Republican Strategy in 2006: "We're the party of change."

The most surprising difference between the two parties is how open the Republicans are about what they are up to, and how Democrats keep their plans hidden.  I experienced this up close working at the Democratic National Convention in 2004, and attending the Republican National Convention in 2004.  I have never seen a more closed bureaucratic organization than the Democratic National Convention Committee.  The Republican organization, by contrast, worked like clockwork.  I'll illustrate with two examples.

My job at the Democratic Convention was credentialling the bloggers.  Bloggers would often contact me prior to the Convention, and ask me logistical questions since there were a variety of special events set up just for bloggers.  One such event was a blogger breakfast.  A blogger that we credentialled asked me if we had received their RSVP to that breakfast, so I went to check; the person in the events department who was handling that blogger breakfast event told me that I had to get permission from her superior to release that information.  This meant that I had to go to my superior who would then have to advocate in a meeting with the event person's superior for the information.  All so I could let the blogger know that yes, we had received their RSVP, or no, we hadn't.  My superior decided it wasn't worth his limited internal political capital to have that fight, so I could never actually let the blogger know if he had sent his RSVP in.  I just told him to chance it.  This wasn't any one person's 'fault'; it was simply how the culture of Democratic Party politics has been for quite awhile.  I mean, I was working at the Convention so it's not like I can say I wasn't part of the mess.

When I went to the Republican National Convention, by contrast, the level of transparency was remarkable.  I sat in on a grassroots training session where a senior Bush advisor openly unveiled the campaign strategy and messaging.  She started out acknowledging that the Bush campaign's messaging was a failure where women were concerned, and then described how they were fixing the problem.  She demonstrated this with video clips of focus groups, and internal polling.  After the seminar, I was well trained on how to talk to women about the Republican Party brand.  It was impressive.

While the Republicans weren't advertising the session to the press, it was an open event, created to teach their true believers what to say and think about the Republican brand.  The Republicans recognize the value of populism, of word-of-mouth networks.  When they talk to their base and there's no direct mail fundraising involved, it's often honest in the sense that they really see their base as valuable in spreading message at the water cooler.

Ever since then, I've taken what the Republicans say to their base seriously.  They have no problem lying or spinning nonsense, but they take their politics seriously and have a plan that they want used across the country in 2006.  So I read this interview from Ken Mehlman on Hugh Hewitt's radio show, and I think it's well worth going through.  In particular, this part is instructive.  Mehlman starts by discussing how Massachusetts hasn't had a Democratic governor since 1986, and what they did in MA is replicable on a national scale:

Because in 1990, Bill Weld ran as a reformer, and got elected as a Republican. In '94, he ran a different kind of campaign. He said I've done some reforms. Here's my new model. Four years later, a guy named Paul Celucci came in and offered another vision.  Then came in Mitt Romney. Everyone of those Republicans replaced an existing Republican, yet every one of them was seen as a reformer, not a status quo guy.

Mehlman sees 2006 as a change election, and he says that the Republicans are well-positioned even though they control everything.  And the 'I'm not a Republican' Republican trick has been used successfully since, well, Nixon.  In 1973, Nixon resigned over Watergate.  While 1974 was a brutal year for the Republicans, Carter lasted a quick four years before being replaced by someone who brought in a Nixonian crew that allowed Iran-Contra and the Savings and Loan disaster.  Somehow, two years after elder Bush was out of office, the Republicans marched into Washington again as 'reformers'.  The Republicans are getting better at this.  Enron, which was a Republican scandal, didn't touch the Republicans at all.  And somehow, Newt Gingrich is now an elder statesmen reformer.  At this point, with GW Bush, we're at Nixon on crystal meth levels, and if we don't stop the reactionary soon, the next Republican crew that comes into power will simply end American democracy.

Right now, there are a bunch of Republicans trying the 'we're not those Republicans' playbook - McCain is the most prominent, but the wingnut caucus in the House is there too with their whining about the government spending they have enabled.  McCain himself is a conservative Republican, always has been, and he was caught up in the S&L scandal in the 1980s as a member of the Keating 5.  Yet he is considered a reformer, and is proposing easily circumvented lobbying restrictions just in time for the cameras.  Even Rick Santorum, who I'm more convinced by the day is an unprincipled corrupt politician that attached his star to the religious right, is now in on the lobbying reform racket.

This is political theater, pure and simple.  And it's worked since 1972, for a number of reasons, including media corruption, the gutless faction in the Democratic Party conducting sabotage, the dropping voting rates of younger demographics, pure economics, and a long-term conservative shift in the country.

As a party, we are beginning to realize that political theater is an important part of their arsenal.  As such, they are running as the party of change in 2006; that's what Ken Mehlman just told us.  It's our job to point out, again and again, that (R) stands for more of the same.  

UPDATE: Lynn Allen has more on this.

Tags: Republicans (all tags)

Comments

9 Comments

I agree with that the Rs are the party of change
They changed our government in 6 years from one that was legal and responsible to one that is illegal, corrupt and lacking in accountability.
by bruh21 2006-01-07 02:07PM | 0 recs
heh
The Rerun Party - I like that
by tatere 2006-01-07 02:37PM | 0 recs
Will it be a bad sign?
If the republicans (as usual) quickly pick up on "Talking Points" Ken's theme and begin repeating it well into February, but we still don't hear the specific words reform and change coming from Democrats?

You'd think this is a no-brainer, but if there is one political theater area where the GOP still defeats us by HUGE margins, it's the repeated talking point.  The GOP takes marching orders and clues from the top very well.  The Democrats ignore them, for the most part.  That's why it has taken them over two years to still try and come up with a consistent message/brand for the party, though they were publicly complaining about not having one as soon as Kerry got nominated.  Whereas they complain about it not happening (when THEY are the ones supposed to be doing it), the GOP just does it.  And quickly.

I'm optimistic about most things, but man, if I were a Democratic leader, I would make sure anyone that came within three miles of a reporter or media outlet would be shouting to the heavens that the Democratic Party is the party of reform and change.  And I'd make sure each person repeated those two words at least ten times during the interview, or else they'd get a good hard flogging.

Doesn't sound so hard to do, does it?
We'll see....

by Sam Loomis 2006-01-07 03:02PM | 0 recs
speak on....
....i realy can't understand why the Dems don't do that...they need to introduce legislation regarding ethics that they know the republicans can't support and hammer them everyday about their lack of support....
by rajk 2006-01-07 06:40PM | 0 recs
great analysis....
...I have so many friends that support Dems on policies, but see the party as status quo.  Democratic leaders, such as Hillary and John Kerry, do not appear like reformers despite the fact that the policies they espouse and probably would implement if they got the chance would change the country for the better.  Republicans are just better at turning around an issue and giving the appearance they stand for real change.  I can't tell you the number of times I've heard Republican sympathisers say "at least Bush is doing something"....
by rajk 2006-01-07 06:38PM | 0 recs
Mehlman is full of crap about Massachusetts

That is not replicable on a national scale.  The contrast achieved there was to state Senate Majority Leader Billy Bulger and then state House Speaker Tom Finneran and their buddies, who were more entrenched, stodgy, conservative, and corrupt than the people the Republicans were running.  They'd have to run a liberal or liberal-moderate Republican to achieve the contrast...to themselves.

Need I point out that all these Republicans elected to office ever did was essentially cosmetic here in Mass.  Democrats had two thirds majorities in both chambers of the legislature most of the way; Bulger and Finneran (and now Travaglini) have done anything they liked along the way.  Weld got a free ride off the tax raise Dukakis got through, and other than screwing with patronage appointments these "governors" have been Romneyesque in not having an actual job to perform and spending 90% of their time on junkets and twiddling their thumbs and finagling for federal appointments.  "Vision" my ass.  No Indie or Democrat gave a crap about their "vision".

With Finneran gone there is no need for a 'reformer' aka counterweight for his and his buddies' conservative crap; Romney's and Healey's numbers almost immediately fell below reelection when Tom resigned and moderate-liberals got control of the legislature.

In short- Massachusetts elected very minimally empowered Republicans as governors to veto marginal crap, to fight and force out a clique of corrupt, entrenched, conservative DINOs.  With that job done in 2004, Massachusetts state government is shedding Republicans left and right.  Don't make me point out how laughable the Republicans running for federal office here are.

As I see it, nationally Republicans will have burned out their moderate wing's support around the middle of this next year.  Their hardliners feel their end nearing, time running out, and are simply refusing compromise these days.  There is no "political capital" left to sway centrists- getting, or trying to get, Alito through burns up the rest of the chunk the Republican Senate got out of '04.  And there's a general burn rate of meaningful support of 12% of the electorate per calendar year while their hardliners have been running the show.  (A highly consistent number- check it against the Pollkatz graph if you like.)   2006 takes them from 39-40% hard support to somewhere around 30%.  Which is political death and disintegration.

(You can backtrack and derive the '02 and '04 election results from this modelling of the electorate, btw, assuming that the middle 20% of the electorate doesn't show up for midterm elections.  2006 predicts as essentially a flip of the margins of '02.)

The national Democratic leadership is imho waiting for the moderate/hardline Republican split to get bad enough in the middle of this year, then to parachute in and do some convincing damage to get the campaign started.

by killjoy 2006-01-07 07:34PM | 0 recs
What's really amazing is how stupid Americans
are.  I know they will buy this bull shit.  Where or where are the Dems.......
by oakland 2006-01-08 01:53AM | 0 recs
What's the easiest change to make?
the gutless faction in the Democratic Party conducting sabotage

The biggest sabateur in the Democratic Party is Joe Lieberman. Job One of the grass/netroots should be taking him down. The success of The Club for Growth is predicated on their willingness and ability to run primary challenges against moderate Republicans.

Not surprisingly, they also have a link up that recommends Cleaning House: Banish the Abramhoff Republicans:

This week's plea agreement by "super-lobbyist" Jack Abramoff has Republicans either rushing to return his campaign contributions in an act of cosmetic distancing, accuse Democrats of being equally corrupt, or embrace some new "lobbying reform" that would further insulate Members of Congress from political accountability.

Here's a better strategy: Banish the Abramoff crowd from polite Republican society, and start remembering why you were elected in the first place.

Yep. Matt's right. The GOP is already running as "reform republicans" while the DLC, DCCC and DSCC antagonize the Democratic base. They WSJ also reminds their readers that Democrats are equally corrupt:

This isn't to say we agree with the media hype that the Abramoff scandal is of "historic proportions." That's true only if your "history" starts around 1994, after Jim Wright sold his "book" in bulk to the Teamsters, after Tony Coelho of "Honest Graft" fame, after Abscam, the Keating Five, Clark Clifford and BCCI, and any number of other famous episodes of Capitol Hill sleaze. Mr. Abramoff and his pals are stock Beltway characters.

Meanwhile, the lonely voices of progressive challengers like Busby, Pennacchio and Cegelis are effectively blackballed from the Democratic Party. If the grass/netroots is serious about getting any respect from the Democratic Party we have to adopt the same tactics as The Club for Growth.

Forget about supporting Duckworth, Casey or any other Democrat who the party machine backs. We can be the most effective by picking five or six races to the exclusion of everything else. If we help fund and support a primary challenge against Joe Lieberman and focus our resources on Cegelis, Pennacchio and two or three other candidates we can send a message to the Democratic machine. If we don't start playing hardball, Emanuel and Schumer will continue to snub their noses at the grass/netroots, because we will have demonstrated that we can be taken for granted and there won't be any consequences.

by Gary Boatwright 2006-01-08 09:41AM | 0 recs
R stands for REEKS
you know, like "fun with dick and jane"

http://www.philly.com/mld/dailynews/living/13457315.htm

"'Fun with Dick and Jane" isn't the least bit interested in the corporate satire it could have created"

Just kidding Matt. I think for myself. I haven't seen it yet, I only watch 'em when they go DVD and MVP

by turnerbroadcasting 2006-01-08 12:32PM | 0 recs

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