Texas Primary Results Thread
by Chris Bowers, Tue Mar 07, 2006 at 02:36:48 PM EST
This is it. This is he first election where the netroots have tried to knock off a Democratic incumbent. As soon as they start coming in, not long after 8pm eastern, you can find updated results here.
Official Returns
Swing State Project
CQ Politics
Most Recent Updates At The Top
Official Returns
Swing State Project
CQ Politics
Most Recent Updates At The Top
- I have created a second results thread. There will be no more updates on this thread.
- Early voting from Wilson County shows another very slight gain for Cuellar. Current projection now stands at 51.73% for Cuellar.
- Chris Bell wins the Democratic gubenatorial primary.
- I just did some quick calculations, and I could be way off, but turnout might be as low as 35K. It was 49K in 2004.
- We seem to be in a results lull, so see what you can find out about Webb County in terms of voting history and irregularities.
- OK, now with everything updated, the current results, all from early voting, are as follows: Ciro: 64.31% (6,113), Cuellar: 28.16% (2,677), Morales: 7.52% (715). Current projection, which is missing four counties which account for more than 50% of the vote and does not yet factor into turnout, still stands at Cuellar 51.63%.
- The extra 6,000 votes I am recording are coming from early voting in Bexar County as reported by Swing State Project. My results are the most updated you will find, although it did just occur to me that I included a few hundred "place holder" votes that I have included in counties with no returns in order to make my porjection spreadsheet work.
- OK, early Atascosa County results are a disaster. Cuellar wins a majority of early voting in the county (52.7%), whereas he only managed 37.0% of the vote here in 2004. Current projection puts Cuellar at 51.63% overall. Not good, but still early.
- For a more positive spin on current results, look at it this way: in actual votes, right now Ciro is up huge, 6,105--2,529--567. That is why turnout could change everything. If Webb county reports low, it won't matter that Cuellar is up relative to 2004.
- I would like to note that even though Cuellar is up relative to 2004 in all but one of the six counties that have reported early returns so far, he isn't up much. Because it is so close, Cuellar could lose even if he is up everywhere, depending on turnout. Turnout could change everything, as could eleciton day voting. And I won't be able to do any turnout estiamtes until all counties report early voting.
- Early voting form LaSalle also positive for Cuellar relative to 2004. Current proejction stands at Cuellar 51.43%, although still only around 8,000 votes have been counted. We are going to need to pick things up here.
- In TX-22, DeLay has just dropped a hair under 60%.
- More early voting. Relative to 2004, Cuellar is up a bit in Comal County, and a little down in Hayes. Overall proejction currently stands at Cuellar 51.11%, but only 7,500 votes have come in, and that could be altered by turnout levels.
- I should note that the overall vote currently shows Ciro ahead 764-469-144. However, because of the wild differences between counties in this district, and because the election was basically a tie last time, I am reporting mainly county-by-county and relative to 2004.
- From Swing State Project:According to Commissioner's Court sources in Webb County they are unable to report Early Voting because their systems are down.
Let's just hope Webb County doesn't wait to see the votes that they need to win before reporting. Locals claimed it has happened before. Webb is Cuellar's base. Great. - The early vote form McMullen is huge for Cuellar, with 87.2%. He only pulled 60.2% of the vote there in 2004. But McMullen only makes up 0.2% of the district so it doesn't matter much.
- The early vote from Bexar County shows 73.39% for Ciro, 20.85% for Cuellar, and 5.75% for Morales. The early voting from these two counties so far shows an overal 1% gain for Cuellar. It is still very early though, and we could be helped by turnout.
- The early voting in in from Guadalupe County, and goes 60-30-10 Ciro-Cuellar-Morales. That is a 3% increase for Cuellar over what he did in Guadalupe in 2004. Not a great sign, but it is still a very small number of votes.
Tags: election results (all tags)
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