Reality Creeping Into the Gated Community?
by Chris Bowers, Thu Nov 10, 2005 at 09:28:47 AM EST
However, in a pattern that mirrors Bush's decline among his own conservative base (see the third graphic fromt he top on the right), the 2005 elections showed significant weakness for Republicans in many suburban areas. Most prominently, in Virginia, Kaine rocked the northern suburbs:
An anti-Republican sentiment spread across Northern Virginia yesterday as voters overwhelmingly cast their ballots for Democrats, sweeping aside the traditional Virginia formula in which Republicans carry the outer suburbs and Democrats win the inner ones.In winning the election for governor, Lt. Gov. Timothy M. Kaine (D) took Loudoun and Prince William counties, something Mark R. Warner (D) couldn't accomplish when he was elected governor four years ago. Kaine also received nearly three in four votes in Arlington and seven in 10 in Alexandria.
In uber-suburban Long Island, Republicans also stank up the joint: The Democrats' dramatic gains in Tuesday's election signal the end of decades of Republican domination of Long Island politics, experts in both parties say."The days of monolithic Republican control are over," said John V.N. Klein, a former GOP Suffolk County executive. "In the past when this kind of thing happened, I'd say give it a couple of elections and we'll be back in charge again. We can't count on that anymore."(...)
While Democrats Bill Clinton and John Kerry have won Long Island in their presidential bids, local Democrats for the first time Tuesday consolidated their gains - winning control of the legislatures in both counties as well as the offices of county executive and district attorney.
We also saw the same pattern in Philadelphia, where I promise Democrats will sweep the suburbs in 2006.Looking at these three examples, what we are seeing right now might be more of a Northeastern trend than anything else. However, it is enough to suggest that reality is slowly creeping into the gated community, where voting Republican may no longer be just as guaranteed as everyone driving an SUV and having the same color mailbox. If Republicans continue to bleed these suburban and exurban voters, we will have a major realignment on our hands come 2006.
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