Of Democrats, Elites, Bullies and Unregulated Trade
by Chris Bowers, Tue Feb 15, 2005 at 06:40:50 AM EST
Now, Being the sort of blogger that I am, my first reaction to seeing these gauntlets being thrown was to survey the polling data on the issue to see where popular opinion stands before the debate is set to begin. The most detailed study I could find on the subject from 2004 came from Pew in July. What I found was extraordinary, and bothers me a great deal. A plurality of people believe that trade agreements have hurt them economically, but at the same time a plurality of people also believe that these trade agreements are good for the country.
Effect on Nation Personal Finances
Good Bad DK Good Bad Neither / DK
47 34 19 33 41 26
WTF? My conclusion from this is that elite opinion leaders (and yes, I am looking at you TNR, DeLong and Yglesias) who, whether liberal or conservative, are almost unanimously in favor of trade agreements that place as few restrictions and regulations on international commerce as possible, have so thoroughly dominated the national discourse on trade that large segments of the population who have been personally hurt by such agreements have grown simultaneously convinced that their personal plight is for the good of the nation. In other words, the discussion is so thoroughly dominated by one side, that large segments of the population have actually come to trust the theory they receive from the media on trade as a better representation of reality than their own personal experience.Does any of this sound like the growing ride of conservatism in this country, with its emphasis on theology and ideology rather than reality, to others reading this post? It does to me. Of course, it certainly would be more than a little presumptuous for someone such as myself, who has spent very little time studying economics, to call economic Ph.D. such as Brad DeLong or Duncan Black members of the faith-based community when it comes to international trade. However, I am going to do so anyway, since my hesitancy on this matter is emblematic of the larger problem I see revealed in these poll numbers.
I'll break this problem down in two parts. First, the strikingly high percentage of undecideds in the Pew survey on these questions in demonstrative of how a large segment of the country does not feel qualified to take a position on international trade. Second, gap between those who believe they have been hurt by trade and those who believe it is a good thing shows that there is an equally large segment of the population that is willing to shirk their opinions in favor of those who are deemed "experts" on the issue. Taken together, these two problems indicate that discussion of the issue has become so thoroughly dominated by "experts" who, when selected and presented by the MSM, are almost universally in favor of unregulated trade, that the will of the general populace to oppose a policy they feel harmed by has been broken.
Frankly, this stinks, and reminds me of the extreme degree to which conservative positions have regularly bullied liberal ones out of mainstream discourse. It reminds me of the run-up to war, of welfare reform, of the last two months of the Dean campaign ("electability") and of the canonization of the "new economy" in the 1990's. It reminds me of the ideological disparities to be found on Sunday morning talk shows, cable news panels, and think tank quotations in the media. It reminds me of why I was so angry with the leadership of the Democratic Party for most of the last decade, because I felt they were complicit with, and even active participants in, many of these discursive muggings. How can a plurality of the country believe it has been hurt by unregulated trade, but simultaneously believe that unregulated trade is good for the country as a whole? I can only conclude it is because we have been bullied into believing that corporate interests, rather than the interests of the people, are best for the country.
So there, that's my opening salvo in the intra-party discussion on trade. I personally, and I emphasize personally, because I do not know what Jerome thinks about this issue, welcome this discussion, because I believe that if those of us opposed to unregulated trade are finally given an equal voice and an actual "debate" ensues, our side will win the popular battle on this issue, big time. Bring it on.









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