulling the lever for Richardson, I really am.

by Nonpartisan 2007-04-13 11:06PM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

The number one way you learn who someone is is by seeing who they surround themselves with.  Anyone who thinks otherwise is a fool.  Powers is only one data point, but she is a data point.

by Ian Welsh 2007-04-13 11:06PM | 0 recs
Can you back this up?

" [We] are a prime irritant and cause of the violence."

I believe that sectarian divisions, ethnic chauvinism, religious fundamentalism and historical tensions are the reasons. Not American presence. Without US troops Iraq would be even worse off, perhaps in a genocidal war.

by Populism2008 2007-04-14 12:13AM | 0 recs
Re: Can you back this up?

You remember Iraq before Americans were there?

Right, now look at Iraq after Americans are there.

Now, graph refugees over time, starting with invasion.  See a trend?

Next, graph deaths over time, starting a week from the end of the invasion.  See another trend?

Next, check polls asking Iraqis if they think US troops are making things worse or better.

Then, check polls seeing if Iraqis want US troops to leave?

Then ask yourself why you're still there, and why it is you think you have the right to occupy a country whose population wants you to leave, after you invaded in an illegal war sold based on lies?

by Ian Welsh 2007-04-14 12:23AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

We MUST be as CAREFUL pulling out as we were CARELESS going in.

There are NO good option in IRAQ, only BAD options and WORST options

[Paraphrases of Senator Obama]

'Nuff said

by gcee 2007-04-14 01:27AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

"both [Obama and Edwards] assert that troops should remain in Iraq for humanitarian purposes."

I don't know about Obama, but I don't know that you can say that about Edwards.  The phrasing "troops should remain in Iraq for humanitarian purposes" implies that troops should remain, so that in case there are humanitarian missions, there will already be troops there to protect them.

The Edwards campaign statement suggests more along the lines of 'the troops will be withdrawn, but if there's a humanitarian mission we feel is worth doing, we'd send troops along with it to protect it.'  Let's roll tape:

"And just the same, if American civilians are providing humanitarian relief to the Iraqi people, we're going to protect them. How in good conscience could we refuse to protect them and then allow humanitarian workers to be at risk for their lives or the work not to happen at all?"

That doesn't to me imply a continuous presence of troops in Iraq to protect such work.  The Edwards campaign, and the Obama and Clinton campaigns, should be asked to clarify what they mean, but it's unreasonable to say the Edwards campaign is saying it's going to leave a residual force for humanitarian purposes.  It may or may not be thinking that, but it hasn't said it.

by RT 2007-04-14 01:33AM | 0 recs
I think Matt missed the "if"

and we won't really have any idea if humanitarian missions will even be possible in Iraq after we withdraw.

by okamichan13 2007-04-14 06:35AM | 0 recs
controversy for advertising

controversy drives up page views.

by heyAnita 2007-04-14 02:41AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

by clarkent 2007-04-14 03:57AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

so we need to keep killing americans in iraq so we dont have to pay 15 dollars a gallon for gas and to protect sadia arabia from iran.you people are gutless immoral hipocrites.you will destroy this country with your simmple minded stupidity.you sound just like george w bush.in ten years when gas has reached 15 dollars a gallon and thousands more americans have died in iraq,I wonder will you have any since of shame.sending americans to die in another countrys civil war doesnt make you strong.

by idahojim 2007-04-14 04:06AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq
I agree with GCEE.  This country rushed into war and gave Bush the power.  Senator Obama is correct in saying we must be careful getting out as we were careless getting in.
Those careless enough to okay this mess and give George all that power without thinking have left those who are responsible enough to see what a disaster we are left with, to find ways to get us out.  It is not as easy as snapping your fingers.  It will take more than just leaving to get out.  It must be done carefully.  And we have left the whole region a powder keg.
Instead of attacking those who are trying to find a grown up way to get out, look to the ones who carelessly gave permission for this to ever take place to begin with.
by vwcat 2007-04-14 05:42AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

It's amazing to me to see how many commenters are personality/candidate partisans rather than progressive value partisans, independent of candidate affiliation.  

There's so much sloppy thinking, cant and misprepresentation of Matt's writing in this thread it's rather breathtaking.

Matt wants an end to the American political default position of imperial "privilege," the belief that we haaaave some right or duty to impose our will around the world with force, rather than use force simply to defend ourselves.  

Richardson has articulated a position consistent with that, so he gets props.  Obama, Clinton and Edwards have not, though on a scale of 1-10, with 10 as high (anti-imperialist), Edwards is not perfect (7?) but edges out Obama (5?), whose stock is falling a little, and Clinton is near the bottom (1?).  

The purpose of writing about this stuff is to make a public argument about the role of the US in foriegn policy, a discussion that is not really happening today. I happen to agree with Matt on all these fronts.  This is what a progressive movement does:  put pressure on the party and its high profile candidates to transform the conversation from one dominated by the Georgetown foreign policy elites.

by Pachacutec 2007-04-14 06:12AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Yup.

by Matt Stoller 2007-04-14 06:32AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

A lot of truth to what you said but rather than relying on a few out takes from an advisor, it might make me more sense to hear Obama's speech first.  I know we live in a 24 hour, virtual world but I want to hear from the candidate himself or herself rather than aides.  That's what counts.

One other thought - unlike Vietnam, this region of the world is vital to the economy of our country do to our addiction to cheap oil which Matt pointed out in one of his comments.  The whole thing is just a mess with the least worst solution.

by John Mills 2007-04-14 09:42AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Grief.  I can't keep up with all this "grab a sound-bite" - then dissect it until the original sound-bite is unrecognizable. My head hurts.

by SandThroughTheEyeGlass 2007-04-14 08:54AM | 0 recs
Re: The Obama Plan: Residual Troops in Iraq

Seconded.  I'd prefer that we discussed each policy in terms of strategic ramifications, and ways to facilitate a pullout that enhances our national security, not something that passes a narrow "Iraq purity test" of soundbites that say little about how the person's actually going to govern.  

Frankly, I think they're all great candidates, and I will have a hard time selecting if General Clark doesn't enter.  Tell me this--what else has Bill Richardson recommended as a means of facilitating a state in which there are no permanent bases?

I agree that it's a crucial goal to strive toward.  And I would imagine that somebody of Richardson's intelligence and executive experience would call for rigorous diplomacy and military rehabilitation/reallocation to accompany his plan.  But if it wouldn't, then I could care less about a soundbite, no matter how bold and base-pleasing it is.  

by IrishCatholicDemocrat 2007-04-14 10:13AM | 0 recs

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