Pelosi's Approval Rating Tops 50 Percent, Bests Bush's By 16 Points

The details of the latest CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey are beginning to trickle out, and like the USA Today/Gallup poll released today, it finds President Bush's approval rating in the mid-30s -- 34 for Gallup, 35 for ORC.

But more interestingly the poll, which is available in part from Hotline's Wakeup Call (and which I have independently confirmed), shows that 51 percent of Americans approve of the job being done by new House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, compared with just 22 percent who disapprove. It's certainly true that these numbers can, at least in part, be chalked up to the positive coverage Pelosi received upon becoming the first female Speaker and the House Democrats' success in passing popular legislation in the opening hours of this Congress.

Yet this, alone, cannot explain these impressive numbers. Looking back to the last time that power changed hands in the House of Representatives back in 1995, then there was an equally recognizable if not even more well known new Speaker of the House who came in with a series of poll-tested promises that had fairly wide support among the American people.

Polling from January of that year (Gallup, 1/16-18/95) showed that, indeed, a plurality of Americans approved of the job Newt Gingrich was performing as Speaker. But the margin was tiny -- 39 percent approving, 35 percent disapproving -- and by early February (Gallup, 2/3-5/95) Gringrich's numbers slipped deep into negative territory, with 38 percent approving and 48 disapproving. Asking a slightly different question that month, The Pew Research Center found that 41 percent of Americans viewed Gingrich favorably while 37 percent viewed him unfavorably. And according to Wall Street Journal/NBC News polling, Gingrich hit his high water mark for support in April of that year when he posted a positive rating of 31 percent and a negative rating of 36 percent.

With numbers like these, it's clear that Americans' support for Nancy Pelosi, and indeed the new Democratic Congress as well, is not just about having faith in new leadership over Congress. What's more, it's not just about new blood as Speaker. It's about something far more profound than that. Americans like what Nancy Pelosi is doing as Speaker and the direction in which she, and the Democratic Party, are leading this country. While she and her party still have their work cut out for them in the weeks and months to come, they currently stand with as strong of a base within the American people as any recent Congress -- if not more so -- a fact that should instill in them a sense of fortitude and resolve as they go up against a wildly unpopular President and Republican Party.

Tags: 110th congress, Approval ratings, Nancy Pelosi (all tags)

Comments

11 Comments

Re: Pelosi's Approval Rating Tops 50 Percent, Best

This confirms what we have long known: we are the mainstream, they are the extremists.

by Populism2008 2007-01-16 12:06PM | 0 recs
Re: Pelosi's Approval Rating Tops 50 Percent, Best

It looks like the Republicans did a terrible job of defining her as a "San Francisco liberal".  My guess is that future attacks on Democrats will be on our Presidential contenders meaning Pelosi will not be targeted.  Her numbers may be a little artificially high due to the 100 hour legislation being so popular, but she deserves it since she was the architect behind it.  My guess is that her approval will stay more positive than negative for a long time.

by blueryan 2007-01-16 12:44PM | 0 recs
Re: Pelosi's Approval Rating Tops 50 Percent

Does this mean that the Netroots will finally get off her case?

Nancy Pelosi is a gifted leader who, though not without flaws, has a good grasp of what the country wants/needs and how to address those needs.  She is very, very tough and good at managing her caucus, while at the same time her public persona played very well in her swearing in ceremony.  How about the Netroots now cut her a little slack as she maneuvers her troops for the fight against Bush and Bushism.

by Mimikatz 2007-01-16 12:47PM | 0 recs
I Think It's A Matter of Perspective

DC is such a bubble, it's hard for people to really get what the constraints are there.  A lot of the criticism directed toward her would make sense if she ware just a visible politician without leadership responsibilities.  But she has leadership responsibilities, and the folks she's responsible for leading are the most un-unified, slap-dash amalgam of politicians one could possibly imagine--and that's before the RWNM even starts in on them, much less the lobbyists, etc.

Of course, it's easy to "know" all this in an intellectual sense, and still not come anywhere close to really getting it. (If we really got it, how many of us would running screaming out into the street?) Which is where a lot of hair-trigger criticism of her comes from.

by Paul Rosenberg 2007-01-16 03:52PM | 0 recs
Yes, but...

Not to want to rain on anyone's parade, but...

Firstly, I'm slightly surprised that as many as 73% of Americans know who Nancy Pelosi is. How many of them, I wonder, have only realized since the ballyhoo at the opening of the 110th? (The honeymoon effect may be greater for those in that category.)

Plus - I wonder to what extent the motherhood and apple pie ultra-moderate nature of the 100 Hours bills has played a part.

Plus - I'm too lazy to research how unpopular Clinton was in January 95. My suspicion is, nowhere as much as the incumbent.

Plus - Bush has been there for ever, is responsible for the fubar in Iraq, has clearly run out of puff at least as much as any prez starting his last Congress (failing a dose of let's bomb Iran Viagra - Heaven forfend!).

Pelosi has novelty value: she's female (the Katie Couric of legislators), she's a distinctive face, she has mildly tabloid angles - has she done Oprah yet?

It's an interesting poll, up to a point. But that point is pretty close to the point we were at before the poll.

by skeptic06 2007-01-16 01:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Yes, but...

Clinton's approval rating was in the mid-40s at the time, though his disapproval rating was in the mid-40s as well -- not hovering around or above 60 percent, as is President Bush's. Good point. Even so, the fact that Pelosi's disapproval rating is just 22 percent when she was so often tarred in Republican ads throughout the fall and that she did receive negative reviews following the election as a result of her actions in regard to the races for Majority Leader and Intelligence Chair is notable.

by Jonathan Singer 2007-01-16 01:49PM | 0 recs
Jonathan, you're overstating anti-Pelosi ads, news

All those anti-Pelosi GOP campaign ads didn't even dent her lack of name recognition.  And negative coverage in December over the Majority Leader fight also didn't penetrate ordinary Americans' consciousness because:  (1) it's "inside baseball" stuff that ordinary people don't care about or pay attention to; (2) people tend to tune out politics right after an election; and (3) people tune out politics in December because things like holiday parties and travel plans are more fun.

The fact is most Americans had never heard of Nancy Pelosi until earlier this month, and they give her high approvals as a fleeting thing, based on her being the first woman speaker and pushing popular bills at the outset.  It's not something deeper, as you want to argue.  It's just a honeymoon when things are easy.

Hopefully Nancy will keep guiding the ship skillfully after this honeymoon is over.  It will get tougher in February and beyond, after the popular stuff--including a non-binding resolution opposing Bush's latest Iraq "plan"--has run its course.  What happens when things get tough will be the TRUE test of Nancy's skill, and will be the basis for the public's not-yet-determined deeply-held views of her.

by DCCyclone 2007-01-17 06:37AM | 0 recs
Re: Yes, but...

has she done Oprah yet?

Bet not...probably isn't looking for recognition from a bandwagon crowd, such as Oprah's audiences.

by Books Alive 2007-01-16 03:58PM | 0 recs
Re: Pelosi's Approval Rating Tops 50 Percent, Best

I love my DC friends, but my Rep is doing a great job as Speaker and you don't even have a Rep.

;)

by Bob Brigham 2007-01-16 01:55PM | 0 recs
Remember, Too, The Press LOVED Gingrich!

As egomaniacal as he was, a good portion of the press simply echoed his narcissistic blather as if it were stone-carved truth.  Yet, even with all that going for him, people still didn't really like him, ever, really, as the numbers cited show.

Then he shut down the government, so people forgot how unpopular he was before he did it.

by Paul Rosenberg 2007-01-16 03:59PM | 0 recs
you go, girl.. and don't come back

by heyAnita 2007-01-16 04:19PM | 0 recs

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