Interesting to see the freshman D's from CT already on that list. Perhaps the DCCC is starting there early to stave off re-matches?

And if they are planning on looking past Boyda and Shea-Porter then they can kiss my ass. Boyda, especially, will need every bit of help we can give her.

Boswell performed much better than Kerry in 2004, but seriously underperformed this past election. It should not have been that close (I think he won 52-47) given how much the Democrats kicked ass in Iowa, with Culver winning the governor's race 54-44.

A lot of progressives don't like Boswell because he votes for terrible things like the energy bill, repealing the estate tax, and torture. They are unwilling to work for him, give him money, and in some cases leave that line on the ballot blank rather than voting for him.

In an ideal world we'd get a better Democrat for that seat. I don't expect a strong primary challenge, though, because IA is set to lose a district after the 2010 census. Boswell may opt to retire at that time.

Here at ActBlue we've just created a special 2008 Frontline Democrats Fundraising page as part of this announcement. (Jonathan feel free to add this to your post,  :)

Carol did indeed run a strong grassroots campaign.  It was completely off the radar, no one thought she stood a chance until the week before the elections when she, for the first time,l was statistically tied with Jeb Bradley.  

Carol won with $200k, to Jeb's 1 Million+.  She raised it all in small donor checks, I believe her largest donation was $200.

I would not be surprised if Carol Shea-Porter turned down an offer for help from the DCCC, she seems to be determined not to run a big money campaign.

This is just an organizational comment, but I think that that chart you posted here would be more helpful if you arranged the candidates by the PVI, ie from "easiest PVI district" to "toughest PVI district". An alphabetical arrangement by state is nice and all and SEEMS "organized", but in this instance it doesn't really add anything toward what this data was compiled for, as it doesn't really prioritize in an easily accessible way who in the list is most in danger, based on the PVI of their district(and who needs the most help). Sure, you can comb through the list and find this yourself given some time and effort, but a PVI ranked list would make that sort of analysis much more easy to determine at a glance.

The DCCC gave money to 28 of the 30 Democrats to take seats from Republicans.  The two exceptions, Carol Shea-Porter and David Loesback are not on this list either.  Meanwhile, they fund Boswell (not a dependable vote) to the tune of $800 K in 2006 and probably a million in 2008.  Am I missing something here?  

FWIW, the two smallest spenders among the thirty were the aforementioned Carol Shea-Porter and David Loesback.  Nancy Boyda was the other "cheap date" winning with under a million spent including a nice chunk from the DCCC down the stretch.

Chet Edwards cruised in 2006 with 58% of the vote.

Is Carol Shea Porter not included because she turned down the help? This is surprising, because I just got an invite to a $250 fundraiser, which means she is intending to do some bigger, early fundraising this time. The Republicans are going to come after her with all guns blazing this time, so I hope she is just saying no to the DCCC, but not saying no to raising money!

Months ago when we were asking who the next DCCC chair should be, I suggested a co-chairmanship, with one person responsible for endangered incumbents, and one in charge of challenger campaigns.

I thought Van Hollen and Wasserman-Shulz would be the two perfect people.  Looks like my wish came true.

I wonder if there is some institutionalism going on here. The DCCC didn't help Boyda and Shea-Porter much last time, and were probably as surprised as any of us when they won. Because those races were barely on the radar, these two Congresswomen probably were not handpicked by the DCCC. So I wonder if that's creating a bias against them at the DCCC and denying them the funds they need. Although I can also buy the response you got at face value, that they did pretty well on their own the first time around.

First, AZ-05 and -08, next up: AZ-01.

Oh, and check this out:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17150019/

Seriously, out of all those incumbents that they're most worried about, only three are women?

And Nancy Boyda and Carol Shea-Porter are the most glaring omissions to the list?

Here is the response I received from the DCCC through a spokesman:

   Representatives Boyda and Shea-Porter ran strong, independent grassroots campaigns. Should the Republicans target them with misleading or baseless attacks we stand ready to help.

Kagen is already a dead democrat the people in his district are already pissed off with him

Oh yes Orin... one mistake will doom him for the next two years.

Posting, I believe it's important to let people know that Chris Carney PA is a pro-war Democrat, he worked with FEITH, and had Richard Perle give him a fundraiser -- check it out!

There is a new pro-war congressman in town...
http://globalparadigms.blogspot.com/2006 _11_28_globalparadigms_archive.html

Rumor has it that John Sweeney is thinking about challenging Kirsten Gillibrand again.

He'll have competition before he can get to her. Lots of Republicans are expressing interest. Leading contender is multi-millionaire Sandy Treadwell, former chair of the NYS republican party.

There are several others. It'll be interesting to watch.

I hope TX-17 and TX-22 are considered places to bleed Republicans of cash rather than places to seriously hold onto.

Given that incumbents traditionally pick up about 8 points just for being the incumbent, all the others look very holdable.

I find Boyda's tactics interesting if not flat out hypocritical. She has tried hard to convince the media that her campaigns have been "local" and "without help from the national party or DC money." Thus her statements wishing to be left out of the Frontline program. She can't have it both ways. The DCCC spent almost a million dollars in her race in 2006, yet she and her allies still claim she ran a local campaign that was "underfunded." To top it off, the word on the grapevine is that she's hired a $5,000 a month fund raiser in DC because she feels she needs to raise at least $1 million in PAC dollars for her 2008 race. If nothing else, Boyda is all over the map and KS-2 is going to be one heck of a race to watch.

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Non-Freshmen			Freshmen
District	Represent<span>ative</span>	PVI	District	Represent<span>ative</span>	PVI
TX-17	Edwards	R+18	IN-08	Ellsworth	R+9
TX-22	Lampson*	R+15	PA-10	Carney	R+8
GA-08	Marshall	R+8	NC-11	Shuler	R+7
IN-09	Hill*	R+7	OH-18	Space	R+6
IL-08	Bean	R+5	AZ-05	Mitchell	R+4
TX-23	Rodriguez*	R+4	CA-11	McNerney	R+4
IA-03	Boswell	D+1	IN-02	Donnelly	R+4
GA-12	Barrow	D+2	WI-08	Kagen	R+4
			NY-20	Gillibrand	R+3
			PA-04	Altmire	R+3
			FL-16	Mahoney	R+2
			AZ-08	Giffords	R+1
			MN-01	Walz	R+1
			NY-19	Hall	R+1
			NY-24	Arcuri	R+1
			KY-03	Yarmuth	D+2
			NH-02	Hodes	D+3
			PA-08	P. Murphy	D+3
			CT-05	C. Murphy	D+4
			FL-22	Klein	D+4
			CT-02	Courtney	D+8

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