Webb Takes The Lead
by Chris Bowers, Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 06:52:57 PM EST
Webb has taken the lead. He is going to win this, but get ready for a vicious fight.
Comments
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
anybody know the demographics for the votes yet to be counted in MO?
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Carwell says that McCaskill's people still feel they will win based on whats reported so far...
Even better would be Ford pulling it out too. Then time to strip Joementum of his status.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
I heard that Fords race will be fairly close but not as interesting as McCaskill's. Claire has dem strongholds left to count, she's at 60% vote count.
Georgia went deep red today... sigh.. we are now as red as Texas.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Claire will WIN!!! Kansas City has ZERO.....as in 0 votes counted and in 2002 they gave Sen Jean a VERY large 55,000 voye margin. If you add in St Louis County and another 10,000. MO will go BLUE!!!!!! Also, here in St Charles County Talent's vote margin was WAY down from 2002. Sen-elect Claire by 25,000 plus.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Hey Chris why are you missing WI-08? It is looking like Kagen will win. He is up 71,650-64,734 with almost %50 reporting.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Where are these Webb #'s coming from? The link i have shows Webb down by 3k.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
http://sbe.virginiainteractive.org/index .htm
has Allen still with a narrow lead.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Wow. this is ganna be crazy night and an awsome tommorow. This is really amazing. Is it time to crack open a beer yet?
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Let me be more specific because the last 1% of the vote that has not been counted looks to be important to who wins the race. One percent of the vote in this race equals about 23,285 votes. Webb is up 2376 votes with 99% counted. That means Webb has a huge, significant advantage, but probably not quite enought to call it.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Mainly St. Louis left in MO. They are always last. Did I mention how brilliant Colbert/Stewart are? I am watching their show now. Far more entertaining than the windbags on the networks/cable.
The few precincts left in VA are all Webb favorable. But only a few votes left there to count. Absentee?
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Well, we can count on Antonin Scalia's vote... so there's only four more to get
OK
Dan Seals is still in with a shout in Illionois 10. He's down 53-47 with 71% counted. This is a district Kerry won by a substantial margin, but it was on nobody's radar.
Leach is losing in Iowa-02 with over 80% counted. This was another one on noone's radar.
Finally, Hall looks like he's going to win. He's still leading Kelly with 94% counted. Yet another longshot that could pull through.
Re: OK
Seals may not win tonight, but he's gonna be a star...
Think Obama Part II
Its been an amazing race in IL 6
look at CNN's by-county results...
Only 2 counties remain with precincts to report. Webb is winning handily in both counties. Webb won this.
Re: look at CNN's by-county results...
Acctually if you take a closer look there are 7 counties that are still reporting. 5 for Webb, 1 for Allen, and 1 dead heat. It looks like he will win.
Re: look at CNN's by-county results...
I've been extrapolating based on who's leading in cities and counties with precincts yet to report. According to my rough estimates, Allen stands to add to his leads in Gloucester, Harrisonburg, Prince Edward, and Virginia Beach by a total of 310 votes. But Webb stands to add a total of 2325 votes to his leads in Arlington, Charlottesville, Fairfax, Fairfax City, Isle of Wight, and Loudoun.
And I'm not considering absentee votes in these calculations. MSNBC has Webb leading by 3265 votes. My calculations would push that lead to more than 5000 votes. Then add in the absentee votes that come mostly from Webb strongholds. It's been a long night, and I don't have many nails left, but I'm feeling great.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Ford didn't do so badly when all was said and done. 48-51 is no landslide for Corker.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Garance had a post early today saying that the "Call Me" add may have hurt Ford racially but it was also aimed at women. It sent a message that if you were a woman who thought Ford was handsome and/or wanted to vote for him if you did you were no better than the trampy bunny. She says Ford's lead among women was cut substantially due to that add.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Montgomery County hasn't reported yet in Tennessee... isn't that likely to be for Ford?
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
MSNBC is showing numbers that apparently are more recent than the State of Virginia's site. (Don't ask me how, I have no idea.) They have Webb pulling ahead, too.
If the remaining precincts are Webb's, we get to take this thing to the morning papers having won. That fkn RULES!
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
absentee ballots are still out for:
Arlington County (currently 73-26 Webb)
Fairfax County (currently 59-40 Webb)
Richmond (currently 72-26 Webb)
Virginia Beach (currently 52-46 Allen)
as long as Webb maintains a lead prior to the absentees being counted, he's got it.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
If the dems take the senate and house is this proof that the Rethugs have not been stealing the vote? Although still repressing it.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Webb needs to declare victory NOW. It's the strategy that Bush used to great effect in Florida in 2000, so much so that even today, when we know the vote totals in the state favored Gore, people still see Gore as a crybaby whining because he lost. If he doesn't, it'll give legitimacy to Allen's attempts to corrupt the vote.
Declare. Victory. Now.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
My prediction: Tester wins, Claire wins. Webb wins sometime next month. We get the Senate.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
The VA link: http://sbe.vipnet.org/
Has Allen up by 1800 votes with 20 precincts left to count.
G F Allen Republican 1,141,753 49.44%
J H Webb Jr Democratic 1,139,885 49.36%
G G Parker Independent Green 25,604 1.11%
Write Ins 2,270 0.10%
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
boy, those 25,000 green votes sure woulda come in handy. would have put us out of recount territory.
Those aren't Green votes
Parker is with the Independent Green Party, which is totally different from the Green Party.
see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent _Green_Party_of_Virginia
The IGP styles itself as fiscally conservative and socially liberal. There is no reason to believe that they pulled preferentially from Webb over Allen. Unfortunately they were not included in the exit poll data published by CNN, so it is hard to test this.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
On the official VA site:
Webb: 1,148,750
Allan: 1,146,952
99.26 reporting.
Sweet lawd.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Yeah, this is amazing...
Here's the Wash Post link unless you really value waiting for the state site to catch up... (pardon any bad wording, am up way past bedtime, brain slowing..)Re: New England House Seats
Man, we kicked ass in New England! (Except for Ned, Sorry.) Republicans will not win these seats back for a long, long, long time. It took a long time for Democrats to win all these seats and there's no way we are giving them back any time soon.
Re: New England House Seats
Goddamn right!
MA, NH, VT, RI all representin'
What have you done today to make you feel proud?
Re: New England House Seats
I canvassed all day long for the Democrative Party of Vermont in South Burlington and then, after it got so dark out, I couldn't read the numbers on the houses or the mailboxes, I went back to head quarters to make get out the votes call. The only problem was that everyone I talked to on our targeted list of Democrats had already voted!
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
As great as this is, let's not get greedy. If we get the Senate 49-49, that's a huge victory for Democrats. Plus, ole' Joe will vote with us most of the time, anyway.
what a great night!
what a great night!
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
Anyone know where we can go to throw money to the "hold the lead" effort in VA? It looks like Allan has a sizable cash-on-hand lead, and it may come to nastiness. And nastiness costs money.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
We won! That is good! We are not the DLC. I hope we will now have some balls. Screw G W Bush and his cronies. I hope we do not play the kiss ass attitude of the DLC. I hope we stand up for the majority of America!
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
I feel good about Tester. McCaskill lead in exit polls, so perhaps it will be like with Webb.
I will not cry for Ford, Oreo and Dino in one handsome package. The most eager supporter of "Social Security reform". Message: extreme "centrism" does not help.
Looks like Senate +5, House +30. The tide of evil is receding.
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
I've had it for the night. Something I truly need y'all's help with. What time do the liquor stores open in Massachusetts? Seriously. Mayday; Mayday!!!
Re: Webb Takes The Lead
i agree, fuck allen, and while we're at it, fuck that piece of shit pat buchanen on msnbc. long live dems and long live BORAT!!!
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87 Comments