More Hackett Notes

This is so fun and exciting. Can't wait for the CA-48th special election to start. All we need is for Sam Seaborn to be the candidate. It's another longshot (58.3% Bush in 2004), but so were Chandler and Herseth's seats. Let's do it!

Anyway, more good news. First, on the paid media front, the DCCC is in:

As of deadline, both the NRCC and DCCC are now in with last minute six figure mail and TV buys. I think the size of the DCCC buy is only about $115K, much less than the NRCC's $500K+, but it is still helpful. Combine the DCCC's money with the netroots money, the conservative anti-Schmidt group's money, and the grassroots internet ad, and we are talking about a competitive, multi-faceted ad buy for Hackett here.

Moving on the free media, ever since the Cincinnati Post endorsement, Hackett has been crushing Schmidt in the free media battle. Looking at Google News stories on the two candidates over the past four days, it seems that almost every story on Schmidt is actually about Hackett. Sweeet--this doesn't even count the nice free media from MSNBC (also here, here and here) and others (here and here). This certainly backs up kos's point from earlier today:

While organizations like MoveOn and probably DFA can raise big money with a few emails, blogs really can't. Remember, the OH-02 race is the only one on the calendar right now, so we're better able to concentrate our efforts. Campaigns shouldn't expect the same come 2006.

Blogs work best as a message machine, the seedlings of a liberal media machine. That we can raise some money should be seen as a bonus, not the reason we exist.

He's right--but this is also vastly more money than we raised for any congressional candidate in 2004, including the two special elections. Also, we seem to be doing the free media thing pretty well too. How much of this media would have happened without blogs constantly buzzing about it, and raising money for it to give it a real sense of competitiveness? Probably not much.

On the endorsement front, Hackett has added the Dayton Daily News, and several Democratic groups. If you haven't already seen it, read Jesus' General's hysterical endorsement of Jean Schmidt. If Hackett is endorsed by the Cincinnati Enquirer on Sunday or Monday, look out.

On the ground, Bob Brigham reports in, and DNC Vice Chair Susie Turnball has also arrived.

It's all falling into place. Save 2012 and redistricting, if a Democrat is ever going to win in the OH-02, it is now. 442 blog posts on Hackett since last Tuesday. 176 blogs have linked to Hackett's website. If we lose, at least we will know this is best we could have done. Even if we lose, we already have won.

Tags: House 2006 (all tags)

Comments

13 Comments

What type of ads is the DCCC going to run
Are they pro-Hackett, anti-Schmidt, or both?
by Lavoisier1794 2005-07-29 10:54AM | 0 recs
Re: What type of ads is the DCCC going to run
Hopefully a little of both.  An anti-Schmidt ad cannot hurt at this point; the only way Hackett wins in this district is if Schmidt is viewed as evil reincarnate.  That's the way Republicans operate and sadly its a winning strategy.  
by Eric11 2005-07-29 04:41PM | 0 recs
Re: What type of ads is the DCCC going to run
Schmidt is evil reincarnate!
by raginillinoian 2005-07-29 06:28PM | 0 recs
Devil's advocate
Should we also consider the possibility that Hackett being an Iraq vet has as much to do with his popularity as his broad blog-support?

Just trying to make sure we're truly part of the "reality-based community"!

Aside from this caveat, I'd like to think the blogs played a great role.  But I think the caveat is important, and should be contemplated carefully.

by Winger 2005-07-29 11:07AM | 0 recs
Re: Devil's advocate
He's a good candidate. I think the key for future success is to find the RIGHT candidates for the RIGHT races. Hackett is perfect for what makes that district tick... Your garden variety democrat wouldn't do very well in OH-02.
by bobestes 2005-07-29 11:21AM | 0 recs
Cook updates list
Charlie Cook finally updated his competetive house districts chart to include OH-02. He lists it as "Likely Republican", but this is the first time it's been on the chart!
by abramcf 2005-07-29 11:22AM | 0 recs
A Pet Peeve
I may be way off with what I say, but I dont like the talk that I have often heard about this race being a victory if we just come close. I am not disputing the basic point necessarily, but I think it is self defeating to talk about accepting defeat while the race is going on.  I try to put myself in the mindset that there is no substitute for victory.  We want Paul to win and wont be satisfied with anything less.

Hey, if Hackett loses and its a good race, then its the time to say, well at least we tried blah blah blah.  But I think while a race is goin on we should not even think about losing.  We are in races to win.

THERE IS NO SUBSTITUTE FOR VICTORY.

Andy

by Andy Katz 2005-07-29 11:36AM | 0 recs
Re: A Pet Peeve
Thank you, Andy.  Rah, rah, rah is all good for keeping people's spirits up, but let's f-ing win something for a change before congratulating ourselves.  
by mattgabe 2005-07-29 12:20PM | 0 recs
Good, I'm not the only one ...
... to notice that this was the seat that Sam ran for. Maybe Rob Lowe will run? Now that would be great.

http://runsherrodrun.com

by RunSherrodRun 2005-07-29 12:13PM | 0 recs
Re: Good, I'm not the only one ...
I doubt Rob Lowe, liberal that he is (though he did endorse Schwarzenegger in 2003...grr), would like living in Orange County. He probably lives in Santa Monica, Malibu, or Beverly Hills...
by raginillinoian 2005-07-29 01:40PM | 0 recs
Jean Schmidt... time traveller?
Saw Schmidt on Hardball.  Am I the only one that thinks she looks like Ann Coulter after she's been ridden hard through the desert for about 50 years?

Oh my god!  She is  F U G L Y.
and she sounds like a pre-recorded ass.

Wow... Gergen is picking this bitch apart.  Guess we know who won the Hardball exchange.  Hackett was friggin awesome... Matthews kinda went off for way too long about the concealed carry, but Hackett was cool with it and amiable.  He was CONVERSING w/ Matthews, while Schmidt is talking AT Gergen.

This is funny.

by teknofyl 2005-07-29 03:39PM | 0 recs
CA-47th
Actually on the West Wing it was the California 47th not the 48th. And I can see him endorsing Arnold because Arnold is a liberal Republican.
by Democrat12222 2005-07-30 01:27PM | 0 recs
by 3gmobile 2008-02-23 06:26PM | 0 recs

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