March Straw Poll Results
by Chris Bowers, Mon Mar 12, 2007 at 05:36:30 PM EDT
I managed to remove the stuffed votes (most were for Obama, but there were also some for other candidates), and produce results for the MyDD March Straw Poll (allocated results = "other" and "unsure" removed):
MyDD March Reader Straw Poll
Obama maintains a narrow lead over Edwards. With Clark and Vilsack removed from the poll, the clear beneficiaries were the three top candidates: Obama, Edwards and Richardson. In terms of last place votes, Kucinich leaps ahead of both Biden and Gravel (a recent post by kos might have had something to so with that). In terms of overall negativity versus first and second place support, the MyDD community would clearly be quite happy if Biden, Gravel and Kucinich dropped out. Both Dodd and Clinton hover around the break even line.
Overall, not much movement. MyDD reader support seems to be solidifying somewhat, which is also demonstrated through the very low number of "unsure" votes. That is to be expected somewhat, since MyDD readers tend to be politically obsessed news junkies, and as such have probably taken long looks at multiple candidates at this point. Also, the goal for any campaign should not really be just to sway blog readers for your support in terms of votes, but to convince them to engage in activist endeavors on your behalf. Whichever campaign ultimately does the best job of agitating / inspiring its netroots supporters into action will be the most successful online.
Update: I should add that while Richardson is strong among second choice, Edwards is quite comfortably the clear second choice of Obama supporters, and Obama is quite clearly the second choice of Edwards supporters. Those two really dominate.
It is also interesting that Dodd is currently the only candidate who has neither a large number of supporters nor a large number of haters. that is kind of interesting.
Update 2: There were 1,295 votes in this poll. It was open from 2:15 pm eastern until 7:50 pm, eastern. For more information on how I identify stuffed results, click here. It is not purely scientific, but it is the best I can do. I really want to know the honest preferences of MyDD readers. People who think I would act otherwise just don't know me.
MyDD March Reader Straw Poll
| Candidate | 1st Choice | February | 2nd Choice | 1st + 2nd Choices | Last Choice | Allocated Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obama | 36.1 | 34.0 | 29.0 | 65.1 | 2.7 | 40.3 |
| Edwards | 33.1 | 28.6 | 31.0 | 64.1 | 1.7 | 37.9 |
| Richardson | 9.7 | 5.9 | 18.3 | 28.0 | 0.9 | 11.9 |
| Clinton | 4.7 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 11.2 | 14.1 | 5.3 |
| Kucinich | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 31.8 | 2.3 |
| Dodd | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Biden | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 25.2 | 0.5 |
| Gravel | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 22.2 | 0.4 |
| Other | 10.6 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 15.5 | -- | -- |
| Unsure | 1.9 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 4.9 | -- | -- |
Obama maintains a narrow lead over Edwards. With Clark and Vilsack removed from the poll, the clear beneficiaries were the three top candidates: Obama, Edwards and Richardson. In terms of last place votes, Kucinich leaps ahead of both Biden and Gravel (a recent post by kos might have had something to so with that). In terms of overall negativity versus first and second place support, the MyDD community would clearly be quite happy if Biden, Gravel and Kucinich dropped out. Both Dodd and Clinton hover around the break even line.
Overall, not much movement. MyDD reader support seems to be solidifying somewhat, which is also demonstrated through the very low number of "unsure" votes. That is to be expected somewhat, since MyDD readers tend to be politically obsessed news junkies, and as such have probably taken long looks at multiple candidates at this point. Also, the goal for any campaign should not really be just to sway blog readers for your support in terms of votes, but to convince them to engage in activist endeavors on your behalf. Whichever campaign ultimately does the best job of agitating / inspiring its netroots supporters into action will be the most successful online.
Update: I should add that while Richardson is strong among second choice, Edwards is quite comfortably the clear second choice of Obama supporters, and Obama is quite clearly the second choice of Edwards supporters. Those two really dominate.
It is also interesting that Dodd is currently the only candidate who has neither a large number of supporters nor a large number of haters. that is kind of interesting.
Update 2: There were 1,295 votes in this poll. It was open from 2:15 pm eastern until 7:50 pm, eastern. For more information on how I identify stuffed results, click here. It is not purely scientific, but it is the best I can do. I really want to know the honest preferences of MyDD readers. People who think I would act otherwise just don't know me.
Tags: President 2008, straw poll (all tags)
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