Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons Around The Drain

Back on Wednesday, a poll came out on the Philadelphia mayoral election (PDF) showing multi-millionaire Tom Knox surging into a clear second place behind Representative Chaka Fattah, and even within the margin of error. Knox's rise has been fueled almost entirely though a series of expensive, self-financed television ad buys over the last two months. This development is a huge shock to pretty much everyone involved in Philadelphia politics. As pretty much a complete outsider to the political scene here, no one had expected Knox to be a significant factor in this election. Six months ago, he was registering only 1% support, and was in a distant seventh place. Considering his current rate of increase and his seemingly unlimited ability to self-finance, it may not be long before he becomes the frontrunner in the campaign.

Also on Wednesday, almost immediately after the poll showing Knox's rise was released, the Philadelphia City Council decided to respond to Knox's surge by introducing a bill repealing their recently installed campaign finance law that limited campaign contributions. Seriously--the plan to repeal their own recently imposed campaign donation limits was hatched the same day the poll came out. At 4 p.m. on Wednesday, about six hours after the poll was released, Young Philly Politics reported the following:
In response to the success that Tom Knox is having with spending his bags of money, I heard through the grape-vine that certain City Council members are going to introduce a bill to suspend or repeal the current contribution limits.
Now, Young Philly Politics is reporting that by mid-afternoon today, the bill to repeal the new campaign finance law had enough co-sponsors to reach a majority. So, in the span of less than two days, after the release of a single poll showing a rich outsider becoming a serious contender, the city went from challenging a court's ruling that the campaign finance law was unconstitutional, to creating legislation that would allow them to repeal the law themselves. Nice.
The lesson here is that the Philadelphia machine has absolutely no principles except the desire to stay in power. Quite literally, the exact moment when they realized that the campaign finance law could prevent their ability to control who won the Democratic nomination for mayor (and thus became the next mayor), they decided to repeal the law. Doing this is such an obviously naked power play against Knox that is actually kind of funny. I mean, moving to repeal a campaign finance law in only a matter of hours after a poll came out showing Know a threat? Could they have chosen a less subtle means of demonstrating their motives behind this move?

I guess the machine's plan in response to Knox is to have their favored candidate or candidates reap unlimited donations from individuals and corporations to whom they will promise a series of favors (cough, Comcast, cough). With unlimited donations available to all candidates, I guess they imagine they will be able to compete with Knox over the airwaves, and hopefully maintain power. It will also benefit the virtually unprecedented number of incumbent city council members who are receiving primary challengers this year (by my last count, only two were going unchallenged, and most of the challengers are coming from the various neighborhood reform movements). Basically, it is an incumbent protection racket.

Of course, it is going to fail. Even if they pass the bill, quite a few incumbents in city council are going down this year. I have heard of non-public polling that shows all of their re-elect numbers, every single one of them, to be hovering around the Mendoza line. Being anyone but the incumbent is going to help here, and raking in huge, reunregulated donations to raise your name ID is just going to result in falling further behind in the polls. Further, one of the main reasons their re-elects are so low is because people think that the machine is only responsive to itself, rather than to city residents. Before now, there certainly was never a time when city council immediately moved to create a new law within six hours of releasing a problem existed. The difference is that this problem directly impacts their own ability to stay in power. And so, not surprisingly, they jumped into action. By contrast, where is the action on crime? On education? On transportation? On housing? They don't act quickly to fix problems that impact residents--only the problems that impact themselves. Members of the city council don't think they answer to their constituents--they think they answer to Bob Brady. You can bet they will pick up a call from Bob Brady no matter where they are and what they are doing, but good luck getting a meeting with your councilman no matter how many times you ask for one.

When the biggest mark against you is that you don't care more about staying in power than about solving the problems affecting the city, it doesn't help that the only decisive action you take in over a decade is to pass a law that will help you stay in power, rather than solve the problems affecting the city. I mean, in 2005, the city passed an ethics reform question with 87% support in the city. This was not the campaign finance reform law, but it certainly showed an overwhelming hunger in the city for ethics reform. Repealing the campaign finance law, and the way it was repealed, is only going strengthen the anti-incumbent, anti-machine sentiment in the minds of voters in the city--not to mention that it is extremely unpopular move. I could hardly think of a better way for members of the city council to substantiate the major marks against them, and seal their own fates this coming May.

The Philadelphia machine may have dealt itself a crippling blow with this move today. If they want to finish themselves off, go for it. The new city council will reinstate the law when they take office next year.

Tags: campaign finance, Machine, Philadelphia, Silent revolution (all tags)

Comments

25 Comments

Re: Philadelphia Machine

This only underscores the fact that CFR exists for ONE purpose: to protect incumbents.

by m g 2007-02-02 10:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine

ddonnelly, what are some of the ideas you have for preventing this kind of tinkering in a system of government funded elections?

by m g 2007-02-02 10:59AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles

and highly annoying add we in the Lehigh Valley are getting sick of watching

by orin76 2007-02-02 11:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons Around

Hope you are right, but San Francisco experience doesn't back you up. We've been through a series of mayoral elections since 1995 in which developer interests made it abundantly clear that they would spend ANY AMOUNT of money to defeat any challenger who indicated that city government ought to answer to the citizens, not the big money interests. And it worked like a charm: when you pour about $4 mil into defeating $385 thou (that was 1999) you win.

Yes, there were various expenditure limits. Any subsequent penalties were simply a cost of doing business.

by janinsanfran 2007-02-02 11:08AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons Around

Of course, Clint Reilly in '99 ended up spending somewhere in the neighborhood of $80 a vote with his huge self-financing and he didn't go anywhere.

by Bob Brigham 2007-02-02 11:36AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons Around

how much did his wife spend last cycle?  i remember her qualifications being something along the lines of "because she's a really nice person" on her website.

by corn dog 2007-02-02 02:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons ..
Chris,
As an outsider(from the Philly burbs), I could never understand the blinkers some people have.  Have people finally woken up?  Is that why most of City Council will get challenged?  How confident are you that incumbents won't pull some other stunt to keep themselves in office?  
by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-02-02 11:08AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons Around

Here's what Bob Brady had to say in today's Philadelphia Daily News.


No one ever got cut on the corners of a square deal. But when it comes to spending in the Philadelphia mayor's race, voters are beginning to see that it's anything but a square deal.

Here's the REAL deal: In an attempt designed to level the playing field for ordinary candidates and millionaires, City Council actually made the playing field anything but level.

This is pay to play for millionaires only.

Growing up in Overbrook, I didn't know many millionaires. My friends and I understood that having money gave some people an advantage when it came to buying things. We just didn't know City Hall was one of them. Maybe we were naïve. But no mayoral candidate from John Street to Frank Rizzo bought their way into office.

Jim Kenney is a smart guy. This is not about the individual millionaire who tries to buy City Hall. The U.S. Supreme Court, under the free speech clause of the Constitution, protects the right of any millionaire to spend his money on a run for political office. So here's my bottom line:

* Report all contributions on-line within 24 hours.

* Provide electronic copies immediately to the Committee of Seventy.

* Encourage news organizations to publish contributions daily.

These simple steps are designed to be part of the solution, not part of the problem. Philadelphia voters are smart enough to figure it out from there.

by Andi P 2007-02-02 11:56AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons Around

Easier solution: do what the federal laws do, and just allow contributions at triple the normal limits if you're up against a self-financer.  This makes me ashamed of my city.

by Adam B 2007-02-02 07:00PM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine

Bowers for City Council!!!

by corn dog 2007-02-02 02:06PM | 0 recs
A complete outsider question

What does Tom Knox stand for? For that matter, what does Chaka Fattah stand for? I won't ask what Bob Brady stands for, as it's fairly clear that a) he's not going to win the race and b) he stands for keeping his authority.

Also, is there any infrastructure in place to prevent the new members of the council from being drawn into the machine? Insurgent campaigns can only work so long as the candidates they propel into office maintain their principles.

by Englishlefty 2007-02-02 03:05PM | 0 recs
Re: A complete outsider question

He seems to stand for wasting money on annoying Whiney Commerials that I can't stand

by orin76 2007-02-02 05:07PM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles ...

Remember New Coke?

Yeah, me neither.

The fact is, the public rejects expensive ad campaigns all the time. (Rick Santorum is one. "Gigli" is another.) It doesn't even seem to occur to some people that voters simply like Tom Knox's message, but they do. When I'm out on the street with him, I'm surprised by how many people of all types come up to tell him they agree with him and want him to win. He's attended over 300 neighborhood meetings and forums in the past 18 months, so before he bought a single ad, he relied on good old-fashioned shoe leather.

Personally, I think people respond to him because he makes it clear that in his administration, no one should expect less from the city simply because they're poor or lacking in political connections. Wouldn't that be a refreshing change?

I don't say this about Tom because I work for him. I accepted the position as his press secretary because I suspected he just might be the real thing: an old-time liberal Democrat who believes government is there to serve the people, not the special interests. (I was right.)

I realize the truth isn't anywhere as interesting as what machine candidates like to ascribe to him, but Tom is running to take City Hall away from the insiders and give it back to the citizens of Philadelphia.

Personally, I think that's a pretty good reason.

by Susie Madrak 2007-02-02 05:12PM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles ...

George W. Bush bought the presidency and the Iraq war, too, but I don't think that logically leads to people liking his message.

by True Gen 2007-02-03 11:01AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons

I think those of us from outside Philadelphia might not understand the dynamics of the mayoral primary.  Brady's hope (and the machine's hope) was that the African American vote would be split up among several black candidates, leaving Brady to win the primary.

The poll shows that Knox has probably already siphoned off most of the blue-collar white vote which Brady was counting on.  The poll was certainly a shock to the Brady camp.  They have to raise a lot of money quickly to counter the Knox TV ads.  Under CFR they just could not do it in time to make a difference.  It's a lot easier to call in a few big favors (law firms, municipal bond bankers, cable companies) than it is to raise money from a lot of small donors.

The funny thing is that it's probably too late and, as you point out, counterproductive for the machine to repeal CFR.

BTW, I think that the "Mendoza Line" should be replaced by "Bush-like poll numbers" (but I'm a Pirates fan).

by AndyFarquhar 2007-02-02 06:18PM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons

Except here's the thing: the major law firms are shut out from funding the candidates under the pay-to-play laws, so the only people left to write huge checks if this passes are the unions, many of whom will back Brady.

by Adam B 2007-02-02 07:02PM | 0 recs
Buckley v Valeo is the real problem

I don't know Philly politics, (though I do have a favorable view of Chaka Fattah) Tom Knox, however may be the best progressive ever.  Indeed there are good progressives with money,  and if the system allows you to spend your money and esp. if it's for a good cause, then you have the Supreme Court given right to spend it.

But it does distort the political process.  And it results in these kind of campaign finance contortions.  Buckley v Valeo not ONLY mistakenly says money is on the same plane as speech, but it also distorts the process because it ONLY allows CONTRIBUTIONS TO BE LIMITED, EXPENDITURES CANNOT BE LIMITED (THAT IS WHAT THE ORIGINAL WATERGATE REFORMS SAID- LIMIT EXPENDITURES AND CONTRIBUTUIONS BOTH).

And it is on the expenditure side that we are going crazy.  As it gets more expensive, and the more the contributions are limited the more time and effort by the candidate must be spent raising that money.  

Just how the hell do you do your job or the people's job if you have to spend all your time raising money?

Sure Clean Money campaign finance regimes help, but not against a multimillionaire self financing candidate.  What if Tom Knox was a Rush Limbaugh dittohead? and not the knight in shining armor he's averred to be?

You're shooting at the wrong target.  

by debcoop 2007-02-02 06:23PM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons

It's certainly dirty politics, but on a certain level I can't blame them.  They pass some rules limiting campaign contributions, and all of a sudden here's this guy who can outspend them all without ever taking a single contribution.  Not exactly the level playing field that campaign finance laws are supposedly trying to provide.

There's a lot long with the way we run elections in this country, but I think allowing candidates to self fund is a big part of it.  Why, exactly, should a candidate be allowed to contribute more to their campaign organization than the same amount as any other citizen can contribute?

Such a rule would at least have the beneficial effect of keeping party insiders from messing around in candidate recruitment and primaries just so they can get a self-funding candidate.

by libdevil 2007-02-02 06:56PM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons

Why, exactly, should a candidate be allowed to contribute more to their campaign organization than the same amount as any other citizen can contribute?

That pesky First Amendment.  You can't restrict the size of a megaphone a person gives herself.

by Adam B 2007-02-02 07:02PM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons ...

First Amendment not withstanding, Tom is a big supporter of public financing for city elections and will make it a priority if elected. (No point to cleaning up the pay-to-play mess without changing the system, after all.)

I suppose then we'll see if all the local politicians who are suddenly so eager for this "level playing field" really mean it when they have to give up their own fundraising advantage.

by Susie Madrak 2007-02-03 01:59AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons ...

I'd be a supporter of Knox but his proposed, sizable tax cuts for business - at a time when the city is cutting back sharply on services & is looking at looming revenue shortfalls the next few years - make it difficult for me to support him. Its trickle down economics, with his answer that it'll create jobs is a road, whether on the Federal, state or local level, that we've gone down many times before & it never works.

by carter1 2007-02-03 06:12AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons

Look, Carter, Tom Knox is committed to expanding city services, not cutting them. The city isn't cutting back services because the money's not there - it's because so much money is still being kicked back to so many special interests. We're the highest taxed city in the country. Do we have the best services? Hell, no.

So the question, as always, is: Where's the money? Tom says he'll find it. I believe him.

by Susie Madrak 2007-02-03 07:02AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons

We're the highest taxed city in the country. Do we have the best services? Hell, no. - Madrak

Our tax rates may be the highest but our revenue intake per capita is not great. The reason is we have a  poor revenue base, ie. we lack a population with good incomes & corporate presence (which would generate greater revenues at a lower tax rate). With high percentages of poor people, there is a greater need for social services & thus city generated revenue.

Re. The money being there, this is nonsense. Sure, the city is poorly managed & we have more than our share of corruption but we're talking about a fringe component of the overall budget (If you have any evidence that it is a significant component of the budget, please share the budget breakdown with us).

So many past candidates, at all levels of government, have run on a platform of cutting taxes without reducing services - that they will cut into waste & fraud - and it never materializes. They cut services. We have a large percentage of the population with dire needs & I'm loathe to make their lives more miserable than they already are.

Overall, I like Knox, but I find his tax cut plans so destructive that I have difficulty being a supporter.

PS. I've taught Urban Government/Politics & you have a firmer perspective when you immerse yourself in the literature.

by carter1 2007-02-03 05:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles The Wagons

What you say sounds reasonable, but he did find the money when he worked for Rendell, despite the same arguments.

Maybe you really do cover all the bases by teaching this topic, but I have to wonder. In my 15 years as a journalist, I learned that shocking amounts of government money are hidden as so-called "fixed costs" in places no one thinks (or dares) to look. In one small example, a municipal health insurance contract pumped up the premiums by providing for a seven-day hospital stay after an uncomplicated birth. The insurance broker was a heavy party contributor, and after all, the money had to come from someplace! That one seemingly harmless provision was worth an additional $100K or so in commissions, as I recall. (I didn't have time to price out every aspect of the contract, but you get the idea.)

by Susie Madrak 2007-02-04 02:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Philadelphia Machine Circles Wagons

Tom Knox is a wholy owned subsidiary of Big Insurance and the rest of the rest of the special interests that sit in the GOP owners box.

by True Gen 2007-02-03 02:14PM | 0 recs

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