Trippi's '08 Line

It's bizarre, with Feingold dropping out, the two alternatives to Hillary Clinton that had the best '05 of positioning for the '08 nomination, Russ Feingold and Mark Warner, are now out.  From the WaPost. Here's Joe Trippi's early line for the Democratic Party's '08 nomination:


Front-runner: Hillary Rodham Clinton

She has it all -- the ability to raise the money; a political team that's among the best, if not the best, in the party; a strong base of support; and an uncanny ability to avoid political mistakes. And I don't care what anyone says -- her husband is one of two rock stars in the Democratic Party and a huge asset.

Ironically, the problem with Clinton's candidacy arises from her strength. Front-runners have something to lose, so they almost always run cautious, safe campaigns. This almost cost John Kerry the nomination in 2004, and could cost the senator from New York the nomination in 2008. Her strength also creates the certainty that a campaign of bold new ideas will emerge to oppose her. She is so strong within the party that, with so many contemplating a run against her, the only viable option for a serious challenger is to put forth innovative ideas in hopes of breaking out of the pack. And there are plenty in the Democratic Party who are capable of doing that.

The "Other" Rock Star: Barack Obama

He's the one candidate who can wrestle Bill Clinton for support in the black community and win. All the others are both thrilled about and terrified of this guy. They're thrilled that he might take black votes from Hillary. They're terrified because he might take a lot more votes from them and become a co-front-runner the day he enters the race, if he does. Obama's obvious downside is inexperience. Three years ago, he was an Illinois state senator; in 2008, he will not have completed his first U.S. Senate term. So he had better have some ideas -- or wait till next time.

The Oxygen Taker: Al Gore

Talk about setting a progressive agenda with bold new ideas. The man is doing it and he doesn't even have a job. In a party that tends to treat its past nominees like lepers, Gore has done an amazing job of reemerging as an important thought leader on issues such as the Iraq war and global warming. If he throws his hat into the ring, he will immediately suck all the oxygen out of the room for most of the other candidates. The media won't be able to stop doing the Hillary vs. Al 800-pound-gorillas-go-at-it stories. Everyone but Obama will be reduced to begging for attention. But entering the race means he suddenly would have something to lose. Could candidate Gore stop himself from playing it safe?

The Champion of 2006: John Edwards

Hands down the guy who improved his position the most this year. Edwards leads the field in early polls in Iowa, which is more important than ever, because the 2008 nominating process is more front-loaded than in prior years. The former North Carolina senator has a bevy of ideas, and is the only Southerner, important to a party that has elected only two presidents in the past 30 years -- both from the South. All of which earns him a down arrow -- because once you take the lead in Iowa, the entire field tries to destroy you. Good luck.

Down but Not Out: John Kerry

The former presidential nominee was doing quite well until the "botched joke." Democratic losses in the House or Senate would have made a comeback impossible, so no one was happier than Kerry last Tuesday. The senator from Massachusetts is going to need to present some bold ideas to regain relevance in this field; I'd start with Iraq. And for those who want to count this guy out: He has come back from the dead before. Trust me, I speak from experience. Handicaps? It's all up from here or he's out.

Chairman of Foreign Relations: Joe Biden

The senator from Delaware is doing what Kerry should do: taking the lead on the Iraq war and staking out ideas for bringing our troops home safely. But the down arrow stays until someone gets this guy to shut up and listen.

Running to the Right: Evan Bayh

A senator who has actually run a government, the former governor of Indiana also hails from the region that may be most critical to a Democratic electoral victory -- the Midwest. In 2004, Democrats lost Missouri and Ohio, electoral votes that would have put Kerry over the top. Bayh could be the best bet for picking up three or four Midwestern states. He seems to be running to Clinton's right, which will prove to be either pure genius (he has a lane all to himself) or a disaster -- ask President Joe Lieberman.

The One to Watch: Russ Feingold

Perhaps the most authentic candidate, the senator from Wisconsin has a deep connection to the grass roots and is a favorite of the party's progressive wing. If President Bush stays stubborn on Iraq and the rest of the field plays it safe, Feingold could get very hot.

A Resume to Die For: Bill Richardson

He'd be the first Hispanic to make a presidential run, and his resume covers nearly every issue, foreign or domestic. Need bold ideas on immigration? New Mexico Gov. Richardson has grappled with that. Ideas on energy? Ask former energy secretary Richardson. How to deal with a nuclear North Korea? Former U.N. ambassador Richardson knows the turf. But can he raise the money, and earn enough early support to get his ideas into the mix?

The General: Wesley Clark

He still has a strong following among progressives and the netroots and could get traction if there's no consensus on a new Iraq strategy soon.

More Than a Cameo: Tom Vilsack

I thought the Iowa governor's candidacy was a cameo until I saw him speak at Renaissance Weekend last year. He clearly gets that this will be an election about ideas. Vilsack will have a tough fight -- but I'm the last guy to bet against a governor from a small rural state.

Question: Reading between the lines, who does Trippi support?

Tags: Joe Trippi (all tags)

Comments

84 Comments

Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Hmmmmm it almost sounds like in a way he could be supporting Hillary Clinton. Second guess would be Obama.

by robliberal 2006-11-12 06:11AM | 0 recs
It is Edwards for my pick.

He is behind helping people, he has been doing alot for the poverty issues around the world and minimum wage here in the US.  

by dk2 2006-11-12 06:24AM | 0 recs
Re: It is Edwards for my pick.

I think Gore...  But the things he said about Vilsack could be interesting... maybe he thinks he sees the next Dean in him?

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-12 12:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

It seems very difficult. He doesn't seem to count out a lot of people we would (Vilsack, Kerry). That being said, I'm severely underwhelmed by our current crop of candidates...unless Al Gore runs.

by PsiFighter37 2006-11-12 06:16AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Under whelmed by the Democratic Candidates?

Do you mean relative to the Republican contenders?

I see the Republican Nominating process in '08 shaping up to be a undisciplined circus worthy of..the typical Democratic Party nominating process.

Who do I find compelling from that side? A Hagel/Romney.  That's the best they've got without risking party schism.

The match-up I truly dread would be Hillary v Jeb. I think that would suck on infinite levels. And I might have to pack up the family and move to Tobago regardless of who won.

by cargocult 2006-11-12 08:41AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I'll take Hillary any day of the week over another 4 years of Bush policy.  Its fucked up the country for 12 years now total, and another 4-8 would just be REAL BAD.

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-12 12:55PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Richardson sounded pretty good to me.  I don't know much about him, but from that blurb it looks as if he might be able to muster broad support, especially out west.

by Bobby McGee 2006-11-12 06:18AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

We will know what Richardson and Clark will do by year end. Money will be the big issue for both to get into the race.

by robliberal 2006-11-12 06:19AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Problem with Richardson is that he thinks his CV makes him a strong candidate. No sign as yet that he can generate name recognition nevermind support.

by kundalini 2006-11-12 06:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Good point. Could simply end up being Kerry V2.0, i.e. who has the best resume, not who has the best ideas.

by grayslady 2006-11-12 08:36AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Richardson runs circles around Kerry as a retail politician and has common touch ( be it authentic or carefully crafted, i can't say)

by cargocult 2006-11-12 09:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I would say Richardson's biggest handicap is that he seems to lack charisma... he doesn't have the IT factor of an Obama or a Bill Clinton  or some of the other verbal stars of the party who can whip up a crowd.  I haven't seen evidence of him havin g this yet in speeches I have watched of his... But from a capability stand point, he is one for the best choices for performing the duties.  

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-12 12:59PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I think Richardson knows he doesn't have enough national recognition or money to win the big prize.  He's angling for VP, which he should.  If the West is the new South, and Hispanic/American is the new African/American, he has a good chance of delivering both.  It probably will depend on the border governors (CA, AZ, NM, TX) -- all in second terms, no? -- being able to take the lead on border security.  If they could make an impression with that key issue, Richardson would have one more positive to add to his already impressive resume.  Look at that list of potential nominees; he'd be an asset to any one except Obama.

by jukesgrrl 2006-11-12 08:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Hasn't someone hired Trippi by now?

by kundalini 2006-11-12 06:18AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

He's most positive about Gore, and if Gore plays it safe then Fiengold gets the nod. Trippi likes Richardson too but wonders if he can get any traction.

I don't really know why Warner and Feingold have dropped out, but last week showed there can be great rewards for Democrats who take "crazy" risks by going for offices the conventional wisdom says is out of their reach. This was the year of the dark horse. Maybe 2008 will be too.

by billybob 2006-11-12 06:23AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Feingold sees that he was a longshot for Pres, but with the Dems taking the Senate, with the promise of more seats in 2008, his chance for influence via the Senate go up.

If Gore doesn't run, how about Edwards-Obama?  I see Obama as like JFK in 1956, running for the VP slot (and losing), then emerging stronger next time.

Everyone says we need someone with foreign affairs experience, but if McCain stumbles and the GOP turns to Giuliani, then he has no more (actually much less) experience than Edwards.

by Mimikatz 2006-11-12 06:47AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I still have this feeling that someone dug up some dirt on both Warner and Feingold and they dropped rather than risk it... As dirty as politics has gotten, and the fact that Hillary is out there (and there is no doubt in my mind she would do this) just makes me wonder.  

I like the ocncept of Edwards/Obama, but I can see the Ticket of Inexperience meme being thrown around on that one.  

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-12 01:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Hire Trippi?

He's good up until the primaries.

I think you have to count some of them out. Not all of those candidates have a fighting chance.

It seems people are dropping out like flies now. I think we'll see more dropouts soon.

by ugottabkidding 2006-11-12 06:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I think it will be a small field. Clinton, Obama, and Edwards are in. There is an opening for an anti-war candidate on the left and perhaps for another centrist candidate who can find some niche. I don't really expect to see 2008 with a dozen candidates because the money part is going to be a huge obstacle.

by robliberal 2006-11-12 06:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Obama was an anti-war candidate, against the war from its inception.  Edwards has become an anti-war crusader, even expressing his vote as a mistake.  Politicians never admit their mistakes.  Even Kerry won't call his vote for the war a mistake.

by MyDD Fan 2006-11-12 08:50AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Trippi is all for Gore from the sound of the article. It makes the most sense. Gore plays to the base but I'm telling you that he appeals to the right as well. My friend is an evangelical and he thinks that Hillary is too liberal but loves Gore and would vote for him.

by Erik 2006-11-12 06:28AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Gore is about the only one who could raise enough money to compete with Clinton.

by robliberal 2006-11-12 06:30AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Gore is also the only one who could bide his time, then enter late in 2007 and raise the necessary money.

by Mimikatz 2006-11-12 06:48AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Obama could do that as well. I think he could ourraise Clinton actually, with his star power and charisma.

by Populism2008 2006-11-12 08:23AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Obama's another Oreo like Harold Ford, and will get beaten just as Ford did.

by drlimerick 2006-11-12 08:41AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

What a foul, racist comment.  Obama's just another "oreo"?  I imagine you mean black on the outside white on the inside?

by MyDD Fan 2006-11-12 08:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

My guess is that Gore really wants to run. If he's going to jump in, I think he will do it within the next 4-6 months.

by Coral 2006-11-12 08:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I think he's like a lot of us: waiting to see. It's a lot different this time around because there is only one true "establishment" candidate (HRC). We were at the nadir of power in 2003, we are rising now so an insurgent campaign does not make as much sense. I hold no animosity towards any of these candidates, except perhaps a touch of it for Bayh. Biden's foot in mouth disease and lack of money and population base rules him out. Vilsack I believe is too charisma challenged to make headway. He just screams "quiet please". Richardson is not a charismactic speaker. I wish he were, because Trippi's right about his resume.

Edwards is still my favorite. Gore would be next, or first except for that nagging feeling I have about the 2000 election. Could we stand another presidential campaign with the media overt hatred of the man? Can we beat back the lies this time?

Obviously Obama would be great, but if McCain is the nomineed, can Obama successfully define him and not have McCain scare everyone that Obama is too green?

Edwards is still my pick. Look at the new crop of senators, Sanders, Brown, McCaskill, Webb, Casey, and Tester. All economic populists, despite the WaPost calling Webb a "cantankorous conservative". Yeah a conservative that talks about bringing economic justice to the working class. Anyway, These guys tapped into the simmering-below-the-surface tensions that are building in this (not) great new global ecnonomy. Do not underestimate the worry and the anger out there over China's rise (based on slave labor) at the expense of small towns and cities in this country. It is real, and it is big. Larry Kissell may be our new congressman because of it. Heath Shuler definately is. This anger is our trump card against Republican attacks on national security. Economic Security. Sherrod Brown put Mike DeWine on the defensive throughout the campaign because DeWine supported NAFTA and "job-killing trade agreements". The MSM is scratching its head right now about what to call these new Democrats. They can't believe their liberals because they've been reading David Brooks too much and think that all liberals are effete star-bucks drinking wusses. But these are true-blue New Deal Democrats. The type of Democrats that got elected for 50 years in the greatest governing coalition in the history of this country. This is our way out of the wilderness. It's not wire-tapping. It's not just getting out of Iraq. It's creating a better life for all people. Republicans have wedded themselves to a laissez-faire stance that the government cannot interfere with the economy. Well, that will be their downfall as well if the Democratic nominee can represent the anger and frustration that the media scratches its head over and ignores.

by adamterando 2006-11-12 06:31AM | 0 recs
You said it so

I don't have to.

I like Al, but I too worry about the media and has there been a real transformation in Al's speaking abilities?

Hillary? Trippi is right about front runners in an open ( defined as no incumbent or obvious incumbent heir) Democratic primary. The thing is- she actually is the  obvious Democratic incumbent (Bill's) heir.

Economic populism is THE traditional Democratic party position. If this past election is any sign, then I think Edwards has a leg up.  The two Americas speech, the channeling of RFK in his positions on poverty as well as his RFK like transistion from Hawk to war critic. Plus he obviously performs well on the stump. I like Elizabeth Edwards as well. She brings to the table everything HRC brought to Bill in 92, but I don't think she is demonizable as HRC was. Plus she benefits from HRC's blazing the trail for a smart spouse with own career (Laura the librarian was so non-threatening- and as dumb as Dubya). Now that Feingold is out, Edwards moves up on my short list.

Obama would be a good VP pick- you nailed his problem as presidential contender.

As for the rest- I can warm to any of them except Bayh or Biden and honestly I don't see Vilsack, though I would be willing to give him a chance.  

by molly bloom 2006-11-12 07:13AM | 0 recs
Re: You said it so

An Edwards-Obama ticket might have real appeal nationally.

The problem remains Edwards' lack of experience.

by Coral 2006-11-12 08:56AM | 0 recs
Re: You said it so

Edwards' lack of experience?  Think John Kennedy, who served as Senator for 2 years before being the VP candidate and only one term before becoming President.

by MyDD Fan 2006-11-12 01:01PM | 0 recs
Re: You said it so

Yeah but he spent a decade in the US House as well.  

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-12 01:08PM | 0 recs
Re: You said it so

as well as being a WWII hero.

by jgarcia 2006-11-12 02:22PM | 0 recs
Re: You said it so

The comparison is not quite apt.  JFK was elected to the House in 1946, and upgraded to the Senate in 1952.  He tried to get the VP spot on the ticket with Adlai Stevenson in 1956 but was not chosen.

So JFK had a war record and 14 years in Congress when he sought the presidency in 1960.  Still, he faced a lot of criticism (from Harry Truman, among others) for reaching for the brass ring too soon.

Edwards served only one six-year term in the Senate, at least half of which was spent running for President and then Vice President.  He acquitted himself well as a candidate, and has obvious skills.

But the thinness of his public service resume is a liability.            

by doginfollow 2006-11-12 06:11PM | 0 recs
Trippi's '08 Tripe

has little to no informed perspective.

Wes Clark in 2008 because he's the ONLY top flight Dem that can effectively compete and win in ALL 50 states !

by km4 2006-11-12 06:35AM | 0 recs
Clark will have to fight off

the swiftboaters that have already attacked him before.

by dk2 2006-11-12 06:46AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Tripe

ANY Dem with the right (populist) message can compete in all 50 states.  But Hillary is not suited to that message because of her DLC/big business (Wall Street) connections.  It also depends on how salient an issue the war is by the time we are entering the primaries.

by Mimikatz 2006-11-12 06:52AM | 0 recs
I tend to agree

but keep in mind, the Clintons have that ability to blend into the changing political scenery. He more so than she, but  HRC's persona went from left of Bill to centrist in the last 6 years. Its not a bad trait for a winning presidential candidate.

The choice would have to be between Bayh, Biden or HRC before she would get my vote in a primary at this point. That could change somewhat depending how badly the rest of the 2nd tier performs. I could see Vilsack dropping to below HRC.  

by molly bloom 2006-11-12 07:22AM | 0 recs
Right on

I agree with you Mimikatz.

Economic fairness and Iraq will be big issues in the 2008 campaign.

Iraq will be an albatross for both the Dems and Repubs since we will still be in Iraq in 2008. The problem with Iraq is there are no easy solutions. Withdraw and it will be deemed a defeat, the second Vietnam. Stay and it proves impotence as the casualties continue. Iraq will very likely remain in chaos. The Jim Baker group cannot recommend anything that Bush does not want. They have to stake a middle ground which would basically be stay the course with some diplomatic fluttering that will not provide any let up in the short term. Neither the Shia nor Sunni factions are united so getting a consensus there will be elusive until there is exhaustion. Since the Dems have some power now they will also be tarred as the American public will be disappointed that no clear solution was achieved and both the Repubs and Dems will blame each other.

The aftermath of the consumer spending boom based on debt and the housing bubble will be devastating to many average Americans that got into the spend now and worry tomorrow mode with gusto. IMO, we will see unprecedented personal bankruptcies in the next 2 years and blame will need to be placed. It will range from lending practices that provided credit with no standards to corporate corruption and profiteering.

The candidate that can articulate a message of withdrawal from Iraq that is not considered defeat and one that can promote a message of economic fairness and protection from "fraud" and assistance those in financial crisis will gain traction throughout the country. Social issues will have less relevance when folks are worried about food on the table and getting kids through school and how they can pay mounting bills.

by ab initio 2006-11-12 10:54AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Tripe

I like Clark on many issues, but you're wearing some pretty seriously rose-colored glasses here.  How did he do in the primaries last time?

by Bob Fenster 2006-11-13 01:47AM | 0 recs
Who it ain't...

Wes Clark: Trippi barely blurbs him at all.

Obama: Trippie had the most negative tone toward him.

Hillary: Ditto.

I suspect if it comes down to principles, Trippi will look toward Gore.  The idea of an insurgent, returning campaign must have a bent appeal to a man whose core belief is the outsider campaign.

If it comes down to who has the props to pull off the nomination, it is Bill Richardson.  Small state governor.  More moderate than he is liberal.  Sounds a lot like Dean, huh?

I suspect Trippi would never support any Senator.  At this stage, he cannot possibly be that damned dumb.

by jcjcjc 2006-11-12 07:03AM | 0 recs
Re: Who it ain't...

I liked Richardson as the long-shot candidate in '04, and I'd be there for him again in '08.  He's competent and he's damned good at what he does.  He'd need to work a bit on the charisma but it's hardly a nightmare.  I was sad to see him get so little attention in '04.

by auronrenouille 2006-11-12 07:18AM | 0 recs
In fairness

How much attention do we recall for Dean prior to 2002?  

Richardson is doing a lot of the right things.  Thanks to his ties to the Clintons, he'll never be treated as rabidly by the establishment as Dean suffered.

I dunno.  I just hate for the nation to go Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton.  Too much like a dual monarchy.

by jcjcjc 2006-11-14 09:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Jerome - all - Yeah I thought Feingold would add a lot to the debate and win or lose would shape a strong progressive agenda.   I thought it would be bizarre for me to dis someone as a "sure loser" at this point in the game.  I mean when I went to work for Dean no one thought he had a chance -- it pissed me off.  So even Vilsack has a chance IF HE HAS SOMETHING POWERFUL TO SAY.   And yes I think even Hillary Clinton could win over many here at MYDD if she PUTS FORTH A BOLD PROGRESSIVE AGENDA -- but I also doubt she will do that.   I am not sure Gore makes the race or if he does that the act of getting into the race makes him careful and cautious again.

In any case -- thanks for all that all of you did to make victory last Tuesday possible.  You had more to do with providing the winning edge than a lot of people in the party will ever give you credit for.  Trust me -- I speak from experience on that one too.

Joe Trippi

by JoeTrippi 2006-11-12 07:09AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

If Gore should get in the race I hope he will not become "careful and cautious" again. He has made some excellent speeches with passion the past few years.

by robliberal 2006-11-12 08:03AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Hey Joe, it's good we had people like you to open the door to let in the netroots, otherwise, who knows where we'd be.

by Jerome Armstrong 2006-11-12 10:50AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Gore. The Oxygen Taker is a dead giveaway, IMHO. Classic Trippi observation, with key strategic implications of that: immediately changing the field, the rules, the dynamic. And Gore needs a consultant to ensure he doesn't play it safe. Uh, Trippi's available, I'm sure.

by Sun Tzu 2006-11-12 07:10AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

It sounds to me like he's a fan of Edwards, although his words on Gore make him a very close second.  My first choice has vacillated between Edwards and Feingold, with Clark an attractive alternative.  I'm for Edwards. Dream ticket, Edwards and Clark.

by Retired Catholic 2006-11-12 07:19AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Howard Dean led us out of the wilderness but like Moses will never see the "Promised Land".  He is the REAL leader of the Democratic Party and I would hope that the grassroots would rise up and draft him.

by lobo charlie 2006-11-12 07:21AM | 0 recs
I like him at the DNC

I supported Dean and actually got the chance to caucus for him in IA, but I think he's better of at the DNC for now. I'd like to see him run it for a long time.

by delmoi 2006-11-12 08:00AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

At least there's no LIEberman this time around.

by ugottabkidding 2006-11-12 07:38AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Not sure who trippi supports although the common thread through his comments is that whoever it is needs to present a clear and bold set of ideas. Would seem that his interest leans toward Obama and Edwards.

Steve Jarding, campaign manager for Jim Webb seems to be interested in Clark, though:

Jarding thinks Edwards, who ran as John Kerry's running mate on the '04 Democratic national ticket, might be more on the outside looking in as far as his chance to top the ticket in '08 is concerned.

"Edwards lost North Carolina in 2004 - so it's almost hard for him to say, I can win in the South. He couldn't carry his own state in '04. Another issue for him is the Des Moines Register poll had him at 30 percent - which is probably a high-water mark for him. It's going to be hard for him, particularly if Hillary's in, to get much higher than that," Jarding said.

"Clark is to me the interesting darkhorse in this thing," Jarding said. "He can make the case, one, that he's from the South, two, if the Democrats try to convince themselves that the '08 election is about the economy, they're crazy, because it's going to be about the war. It's not going well, it's not going to change - at least there's not anything in the cards that suggests that it's going to turn around, because Bush is stubbornly saying that he's going to stay the course.

"So I think the war is going to be the top issue - and here you have a very successful general in Wes Clark, and I think the upside to Clark is that he's Southern, and that he's a military guy," Jarding said.

by blueflorida 2006-11-12 07:47AM | 0 recs
Gore didn't take TN either.

Winning your own state isn't always an indicator.

by dk2 2006-11-12 07:57AM | 0 recs
Re: Gore didn't take TN either.

LOL, but losing it is 0-2 at this time.

by Jerome Armstrong 2006-11-12 10:58AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I did my best for Clark in 2003 & 2004.  

I really, really wrestled with this in 2005 & 2006.  I believe Edwards is the real frontrunner.  In a positive sense, he is the best politician.  John Edwards connects.  His message of economic populism really appeals to me.  I just have incredible respect for Elizabeth Edwards too.  What a class act she is! Richardson has the best resume, by far.  I could support him with heart & soul.

I'm sticking with Clark.  He brings more to the table of what Democrats, and the country, really needs -- credibility on defense, foreign policy and a bold vision for the future. Clark is the most presidential and I trust him on domestic policy too.  I trust him period.  He is a dark horse, but he's my first choice.

by howardpark 2006-11-12 06:15PM | 0 recs
Who does he support? Himself getting hired

He's trying to get hired by one of these campaigns

by delmoi 2006-11-12 07:57AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Steve Jarding think.....

"Clark is to me the interesting darkhorse in this thing," Jarding said. "He can make the case, one, that he's from the South, two, if the Democrats try to convince themselves that the '08 election is about the economy, they're crazy, because it's going to be about the war. It's not going well, it's not going to change - at least there's not anything in the cards that suggests that it's going to turn around, because Bush is stubbornly saying that he's going to stay the course.

"So I think the war is going to be the top issue - and here you have a very successful general in Wes Clark, and I think the upside to Clark is that he's Southern, and that he's a military guy," Jarding said."

LINK

by pelican 2006-11-12 08:15AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Fuck Trippi. He's a loser who wants to get back in the game.

Are we in the progressive blogosphere gonna start taking orders from on high?

I don't think so.

And while I've foaming at the mouth would somebody, anybody kill the Obama bullshit. He's just what we don't need: An inexperienced, Joey the Liarman protege, a guy who likes Fundies.

Oh, yeah...he's black.

Call me racist? Go ahead. The ReThugs can run Frist against Obama and win. They can run Brownback against Obama and win.

Al Gore is the one for us to back. Hillary? Anybody who buddies up to Rupert Murdoch and fails to campaign for Ned Lamont...

Don't get my support.

Thanks for your time and attention.

by Pericles 2006-11-12 08:22AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Did Gore campaign for Lamont?

Please say 'yes.'

by BingoL 2006-11-12 08:49AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

No.

by MyDD Fan 2006-11-12 08:56AM | 0 recs
I didn't think Gore did

any campaigning, He was promoting the movie and doing book signings.

by dk2 2006-11-12 09:11AM | 0 recs
Re: I didn't think Gore did

I love Gore, but he helped create the mess that is Joe Lieberman, and he should've cleaned up after himself.

by BingoL 2006-11-12 09:17AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I'm not as mesmerized by Obama as many, even on this thread, seem to be, but leave that aside.

I agree with Pericles; it's sad to say, but even in enlightened, liberal 2006 it took only one dopey race-baiting ad to knock Harold Ford back from near-even to out of the running.

by drlimerick 2006-11-12 09:12AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

But the difference is, that ad wouldn't play in Ohio, or Missouri, or Iowa...it played in Tennessee.   Obama doesn't need to win in states like TN where race would be much more of an issue.

by jkfp2004 2006-11-12 10:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Yeah, your piece of garbage racist slur against Obama that has been removed from here proves you aren't fond of Obama.  You belong with the RSCC and Corker down in Tennessee.

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-12 01:14PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line
  1. Obama is not anything like Joe Lieberman.
  2. Obama would mop the floor with Brownback and Frist
  3. Obama is an outstanding Senator, favorably viewed by most people, except for the extremes of both side who feel that highly partisan politics is the only way to do anything in this country now a days and want to tear the country a part.
  4. I recommend his newest Book... It is outstanding.
  5. You are a complete racist piece of garbage who has no real grasp of reality.
by yitbos96bb 2006-11-12 01:19PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I've gotta agree with Pericles, fuck Trippi!

I also agree on the HRC/Obama front, what a colossal waste of time it would be for the grassroots to spend a second of time looking at those two!  Let's talk about supporting real progressive candidates like Clark and Gore.  In fact, you want a winning ticket that will ultimately appeal to Dems across the board, not to mention how timely their candidacies would be, those two are the ones to do it.

by Twohawks 2006-11-12 08:31AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Twohawks:  Pericles who?  Could it be that his thread was disappeared?  Without a trace or word of explanation?  Nah, not by the fine folks of mydd.com.  Couldn't be.  You must be delusional.

by drlimerick 2006-11-12 02:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Gore/Obama or Obama/Clark

by Marq 2006-11-12 09:56AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Also, the point made upthread bears repeating: Looking to the Senate for a candidate is a fool's errand. It's gonna be an interesting next 15 months, and I suspect these metrics will change one hell of a lot. But this far back from 2004, I thought the nominee would be Gary Hart, so I clearly have no predictive credibility...  

by Jilliker 2006-11-12 09:59AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

How's a Gore/Richardson ticket? There's a great story in that, actual competence, and a willingness to be great leaders with an important, inspiring message.

What would make it an even more fun race: Republican team has Jeb Bush heading it up, Guiliani as VP. As much as the media hates Gore, there's a narrative it just wouldn't be able to resist.

by Zephyrus 2006-11-12 10:06AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Is there any possibility of anyone with the last name "Bush" being anything but a political leper in '08? I can't see the Republicans being dumb enough (writing that gives me vertigo...) to go for another Bush. I sure as hell can't see the country as a whole voting him in. Maybe if he changes his middle name to "Not".

by Jilliker 2006-11-12 10:10AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

OK...so I been warned. Doesn't look to me as if Trippi is a poster here.

Just another form of gas-bag bloviator trying out for a job like Carville, Begala or PillBaugh has.

What am I missing?

by Pericles 2006-11-12 11:56AM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I dont really understand the talk about Richardson's lack of charisma. I think the guy is pretty funny, as far as politicians go. That Western ad he made during his governor's race was pretty good- imagine anyone else trying to pull that off. His problem as I see it is discipline- staying on message. But if he can overcome that and raise some money, he has a solid shot.

by mhoffa1382 2006-11-12 12:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I'll vote for Clinton or Gore. I can't put my finger on it but Gore has changed for the better. Maybe he is fatter now.
Obama is young and can wait for more than ten years.
The following candidates have no shot either because they are losers or don't have enough support: Bayh, Richardson, Vilsack, Kerry, Biden

Top three: Clinton, Gore, Obama
All from the "Establishment"! Every one of them is a Washington Insider. I don't care about that, but I knowe a lot of people here do.

by bsavage 2006-11-12 01:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

How is a guy who has been in office for 2 years a Washington Insider?  That's such assinine logic.

by yitbos96bb 2006-11-12 01:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

I forgot Edwards - he'll be a great Attoreney General. However, he's a bad candidate for PREZ

by bsavage 2006-11-12 01:24PM | 0 recs
Richardson

As a former New Mexican, I'm very interested in Bill Richardson's candidacy. He's popular in NM, a governor, and yes has all that good stuff.

by bolson 2006-11-12 03:24PM | 0 recs
Who cares about experience?

Why do so many people dismiss Edwards or Obama because they lack experience, specifically foreign policy experience? That didn't hurt Bill Clinton in '92 or Bush in '00. Obama will have had more years in public service than Bush had in '00. I don't think anyone outside of the Beltway cared if Bush lacked experience.

My feeling is, be famous and charismatic, and surround yourself with skilled advisors, and yes, even you could be president.

by nstrauss 2006-11-12 03:53PM | 0 recs
Let's start a flame war

Do we have to trash all of the big names and put our support behind a second-tier candidate? Sometimes it seems like you people love to root for the underdog just to root for the underdog. I love Feingold. But he never had much of a shot. Same thing with Clark. Supporting them seems like it just marginalizes our movement. With such big stars in this race, you've gotta choose from one of the top 2 just to appear relevant. If we throw all of our support behind a candidate who ends up getting 10% of the primary vote or less, then we've become a big joke. The party establishment will never listen to us.

Where does that lead us... We have to decide among Clinton, Obama, Gore, and Edwards. They're the only candidates who might be in the top 2, depending on who enters the race. If we throw our support to anyone else, we will surely be seen by the NYT/WaPo-reading public as a bunch of irrelevant wingnuts.

by nstrauss 2006-11-12 04:13PM | 0 recs
Re: Let's start a flame war

Yeah, but his competition wasn't much of anything, either. Nothing like '08.

by nstrauss 2006-11-12 10:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Seems like Trippi likes Gore & Edwards. My dream ticket is Gore/Obama. Perfect blend of the old and the new, experience and energy. Gore has been fantastic since recovering from 2000, clear and smart and passionate. And ironically he'd be running as an outsider in the primary, and I'm pretty sure that appeals to Trippi. I think Gore's finally found his voice as a progressive.

by arbitropia 2006-11-12 04:29PM | 0 recs
I want Gore.

Gore is the real deal, and the one politician here who has made me feel inspired multiple times in the past several years.  He has already won one presidential election, back when he was uninspiring.  Now he would do better.  

As a progressive he appeals more to conservatives and moderates than centrist Hillary does.  There no doubt that he has the resume, the intellectual firepower, and the gravitas for the job.

He should bring one of the younger talents on as VP.  Gore/Obama or Gore/Edwards would be fantastic.  If Obama serves as VP, he can get the needed experience for a future run without exposing himself to a damaging long record of senate votes.

by grimm 2006-11-12 08:08PM | 0 recs
Re: Trippi's '08 Line

Here's something to consider.  We all know why Al Gore was the Democrats' nominee in '00.  It was because, as vice president (and for a lot of other reasons), he was the most prepared for the job.  But why did George W. Bush end up being the Republican candidate, when there were so many other choices for the GOP?  It was because he could raise money.

Fast forward to '04, and why did Kerry beat out Edwards, Dean and the rest to run against Bush?  Answer: it was because he could raise money.

Those of us who post on blogs love to talk about candidates' positioning on the issues as though that would be a key determinant in who gets nominated, but that's all just wishful thinking on our part.  And to talk about charisma?  That mattered for Kennedy against Nixon in 1960, but ever since then, every candidate has been well aware of how to handle himself or can find a handler to help.

Unfortunately, absent the Democrats making massive reforms in campaign finance during this session of Congress (not impossible, just unlikely) it's going to come down to who can raise money.  That means Clinton and Gore, possibly Kerry (though his star has fallen), maybe Edwards, and maybe Obama.  And perhaps Clark could get the netroots behind him and raise some good money.

All the rest of them, I think, are just hoping to be noticed to get the Veep slot.  Frankly, though, I even expect the selection of running mate to be predicated on ability to raise money in '08.  So perhaps those six are the only ones even worth considering.

And remember that Gore is not even officially running yet.

by gas28man 2006-11-12 08:30PM | 0 recs

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