What Really Makes A Democrat Electable in 2008: Total Withdrawal From Iraq
by Chris Bowers, Wed Mar 28, 2007 at 04:00:32 PM EDT
The campaign advisers of three Republican presidential nominee hopefuls agreed yesterday at the Institute of Politics that the war in Iraq would be one of the defining issues of the presidential campaign.That's cute that Halperin was the moderator of the forum. Goddard adds:
The three men--senior campaign advisers for Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, and Mitt Romney--also discussed some of the issues surrounding their candidates in the John F. Kennedy Jr. Forum.
"The idea that somehow people can go out and win the Republican nomination by talking about other issues and... not making [the Iraq war] the central theme of this debate is naive," said Rick Davis, CEO and senior adviser for the McCain campaign.
"You're either there fighting to win or you get out, and you don't really try to have it both ways," he added.
Chris Henick, Giuliani's senior adviser, agreed that security and leadership were important factors in the race.
"America has got to remain a leader in the world, a force for peace and security," Henick said. "Who's going to lead a stronger country in the future?"
While the advisers agreed on Iraq, moderator Mark Halperin '87, the political director of ABC News, pushed them to discuss other issues.
When the managers of the Republican presidential campaigns gathered at Harvard earlier this month, they agreed that the Iraq war would be the defining issue in 2008 -- see The Crimson's coverage -- and that the Republican party's base would not accept a candidate who did not at least agree with the administration's policy goals. A viable GOP candidate could criticize the management of the war, but not the need for the war.Every leading contender for the 2008 Republican nomination intends to make supporting a continuing war in Iraq the centerpiece of their campaign. Strange that they somehow forgot running in favor of the war resulted in Republicans being crushed in 2006. I can only imagine how popular that position will be eighteen months from now. I'd say that this made me extremely confident about the 2008 elections, but we are dealing with a Democratic establishment that, in many cases, either does not believe Iraq will still be a central political issue in 2008, or that wants to continue the military mission in Iraq themselves. This means that while the 2008 presidential election should be an easy slam dunk for Democrats, we could yet blow it.
John McCain's once virtually spotless national image took a serious tumble last fall, when he vociferously argued in favor of escalation in Iraq. The same thing could easily happen to Rudy Giuliani, since he holds exactly the same positions as John McCain. And Mitt Romney? Good luck ever having a positive national image, if you come out hard in favor of endless war now. The fact is, that unless Democrats in Congress somehow manage to end the war before the 2008 election, Iraq will remain the central political issue in America. Further, the long it drags on, the less popular the war becomes. In order to win the 2008 election, every Democratic contender does not need to do much more than pledge to withdraw all troops--including "trainers"--from Iraq within six months of taking office. Who is willing to do that? Who has done that? The only candidates who can truly consider themselves "electable" are candidates who can answer "I have" to both of those questions.
Tags: Democrats, Electability, Iraq, John McCain, Mitt Romney, President 2008, Republicans, Rudy Giuliani (all tags)









21 Comments