McCain's Approval Ratings Punctured, and Other Survey USA Goodies
by Matt Stoller, Thu Mar 23, 2006 at 02:49:21 PM EST
First up, McCain. In Arizona, he's taking a beating in his approval/disapproval ratings. He was up 72-24 a month ago, he's now 64-29. That's a 13 point swing. What's more interesting is where the swing is happening. Among Democrats, his approval rating has dropped from 73-24 to 58-32, a drop of 23 points. Among independents, he goes from 72-25 to 64-30, a drop of 13 points (which I would imagine is occurring among left-leaning independents). Among Republicans, he stayed neutral, going from 70-24 to 72-26. McCain's partisanship isn't new, but the willingness of Democrats to call him on it is new, and this seems to be having an effect.
Next up, Lieberman. His numbers haven't moved in any statistically significant manner. He's below 50% among liberals, which will become more of a problem if he keeps pissing off influential journalists by yelling at them. He still has very high ratings in Connecticut among Republicans and generally good favorables among Democrats.
In New Jersey, Bob Menendez is shoring up his approval ratings quite dramatically.
Two places I'm watching are Arizona and Virginia. While I think Kyl is vulnerable, and the numbers show him at below 50%, Jim Pederson hasn't yet done anything to prove he can win this. And in Virginia, George Allen looks like he can be taken down with the right campaign, though it will not be easy.
An interesting set of numbers. I wonder, what do you think explains the drop in McCain's approval rating among Democrats and left-leaning Independents?