Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

For all the philosophical and ideological differences between John Edwards and his chief rivals--differences that I discuss here, here, and here--he still needs specific, charged issues with which to draw contrasts.

And he has them: trade and Iran.

On trade, the differences between Edwards and his rivals might not be immediately clear, because they sometimes sound alike. (They all sound like Edwards.) They criticize NAFTA and claim to support fair trade. But the Peru Trade Pact, which Congress will soon consider, gives us a chance to see how deep their committment to fair trade runs.

For Obama, not far. He says he will vote for the Peru deal because it contains labor and environmental standards. But, as Edwards says in his statement opposing the deal, "[W]orker rights are no stronger than George Bush's willingness to enforce them." All of Big Business (and the DLC) hailed the deal, because they know the standards are toothless--a fact that Chamber of Commerce President Tom Donahue has openly discussed. Says Nathan Newman:

"...[T]he one thing that has come out of the announcement of the trade deal between Dem leadership and Bush is an admission by US corporate leadership that US law does not meet minimum international human rights standards, as embodied by the International Labor Organization (ILO)

No environmental group, small business organization, or major union supports the deal. The AFL-CIO says it "fails to adequately address issues related to the outsourcing of U.S. jobs and the ability of foreign corporations to challenge U.S. law," and Change to Win says it "fails to address how to protect U.S. jobs or create new ones, undermines our prevailing wage and Buy America laws, and hands foreign firms operating here more privileges over U.S. companies." And as it bad as this deal would be for American workers, it would be devastating for Peruvian farmers, who would be forced to compete against heavily subsidized American farmers. It's so threatening that "four million workers and small-scale Peruvian farmers went on strike this summer to protest the impact that the FTA would have on rural communities there."

The Peru deal will force Hillary to choose between the base, which sees the lie of "free" trade, and the Establishment, which in united in its support for "free" trade. If she remains true to her corporate form, she will support the deal, but even if pressure from Edwards forces her to oppose it, she won't be able to match his committment to fair trade. To do so would be to become a different person.

In his statement, Edwards announced his opposition to not only the Peru deal but also to the three other deals worked out in secret negotiations between Congressional Democrats and the Bush Administration. Bush, he says, is trying to "expand the NAFTA approach to Peru, Panama, South Korean, and Columbia." Edwards, drawing a line in the sand, says Congress must first take care of workers:

Congress should not pass further trade deals without first taking steps to address the stagnant wages and insecurity caused by globalization. Congress needs to adopt universal health care, reform the tax code, strengthen unions, and expand and renew trade adjustment assistance.

The press release is probably the stongest pro-fair trade statement ever put out by a viable presidential contender. As such, it could represent a turning point in both the debate about trade and the primary race. The corporate press usually doesn't talk about trade except to bemoan "protectionism," but it's an issue of visceral importance to voters, and it has a way of asserting itself in political races. The wounds left by NATFA are still bleeding. Trade became a big issue in the 2004 Democratic primary, and with clear differences emerging, it will again.

Iran has already become a big issue, with Bush-Cheney just itching to drop freedom on Tehran. On any given day, the candidates sound similar notes on Iran. They all advocate mulitateral diplomacy while leaving "all options on the table" (because it's considered weak to rule out nuclear holocaust.) But back in February in a statement that should have received more attention, Edwards said he was open to a non-agression treaty with Iran. And now, with Hillary's vote for the Lieberman-Kyl amendment, the differences are even more stark.

The bill, drafted by AIPAC and sponsored by neocons of the highest order, "designates Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps as a foreign terrorist organization" and explicity links the war in Iraq to Iran. Forget mission creep; it allows for war creep by providing Bush legal and political cover for an invasion of Iran. Obama opposed Kyl-Lieberman, but having missed the vote and waited hours to state his position (hours that included the last debate), he's less credible on this issue than Edwards, who went after her immediately. As he said in the last debate and surely will in tonight's:

I voted for this war in Iraq, and I was wrong to vote for this war. And I accept responsibility for that. Senator Clinton also voted for this war.

We learned a very different lesson from that. I have no intention of giving George Bush the authority to take the first step on a road to war with Iran.

It strikes me as amazing that Hillary would cast a prowar in the middle of the race for the Democratic nomination. It demonstrates that she doesn't think the base can or will stop her; indeed, her backers told the New York Times that she's already moved into general election mode.

But she may have gotten too hawkish too soon. In a clear sign that she's worried about this issue, she sent out a mailer in Iowa that claimed that her vote for Kyl-Lieberman was a vote "for stepped up diplomacy," which is like calling a punch a hug. Edwards rightly ridiculed this explanation and has released a series of statements blasting Clinton for aiding Bush's campaign for a new war. "If you give this president an inch,"Edwards says,"he will take a mile - and launch a war."

Hillary is enlisting Wes Clark to try to claim that black is white, but she won't be able to hide from this vote. No less a shaper of conventional opinion than Tim Russert is comparing Kyl-Liebeman to the 2002 vote authorizing military action against Iraq. Edwards is criticizing Hillary for the vote as he campaigns in the early states, and it's turning out to be a soundbite friendly issue, easily framed and understood.

I hear the skeptics: the race in all-important Iowa won't turn on these issues. Perhaps not: other things are probably more important: organization, the strength of the candidates, local issues. But if Edwards wins Iowa the differences on these issues, and others, will loom large. That's one of the reasons Hillary is campaigning so hard in Iowa. The last thing she wants is to get caught in a race against Edwards. The Progressive Populist Insurgent v. The Hawkish Corporate Tool of the Establishment. Nope, she can't have that.

Tags: Barack Obama, Fair Trade, free trade, Hillary Clinton, Iran, John Edwards, kyl lieberman, peru trade deal (all tags)

Comments

25 Comments

trade is a big issue

for many Iowans, and I expect few are aware of the other candidates' issues.

Side note: it seems like hardly anyone here is aware that Richardson ran the whip on NAFTA--even the wife of Richardson's precinct captain in my neighborhood didn't know that!

by desmoinesdem 2007-10-30 01:48PM | 0 recs
that should read "position"

on the trade issue.

by desmoinesdem 2007-10-30 01:49PM | 0 recs
it's in his stump speech already

by desmoinesdem 2007-10-30 01:53PM | 0 recs
hit post too soon

I heard him talk about that at a town-hall meeting in Des Moines in March. I can't remember the exact wording, but he does mention this on the stump.

by desmoinesdem 2007-10-30 01:54PM | 0 recs
Re: hit post too soon

On a somewhat related note, Edwards has also said, that when he is President, "Dissent will be patriotic again."

by NCDemAmy 2007-10-30 02:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

Well, It is part of his message but your point is a good one: I've long wanted him to become the constitution candidate--ground he's ceded to Dodd.

by david mizner 2007-10-30 01:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

Agreed.  Edwards has always been consistent in talking about the negative effects of the so-called free trade deals on poor people in the other countries, as David points out.  

The corporate ideal in these cases is often to pit American poor people against developing country poor people.  That's the cycle we have to break.

by MassEyesandEars 2007-10-30 02:43PM | 0 recs
The MSM has proclaimed a

two person race all year.  Obama has faded, so polls hsow people picking Clinton by default.

But there is a choice.  John Edwards yesterday:

"Down one path, we trade corporate Democrats for corporate Republicans; our cronies for their cronies; one political dynasty for another dynasty; and all we are left with is a Democratic version of the Republican corruption machine.

"It is the easier path.  It is the path of the status quo.   But, it is a path that perpetuates a corrupt system that has not only failed to deliver the change the American people demand, but has divided America into two - one America for the very greedy, and one America for everybody else

snip

Or we can choose a different path.  The path that generations of Americans command us to take.   We can get up and take our country back.  And be the guardians that kept the faith."

We can have real change with John Edwards or more of the same with Hillary Clinton.  The choice is up to the voters.

I believe that real change begins in Iowa.  

by TomP 2007-10-30 01:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues


I hear the skeptics: the race in all-important Iowa won't turn on these issues. Perhaps not: other things are probably more important: organization, the strength of the candidates, local issues. But if Edwards wins Iowa the differences on these issues, and others, will loom large.

There is a bit of truth to both sides on this, imo. As Des Moines Dem noted, trade is a big issue in Iowa.

I'm not so sure about Iran but with Edwards being against continuing with combat missions in Iraq and Hillary being for it, Hillary will be seen as the "Hawkish Corporate Tool" based on that.

by NCDemAmy 2007-10-30 02:17PM | 0 recs
Might be too late

He seemed to be off his game during the spring and early summer.   He didn't refocus until late summer when I thought he start to do well and overtake Obama.  However, then he accepted matching funds.

I think Democratic voters may be in the process of writing him off now no matter what he says.

by dpANDREWS 2007-10-30 02:20PM | 0 recs
Re: Might be too late

He still has strong support in Iowa.  That state is hard to pin down.  People are specific oriented, but Clinton and Obama have huge presence there.

by iamready 2007-10-30 02:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

The Peru deal will force Hillary to choose between the base, which sees the lie of "free" trade, and the Establishment, which in united in its support for "free" trade. If she remains true to her corporate form, she will support the deal, but even if pressure from Edwards forces her to oppose it, she won't be able to match his committment to fair trade. To do so would be to become a different person.

I expect this may be a false choice given that Hillary didn't seem to have much problem with voting against CAFTA in the Senate, or in opposing fast-track authority for Bush.  Nor has she appeared wedded to NAFTA in her public statements during this campaign.  She got a mere 17% rating from the free-trade zealots at Cato.

I believe Edwards is the best candidate on trade issues but Hillary's position seems too close to the mainstream Democratic stance for him to find much breathing room.  This has been a recurring theme.

As for Iran, I really doubt that it can be a major campaign issue unless and until Bush actually does something.  It could happen, but the netroots have been predicting an imminent attack on Iran for a long time now and those predictions haven't exactly panned out.

by Steve M 2007-10-30 02:47PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

You are correct here.

For Clinton the war is an issue, and many are concerned about her K/L vote.  So, there are some that are in the wait and see mode to Clinton.  If we invade or send troops to Iran, Clinton is in major trouble across the board.

by iamready 2007-10-30 02:50PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

I think that Clinton's explanatory mailer to Iowans demonstrates that she at least feels some vulnerability on this issue.  That was a surprising move to me.

by Steve M 2007-10-30 02:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

I spoke with one woman who was not aware of Clinton's vote and that pushed her away from Clinton.  Again, I don't think she should have sent that direct mail piece out.

by iamready 2007-10-30 02:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

It's not suprising at all.  Iowans are traditionally isolationists/pacifists.  I expect Hillary has two major hurdles in Iowa; national secuirty and her gender.

by bookgrl 2007-10-30 03:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

I think a little too much gets made out of this "Iowans have never elected a woman" point.  I mean, the last four Lieutenant Governors have all been women.  We're not talking about Saudi Arabia here.

I don't think gender will be more of an obstacle in Iowa than in any other state, really.  In fact, I sorta think it was a mistake for Hillary to bring that point up.

by Steve M 2007-10-30 03:16PM | 0 recs
I've got a diary coming on this sometime

Iowa DEMOCRATS have no problem voting for women. We have nominated two women for governor, many women for Congress, a woman for attorney general (who won statewide), two women for sec. of agriculture (one of whom won statewide) and two women for lieutenant governor (both of whom were on winning tickets).

Iowa Democrats are not sexist.

by desmoinesdem 2007-10-30 04:58PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

Peru is different. It's ostensibly a bilateral agreement, unlike CAFTA, and contains those "standards." There's a reason Obama supports even though he wants union endorsements. To oppose Peru is to move a lot farther to the left than Hillary wants to.

As for Iran, I'm not sure which campaign you're watching; it's already a big issue.

by david mizner 2007-10-30 02:56PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

A "big issue" by what measure?

by Steve M 2007-10-30 02:59PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues

Non-agression treaty is big.  If we are serious about preventing Iran from gaining nuclear weapons, that may be the only way.  A bombing campaign is unlikely to stop them and nearly certain to start a wider war.

by MassEyesandEars 2007-10-30 02:47PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards Seizes His Winning Issues
Isn't this a question of trust?
I don't trust any DLC candidate [Clinton].
I'm more and more confident that Edwards is an anti-Iran war candidate.
Admitting his mistake, voting for the Iraq war, is humbling and coupled with his Iraqi draw down intentions I have faith he can be trusted to buck the corporate intrests who want aggression.
Other Dem candidates are anti-war too; but I feel Edwards is the best of bunch.
by bmelz 2007-10-30 04:30PM | 0 recs
Edwards: The Cassandra Candidate

The problem with Edwards is that people just don't think he is capable of fixing all the calamities he sees raining down on America. He's all problems no real pragmatic solutions.

Edwards is the sky-is-falling-candidate, and worse, he blames Democrats for all the country's woes. I guess high decibel ambulance chasing  is in his DNA. There's nothing like an injury lawyer in search of a malpractice case no matter if Democrats get caught in his dragnet. God dammit he'll make everyone pay even if he has to bankrupt the country. That'll show them all!

by superetendar 2007-10-30 04:36PM | 0 recs
you are ignorant

Edwards is proposing all kinds of solutions, most recently in a mailing I received today.

And it is madness to claim Edwards blames Democrats for all the problems. You appear never to have seen or heard or read any of his stump speeches.

by desmoinesdem 2007-10-30 04:59PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards: The Cassandra Candidate
Man, you're just wrong.
Go to Edward's website and...read.
Then think about what you've...read.
It might hurt to ralize that he has many...proposals, ideas, and solutions.
I'd like to see any Democrat elected president do half of what he's proposing. Imagine, a progressive Democratic president.
As for your "pragmatic" claim; start with social security.
by bmelz 2007-10-31 05:01PM | 0 recs

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