Global Warming Apologist Andrew Sullivan

Time Magazine blogger Andrew Sullivan has joined Robert Samuelson in the 'apologist' camp for the polluters causing global warming.  Here's what Sully has to say. 

In both cases, however, the evidence is complicated and hard to pin down with absolute certainty. We know we are at much greater risk now from Islamist terror than we were a decade ago - but measuring how much, and where from specifically, is very hard. Equally, we know that global warming is real, but whether it has reached or will soon reach a dangerous tipping point is not a given. And in both cases, the entire argument rests a great deal on what we do not and cannot know. It seems to me prudent to take both risks seriously, but not so seriously that we abandon objective, empirical judgment. If such judgment had been in more evidence four years ago, the Iraq WMD intelligence debacle might have been avoided.

This is rich.  The rush to war was premised on the assumption that the judgment of the Bush administration (and Sullivan) was superior to that of professional weapons inspectors like Hans Blix.  This turned out to be false.  Now, the foot-dragging on global warming is premised on the assumption that the judgment of the Bush administration (and Sullivan) is superior to that of the global scientific community.

As usual, this is an issue of judgment and trust.  Put Sullivan and Samuelson down as apologists for global warming, those willing to justify inaction so that they can feel, at the end of he day, smugly superior.  In other words, if you like the the people who brought you the war in Iraq, you'll love inaction on climate change.

One day soon, these people will go away, and politics will become more than a parlour game for rich and smug boomer elitist cowards.

Tags: Andrew Sullivan, Global Warming, Robert Samuelson (all tags)

Comments

13 Comments

Re: Global Warming Apologist Andrew Sullivan

In both cases, for Sully he would have to admit he was wrong about something, and that's never going to happen. Have you ever read  his site? He has an excuse for everything except blaming his own faulty abilities to have good judgment. I don't expect that to change.

by bruh21 2006-07-05 03:24PM | 0 recs
Ego over Good Decisions

Good point.  Sullivan hates saying that he's wrong.

But at some point what he says really seems silly.  His whole argument is that we don't know if we are at a tipping point.  Well...um...hello Sully, a) there is no real question, b) does it really matter when the tipping point is coming? Do we need to know when the exact last day is so that we can keep living high on the energy hog until that very last hour?

We need to work on global warming now, not later.  The immediacy of the "tipping point" is really irrelevant as we know it's out there.  Why gamble?  He never fails to endorse expending energy on the GWOT, why should we take risks with global warming when we won't with terrorism?  It just strikes me a lunacy.

by utbrian 2006-07-05 04:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Ego over Good Decisions

You make the common mistake the left makes in every argument. You are thinking policy when they are thinking character, ego, belief and idealogical considerations. Sullivan is searching for hierachy, someone to believe in and a comfortable blanket to wrap himself in. I will bet you are willing to bend on issues when you are proven factually wrong? You probably think through whether you believe in a leader or not? You, even if you are acentrist, probably believe in debating the issues to come to some consensus, or if you are more radical, believe that there are things that can be discussed? That's not the right. In fact, the carricature of them is true- they appeal to the baser instincts dressed up as rational debate. ONe of my friends voted for bush in 2004 b/c "a man's got do do, what a man's got to do." How do you argue with that? Sullivan is just another version of this kid who can never be wrong. He wasn't wrong on Iraq- he simply made the bad choice of supporting Bush who is "incompetent." One of my friends- a conservative guy- said to me around the time of the war- "what makes me think we can win over there when the British couldnt?" And there in lies the rub. It's about belief- not facts. To engage them as though they are engaging in rational debate is to make you irrational. To put another way- would you waste time arguing with a drunk man on a bender? I know we feel the need to do that here- but I am not convinced it will matter because its like a stubborn kid who has come up with an answer. They will shake their heads no and keep saying no - It doesn't mattere what you say because they win by being obstinate, not by being right.

by bruh21 2006-07-05 04:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Ego over Good Decisions

yeah, i guess you're right.  It's just hard to quit logic.  "I wish I knew how to quit you logic!"  But, alas, I am burdened with a critical mind.

by utbrian 2006-07-05 05:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Ego over Good Decisions

well- in fairness- there can be the same trappings on either side. Right now- in this period in history- it's the left that is relying on logic and the higher instincts to make its argument. Whereas under a system like communism it was the right making the correct arguments for liberty and responsibility.

by bruh21 2006-07-05 06:06PM | 0 recs
Re: Ego over Good Decisions

PS- Another quick example just to hammer home the point. My friend told me today that his mother, who is conservative, her trump card whenever he talks politics with her (he's left leaning) is that the Clinton's killed Vince Foster. How do you argue this level of irrationality? When Sullivan argues his positions about the left- he often also creates these fake left positions- and argues against them. After two years of reading him- he only recently finally had an actual Democratic statement posted accurately on his site.

by bruh21 2006-07-05 04:37PM | 0 recs
Re: Global Warming Apologist Andrew Sullivan

Great Post.  It really is that simple.. Do you trust experts and scientists and become educated on a certain subject or do you follow along with what a proven political hack thinks?

I guess I might think differently if we didn't already have too much proof of the Bush Adminstration's incompetence and desire to purposely mislead for political and personal gain.

by Steve Talbert 2006-07-05 03:42PM | 0 recs
Re: Global Warming Apologist Andrew Sullivan

Why even bother giving attention to anything this self-loather writes?  Just because he dislikes the GOP's homophobia (read: treatment of him), doesn't make him any less of a neocon.  Not to mention, he's arrogant, self-important, and self-centered with little regard for any other human being.  It's time to stop paying attention to him.  

by njfellow 2006-07-05 04:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Global Warming Apologist Andrew Sullivan

There is a grain of truth in statements about climate change. This is that we don't know when the "tipping point" will be reached.

This, of course, assumes that there is such a thing as a tipping point. We already have many cases of problems created by human excess. Just this week there were two stories on fish. One on the collapse of the salmon population in the Klamath river and the other of the impending extinction of blue fin tuna in the Atlantic.

The first is the direct result of diverting water last year to farmers instead of to the river. The second is caused by over fishing for sushi lovers.

Yesterday the NY Times had a story on new developments in converting coal to diesel fuel. Plants are being built even though this produces much more carbon than other alternatives. Coal is "cheap" and plentiful, so the environment is ignored.

We have not seen any politicians willing to ask people to make actual sacrifices to lower our excessive resource use. No leadership, no change.

by rdf 2006-07-06 04:57AM | 0 recs
this is not the best reading of the Sullivan piece

Sullivan may not have the exact position on the environment that we'd like to see, but...that article you reference was a stinging critique of Dick Cheney's hypocrisy.  

The argument he was trying to make was this:  if Cheney was willing to move heaven and earth to find WMDs in Iraq on the "1%" chance they existed, then he should also be willing to act on the environment if there is at least a "1%" chance that human behavior is a causal factor (e.g. making things worse).

The quote, then,  you pull from the piece was Sullivan's way of saying,"Look..if this is the 'debate' as it stands, then it definitely meets the 1% criteria."  Translation:  radical conservatives should be in favor of government controls to combat pollution, there is a climate crisis we need to address.

I think, in fact, that this Sullivan piece was at attempt to convince Conservatives--using their own backwards logic--that they should be accepting Gore's arguments and following his leadership on the environment.  And if not, then they should not expect anyone to follow their logic on national security.

So that was the point of the piece.  This article, here, makes it seem like Sullivan just set out to question whether global warming exists--which is a bit misleading.

(and BTW:  I have a generally low view of Sullivan...)

by Jeffrey Feldman 2006-07-06 05:29AM | 0 recs
Re: Global Warming Apologist Andrew Sullivan

Be hard to top the conversion of cow manure to natural gas in digesters for a green technology.  Joe Lieberman should be able to supply one digester all by himself and actually do some good for a change.

The usual rabid anti-environmentalists like the Sierra Club and Greenpeace would inhibit the development of digester technology by restricting the cows per acre for dairies and thus maintain pollution levels.

If one argues that the overwhelming point of view of knowledgeable scientists is proof certain of the causes of global warming, one understands nothing at all about science.

Pity that political science interferes with the old-fashioned kind.

If one argues that one should ignore the chances of nearly unimaginable catastrophe if scientific opinion is correct because scientific truth is uncertain and ephemeral, one might be accused of faulty logic.

by terryhallinan 2006-07-06 06:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Global Warming Apologist Andrew Sullivan

It has really pleased me to see the buzz around "An Inconvenient Truth," and how much press global warming is now getting (finally). It's great to see politicians debating the issue. As you all know, and as is discussed on the terror/civil liberties issue, debate is the first step. It is the kind of step that will outweigh the "belief based" model put forth by Bruh21, and enable reason to prevail.

Two explorers just reached the North Pole and became the first people to do so in the summer. However, they fear they may be the last to do so not in a boat, as they witnessed many indicators of warmer temperatures. You can learn more on the expedition's site: http://www.projectthinice.org/index.php

by AmyG 2006-07-06 11:28AM | 0 recs
Re: Global Warming Apologist Andrew Sullivan

You say that some day, these people will be gone and politics will stop being a parlor game for the rich and smug.

I tend to agree, but my question is "When?"

O)bviously from the looks of things in Mexico, it woun't be soon and given the head-up-the-butt nature of the American electorate,, I don't hold out a lot of hope for the land of the Utterly Stupid and Addlebrained.  

by spirowasright 2006-07-06 01:07PM | 0 recs

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