by Matt Stoller, Wed Apr 05, 2006 at 07:23:08 AM EDT
Steve Clemons is warning about the drumbeat to invade Iran, and pointing out that there are good ways to stop the Iranian nuclear program without a military strike. And his statements are coming from discussions with Israeli national security specialists, so this isn't a peacenik movement talking here. Coincidentally, this morning I had a conversation with Eric Massa, one of the candidates just added to the netroots fundraising page. Massa is a 24 year Navy veteran who was in Gulf War I and Kosovo, so I asked him about Iran.
Roughly, here's what he said. The way to guarantee that Iran gets a nuclear weapon is to go in with F-15s and bomb them. If we go in we have to have a 100% kill ratio for nuclear sites, or else the one we didn't hit will come back to bite us. The way to stop nuclear proliferation is, as Clemons says, to work with institutions in the country by actually opening up a dialogue.
In other words, if we attack Iran like we did Iraq, Iran will get nuclear weapons. But that's not all. I'll just quote from the Cunning Realist:
As someone who works in the global financial markets, I can state confidently that military action against Iran will have profound financial consequences for any American who relies on more than a log cabin, a bicycle, and barter.