McCaskill Is In

by Chris Bowers, Thu Aug 25, 2005 at 01:14:38 PM EDT

So claims Arch City Chronicle. Perhaps I am over eager, but I am going to assume this is true. It must kill her, as it probably killed Casey in PA, to give up on the Governorship with Blunt tanking and under investigation, but I am personally relieved. At long last, that will make six real challenges to Republican held seats in place, meaning that taking the Senate is at least possible. Missouri instantly becomes a toss-up when McCaskill enters.

Now, onto recruiting Hackett and someone for Nevada...

Tags: Senate 2006 (all tags)

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53 Comments

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Give him hell Claire.....
I hope she is in becuase Talent needs out.
by Keith Brekhus 2005-08-25 01:19PM | 0 recs
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you sure she is in if so...
phew was worried wasn't sure we would be able to contest this seat without her.
by Liberal 2005-08-25 01:20PM | 0 recs
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I suspected
When I saw this on Democratic GAIN earlier today I had a hunch she was in:

Company Missouri Campaign  
Position:  Fundraising / Finance assistants  
Job Category:  Campaigns  
Post Date: 25/Aug/2005
Salary:  2250 / Monthly

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Summary:  Very successful campaign in Missouri is looking to hire (immediately) at least two (2) fundraising / finance assistants. Qualified applicants will have worked on at least one campaign before. Prior fundraising experience is preferred. Please respond immediately.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Description:  Very successful campaign in Missouri is looking to hire (immediately) at least two (2) fundraising / finance assistants. Qualified applicants will have worked on at least one campaign before. Prior fundraising experience is preferred. Please respond immediately.

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by Lavoisier1794 2005-08-25 03:37PM | 0 recs
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Governor
Are there are other viable state Dems who could the Governor's office?  I think taking control of states is pretty important, too.
by danielj 2005-08-25 01:37PM | 0 recs
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Re: Governor
Mizzu Attorney General Jay Nixon has been talking about running for Governor next time. He would be as good, if not better, than Claire, so she leaves the Senate race in good hands.
by duncin32 2005-08-25 02:55PM | 0 recs
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With Ryan and Brown out...
..it seems logical to think that Hackett is in.

If not whomever is advising him should get out of politics.

by alexm 2005-08-25 01:37PM | 0 recs
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Re: With Ryan and Brown out...
Is Ryan out for sure?
by NJDEM1 2005-08-25 01:59PM | 0 recs
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Re: With Ryan and Brown out...
I've certainly never heard that.

Crossing my fingers that tonight's Hardball appearance is for Hackett to officially announce.

by ignatzmouse 2005-08-25 02:30PM | 0 recs
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Re: With Ryan and Brown out...
No, he just said he was leaning against it. This was before Brown's decision.
by jj32 2005-08-25 03:05PM | 0 recs
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Re: With Ryan and Brown out...
People who sound like they understand this sort of thing said that was Ryan's way of leaning on Sherrod Brown to make a fucking decision already.  They tended not to assume this meant he was actually leaning against.

Sorry no links.

by texas dem 2005-08-26 12:55AM | 0 recs
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I'm betting he announces on labor day
To go in. I can't imagine Ryan deciding not to jump in
by FDRDem 2005-08-26 08:33AM | 0 recs
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here's how i call 'em:
  1. PA
  2. OH (assuming Hackett's in)
  3. RI
  4. MO
  5. MT
  6. AZ
  7. TN

Warner needs to run vs. Allen in VA.
by tparty 2005-08-25 01:38PM | 0 recs
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Re: here's how i call 'em:
Rank Tennessee a little higher.  GOP has a contentious primary.  Open seats always rank high and Tennessee's not deep red.
by lorax 2005-08-25 04:15PM | 0 recs
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All due respect...
...but take TN off the board and forget about any contentious GOP primary.

Corker has over 3.0 million in the bank and Ford a little over 1.5.

Announcing your intention to run the day your uncle goes to jail for taking thousands of dollars on video for stealing computers from local schools isn't going to help.  Not to mention that Memphis is NOT Tennessee.

That race was over before it started and proves just how weak our bench is in that state.

by alexm 2005-08-25 08:45PM | 0 recs
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Re: All due respect...
Clearly Memphis is not Tennessee.  Duh.  But Tennessee has a Democratic governor and a 5-4 Democratic majority in its House delegation.  Conservative Democrats can run very strong in Tennessee, and Ford is one.  It's absurd and defeatist to concede this race so long before it happens.

Ford isn't a bad candidate.  Republican after Republican have proven that corruption charges don't necessarily stick, especially in a case where the candidate himself is accused of wrongdoing by nobody.

Cook Political, among others, calls this race a tossup.  I agree.  I don't see what purpose is served by conceding open seats.

by lorax 2005-08-25 10:23PM | 0 recs
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Re: All due respect...
Would you like to  wage a 2000.00 contribution to the candidate of your choice on it?

The current Gov. ran a perfect race and beat a terrible opponent.  Its an exception, not the rule in TN politics.

Ford also has one of the worst media firms in the country working for him.

He'll lose by ten and its not conceding.  Its lack of blid optimism.

Resources would be better spent in OH, RI, AZ and them MT, MO.

by alexm 2005-08-26 08:06AM | 0 recs
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Re: All due respect...
Dude, its Augest 05.  At this time in the 04 cycle, we were saying President Dean.  Anything can happen, and with the way Bush keeps sliding, Tennesee could look like Vermont in 2006.
by jkfp2004 2005-08-26 09:03AM | 0 recs
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Re: All due respect...
Cook Political calls it a tossup and they usually hedge towards Republicans.  If they thought he'd lose by ten, they'd say so.  This is a better pickup opportunity than AZ at least.  Incumbents can raise a shitload of money.
by lorax 2005-08-26 01:26PM | 0 recs
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Re: All due respect...
Ford isn't the only candidate and i'm starting to lean agenst him... any good alternitives?
by Liberal 2005-08-27 10:38AM | 0 recs
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Re: here's how i call 'em:
And somone needs to run in NV.
by Liberal 2005-08-26 04:53PM | 0 recs
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Re: here's how i call 'em:
I agree about NV but nobody with the chops to do be able to beat Ensign seems to have the inclination to do so.  You're not going to beat him with a rookie Senate campaign by a city council rep from Winnemucca, a pit boss from Vegas, or a truck driver from Elko.
by InigoMontoya 2005-08-26 10:50PM | 0 recs
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Dave's Solid
And she's been hiring first rate staff including Tod Martin of Mayor Slay's campaign.  I rate this about 50-50, but Claire is a hoot to watch run.  She's also got the backing of many who were made at her for taking out Holden.  
by archpundit 2005-08-25 01:45PM | 0 recs
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Senate of Governor
Personally, I would much rather be a Senator than a governor.  I mean who would rather live in Springfield, Missouri, or Harriburg, Pennsylvania, than Washington, DC??
by jkfp2004 2005-08-25 02:10PM | 0 recs
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Re: Senate of Governor
uhhhh.....maybe if you're from Missouri or Pennsylvania. The only reason Senator is agood gig is because it's six year terms with no term limit. But as for the job itself it's no contest. Try and spend a day watching C-SPAN2 and see if you don't shoot yourself in the head.
by zt155 2005-08-25 05:13PM | 0 recs
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Re: Senate of Governor
I don't know. A job where you can talk for as long as you want about whatever you want sounds pretty good, especially since they pay you for it.
by craverguy 2005-08-25 06:04PM | 0 recs
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Re: Senate of Governor
Governors get to run for president.

AND, governors can always retire to the Senate.  Much trickier to go the other way.  Term limits just screw you over.

by texas dem 2005-08-26 12:57AM | 0 recs
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Re: Senate of Governor
Running for Senate when your party is extremely likely to be in the minority is not appealing at all. You can't do much as a senator with zero seniority in the minority party. As governor you may be able to get something done (depending on the makeup of the legislature).
by desmoinesdem 2005-08-26 07:41AM | 0 recs
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Talent's defeat
She will beat Talent.  Talent is a do nothing politician.  He hasn't sponsored any piece of legislation.  Missouri wants to be involved, directly, and hasn't done anything.  So, they are going to look elsewhere.  Also, Talent beat someone, who wasn't even on the ballot in the previous election, Carnahan was a fill in for her husband, so the voters felt they could vote someone else in, because the person that was filling in wasn't the one they voted for.  So, Talent will be defeated, he is a do nothing Senator.
by mleflo2 2005-08-25 02:17PM | 0 recs
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Re: Talent's defeat
Doesn't MO have a proportion of white evangelicals in the population comparable to some of the deepest red, deep-south states?

I think the GOP increasingly has a lock on this state. I wouldn't count Talent out at all. A lot of people might say now that they don't like Talent, but what will they say in November 2006, after their pastor and fellow church leaders have been beating the drum for the GOP for months?

by desmoinesdem 2005-08-26 07:38AM | 0 recs
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Re: Talent's defeat
Run Claire Run! If Claire is, that pretty much makes Missouri a toss-up. If she is down by less than 5% this far out without having even campaigned against Talent, she has a real shot at winning. Plus, the Missouri GOP is sucking it up big time right now... the state, like Ohio, is ripe for the taking. Lets fire it up guys and gals!
by AC4508 2005-08-26 12:08PM | 0 recs
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Who says she's giving up on the Governor's race?
That isn't until 2008.  If she loses in 2006, she's still got a shot.  Worked for John Thune, after all.
by ItsDrewMiller 2005-08-25 02:27PM | 0 recs
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If she wins in 2006
There's nothing stopping her from running for Governor in 2008, too.
by Drew 2005-08-25 03:23PM | 0 recs
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Re: Who says she's giving up on the Governor's rac
The problem is that by running for Senate, she can't run for reelection as Auditor, so she won't have a strong a resume with which to run in 2008 should she lose in 2006.  Plus, a lot of people think (rightly) that after losing 2 statewide races, you should let some other folks run (shit or get off the pot).
by lorax 2005-08-25 04:17PM | 0 recs
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PAUL HACKETT
I THINK IF EVERYONE ON MYDD.COM CONTACTS PAUL HACKETT AND TELL THEM HOW MUCH WE WANT HIM TO RUN IT WOULD MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE. OR AT LEAST IT WILL LET US KNOW WE ARE DOING EVERYTHING IN OUR POWER TO WIN BACK THE SENATE. SO I HAVE INCLUDED THE WEBSITE. JUST SEND A LITTLE NOTE ENCOURAGING HIM TO CHANGE THE COURSE OF PRESENT DAY AMERICA AND HELP REVIVE THE DAYS OF AMERICAN DREAMS.

http://hackettforcongress.com/index.php?page=contact

by LA Democrat 2005-08-25 02:28PM | 0 recs
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Re: PAUL HACKETT
alright alright. keep it down.
by zt155 2005-08-25 05:15PM | 0 recs
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Casey for Guv?
It must kill her, as it probably killed Casey in PA, to give up on the Governorship...

Casey gave up on the Governorship? Last I saw he was defeated in 2002 during the primaries and would have no chance of getting the nom next year against Big Ed. So I don't think he so much as gave up on the Governorship as he stood no chance of getting it, and eyed another position.

Sorry, forgot this wasn't a Casey thread...

by LiberalFromPA 2005-08-25 03:43PM | 0 recs
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Re: Casey for Guv?
People were saying that Casey wanted a crack at the governorship in 2010.
by JRyan 2005-08-25 03:50PM | 0 recs
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Re: Casey for Guv?
yeah, I didnt get that either. Plus, if PAs trend of a different party gov every 8 years, he could run conceivably run late next decade(He would only be in his upper 50s I think).
by jj32 2005-08-26 02:11PM | 0 recs
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Hume's Three Stooges...
...Barnes, Kondrake and Barone on Special Report tonight all agreed that only GOP senators at risk in 2006 are Santorum and Chafee. No mention whatsoever of DeWine, Burns or any GOP senator running on '06. (LOL!)
by Steve in Sacto 2005-08-25 03:50PM | 0 recs
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It's Starting To Look Doable
Every seat is important. By picking up only two or three, it would make it almost impossible for the Republicans to pursue the nuclear option without the support of McCain and the Mainers.

But it's no longer the case that we'd need an earthquake to regain control of the senate in 2006. We may get one, but just, say, a 4% move from 2002 and 2004 will net us Ohio, Missouri, and Pennsylvania. Add in Rhode Island and Montana, with weak Republican incumbents, and that's 50. Then, if Sen. Hagel leaves the Republican caucus to run for President as an independent (as was rumored this week), or if ill health causes Sen. Specter to retire, or if one or both of the Mainers would cross the aisle, control would flip.

by Ron Thompson 2005-08-25 04:10PM | 0 recs
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Re: It's Starting To Look Doable
Those latter scenarios seem especially unlikely.  However, count open seat Tennessee among potential pickups.  That could be the one that makes it a majority.
by lorax 2005-08-25 04:19PM | 0 recs
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Re: It's Starting To Look Doable
Stay tuned in Virginia too. Mark Warner won't run, but Allen ain't all that. Trust me.
by zt155 2005-08-25 05:17PM | 0 recs
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Re: It's Starting To Look Doable
Allen doesn't need to be all that in order to beat a Democratic candidate in VA. That's the reality of my home state. It's solidly conservative even with the trending in the last few years.
by bruh21 2005-08-25 06:30PM | 0 recs
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Re: It's Starting To Look Doable
Prediction:  If Mark Warner runs in VA, McCaskill and Hackett run, and Pederson runs a good race in AZ, we get control of the Senate.

2006 is shaping up to be the perfect storm for Democrats:  gas prices, Iraq, second midterms under an unpopular president.  These candidates need to realize that the climate will be great for Dems in 06.  We don't know how it's going to be in 2008.  With this political climate,  McCaskill needs to run for the Senate.  I hope it is true that she's running.

by jgarcia 2005-08-25 06:48PM | 0 recs
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Re: It's Starting To Look Doable
I wish I could believe you, but this seems extemely unlikely. Don't forget that we could still lose Senate seats in MN and FL, and ND could be in play if the Republican governor gets into that race.

My brother in Arizona tells me that Kyl is not as vulnerable as people think.

by desmoinesdem 2005-08-26 07:40AM | 0 recs
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Re: It's Starting To Look Doable
belive me i live in FL we all hate Harris's guts she won't win and in ND if the Govenor stays out where safe and MN i got my fingers crossed hehe. i agree though that AZ will be very uphill but we should make Kyl work for it.
by Liberal 2005-08-27 10:43AM | 0 recs
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Warner's fantasy

No, Warner would rather pursue his egotistical fanatasy of running for President or maybe VP. It gives you a pretty good idea of his priorities.
by TrainWreck 2005-08-26 10:43AM | 0 recs
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Jerk
There's no way I can support him for pres, because he passed up on the Senate.  His country needs him in the Senate but his own stupid ambitions are more important to him.  Warner sucks.
by lorax 2005-08-26 01:28PM | 0 recs
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Re: Jerk
I said the same thing. That for me it's about party above his own ambition. He's a relatively young guy so he could run later in 2016 should we obtain the White in 2008. What he's needed now for is a more realistic run from VA. The truth is that there are a lot of moderate to centrist candidates running this time, and this blogs creator withstanding, he's not all that much different from his opponents. And if we are entirely honest, Hillary Clinton is got the nom for centrist wunderkind. Bayh, Biden and Warner seem to be going after the same political landscape as Hillary Clinton. The only candidates who will be effective are those who are trying to not go after the same terrain who are also capitivating. Politics aside we live in a personality driven culture. I've heard nothing to suggest he would appeal to anyone beyond policy folk.
by bruh21 2005-08-26 08:13PM | 0 recs
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How about Gil Grisham
He has a solid record of police work and a very analytical mind.  Of course, there is the whole sex parlor incident...
by Robert P 2005-08-26 06:24AM | 0 recs
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McCaskill
Lets hope she is in.  I can't find one person that can tell me what Talent has done in his 4 years as Senator.  
She stands an excellent chance of winning.  The base closing list just came out and Missouri is going to lose jobs in both St. Louis and Kansas City.  Neither Senators Bond or Talent, nor Governor Blunt did much to stop it.  
She lost the Governor's race partly due to a primary battle with the outgoing Governor Holden.  She won't have to deal with that this time.  And Blunt is the 3rd most unpopular Governor in the country.  Lots of buyers remorse in this state.
I'll do my part to help her win.  I hope others feel the same.
by jannakc 2005-08-26 06:59AM | 0 recs
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Re: McCaskill
Hm just thought of somthing... Does anyone think that the Reason McCkasil lost in 04 was becuse Bond was popular at that time just wondering?
by Liberal 2005-08-27 10:45AM | 0 recs
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Claire's in & Talent's on his way out!
Even in IL some of us can't wait!!  Claire will work for the people.  "No Talent's" only interest is business.
by Philosophe Forum 2005-08-29 01:32PM | 0 recs

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