Attention All Democratic Senate Staffers: Wiretap Polling, Part II
by Chris Bowers, Thu Mar 16, 2006 at 07:02:42 AM EST
The first part of this study looked at the CBS poll on wiretapping, which is one of two public polls released in the past month with wiretap questions. This part will focus on last week's Quinnipiac poll, which also has a wiretapping focus. Here were the Q-poll questions:
48. President Bush says the government can use wiretaps to listen to telephone calls and read e-mails between suspected terrorists in other countries and some people in the United States without a court order. Others say such wiretaps require a court order. Which comes closer to your view? Required Not Required
All 55 42
Rep 25 72
Dem 74 22
Ind 59 38
49. To combat terrorism, do you think the government should or should not use wiretaps to listen to telephone calls and read e-mails between suspected terrorists in other countries and some people in the United States?
Should Wiretap: 76%
Should not: 19%
50. How concerned are you that the Bush administration's use of these kinds of wiretaps without a court order could be misused to violate people's privacy: extremely concerned, quite concerned, not really concerned, or not concerned at all?
Extremely Quite Not Really Not At All
All 30 27 24 19
Rep 9 18 36 35
Dem 42 34 14 9
Ind 34 28 23 16
51. Do you believe such wiretaps by the Bush administration have prevented some acts of terrorism?
Yes No
All 54 33
Rep 79 11
Dem 48 38
Ind 49 35
52. Some members of Congress have made an issue of this Presidential wiretapping program. Who do you think will win the political fight; the President or the critics?
President Critics
All 56 33
Rep 73 17
Dem 45 44
Ind 52 38
There are some important numbers to look at here. First, like in the CBS poll, the majority of the country believes that what bush did was illegal. Second, the country also clearly wants the government to engage in wiretapping, but they want them to do it legally. Third, the country, especially Democrats and Independents, the only people who have a chance to vote Dem, are very worried that Bush will use the problem to violate people's right to privacy. Fourth, independents believe that what Bush has done has prevented terrorism.
The last finding is perhaps the most worrying to any Democrat who has considered the political ramifications of censuring Bush. Whether they think the program was legal or not, whether they approve of the program or not, a significant majority of the country gives Bush credit for taking positive action. If I was worried about political fallout from censure, and there was one polling result I would hang my hat on to explain why, that would be it.
However, I would also like to point senate Democrats to the fifth and final question I quoted from the Q-poll: not even the majority of your own party thinks that you can beat Bush. The is a pretty massive level of demoralization. I know that you probably all read the Washington Post and the New York Times, and you are probably concerned with a column in there today about censure firing up the Republican base. What you should be far more concerned with, however, is something that you can control: keeping your own base energized. If less than half of Democrats think that you can beat Bush on this issue, you have clearly failed to inspire confidence in your abilities among the Democratic rank and file. You cannot control whether or not the Republican base is fired up or not, but you can control whether your base is. How many Democrats do you think will vote in November if they don't believe they have a chance to win? How many Democrats do you think will vote in November if they don't even think you can defeat Bush when you have a majority in Congress? How many Democrats do you think will vote in November if you don't show them that you actually share the same hopes and dreams that they do? Even apart from wiretapping polls, a hope more than a few of them remember this poll from last year:
Americans Want an Opposition Party"American want Democrats to stand up to Bush," the Wall Street Journal's Washington Wire reports. "Fully 60%, including one-fourth of Republicans, say Democrats in Congress should make sure Bush and his party 'don't go too far.' Just 34% want Democrats to 'work in a bipartisan way' to help pass the president's priorities."
People want you to stand up to Bush, but even members of your own party don't believe that you can do it with any success. No matter what people think about you on terrorism, you are never going to get enough votes to take control of congress unless you can actually convince people that you can win your battles against Bush. That isn't going to happen unless you show people that you want to win them.
Stand up, damn it. Look around the blogosphere, which contains the core of your activist base. Read the comment threads and diaries. The frustration and dejection is widespread. This should really concern you. We are doing whatever we can to support people who are wiling to hold Bush accountable for illegally spying on Americans. The last thing you should be doing, even though I am pretty sure you are doing it, is dismissing what Senator Feingold and Senator Harkin (and maybe what Senator Kerry, Senator Boxer, and Senator Menendez) are doing as "grandstanding." Throw the people whose hopes and drams you carry a friggin' lifeline. Help us--for crying out loud, help yourselves. We all need to believe that we can win--everyone needs to believe we can win. Do something that will help spread that belief. At least show us that you want to win.
Tags: Democrats, polls, warrant-less wiretaps (all tags)









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