Huckabee Wins "Values Voters" Straw Poll

The Family Research Council's "values voters" summit concluded today with an onsite straw poll that found Mike Huckabee winning with a majority of support.

Mike Huckabee    488    51.26%Mitt Romney    99     10.40%Fred Thompson    77     8.09%Tom Tancredo    65     6.83%Rudy Giuliani    60     6.30%Duncan Hunter     54     5.67%John McCain     30     3.15%Sam Brownback     26     2.73%Ron Paul     25     2.63%Undecided     11     1.16%Not Voting     7     0.74%

He absolutely crushed the field, giving further proof that, as Jerome's Breaking Blue headline puts it: Huckabee becoming theocon choice. The result might have come as no surprise to anyone who was in attendance at the event, as his speech was met with rave reviews. David Brody of CBN describes it this way:

Finally, he came with a very straightforward purpose. He told the crowd that he's one of them. He is a value voter. The crowd gave him standing ovation after standing ovation.

The speech was part policy, part tent revival. He was in full Pastor mode throwing out the Bible references left and right. The people I talked to afterwards were very impressed.

RedState raves as well (h/t Race42008).

Expect Mitt Romney to declare victory in the FRC straw poll as well, however, as they held an online straw poll and the combined results gave Romney a slight win over Huckabee.

Mitt Romney1595 27.62%Mike Huckabee156527.15%Ron Paul86514.98%Fred Thompson5649.77%Undecided3295.7%Sam Brownback2975.14%Duncan Hunter 1402.42%Tom Tancredo 1332.3%Rudy Giuliani 1071.85%John McCain811.4%

But truthfully, this too should be seen as a win for Huckabee. To quote RedState:

In the online poll that the Romney campaign pushed hard to win, he only managed to get thirty more votes than Mike Huckabee.

While Huckabee certainly is the story here, Thompson's and McCain's results are notable as well. Clearly Thompson bombed among a constituency he was widely considered to be courting. And look at poor old John McCain, a faithful "pro-life" Republican all these years only to fall below the pro-choice guy among voters who hold opposition to abortion rights above all other issues. Their distrust of McCain appears to be truly irrevocable.

As a sidenote, the Democrats were included in the straw poll and Obama did best with 5 onsite votes, just ahead of Kucinich and Dodd who had 2 votes each and Biden who had one.

Update [2007-10-20 17:57:15 by Todd Beeton]: Oh yeah, and to give you a sense of just what it was that made the fundies go crazy for Huckabee this weekend, CNN has a wrap-up of his speech. Upshot: abortion is a holocaust and discrimination should be enshrined into the constitution:

"Sometimes we talk about why we're importing so many people in our workforce," the former Arkansas governor said. "It might be for the last 35 years, we have aborted more than a million people who would have been in our workforce had we not had the holocaust of liberalized abortion under a flawed Supreme Court ruling in 1973."

Huckabee also spoke adamantly of the need for conservative lawmakers to show no compromise on fighting for a constitutional amendment that defines marriage between a man and a woman. "I'm very tired of hearing people who are unwilling to change the constitution, but seem more than willing to change the holy word of God as it relates to the definition of marriage," he said.

Tags: 2008 Presidential election, FRC, Mike Huckabee, Republican primary, straw poll (all tags)

Comments

27 Comments

We'll see

If Huckabee had half the resources of Giuliani or Romney, he'd be the leading GOP candidate. It's sad but money is an all too important factor in American politics. Huckabee still has a very credible shot as a VP choice if he fails to get the GOP nod.

by rosebowl 2007-10-20 02:01PM | 0 recs
Re: We'll see

The real question, to my mind, is: WHY doesn't he have the resources?

He's been running as long as them. He's the same guy now that he was at the beginning, running the same campaign. He's been saying the same stuff.

Why haven't they discovered him -yet-? Hell, Markos was afraid of him two years ago! Why hasn't  he been in the top three, at least?

by BingoL 2007-10-20 06:09PM | 0 recs
Re: We'll see

Either 1) The Theocons are not as strong as they think they are...

2) He hasn't courted the Theocons becuase he figured he would get them easily

3) He is a shitty fund raiser.

4)  Theocons were withholding their money until they  had a better picture.

Huckabee scares the shit out of me.  If Rudy gets the nom, there is NO DOUBT in my mind Huckabee is #1 on the VP list to keep the Theocons from revolting... He tells them that Terrorism and invading countries with brown people is more important than things like healthcare, feeding the poor, the poverty gap, gay marriage and abortion rights, but he will not lift a finger to legalize those things and in 8 years when he conquers the middle east and turns it into NY East, Huckabee can come in and take care of all their needs.  

by yitbos96bb 2007-10-21 02:49PM | 0 recs
Re: We'll see

Anti-taxers like the club for growth and economic royalists hate him. That's where the big money is. Theocons would be able to pony up quite a bit of cash if they united behind him though.

by Quinton 2007-10-21 08:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values Voters"

Wow, over 50% for Huckabee (called 'huck' by the Romneybots) among theocons. In the beginning of the primary season, I figured that either Brownback or Huckabee would break out. Thompson seemed to stall that thought, but now it's reappeared.

I do not like a Clinton-Huckabee match-up at all. The press eats from Huckabee's hand.

by Jerome Armstrong 2007-10-20 02:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values Voters"

Yes, he's very 'telegenic' as they used to say.  And the Clinton-Huckabee match-up seems disastrous somehow, probably because his charismatic style exposes her perceived weaknesses.  The question is whether Gingrich or Dobson are going to formally commit to him soon enough to make a difference, he needs exactly what they could offer.  I fail to understand what part of their courtship has stalled, given their clear alignment of values, and can only assume it is something grossly political to do with the conditions of their support in respect of policy or some quid pro quo package they demand if he is nominated.  Any thoughts on that?

by Shaun Appleby 2007-10-20 02:16PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values Voters"

It seems to me that the best candidate to oppose Huckabee is a fellow Southerner,Edwards. The contrast between these two photogenic men from basically the same culture is issues and outlook only. Edwards beats Huckabee on issues with everyone except die-hard theocons.

by antiHyde 2007-10-20 02:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values Voters"

I would say Al Gore would be the best candidate to oppose Huckabee personally.  

Edwards would be up there as would Obama and Richardson... Inconvenient Truth Gore (versus Gore 2000), Obama and Edwards have the personality and speech chops to take him on... I'm not sure Richardson does

Biden, Dodd, Hillary... really any North Eastern candidate would have a hard time.  I still say the two best candidates for us to face if Hillary gets the nom are Romney and Guiliani.  They lose a lot of their regional advantage (as Mass, NY and NJ will go Blue even with Rudy there is Clinton is our Nom).  McCain worries me some against Hillary, but I think he is easy to derail and neuter... repeat commercials of him palsy walsy with Bush in 2004 and tying them together will destroy McCain.  Thompson's a joke and is too far out of practice to take on the pitbull known as Hillary, but will get most of the south and probably make it closer.  

Huckabee is the danger... he takes the south, he takes the upper west.  He puts Florida into play, He puts Missouri in Play, He puts Ohio in Play... I'd say any socially conservative state such as Iowa, WV, Arizona, NV, etc.  A lot of states we have a real shot to transition from red to purple or purple to blow in the Midwest and southwest become a little bit harder than if facing a guy like Romney or Guiliani or Thompson.  

by yitbos96bb 2007-10-21 03:06PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values Voters"

I'm not convinced Huckabee will be very dangerous despite all the recent hype.

His positions are key issues such as abortion, gay rights and taxes are way out of mainstream. No matter how 'charming' he is, people do vote on issues that matter to them.

If Huckabee is the nominee, all Kerry states will be immediately out of reach for Republicans. They will be playing defense immediately.

I saw a poll a while ago that Hillary would beat him in Arkansas.

Huckabee is all hype for the time being. He has no chance to get the nominee. I still predict Rudy will win this out in the end.

by areyouready 2007-10-20 02:31PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values Voters"

I agree.

by spirowasright 2007-10-20 03:09PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values Voters"

I agree. About time somebody in the netroots pointed that out.

by spirowasright 2007-10-20 03:09PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values Voters"

He's not part of the netroots.  He insults the Netroots on nearly every occasion.  He is a Hillary Booster, nothing more.

by yitbos96bb 2007-10-21 02:56PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values Voters"

On the flip side most of the Bush states are in Huckabee's corner and we have a very close election...  

Its funny how those who worship at the shrine of Hillary are the only ones who don't see Huckabee as a problem... when everyone else in politics see's him as one of the best matches to take on Hillary as he puts most of the Bush states out of play immediately and the solid Bush states have more EVs than the solid Clinton states.  

by yitbos96bb 2007-10-21 02:55PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "

He really stomped the competition. Good for him.

by rikyrah 2007-10-20 02:43PM | 0 recs
Huckabee get clobbered

Bring on Huckabee.

Is everyone forgetting that we are electing a wartime president. We currently have over 200,000 US troops in combat, a major terror threat, and a disasterous foreign policy.

I'm not sure Huckabee can even find Iraq on a map. He has ZERO national security experience.

Hillary would turn the tables on him and make the Republican look like the babe in the woods on national security.

As much as the Jesus Freaks may like his bible thumpin', I don't think that America as a whole is ready to elect a hardshell Southern Baptist tent revival preacher as a Ayatolla....I mean, er...President.

by hwc 2007-10-20 03:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee get clobbered

And how much national security experience did Bill Clinton have before he was first elected?  And didn't we just finish the first Gulf War?

by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-10-20 04:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee get clobbered

"He's not standing up here right now."

by hwc 2007-10-20 04:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee get clobbered

And Hillary has such great military credentials?

She actually has less than Bush!

by antiHyde 2007-10-20 06:34PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee get clobbered

I'm not sure if you've heard of the Senate Armed Services Committee. Its membership is a frequent source for Secretary of Defense because the committee is so connected with the challenges facing the Pentagon.

by hwc 2007-10-20 09:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee get clobbered

I'm well acquainted with it. It's main purpose is to   authorize weapon systems produced by "campaign contributors".

by antiHyde 2007-10-21 04:17PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee get clobbered

What the hell are you talking about?  I made a point about foreign affairs experience.  I was not talking about Hillary.

by Calvin Jones and the 13th Apostle 2007-10-20 07:46PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee get clobbered

I was responding to hwc's "Hillary would turn the tables on him and make the Republican look like the babe in the woods on national security."

The reply got attached to the wrong message. For some reason, the page jumps around when I try to post.

by antiHyde 2007-10-21 04:20PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee get clobbered

You are completely foolish if you think Huckabee is some kind of Bush like idiot... He isn't.  He's a very smart, very personable man.  He's a LOT more charasmatic than Hillary can even DREAM of being.  Holding him lightly shows a lot of political ignorance... thank goodness Hillary, Edwards and Obama's people aren't that stupid to hold the man lightly.

by yitbos96bb 2007-10-21 03:09PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values

The Values Voters know what I know...

IF they nominate Rudy, then the Values Folks will have to STFU ABOUT MUMBLING THE WORD MORALITY for the entire Presidential Campaign.

Because...

when you nominate a man who brings his WHORE INTO THE HOUSE WITH YOUR WIFE AND CHILDREN...

You don't have a leg to stand on in trying to preach ' morality'.

by rikyrah 2007-10-20 04:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Huckabee Wins "Values

Not to mention building the NYC emergency command center across the street from your office, complete with furnished suite, monogrammed towels, cigar humidors, and private elevators for the maximum in convenience as a love nest for pokin' press secretaries and mistresses.

by hwc 2007-10-20 04:46PM | 0 recs
On Huckabee

I can understand why Huckabee won the theocon poll. It makes sense. For goodness sakes, he's a conservative baptist minister.

On the other hand, I do not see him getting the Republican nomination. The "no taxes" wing of the Republican party hates him. Heck, the "Club For Growth" gang has taken out ads against Huckabee. Mark my words: "no new taxes" will be the mantra for Republican candidates in 2008. That is their plan, and Huckabee at the top of the ticket would completely undermine that plan.  

Contrary to what some are saying, I do not think Huckabee is telegenic. Just the opposite: I think he appears wild eyed, and frankly, a bit scary in TV interviews. The camera does not like him. And when you combine his wild eyed look with the off-key policies (a national consumption tax?), and intemperate remarks (abortion holocaust?) he often makes, I just don't see him getting the nomination.

He might seem to have the right moral policies for the theocon wing of the party, but he is the wrong package. If I were to wager today, based upon present conditions, I would say the Republicans will nominate Thompson (50% chance), McCain (25% chance) or Romney (25% chance).

Of course, as much as the NYT (and the MSM) is pushing for it, I do not see the Republican party nominating Giuliani. The Republicans are not going to nominate a cross dressing, pro-choice, pro-gay rights, pro-gun control New Yorker who is presently married to the women who broke up his second marriage.  

by Demo37 2007-10-20 09:50PM | 0 recs
Ron Paul

I was surprised by Paul's double-digit third place showing.  Being a quasi-Libertarian now (after being the Lib. party's presidential nominee in '88), doesn't that mean he's against government regulation of abortion and marriage?

Of course, I haven't been to his website.  Used to go to GOP sites, but I ruined too many keyboards due to projectile vomiting.

by CLLGADEM 2007-10-21 07:23AM | 0 recs

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