Kentucky and Indiana

by Chris Bowers, Tue Nov 07, 2006 at 01:42:17 PM EST

I'm watching returns from Kentucky and Indiana over at the CNN web page. Anyone got a better site?

Also, an exit poll of some kind shows Democrat Yarmuth winning KY-03 by 51-47, with 2% refusing to answer. That was the race I was looking at as the bellwether for months.

Yarmuth leads KY-03 51.1%--47.6% with 15% reporting. That would be just, friggin' huge.
Yarmuth still leads 51%-48%, with 37% reporting.
Northup (R) takes a very slight lead, 50-49, by about 400 votes, with 55% reporting. I don't know what areas are left, and to whom they are favorable.

Tags: election returns (all tags)

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

With 15% of the vote in, Yarmuth is winning 51-48.

by Sandwich Repairman 2006-11-07 01:43PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

http://electionresults.ky.gov/KyElectWeb /kes?R=A04003000&AC=3&L=3056& ;N=U.S.%20REPRESENTATIVE%203RD%20DIST&am p;RV=0&DV=455591&TP=504&TC=1 &S=3&AR=1&RF=0

by josh06 2006-11-07 01:45PM | 0 recs

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Very partial for KY-08

Ellsworth, Brad Dem 7,065 (72.07%)
Hostettler, John GOP (i) 2,738 (27.93%)

http://mer.ap.org/race.jsp?key=82504973

by Jersey Devil 2006-11-07 01:46PM | 0 recs

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Re: Very partial for KY-08

FYI, that should be IN-08. Otherwise, so far, so good.

by SteveMD04 2006-11-07 02:15PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

http://electionresults.ky.gov/KyElectWeb /kes?AC=1&L=1999

click on each race

by justin423 2006-11-07 01:48PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

The Lamont race in CT is the one that I really hope we can win. Against all the polls, I've been trusting my gut and my heart and just believing that Ned would pull it out. Huge turnout in CT tonite, on a par with a Presidential race, which should be to Lamont's advantage. I'm predicting that Schlesinger is going to take out a bigger bite of the pie than anyone anticipated.

by global yokel 2006-11-07 01:52PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

I don't have anything better.

washingtonpost.com has the KY-03 at just 1% of precincts vs. 15% at CNN.

by Ottnott 2006-11-07 01:53PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

where did this yarmuth/northup race rank in terms of predictions, etc?

by lokiloki 2006-11-07 01:54PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

I'm predicting Yarmuth to pick up, and I'm predicting 33 seats total. If Yarmuth wins, we definately win the 15, and probably at least 25 unless the race is just a fluke.

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 01:56PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Certainly not top tier, that being said when i phonebanked with moveon i called this district and talked to a family of Republicans who said they'd be voting for Yarmuth.

by descartes 2006-11-07 01:59PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Bowers has Yarmuth as a Tier-1 pickup opportunity. He has sixteen candidates as Tier-0 and 23 candidates as Tier-1.

by betterdonkeys 2006-11-07 01:59PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

KY-02,03,04 are competitive. In recent polls, Yarmuth was up by a couple of points.

KY-04 is another one to watch: recent polls show it tied, with the republican up by a point.

by Copley 2006-11-07 01:59PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

where are the 15% reported in KY-03? anyone?

by snaktime 2006-11-07 01:57PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

http://electionresults.ky.gov/KyElectWeb /kes?AC=3&RF=0&AR=0&R=A04003 000&L=1999&N=U.S.+REPRESENTATIVE +3RD+DIST&RV=0&DV=455591&TP= 504&TC=1

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 01:59PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Kentucky 03
Updated: 6:55 p.m. ET

Democratic Yarmuth
44,466 51% 37% of precincts reporting votes by county not available

Republican Northup
(Incumbent)
42,266 48%

Libertarian    Mancini
    750     1%
Full KY
Constitution    Parker
    272     0%

by Johannes 2006-11-07 01:59PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

where? SOS only has 15% reporting...

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 02:00PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

KY 3 53% in
Northrup 49.6
Yarmuth 49.3

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 02:03PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Deep breaths. Think of a calming, tranquil spring. Remember to breathe.

by Copley 2006-11-07 02:04PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

N.B.: Returns on that Kentucky result for Yarmuth is all in Vigo country - Yarmuth 71, Hostettler 29 with 85% precincts reporting.

by pondersomething 2006-11-07 02:06PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

You mean Ellsworth not Yarmuth?

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 02:07PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Is that normally a Dem county?

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 02:10PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Sorry that should read Ellsworth/Hollstetter in IN

So excited, making typos lol!

by pondersomething 2006-11-07 02:07PM | 0 recs

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Early returns looking bad in IN-07

District 7 - 28% precincts reporting
Julia Carson (D) 46%
Eric Dickerson (R) 54%

Source: http://www.indystar.com/apps/pbcs.dll/fr ontpage

by edgeplot 2006-11-07 02:12PM | 0 recs

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Re: Early returns looking bad in IN-07

Wow. Have the cities not reported? If so, the polls are WAY off. (Dem 48-41)

by Copley 2006-11-07 02:17PM | 0 recs

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Re: Early returns looking bad in IN-07

Not true, the polling has showed Carson down or even. I thought the polling was just bad though. We'll see when the other 62% comes in.

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 02:18PM | 0 recs

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Re: Early returns looking bad in IN-07

Is this serious? I mean, I know the polling showed it very close. And I know the concerns about Carson: she's ill and couldn't campaign much. If she loses it wouldn't mean much in itself, considering her situation, but it would mean another seat we need. Still, is she in real jeopardy here?

by elrod 2006-11-07 02:31PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

just swapped back to northup

by lokiloki 2006-11-07 02:13PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Yeah, saw that on MSNBC. Just barely switched, though. About 53% reporting.

by RisingSign 2006-11-07 02:17PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

yeah, I saw that. might want to update the front page. dammit.

by sfluke 2006-11-07 02:19PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Northup is up by .3 with 53.4 reporting.

by Copley 2006-11-07 02:19PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

is there a website of the indiana board of elections or secretary of state that summarizes indiana outcomes?

by Johannes 2006-11-07 02:13PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Yes but they have no results as of yet

http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/election/gene ral/general2006?page=office&countyID -1&officeID=5&districtID-1& ;candidate=

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 02:14PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Screw that page. Go to WISH TV. I posted the link on Breaking Blue. You can click on each district. I posted the separate links on my blog.

by Sandwich Repairman 2006-11-07 02:38PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

the washington post has a map and seems to load fairly well with updates

by kmwray 2006-11-07 02:16PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

What was Virginia Ballot Question 1? Was that the Gay Marriage Amendment?

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-07 02:21PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Yes. Although apparently a chunk of those voters also voted for Webb.

by MNPundit 2006-11-07 02:24PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Cnn Projected Yes to defeat No... Was just curious if another state made bigotry a law... Oh well... GO WEBB!!!

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-07 02:27PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Yarmuth back ahead 50-49

74,353 - 71,737

by Johnny17 2006-11-07 02:24PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

entucky 03
Updated: 7:21 p.m. ET

Democratic Yarmuth
74,353 50% 64% of precincts reporting votes by county not available

Republican Northup
(Incumbent)
71,737 49%

Libertarian    Mancini
    1,249     1%
Full KY
Constitution    Parker
    444     0%

by Johannes 2006-11-07 02:25PM | 0 recs

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KY SOS down

I think we killed the KY SOS site

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 02:25PM | 0 recs

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Re: KY SOS down

Yeah, it's getting hammered. I don't think it was us, though. I've been checking that site since it was linked upthread and it was pretty snappy until about 10 minutes ago, when it just died. Prolly got linked by one of the big boys.

by Copley 2006-11-07 02:28PM | 0 recs

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Re: KY SOS down

Yeah, we did. It isn't working anymore.

by JewishJake 2006-11-07 02:29PM | 0 recs

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It's back.

They work quick over there in Kentucky.

by MNPundit 2006-11-07 02:33PM | 0 recs

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Re: KY SOS down

Here's the CNN page with more updates:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006//pages/ results/states/KY/index.html

by edgeplot 2006-11-07 02:33PM | 0 recs

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Re: KY SOS down

68% of precincts reporting

Yarmuth
79,234 50%
Northup
(Incumbent)
77,182 49%
Mancini
1,333 1%
Parker
473 0%

by edgeplot 2006-11-07 02:34PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Does anyone know how KY breaks down i.e. urban areas reporting later?

by agpc 2006-11-07 02:29PM | 0 recs

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OMFG!!! Yarmouth back on top

According to the Kentucky SOS office with 65.7% reporting in:

Yarmouth - 50.1%

Northup - 48.8%

http://electionresults.ky.gov/KyElectWeb /kes?AC=3&RF=0&AR=0&R=A04003 000&L=3056&N=U.S.+REPRESENTATIVE +3RD+DIST&RV=0&DV=455591&TP= 504&TC=1

by MNPundit 2006-11-07 02:32PM | 0 recs

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Strickland projected to win OH as polls close

This could portend an OH landslide, at least.

by asearchforreason 2006-11-07 02:32PM | 0 recs

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Re: Strickland projected to win OH as polls close

Well the Dispatch polls printed Sunday showed a huge Democratic wave in the state. Winning all 6 statewide offices. Blackwell barely even hanging onto 2002 Taft voters.

by Sandwich Repairman 2006-11-07 02:39PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

IDK by we are still winning KY-03 with 68& reporting

by Johnny17 2006-11-07 02:33PM | 0 recs

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50-48.1 for Yarmuth, with 66% reporting

The Libertarian is pulling important votes away from Northup.

by elrod 2006-11-07 02:34PM | 0 recs

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Weaver is winning!!

OK, only 7% counted, but hey, this is very red district.

by Ben P 2006-11-07 02:36PM | 0 recs

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Re: Weaver is winning!!

Where are you getting that? electionresults.ky.gov shows 0% reporting.
This district is really red though. I'd be surprised if that holds up.

by Copley 2006-11-07 02:39PM | 0 recs

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Re: Weaver is winning!!

CNN had Weaver up 52-48.

by Sandwich Repairman 2006-11-07 02:40PM | 0 recs

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MSNBC tracker

Weaver 51, opponent 49. Doubt it will last, but hey.

by Ben P 2006-11-07 02:40PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

You can also find results for KY-3 at the following site:
http://www.jeffersoncountyclerk.org/resu lts1.htm

by louisville lisa 2006-11-07 02:37PM | 0 recs

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OT: VA Results coming in

7.61% reported:

J H Webb Jr Democratic 73,351 51.96%
G F Allen Republican 66,194 46.89%

Source: http://sbe.vipnet.org/

by edgeplot 2006-11-07 02:42PM | 0 recs

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Yarmuth Pulling ahead at 74% Reporting

Kentucky 03

Updated: 7:43 p.m. ET

74% of precincts reporting

Yarmuth
86,969 51%

Northup
(Incumbent)
83,415 48%

Mancini
1,462 1%

Parker
520 0%

by edgeplot 2006-11-07 02:46PM | 0 recs

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Re: Yarmuth Pulling ahead at 74% Reporting

Yes! FINISH HIM.

by Copley 2006-11-07 02:47PM | 0 recs

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Pssst. Her.

Yes yes, I know, Mortal Kombat and all.

by MNPundit 2006-11-07 02:51PM | 0 recs

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Re: Pssst. Her.

Yeah. It just didn't quite sound right, but yeah. I'll do better next time. Promise.

by Copley 2006-11-07 02:53PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Sweep the leg, Johnny!

(Um...Jimmy!)

by RisingSign 2006-11-07 02:49PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Put him in a body bag!

by Copley 2006-11-07 02:51PM | 0 recs

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Yarmuth still ahead with 76%

76% of precincts reporting:

Yarmuth - 94,401
Northup - 90,691

by louisville lisa 2006-11-07 02:53PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Ysrmuth 94,401; Northup 90,691
81% reporting

by Jilliker 2006-11-07 02:58PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Yarmuth 102441 Northup 99439

432 of 515 precints reporting

He's IN.

by JaB 2006-11-07 03:30PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

Where did you get these numbers? I can't get past 81%.

by elrod 2006-11-07 03:57PM | 0 recs

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Re: Kentucky and Indiana

3RD CONG
        Total
Number of Precincts         515
Precincts Reporting         490
Total Votes         230831
Anne M. NORTHUP     REP     110738
John YARMUTH     DEM     117212
Donna MANCINI     LIB     1995
W. Ed PARKER     CON     736
Write-in Votes        150

at http://www.jeffersoncountyclerk.org/resu lts1.htm

by Johannes 2006-11-07 03:58PM | 0 recs